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B2Gold Corp.
BTG

BTG B2Gold Corp.

B2Gold Corp. · AMEX
Market Closed
5.38
▲ ⁦+0.37%⁩ (+0.02)
Market Cap$7.1B
Beta1.35
52w Low52w High
3.576.29
Last Week
⁦-0.55%⁩
Last Month
⁦+6.11%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+28.71%⁩
Last Year
⁦+33.17%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall98
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Better than 98% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
9.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
94
72.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
74
21.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
89
0.1x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
25
0.37%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
67
22.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
94
8▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$5.38
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$2.35
⁦-56%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.4⁩% discount · ⁦8⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$6.17
⁦+14.7%⁩
Current Price $5.38·Median $6.00
Low
$5.00
High
$7.50
Current price
$5.38
Average target
$6.17
Average rating
★ 4.08
Buy
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
85%
High
Target dispersion
46%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
5
6
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.82 → 4.08
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-10
    Scotiabank
    Sector PerformOutperform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-10
    CIBC
    NeutralOutperform
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    9.34x
    4.94x39.51x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    4.53x
    3.70x29.59x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.33x
    2.62x20.92x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    2.3%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    72.6%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    277.2%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    49.2%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    21.1%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.09x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.4%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    3.5%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

B2Gold Corp. is an international gold producer whose revenue depends on extracting, processing, and selling gold from a portfolio that includes the Fekola Complex and the Masbate and Otjikoto mines, along with the Goose mine, which is still in the ramp-up phase. Consolidated production reached approximately 204 thousand ounces in fiscal year 2026 Q2; Fekola, Masbate, and Otjikoto exceeded expectations, while Goose was affected by a fire in parts of the crushing circuit in April 2026. Historically, Fekola represented approximately half of the company’s production, and management sees the potential for the complex’s production to return to nearly 500 thousand ounces with the development of Fekola Regional.

In fiscal year 2026 Q2, revenue reached $769.3 million and gross profit was $300.5 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 39.1%. Net income was $406.7 million and earnings per share were $0.31, but adjusted net income attributable to shareholders was only $41 million, or $0.03 per share, after excluding the gain on the sale of the Finnish assets, unrealized derivative gains, and other non-recurring items. The adjusted result also included approximately $71 million in realized losses from gold collar contracts; without them, adjusted earnings per share would have exceeded $0.08.

For the trailing twelve months ended in 2026, B2Gold recorded revenue of $3.7 billion, gross profit of $1.8 billion, and net income of $818.6 million, compared with revenue of $3.1 billion, gross profit of $1.5 billion, and net income of $426.7 million in fiscal year 2025. However, free cash flow was negative $258 million in fiscal year 2026 Q2 due to high cash taxes, gold prepayment contracts, and higher production costs, despite the company holding $287 million in cash and cash equivalents and $405 million in working capital at the end of the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The Government of Mali granted the Menankoto exploitation permit on August 7, 2026, allowing pre-stripping work to begin at Fekola Regional. Management expects to ramp up the project through the end of 2027 and reach production exceeding 150 thousand ounces annually from 2028 through the mid-2030s.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company narrowed its consolidated production guidance range for fiscal year 2026 to between 820 thousand and 920 thousand ounces. The revision reflects the delay in the Menankoto permit and the narrowing of Goose’s production range after the fire, partially offset by higher guidance for Masbate and Otjikoto due to their stronger-than-expected performance.
  • B2Gold maintained its fiscal year 2026 cash operating cost guidance at $1,155 to $1,280 per ounce produced and lowered its all-in sustaining cost range to $2,370–$2,550 per ounce sold, with the result expected to be at or below the low end of the range. This represents potential support for margins if the production plan is executed, but it remains tied to Goose repairs and processing-rate stability.
  • The Goose plan targets more than 2,500 tonnes per day in fiscal year 2026 Q3, more than 3,000 tonnes per day in fiscal year 2026 Q4 and the first half of fiscal year 2027, and then 4,000 tonnes per day in the second half of fiscal year 2027. The company also targets reaching an annualized production rate of approximately 300 thousand ounces by mid-2027, following the completion of damage remediation and the first phase of the crusher upgrade by the end of fiscal year 2026 Q3.
  • The gold prepayment contracts ended in June 2026 and had affected slightly more than 30% of the ounces sold during fiscal year 2026 Q2. With the remaining sales exposed to spot market prices and the gold collar contracts ending in December 2026, management expects a significant improvement in operating cash flow during the second half of fiscal year 2026 and in free cash flow entering fiscal year 2027.
  • The company repurchased approximately 35 million shares for $172 million during the first half of fiscal year 2026 and paid $52 million in dividends, bringing total shareholder returns to $224 million. This occurred alongside the sale of a 70% interest in the Finnish assets to Agnico Eagle for $325 million in cash.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The Menankoto permit gives the company a clear execution path for one of its most important near-term growth drivers, as Fekola Regional targets production exceeding 150 thousand ounces annually from 2028, with the potential to extend the life of the Fekola mill and improve the feed blend between the main mine and the regional areas.
    • +Fekola, Masbate, and Otjikoto provide an operating base that demonstrated strength in fiscal year 2026 Q2, as all three mines exceeded expectations and helped offset weakness at Goose. The company also raised guidance for Masbate and Otjikoto and kept consolidated cash operating cost guidance unchanged.
    • +Cash conversion could improve after the gold prepayment contracts ended in June 2026 and the gold collar contracts end in December 2026; the collars reduced adjusted net income in fiscal year 2026 Q2 by approximately $71 million. Liquidity of $287 million and working capital of $405 million support the ability to fund repairs, development, and capital returns.
    • +Raising Goose’s capacity from operating levels that ranged between 1,500 and 2,000 tonnes per day at the beginning of fiscal year 2026 Q3 to a target of 4,000 tonnes per day in the second half of fiscal year 2027 provides tangible production leverage. Management believes Goose can deliver significant growth in fiscal year 2027 and reach an annualized rate of approximately 300 thousand ounces by mid-year.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Execution at Goose remains the largest operating risk; the crushing-circuit fire in April 2026 reduced production, and the company recorded approximately $16 million in standby costs excluded from per-ounce costs in fiscal year 2026 Q2. Reaching 4,000 tonnes per day in the second half of fiscal year 2027 requires completing 2 phases of repairs and relying on mobile crushers during the first half of fiscal year 2027.
    • −Despite revenue benefiting from higher gold prices, B2Gold missed fiscal year 2026 Q2 earnings expectations as production declined, according to the August 7, 2026 news report. The large difference between reported net income of $406.7 million and adjusted net income of $41 million also reveals the reported profit’s reliance on the gain from the sale of the Finnish assets, unrealized derivative gains, and non-recurring items.
    • −Free cash flow was negative $258 million in fiscal year 2026 Q2, affected by high cash taxes, prepayment contracts, and higher production costs. Although these pressures are expected to moderate, the company paid slightly less than 45% of its total expected cash taxes for fiscal year 2026 during the quarter, highlighting the sensitivity of cash generation to taxes and operating expenditures.
    • −Fekola remains exposed to regulatory and financial risks in Mali; the Menankoto permit took longer than expected and was issued under the 2023 Mining Code. The company expects a 30% corporate income tax rate for Fekola Regional, a 2-percentage-point increase in the special tax compared with Fekola, and an expected government interest of 35% in the regional project versus a priority interest of 20% in the main Fekola operation, raising the effective tax rate for the regional project.
    • −Fekola’s production path in fiscal year 2027 remains unresolved because of the Phase 8 pre-stripping campaign; management warned against assuming that complex production will be higher than in fiscal year 2026 despite the start of Fekola Regional development. The development of Dandoko also requires a separate exploitation permit, and its process is likely to begin in fiscal year 2027 with fiscal year 2028 as the target.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $6.17 and a wide range between $5 and $7.5; the average is below the 52-week range high of $6.29, while the highest target exceeds it. No displayed price-to-earnings multiple is available that can be relied upon, and the wide range of targets reflects a divergence between the opportunities from Fekola Regional and Goose’s recovery on the one hand, and execution, tax, and negative-free-cash-flow risks on the other.

