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Home
Stocks
Citigroup Inc.
C

C Citigroup Inc.

Citigroup Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
127.29
▼ ⁦-0.96%⁩ (-1.23)
Market Cap$220.4B
Beta1.10
52w Low52w High
93.66147.96
Last Week
⁦-1.73%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall67
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 5/9Better than 67% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
78
13.5x▲17.3xTop tier
▸
Growth
38
4.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
51
——Around median
▸
Safety
11
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
66
2.39%▲0.18%Top tier
▸
Momentum
81
38.0%▲1.1%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
85
13▲3Top tier
Last Month
⁦-6.91%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-11.52%⁩
Last Year
⁦+26.48%⁩
Fair Value
Current price⁦$127⁩
  • Value at the industry multiple
    Book value × ⁦1.5⁩, median of 16 companies
    ⁦$187⁩
    ⁦+47%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$159⁩–⁦$219⁩⁩
  • Analyst targetsLow confidence
    4 analysts
    ⁦$151⁩
    ⁦+18%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$139⁩–⁦$165⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦+18%⁩
2
methods value it above the price
0
methods near the price
0
methods value it below the price

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.31%⁩ as of ⁦2026-10-05⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$151.08
⁦+18.7%⁩
Current Price $127.29·Median $150.50
Low
$139.00
High
$165.00
Current price
$127.29
Average target
$151.08
Street summary

Citigroup price targets are largely stable

The average price target rose by 0.90 (0.6%) over 30 days to 151.08, following a slight decline of 0.25 (0.17%) over 7 days, and was unchanged over the day. The number of analysts remained at 4; current targets range from 139 to 165, indicating dispersion in estimates with a limited overall positive bias. The average is about 17.5% above the current price of 128.575.

As of 2026-10-05
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
77%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
20%
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
5
12
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.86 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-28
    HSBC
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-06-30
    Oppenheimer
    OutperformPerform
  • = Reiterate2026-06-29
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.54x
    2.99x23.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.45x
    2.57x20.59x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.0%
    -36.5%105.0%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    38.4%
    -99.9%193.6%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.4%
    0.0%8.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    30.5%
    11.9%103.5%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-08-26Based on 2026-07-14 data

Company Overview

Citigroup Inc. is a diversified global bank that generates revenue through five main businesses: Services for payments, liquidity management, and securities services; Markets for fixed income and equities; Banking for capital markets, lending, and advisory services; Wealth for wealth management; and U.S. consumer cards. The strength of the model rests on an international network that is difficult to replicate; Services deposits exceeded $1 trillion in fiscal Q2 2026, while total group deposits reached $1.5 trillion and assets reached $2.9 trillion.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Citigroup posted its highest quarterly revenue in a full decade at $24.8 billion, up 14%, with net income of $5.8 billion and earnings per share of $3.15. Net income was equivalent to about 23.4% of revenue, and return on tangible common equity was 13%, while expenses of $14.2 billion grew by only 5%, reducing the efficiency ratio to below 58% and delivering positive operating leverage of more than 9%.

Growth was broad-based across the business mix: Services revenue rose 18%, with the unit generating net income of $2.6 billion and a tangible return of 30.9%; Markets revenue increased 17% with net income of $2.4 billion; Banking surged 34%; and Wealth grew 13% and achieved a pretax margin of 23%. U.S. consumer cards revenue rose by only 1%, but the business generated net income of $852 million and a tangible return of 22% after adding more than $6 billion of American Airlines portfolio loans across more than 2 million accounts in April 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Fiscal Q2 2026 results were the most significant financial driver, as revenue rose 14% to $24.8 billion, net income climbed to $5.8 billion, and return on tangible common equity improved by 430 basis points to 13%.
  • Services generated the highest quarterly revenue in its history; cross-border transaction value increased 13%, deposits rose 19%, and assets under custody and administration grew 22%, while the business delivered revenue growth of 18% and a tangible return of 30.9%.
  • Capital markets strongly supported fiscal Q2 2026 results; Markets revenue rose 17% and exceeded $7 billion, while equities surged 45% as prime services balances grew by about 60%. In Banking, investment banking revenue increased 44%, including 65% growth in debt capital markets and 92% growth in equity capital markets, and Citi participated in eight of the ten largest equity capital markets transactions during the quarter.
  • The capital return policy enhances the stock's appeal, as Citigroup repurchased $4 billion of shares in fiscal Q2 2026 under a $30 billion program and plans to increase the quarterly cash dividend by 12% beginning in fiscal Q3 2026, subject to board approval each quarter.
  • Citi is expanding its digital institutional offerings; on August 19, 2026, it announced plans to launch Custody+ for institutional bitcoin custody and to connect custody with settlement, foreign exchange, and cash management, targeting integration of the service before the end of 2026. On August 20, 2026, it also joined institutions using Ant International's advanced model for liquidity risk management and foreign exchange operations.
  • Developments announced in August 2026 add opportunities for fees and banking relationships; on August 14, Citigroup agreed to acquire Kard to strengthen personalized rewards and merchant offers in consumer cards, and on August 20, it was also added to the banking consortium expected to manage Anthropic's offering, after previously participating in the company's $2.5 billion revolving credit facility.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The figures show a genuine improvement in earnings quality that does not depend on a single business; four of the five businesses delivered double-digit growth in fiscal Q2 2026, while revenue rose 14% versus a 5% increase in expenses and efficiency improved by more than 500 basis points.
  • +The Services network represents a tangible competitive advantage, with deposits exceeding $1 trillion, cross-border transactions growing 13%, assets under custody and administration increasing 22%, and a tangible return of 30.9% in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • +The diversity of Markets, Banking, and Wealth provides several growth drivers; revenue from these businesses rose 17%, 34%, and 13%, respectively, while net new investment asset flows in Wealth reached $15.7 billion during the quarter and $56 billion over twelve months.
  • +Capital supports the bank's ability to fund growth and return money to shareholders; the CET1 ratio was about 12.8%, roughly 120 basis points above the regulatory minimum of 11.6%, alongside a $30 billion repurchase program and a plan to raise the dividend by 12%.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The stock carries a consensus “Buy” rating and an average price target of $150.18, within a wide range of $139 to $165; the average is only about 1.5% above the 52-week range high of $147.96, while the highest target exceeds that high by about 11.5%. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the case valuation rests on improving tangible returns and earnings versus the risks of Markets seasonality and higher card investments, while noting that the 52-week range of $92.96 to $147.96 reflects the extent of the repricing.

