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Credit Acceptance Corporation
CACC

CACC Credit Acceptance Corporation

Credit Acceptance Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Open
564.27
▼ ⁦-2.42%⁩ (-14.02)
Market Cap$6.0B
Beta1.35
52w Low52w High
401.90668.86
Last Week
⁦-6.61%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.10%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+0.17%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.63%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall89
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/8Better than 89% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
83
12.4x▲17.6xTop tier
▸
Growth
43
2.6%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
98
——Top tier
▸
Safety
24
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
88
—2.15%Top tier
▸
Momentum
75
13.9%▲2.3%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
21
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$578
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$540
⁦-7%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$540–$540⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$801
⁦+39%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦10.4⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$540–$801⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$540.00
⁦-4.3%⁩
Current Price $564.27·Median $540.00
Low
$540.00
High
$540.00
Street summary

Credit Acceptance (CACC) Price Target Analysis

Bearish tilt

CACC is currently trading at $577.25, which represents a premium over the consensus price target of $540. Data shows complete stability in price targets with no notable revisions over the past thirty days, with a significant decline in analyst coverage as the price target is limited to only one analyst, indicating weak institutional consensus and increased uncertainty regarding the stock's current valuation.

As of 2026-08-12
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.75 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-04-17
    Stephens & Co.
    —· $540.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.36x
    3.11x24.86x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.09x
    2.72x21.78x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.54x
    3.03x24.25x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    20.8%
    -17.7%19.3%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.6%
    -36.8%103.3%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    31.4%
    -99.6%194.1%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    16.0%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.42x
    0.25x7.21x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Credit Acceptance Corporation provides vehicle purchase financing to consumers with less-than-prime credit histories, enabling thousands of dealers to offer financing to customers who may have limited options. Its business relies on the Purchase and Portfolio Programs and on collecting cash flows from loans originated through its dealer network, while paying dealer holdback and accelerated dealer holdback; during fiscal Q2 2026, the company collected more than $1.4 billion and paid $43.5 million of those amounts. It also funded more than 84 thousand contracts, recorded more than 11 thousand active dealers, and added more than 1,400 new dealers.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached $587.4 million, compared with $580.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026 and $579.9 million in fiscal Q4 2025. Net income was $135.9 million and diluted earnings per share were $12.66, up 71% year over year, while adjusted net income was $130.1 million and adjusted earnings per share were $12.12, up 21% year over year. Based on reported revenue and net income, the net income margin was approximately 23.1%, and the company attributed earnings growth primarily to a lower provision for credit losses, the non-recurrence of a $23 million contingent loss recorded in the comparable period, and higher yields on more recent loans.

The business mix shifted further toward the Purchase Program, which management linked to increased business with franchise dealers and financing application aggregators, without disclosing a numerical percentage for each program. Loan volume by contract units declined 1% year over year, but improved from a 4.3% decline in fiscal Q1 2026, while dollar loan volume grew 0.1% after declining 4% in the previous quarter. These results combine improved profitability and greater relative portfolio stability on the one hand, with continued pressure on volume, market share, and the quality of expected cash flows on the other.

