| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 60 | — | 17.8x | Around median | |
Growth | 18 | -0.7% | 7.1% | Bottom tier | |
Quality | 15 | -4.6% | 4.5% | Bottom tier | |
Safety | 40 | — | 2.6x | Around median | |
Capital Return | 18 | 1.06% | 2.12% | Bottom tier | |
Momentum | 50 | 42.5% | 2.9% | Around median | |
Sentiment | 68 | 4 | 3 | Top tier |
Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
Peabody Energy Corporation mines and markets coal through a portfolio combining seaborne thermal coal from Australia, metallurgical coal used in steelmaking, and thermal coal within the United States, particularly in the Powder River Basin. Revenue is generated primarily from shipment volumes and realized selling prices, while profitability is affected by extraction, diesel, and transportation costs and the product mix; the company is also exploring additional value from its land and reserves through rare earth elements and critical minerals projects.
In Q2 fiscal 2026, Peabody reported revenue of $1.0 billion, compared with $973.3 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, but its net loss widened from $32.4 million to $90.6 million, and earnings per share declined from a loss of $0.27 to a loss of $0.74. On a trailing-twelve-month basis through Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $3.9 billion and the net loss was $118.7 million, compared with revenue of $3.9 billion and a net loss of $52.9 million in fiscal 2025; the EDGAR data provided does not include a figure for gross profit or gross margin.
Q1 fiscal 2026 results reveal a clear divergence among segments: the seaborne thermal coal segment shipped 3.0 million tons and generated $48.5 million of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at a 25% margin, while the seaborne metallurgical coal segment shipped 2 million tons and recorded an adjusted loss of $7 million. In the United States, the thermal coal business generated $61.5 million of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, split between $23.7 million from the PRB and $37.8 million from other U.S. thermal mines.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
The consensus analyst price target is $36.5 with a “Neutral” rating, and the highest and lowest targets both match that figure, so the consensus does not provide an independent range that can be used to test scenario variation. The consensus target is approximately 11% below the 52-week range high of $41.14, while the range low is $16.46, a spread consistent with the stock’s sensitivity to coal prices and the Centurion delay. The price-to-earnings multiple does not provide a useful anchor given the trailing-twelve-month net loss of $118.7 million, so the valuation depends more heavily on the recovery of Centurion production, thermal coal margins, and expected cash flow.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
Peabody reported a net loss of $90.6 million, or $0.74 per share, in Q2 fiscal 2026. This was worse than the Q1 fiscal 2026 loss of $32.4 million, or $0.27 per share, despite revenue increasing from $973.3 million to $1.0 billion. The data provided does not include a segment breakdown for Q2 fiscal 2026, so the amount of the widening cannot be attributed to a particular segment.
During trial operations in February 2026, Centurion encountered temporary electrical and mechanical issues, after which slow longwall progress led to localized roof and floor conditions and the misalignment of a limited number of supports. Peabody lowered its fiscal 2026 sales forecast from 3.5 million tons to 2.5 million tons and raised the metallurgical coal segment’s cost range to $123–$133 per ton. In Q1 fiscal 2026, ramp-up issues reduced the segment’s result by approximately $80 million, including $10 million of additional trial operating costs.
The seaborne thermal coal segment shipped 3.0 million tons in Q1 fiscal 2026, with an average realized export price of $86.25 per ton and a cost of $50.26 per ton. The segment generated $48.5 million of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at a 25% margin, supported by higher Asian demand and liquefied natural gas prices in March 2026. In the United States, the PRB shipped approximately 21.2 million tons, and the U.S. thermal coal business contributed a total of $61.5 million of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Peabody uses approximately 100 million gallons of diesel annually, and every $10 change in the price of oil affects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization by approximately $6 million per quarter. The company does not hedge diesel, and most PRB contracts are fixed-price and do not pass fuel price changes on to the customer. In addition, ocean freight rates rose by approximately 50% compared with levels before the Iran conflict in February 2026, increasing the cost of delivering coal to import markets.
In Q2 fiscal 2026, Peabody sent a test shipment of North Antelope Rochelle coal via Union Pacific to the Port of Guaymas in Mexico for export to an Asian customer. The test is intended to assess railroad and port performance and customer acceptance, and management confirmed on May 5, 2026 that it did not expect significant volumes within three to six months. The Port of Guaymas’s potential capacity could reach a range of 5–10 million tons or slightly higher, but reaching those levels would require an expansion of logistics capacity.
BTU has a consensus “Neutral” rating and a consensus price target of $36.5, which is also the highest and lowest target in the data provided. This target is approximately 11% below the 52-week range high of $41.14, while the range low is $16.46. With a trailing-twelve-month loss of $118.7 million and negative earnings per share of approximately $0.97, the valuation is tied more closely to the success of the Centurion production ramp-up and the continuation of thermal coal cash flows than to a traditional price-to-earnings multiple.
