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BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall92
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9SafeBetter than 92% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
38
35.6x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
91
33.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
56
8.9%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
59
3.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
84
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
88
152.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
81
9▲3Top tier
BTSG

BTSG BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock

BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock · NASDAQ
Market Closed
58.73
▲ ⁦+1.47%⁩ (+0.85)
Market Cap$11.5B
Beta1.88
52w Low52w High
22.8673.75
Last Week
⁦-2.52%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.93%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.64%⁩
Last Year
⁦+136.15%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$59
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$80
⁦+36%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$49–$90⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$13
⁦-79%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦12.8⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$13–$80⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$75.31
⁦+28.2%⁩
Current Price $58.73·Median $80.00
Low
$49.00
High
$90.00
Current price
$58.73
Average target
$75.31
Street summary

BTSG Price Forecast Analysis

Bullish tilt

BrightSpring Health Services stock has seen an upward revision in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus rising by 7.13% from $68.54 to $73.43, a trend that has stabilized over the last week. This change reflects optimism supported by strong revenue and EPS growth projections extending from 2026 through 2029, where earnings are expected to jump from $1.70 to $4.26.

As of 2026-08-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.18
Buy
Analyst coverage
17
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
70%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time17 analysts rating
3
14
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.13 → 4.18
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    KeyBanc
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-14
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    35.59x
    3.94x44.30x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    31.76x
    4.64x37.16x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    22.15x
    3.77x30.13x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.5%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    33.2%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    385.3%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    12.4%
    12.8%90.7%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    8.9%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.05x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.62
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

BrightSpring Health Services operates a home- and community-based healthcare platform in the United States through two main segments. The Pharmacy Solutions segment generates revenue from specialty pharmacy, infusion services, and home and community pharmacy care, including limited-distribution drugs LDD and fee-based services surrounding drug launches. The Provider Services segment provides home health, hospice, rehabilitation, personal care, and home-based primary care services, with the company focused on delivering treatment in lower-cost settings that patients often prefer.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $3.9 billion, up 23% year over year, and gross profit according to EDGAR reached $492.7 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 12.6%. Net income was $84.3 million and earnings per share were $0.38, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $206 million, up 44%, with its margin improving by 80 basis points to 5.3%. For the twelve months ended in fiscal year 2026, the latest EDGAR data showed revenue of $14.4 billion, net income of $366 million, and earnings per share of approximately $1.66.

Pharmacy Solutions accounted for most of the quarter 2 fiscal year 2026 mix, with revenue of $3.4 billion and growth of 22%, including $2.9 billion from Specialty and Infusion, up 30%, while Home and Community Pharmacy revenue declined 8% to $540 million. Provider Services generated revenue of $466 million, up 30%, comprising $278 million from Home Health Care, $82 million from rehabilitation, and $107 million from personal care. At the segment profitability level, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $180 million in Pharmacy Solutions and $75 million in Provider Services, representing year-over-year growth of 44% and 33%, respectively.

What's Driving the Stock

  • BrightSpring raised its fiscal year 2026 outlook following its quarter 2 results, with expected revenue now between $15.1 billion and $15.425 billion, representing growth of 17.0% to 19.5% on a continuing-operations basis, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $820 million and $845 million, representing growth of 32.8% to 36.8%.
  • Specialty and Infusion led operating momentum with revenue of $2.9 billion and growth of 30% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, while prescription volume in the business increased 31%. The company added two drugs to ultra-narrow LDD networks during the quarter, bringing its total LDD portfolio to 155, and the number of launches from the beginning of fiscal year 2026 through the end of the quarter reached 12, including four exclusive and eight ultra-narrow launches.
  • Acute infusion volumes grew by more than 20% year over year, and chronic infusion volumes grew by approximately 20%, while the company plans to enter between 12 and 15 additional states over five years. Management reported that the premium service program for Ig therapies materially increased the conversion rate during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026.
  • Home Health Care revenue increased 51% to $278 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, and the acquired Amedisys and LHC branches contributed approximately $78 million in revenue and $8 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The company raised the expected contribution of these branches to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization for fiscal year 2026 to approximately $35 million.
  • The company generated $144 million in operating cash flow in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 after excluding a nonrecurring tax payment of approximately $100 million related to the Community Living transaction, and it expects approximately $600 million for the full fiscal year. Adjusted leverage declined from 2.4 times in quarter 1 to 2.15 times in quarter 2, alongside credit upgrades from Moody’s and S&P and a 50-basis-point reduction in the debt pricing spread.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Quarter 2 fiscal year 2026 results show broad-based growth that exceeded revenue growth: revenue increased 23%, gross profit increased 32%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 44%, with the latter’s margin improving to 5.3%.
  • +The specialty pharmacy portfolio provides a scalable growth engine, comprising 155 LDD programs, with the company launching 12 programs during the first half of fiscal year 2026, alongside 31% growth in Specialty and Infusion prescriptions and expansion from oncology into rare, orphan, and complex therapies.
  • +Provider Services growth gives the company an additional source of profitability outside pharmacy; its revenue grew 30% and its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 33% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, with organic growth in segment earnings of approximately 20%, according to management.
  • +The improved financial position supports investment and disciplined growth, as leverage stood at 2.15 times on June 30, 2026, and the company expects to end fiscal year 2026 below 2 times before any potential acquisitions. It also repurchased $120 million of shares since the beginning of fiscal year 2026 and repaid approximately $300 million of the term loan during quarter 2.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The analyst consensus on BTSG is “Buy,” with an average price target of $73.43, a high of $90, and a low of $49. The average is near the upper end of the 52-week range of $22.86 to $73.75, while the wide spread of targets reveals significant variation in assessments of the sustainability of growth and margins; no price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, although the latest earnings for the twelve months ended in fiscal year 2026 were approximately $1.66 per share.