What's Driving the Stock

  • GAAP diluted earnings per share rose to $12.66 in fiscal Q2 2026, up 71% year over year, while adjusted earnings per share increased 21% to $12.12, driven by a lower provision for credit losses, higher yields on more recent loans, and the non-recurrence of a $23 million contingent loss.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The loan origination trend improved clearly; the decline in contract units narrowed to 1% in fiscal Q2 2026 from 4.3% in fiscal Q1, then units returned to year-over-year growth in June and growth continued in July, when the increase exceeded 20% year over year, benefiting partly from an easier comparison.
  • The company recorded more than 11 thousand active dealers for the second consecutive record quarter, funded more than 84 thousand contracts, and added more than 1,400 new dealers in fiscal Q2 2026; management links this expansion to improvements in the sales team engagement model and integration with RouteOne, Dealertrack, and Dealer Center.
  • Segmentation tools and the enhanced credit scorecard began to influence pricing and the selection of consumers, vehicles, and transactions, and management said the initial results in fiscal Q2 2026 were encouraging. Initiatives included the controlled financing of vehicles with minor structural damage, alongside the development of AI-based tools that help sales teams identify the vehicles best suited to the Credit Acceptance program.
  • Expected net portfolio cash flows declined by $39.1 million, or 0.3%, in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with a decline of $55.8 million, or 0.5%, in the comparable period. The fiscal 2025 loan vintage also remained within ten basis points of the initial forecast, and the company ended the quarter with approximately $1.4 billion of borrowing capacity available under revolving credit facilities.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 showed strong earnings improvement, with GAAP net income growing to $135.9 million and diluted earnings per share rising 71% year over year, alongside a 21% increase in adjusted earnings per share.
    • +The loan origination trend became less contractionary, as the decline in contract units improved from 4.3% in fiscal Q1 2026 to 1% in fiscal Q2, followed by a return to year-over-year growth in June that continued in July, while dollar volume grew 0.1%.
    • +A network of more than 11 thousand active dealers, the addition of more than 1,400 new dealers, and integration with RouteOne, Dealertrack, and Dealer Center provide a foundation for expanding contracts without abandoning management's stated approach of profitable growth and disciplined capital allocation.
    • +Portfolio stability improved compared with the corresponding period, as the decline in expected net cash flows narrowed to 0.3% from 0.5%, and the fiscal 2025 vintage remained close to the initial forecast within ten basis points, with approximately $1.4 billion of available borrowing capacity.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Credit Acceptance's business remains exposed to weakness among consumers with less-than-prime credit histories and the dealers serving them; management described the environment as difficult, and average unit volume per active dealer declined 3.8% year over year in fiscal Q2 2026 despite the dealer count reaching a record level.
    • −Cash flow revisions remained negative, as expected net cash flows declined by $39.1 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and the provision impact of forecast changes reached $82 million, with early collections continuing at a slower pace than the company's assumptions for several quarters.
    • −The fiscal 2025 loan vintage performed modestly below expectations during fiscal Q2 2026, while the 2023 and 2024 vintages also declined slightly; although the 2025 vintage remained within ten basis points of the initial forecast, management emphasized that it has not yet matured and that its performance may fluctuate over time.
    • −The growth recovery remained incomplete; contract units declined 1% year over year in fiscal Q2 2026, while market share in the core segment was 4.9% during the first two months of the quarter, compared with 5.3% in the corresponding fiscal 2025 period, although it improved from the 4.4% trough in fiscal Q4 2025.
    • −The transformation into a deeply data-driven, AI-enabled company remains at an early stage and includes recalibrating pricing, segmentation, loan servicing, collections, and vehicle selection; therefore, continued improvement in volume and profitability depends on successful execution and model accuracy in a high-risk credit market.
    • −Net insider transactions during the three months ending with the latest transaction on July 16, 2026, were negative $24.6 million, with no purchases recorded versus 91 sales. This signal represents a weak trading factor compared with credit and volume risks, because insider sales may be prearranged unless disclosures indicate otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus target is $540, with the highest and lowest targets both at the same level and a Neutral consensus, reflecting the absence of a diverse range of available estimates in the data. This target is below the 52-week range high of $668.86 and above its low of $401.90; the Neutral stance balances improved fiscal Q2 2026 earnings against continued market share declines and negative cash flow revisions.

    HoldAnalyst target: $540(-4.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving CACC's earnings growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Net income reached $135.9 million and diluted earnings per share were $12.66 in fiscal Q2 2026, up 71% year over year. Adjusted net income was $130.1 million and adjusted earnings per share were $12.12, up 21% year over year. The company attributed the improvement to a lower provision for credit losses, higher yields on more recent loans, and the non-recurrence of a $23 million contingent loss recorded in the comparable period.

    Has Credit Acceptance's loan volume returned to growth?

    Contract units declined 1% year over year in fiscal Q2 2026, an improvement from the 4.3% decline in fiscal Q1 2026. Units returned to year-over-year growth in June, which continued in July, when growth exceeded 20%, benefiting partly from an easier comparison, and volume returned approximately to 2024 levels. Dollar loan volume also grew 0.1%, and the company funded more than 84 thousand contracts during the quarter.

    What is the status of credit risk and collections in CACC's portfolio?

    Expected net cash flows declined by $39.1 million, or 0.3%, in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with a decline of $55.8 million, or 0.5%, in the comparable period. The provision impact of forecast changes reached $82 million, and management attributed the difference partly to slower timing for approximately $12 billion of expected cash flows because early collections were below assumptions. The fiscal 2025 vintage remained within ten basis points of the initial forecast, while the 2022 vintage remained stable during the first half of fiscal 2026.

    How is Credit Acceptance using AI and segmentation to improve the business?

    The company is working to segment dealers, vehicles, and consumers more precisely to improve pricing, risk assessment, and sales team targeting. It developed AI-based tools that help sales teams guide dealers toward the vehicles best suited to the program, alongside an enhanced scorecard that uses consumer, transaction, and vehicle data. Management said on the August 4, 2026 call that the scorecard's initial results during fiscal Q2 2026 were encouraging, but described the overall transformation as still being at an early stage.

    How important are the dealer network and digital integrations to CACC's growth?

    The number of active dealers exceeded 11 thousand in fiscal Q2 2026, marking a second consecutive record quarter, and the company added more than 1,400 new dealers. Credit Acceptance uses its integrations with RouteOne, Dealertrack, and Dealer Center to reduce friction and embed its services into the systems dealers use. Despite the network's expansion, average unit volume per active dealer declined 3.8% year over year, making improved conversion and productivity essential to sustaining growth.

    What leadership changes did Credit Acceptance announce in 2026?

    Jay Martin retired as Chief Financial Officer on July 27, 2026, and became a Senior Advisor to assist with the leadership transition, while Joe Billante became the company's Chief Financial Officer. On the August 4, 2026 call, Billante presented the fiscal Q2 2026 results and emphasized his focus on executing the company's vision and maintaining capital allocation discipline. The company also stated that Ken Booth retired from the Board of Directors as part of a planned transition, after previously serving as Chief Executive Officer.