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Stocks
Boyd Gaming Corporation
BYD

BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation

Boyd Gaming Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
77.00
▲ ⁦+0.72%⁩ (+0.55)
Market Cap$5.6B
Beta1.08
52w Low52w High
74.8091.41
Last Week
⁦+0.39%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.70%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-11.33%⁩
Last Year
⁦-11.35%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall65
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 65% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
84
3.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
34
1.7%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
54
3.3%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
53
2.9x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
81
0.96%▼2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
39
-3.6%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
46
10▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$77
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$90
⁦+17%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$83–$104⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-24.89
⁦-132%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.2⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-24.89–$90⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$91.63
⁦+19.0%⁩
Current Price $77.00·Median $90.00
Low
$83.00
High
$104.00
Current price
$77.00
Average target
$91.63
Street summary

Stable Targets with Limited Variation in Coverage

Target estimates have not changed over the last 30 days; the consensus average remained at 91.63, and the median at 90, with a wide range between 83 and 104 compared with the current price of 77. The only change was a decline in the number of analysts from 6 to 5 in the September 10 snapshot, with no impact on the consensus, indicating stable expectations alongside a slight narrowing in coverage.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.33
Hold
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
33%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
27%
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
6
12
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.41 → 3.33
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Wolfe Research
    Peer Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    Susquehanna
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-06-26
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    3.39x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.29x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.35x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    0.6%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.7%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    249.5%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    37.1%
    12.0%66.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    3.3%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.87x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.0%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    3.2%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.24
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Boyd Gaming Corporation operates a diversified portfolio of gaming, hospitality, and entertainment properties across the Midwest and South, the Las Vegas Locals market, and Downtown Las Vegas. It derives its revenue primarily from gaming operations, with contributions from hotels, food, and beverages, while also generating digital income through Boyd Interactive and market-access agreements, as well as management fees related to the Sky River property. This diversification helps offset performance differences across markets, as growth in the Midwest and South and in digital and managed operations offset weakness in Las Vegas destination business during fiscal 2026 Q2.

In fiscal 2026 Q2, the company reported revenue of $1.0 billion, net income of $131.2 million, and earnings per share of $1.75. On a comparable basis, after adjusting for the prior-year FanDuel transaction and pass-through tax amounts related to a market-access agreement, revenue increased 3% and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 2%, while property operating margin reached 40%. The Midwest and South segment recorded revenue growth of 3% and adjusted operating earnings growth of 4%, with a margin of approximately 38%, while revenue from Las Vegas Locals properties excluding Orleans and Suncoast increased 4% and adjusted operating earnings grew 3%, with a margin exceeding 50%. Managed operations earnings also grew 18%.

The quarter's mix reflects strong gaming revenue from core and retail customers, alongside growth at Boyd Interactive and higher Sky River management fees following completion of the first phase of its expansion. Conversely, continued declines in visitor traffic pressured Orleans and Downtown Las Vegas, while renovation work at Suncoast added a temporary burden to results. The company continues to combine significant capital spending on properties and development projects with capital returns, investing $142 million in capital expenditures and returning more than $170 million to shareholders during the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Boyd Gaming raised its fiscal 2026 digital segment earnings guidance by $5 million to a range of $35–40 million, driven by strong performance at Boyd Interactive, while market-access agreements generate approximately $1 million per month, or $12 million annually.
  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 managed operations guidance by $3 million to $113–117 million following the strong response to the first phase of the Sky River expansion, with earnings from these operations rising 18% in fiscal 2026 Q2.
  • The Midwest and South segment achieved revenue growth of 3% and adjusted operating earnings growth of 4%, with a margin of approximately 38%, its highest level in nearly two years. Results were supported by increased play from core and retail customers, hotel renovations, and the addition of new food and beverage offerings.
  • Management expects the renovation of the casino floor and public areas at Suncoast to be completed by the end of fiscal 2026 Q3, followed by performance improvement beginning in fiscal 2026 Q4. It estimated that construction disruption reduced adjusted operating earnings by approximately $3 million in each of Q2 and Q3.
  • The company returned more than $170 million to shareholders in fiscal 2026 Q2, including the repurchase of 1.9 million shares for $156 million and $15 million in dividends. It plans to continue repurchases at a pace of approximately $150 million per quarter, targeting total repurchases and dividends of more than $650 million during fiscal 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Boyd Gaming's diversification across regional properties, Las Vegas, digital operations, and managed operations provides a clear offset mechanism. In fiscal 2026 Q2, growth in the Midwest and South, Boyd Interactive, and Sky River offset continued weakness in Las Vegas destination business.
    • +Operating efficiency is reflected in a property margin of 40%, a margin of approximately 38% for the Midwest and South, and a margin exceeding 50% for Las Vegas Locals properties excluding Orleans and Suncoast, indicating the company's ability to convert revenue growth into earnings while controlling expenses.
    • +Higher guidance for the digital and managed segments supports the forward earnings outlook, with the digital segment now expected to generate $35–40 million and managed operations expected to generate $113–117 million in fiscal 2026, alongside 18% growth in managed operations earnings in Q2.
    • +The capital allocation policy combines investment with cash returned to shareholders. Since the program began in late 2021, the company has returned more than $3 billion and reduced its share count by 35%, while ending fiscal 2026 Q2 with traditional leverage of 2.2 times and lease-adjusted leverage of 2.7 times.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Weakness in destination business continues to pressure Las Vegas, with management estimating a negative impact of approximately $5 million on adjusted operating earnings in fiscal 2026 Q2, following a similar level since fiscal 2025 Q3. Management does not expect the trend to reverse immediately after the company passes the comparisons, estimating an impact of approximately $3 million in Q3 and a roughly similar level in fiscal 2026 Q4.
    • −The Las Vegas portfolio faces a temporary execution burden from the Suncoast renovation, which reduced adjusted operating earnings by approximately $3 million in fiscal 2026 Q2, with a similar impact expected in Q3 before the anticipated improvement begins in Q4. The company also plans capital expenditures of $650–700 million in fiscal 2026, increasing the importance of completing projects on schedule and achieving their targeted returns.
    • −Management expects Sky River's performance to moderate from its fiscal 2026 Q2 level as the initial demand boost associated with the opening of the first expansion phase subsides, despite raising managed operations guidance to $113–117 million. This means second-half growth depends on operations stabilizing after the opening rather than sustaining Q2's exceptional pace.
    • −Some growth projects carry extended approval and execution risks. The conversion of Amelia Belle into a land-based property is subject to regulatory approval, while the Norfolk Waterfront resort is targeted to open in late 2027 and the second phase of Sky River is targeted for completion in early 2028. The Norfolk project also targets a cash-on-cash return of approximately 15% following a ramp-up period that may extend from the first year into the second.
    • −The average analyst price target is $91.63, only approximately $0.22 above the 52-week range high of $91.41, while the target range extends from $83 to $104. The proximity of the average target to the annual high and the breadth of the target range indicate that revaluation potential depends on the execution of growth projects and continued earnings expansion, with no standardized price-to-earnings multiple available in the provided data.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus rates Boyd Gaming shares a “Buy,” with an average price target of $91.63 and a range of $83 to $104. The average is slightly above the 52-week range high of $91.41, while the highest target clearly exceeds that high. The provided data does not include a standardized price-to-earnings multiple, despite trailing-twelve-month earnings per share of approximately $24.29, so the valuation case rests on the sustainability of earnings following the FanDuel transaction and higher guidance for the digital and managed segments, balanced against destination-business weakness and capital-expenditure execution risks.