BuyAnalyst target: $150.18(+18.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Citigroup stock results in fiscal Q2 2026?

Citigroup generated revenue of $24.8 billion, up 14%, net income of $5.8 billion, and earnings per share of $3.15 in fiscal Q2 2026. Revenue in four of the five businesses rose at double-digit rates, led by Banking at 34%, Services at 18%, Markets at 17%, and Wealth at 13%. Expense growth of only 5% also produced positive operating leverage of more than 9% and a tangible return of 13%.

Why is Services important to the investment thesis for C?

Services relies on Citi's global network for payments, liquidity management, and securities services and generated the highest quarterly revenue in its history during fiscal Q2 2026. Deposits rose 19% to exceed $1 trillion, cross-border transaction value increased 13%, and assets under custody and administration grew 22%. As a result, the business generated net income of $2.6 billion and a return on tangible common equity of 30.9%.

What was the impact of the American Airlines portfolio on Citi's cards business?

In April 2026, Citi completed the acquisition of the additional American Airlines card portfolio, adding more than $6 billion of loans and more than 2 million accounts. In fiscal Q2 2026, general-purpose card acquisitions rose 135%, spending volume increased 12%, and average loans grew 8%. However, revenue grew by only 1% and expenses by 10%, while non-interest revenue fell 47% because of partner payments and new account acquisition costs.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The contribution from Markets could decline noticeably in the second half of fiscal 2026; management noted that the business's revenue historically falls by about 20% between the two halves and that the decline could be larger after the very strong first-half performance if market conditions do not remain constructive.
  • −Consumer cards face temporary pressure on operating leverage; in fiscal Q2 2026, revenue rose by only 1% versus 10% expense growth, and non-interest revenue fell 47%. Management expects expense growth to exceed revenue growth during some subsequent quarters due to investments in marketing, customer acquisition, and products.
  • −Consumer credit remains an important source of earnings volatility; the group's cost of credit was $2.5 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, including $1.9 billion of net credit losses in U.S. cards, with a projected card net loss rate of between 4% and 4.5% for fiscal 2026.
  • −Services growth may slow from its exceptional pace; management does not expect the 19% deposit growth rate to continue for long and noted that annual deposit growth between 2022 and 2025 was about 3%, making the normalization of deposit growth a risk to net interest income growth after the strong quarter.
  • −The card market is highly competitive, and management compares Citi's position with players that spend billions of dollars on marketing; it therefore intends to increase spending on products, customer acquisition, partnerships, the lifestyle platform, and artificial intelligence, while acknowledging that these investments will take several years to bear fruit.
  • −Regulatory remediation remains incomplete; a significant portion of the remediation work passed internal audit in fiscal Q2 2026, but the remaining work includes strengthening data governance, particularly regulatory reporting, while the timing for terminating the consent orders remains entirely at regulators' discretion.
How is Citigroup returning capital to shareholders?

Citigroup launched a commitment to repurchase $30 billion of common shares and completed $4 billion of purchases in fiscal Q2 2026. It plans to increase the quarterly cash dividend by 12% beginning in fiscal Q3 2026, with each dividend subject to quarterly board approval. The CET1 ratio was about 12.8% at the end of the quarter, compared with a regulatory requirement of 11.6%.

What is Citi management's outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

Management is targeting a return on tangible common equity of between 10% and 11% for fiscal 2026, after achieving 13.1% in the first half. It expects net interest income excluding Markets to grow by about 5% to 6% and the efficiency ratio to be around 60% as investments and severance expenses increase. Conversely, Markets revenue could decline in the second half by more than its historical average of 20% if the environment weakens, and management also expects card expense growth to exceed revenue growth during some subsequent quarters.

What is the significance of Custody+ and the Kard transaction for Citigroup?

News on August 19, 2026, indicated that Citi intends to offer institutional bitcoin custody through Custody+, with key management and wallet infrastructure, and to connect the service with settlement, foreign exchange, and cash management. The bank is targeting integration of the bitcoin custody service before the end of 2026, with the first phase focused on bitcoin. On August 14, 2026, Citigroup agreed to acquire Kard to integrate personalized rewards and merchant offers into its U.S. consumer cards unit, but the transaction's financial impact was not specified in the data.