BuyAnalyst target: $73.43(+25.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What was the largest driver of BTSG’s growth in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

Specialty and Infusion was the largest driver, with revenue reaching $2.9 billion in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, up 30% year over year, while prescription volume increased 31%. The results were supported by the limited-distribution drug LDD portfolio, generic drugs, acute infusion growth, and fee-based services provided to pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. BrightSpring’s total LDD programs reached approximately 155 after adding two ultra-narrow programs during the quarter.

What is BrightSpring’s fiscal year 2026 outlook after it was raised on July 31, 2026?

BrightSpring expects revenue between $15.1 billion and $15.425 billion in fiscal year 2026, equivalent to growth of 17.0% to 19.5% on a continuing-operations basis. It expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $820 million and $845 million, representing growth of 32.8% to 36.8%. The outlook includes a contribution of approximately $35 million from the Amedisys and LHC branches, but excludes Community Living and any acquisition that has not yet closed.

How does IRA affect BrightSpring’s pharmacy businesses?

The company expects IRA to reduce Home and Community Pharmacy revenue by approximately $200 million in fiscal year 2026, with an impact of approximately $50 million in each quarter and an annual impact of $15 million on adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It also expects pressure on Specialty revenue of approximately $175 million in fiscal year 2026, with no material expected effect on that business’s profitability. For fiscal year 2027, management estimates that the Home and Community impact could be approximately half of the fiscal year 2026 impact, with contracting and operating improvement efforts continuing.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

7 pts
  • −The business mix depends heavily on Pharmacy Solutions, which generated $3.4 billion of total revenue of $3.9 billion in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, or approximately 87% of revenue. Therefore, any pressure on drug pricing, reimbursement, or the pharmaceutical product mix could disproportionately affect BrightSpring’s growth.
  • −The implementation of IRA created tangible pressure on Home and Community Pharmacy; it contributed approximately $50 million to the business’s 8% revenue decline during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, and the company expects an annual impact of approximately $200 million on its revenue and $15 million on its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. This is in addition to revenue pressure of approximately $175 million on Specialty in fiscal year 2026, although management does not expect it to have a material effect on that business’s profitability.
  • −Home Health Care growth includes contributions from acquisitions that must be integrated successfully; the Amedisys and LHC branches generated approximately $78 million in revenue and $8 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026. Although the company announced that the transfer of the branches to its home-based system had been completed and that final integration steps were progressing, the annual forecast of $35 million in adjusted earnings from these branches remains dependent on continued volume growth and the achievement of integration efficiencies.
  • −Growth rates will face more difficult comparisons in the second half of fiscal year 2026 because management described the second half of the previous fiscal year as very strong due to several catalysts. The company expects continued strong quarterly and year-over-year growth, but the elevated comparison base could make the pace of expansion appear less impressive than the 44% growth in adjusted earnings recorded in quarter 2.
  • −Regulatory changes and the drug supply chain remain sources of risk, despite no impact from tariffs being recorded through July 31, 2026. Management noted that potential tariffs on generic drugs had been postponed until 2028 and cited the flexibility of purchasing contracts, but it continues to monitor their potential impact. It also estimated that IRA pressure on Home and Community in fiscal year 2027 could equal approximately 50% of the fiscal year 2026 impact.
  • −The valuation is highly sensitive to execution shortfalls; the average analyst target of $73.43 is very close to the top of the 52-week range of $73.75, while the wide target range extends from $49 to $90. This disparity reflects a fundamental difference in assessments of the sustainability of LDD growth, pharmacy margins, and the success of acquisition integration, and no published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data to provide an additional valuation anchor.
  • −Insider data recorded a strong_sell signal, with 12 sales and no purchases during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 5, 2026, and net activity of negative $10.3 billion according to the provided context. This is a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged and are not sufficient on their own to assess operating performance.
How important are the Amedisys and LHC acquisitions to BTSG’s results?

The Amedisys and LHC branches contributed approximately $78 million in revenue and $8 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026. BrightSpring raised their expected contribution to adjusted earnings for fiscal year 2026 to approximately $35 million, following integration progress and increased volumes under its ownership. The company reported that all branches had transitioned to its home care system, with final integration steps continuing.

Did BrightSpring’s debt and cash flow improve in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

Net debt was approximately $1.7 billion on June 30, 2026, and leverage declined to 2.15 times compared with approximately 2.4 times on an adjusted basis in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026. The company repaid approximately $300 million of the term loan and repriced it at SOFR plus 200 basis points, compared with 325 basis points at the initial public offering. BrightSpring expects approximately $600 million in operating cash flow in fiscal year 2026 and to end the year with leverage below 2 times before any potential acquisitions.

What were BrightSpring’s key service quality indicators in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

Home Health achieved a 99% rate for starting care on time, and approximately 95% of branches remained rated four stars or higher. The overall CAHPS score for hospice services was 89%, rehabilitation patient satisfaction exceeded 97%, and Personal Care customer satisfaction was 4.6 out of 5. In home and community pharmacy, dispensing accuracy was 99.98% and on-time delivery was 94.3%, while Specialty Pharmacy recorded a medication possession ratio of 93% and a time to first fill of 3.7 days.