    BuyAnalyst target: $91.63(+19.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove BYD's results in fiscal 2026 Q2?

    Boyd Gaming reported revenue of $1.0 billion, net income of $131.2 million, and earnings per share of $1.75 in fiscal 2026 Q2. On a comparable basis, revenue increased 3% and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 2%, with a property operating margin of 40%. The primary support came from the Midwest and South, Boyd Interactive, and Sky River management fees, while destination-business weakness and disruption from the Suncoast renovation limited Las Vegas performance.

    Why is Boyd Gaming's Las Vegas business under pressure?

    Continued weakness in visitor-related demand affected Orleans and Downtown Las Vegas during fiscal 2026 Q2, with management estimating an impact of approximately $5 million on adjusted operating earnings. Construction work at Suncoast added a negative impact of approximately $3 million during the same quarter, and the company expects a similar level in Q3. Conversely, revenue from the remaining Las Vegas Locals properties increased 4% and adjusted operating earnings grew 3%, with a margin exceeding 50%, indicating that local customers remain more stable than destination visitors.

    How important are Boyd Interactive and market-access agreements to the company's growth?

    Digital operations achieved comparable growth in revenue and adjusted operating earnings in fiscal 2026 Q2. Market-access agreements generate approximately $1 million per month, or about $12 million annually, while the remaining growth comes primarily from Boyd Interactive. Because of this performance, management raised its fiscal 2026 digital segment earnings guidance by $5 million to a range of $35–40 million.

    How does Boyd Gaming return capital to shareholders?

    The company returned more than $170 million during fiscal 2026 Q2, including $156 million to repurchase 1.9 million shares at an average of $83.60 per share and $15 million in dividends. It intends to continue repurchases at a pace of approximately $150 million per quarter, targeting more than $650 million in repurchases and dividends during fiscal 2026. Since the program began in late 2021, total capital returned has exceeded $3 billion and the share count has declined 35%.

    What are the main growth projects that could affect BYD's results?

    The company expects to complete the Suncoast renovation by the end of fiscal 2026 Q3 and for its performance to begin improving in Q4. It also aims to renovate more than 70% of its Las Vegas hotel rooms by early 2027. The Norfolk Waterfront resort is targeted to open in late 2027 and will include a 65,000-square-foot casino, a 100-room hotel, and eight food and beverage outlets. The second phase of Sky River will add a 300-room hotel, three food and beverage outlets, a spa, and an events center, with completion targeted for early 2028.

    What are the main risk indicators to monitor for Boyd Gaming shares?

    Investors should monitor the continued impact of destination-business weakness, which reduced adjusted operating earnings by approximately $5 million in fiscal 2026 Q2, alongside the approximately $3 million impact from Suncoast construction. The company also plans capital expenditures of $650–700 million in fiscal 2026, making project timing and returns important factors. Insiders recorded net sales of $10.0 million over the three months through August 24, 2026, across four sales, although this signal should be treated cautiously because those sales may have been prearranged.

  • −Insider activity generated a strong sell signal, with net sales of $10.0 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 24, 2026, comprising four sales and no purchases. This remains a weaker trading signal than the business risks because insider sales may be prearranged unless disclosures state otherwise.