    BuyAnalyst target: $6.17(+14.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What did the Menankoto permit change in B2Gold’s growth story?

    The Government of Mali granted the Menankoto exploitation permit on August 7, 2026, allowing the company to begin pre-stripping at Fekola Regional. The infrastructure, roads, and workforce needed to begin mining were already in place, but management expects pre-stripping work to take the remainder of fiscal year 2026, with limited production possible near year-end but no material impact on guidance. B2Gold targets ramping up operations during fiscal year 2027 and reaching a rate exceeding 150 thousand ounces annually from 2028 through the mid-2030s.

    Why was fiscal year 2026 Q2 net income much higher than adjusted profit?

    Net income attributable to shareholders reached $417 million, or $0.31 per share, in fiscal year 2026 Q2, benefiting from the gain on the sale of the Finnish assets and unrealized derivative gains. After excluding these gains and non-recurring adjustments, adjusted net income was only $41 million, or $0.03 per share. The adjusted result also absorbed approximately $71 million in realized losses related to gold collar contracts, and adjusted earnings per share would have exceeded $0.08 without them.

    What is the operating problem at the Goose mine, and when does the company aim to resolve it?

    A fire in parts of the crushing circuit in April 2026 damaged Goose’s production during fiscal year 2026 Q2. The company targeted completing damage remediation and the first phase of the crusher upgrade by the end of fiscal year 2026 Q3, received an additional mobile crusher in July 2026, and began commissioning it in early August. The plan targets more than 3,000 tonnes per day in fiscal year 2026 Q4 and the first half of fiscal year 2027, and then 4,000 tonnes per day in the second half of fiscal year 2027.

    What are B2Gold’s production and cost guidance figures for fiscal year 2026?

    The company expects consolidated production between 820 thousand and 920 thousand ounces in fiscal year 2026 after narrowing the range because of the Menankoto delay and the Goose fire, partially offset by higher guidance for Masbate and Otjikoto. Cash operating cost guidance remained between $1,155 and $1,280 per ounce produced. The all-in sustaining cost range was lowered to $2,370–$2,550 per ounce sold, with the result expected to be at or below the low end.

    When could B2Gold’s free cash flow improve?

    The company recorded negative free cash flow of $258 million in fiscal year 2026 Q2 due to high cash taxes, prepayment contracts, and higher production costs. The prepayment contracts ended in June 2026 after affecting slightly more than 30% of the ounces sold during the quarter, while the gold collar contracts end in December 2026. Management therefore expects operating cash flow to rise in the second half of fiscal year 2026 and to enter fiscal year 2027 without the constraints of these 2 instruments, provided gold prices remain at the levels assumed by management.

    What are the main Mali risks to Fekola Regional’s economics?

    The Menankoto permit was issued under Mali’s 2023 Mining Code framework after a process that took longer than the company’s initial estimates. Management expects a 30% corporate income tax rate for the regional project, along with a 2-percentage-point increase in the special tax compared with the main Fekola operation. It also expects a 35% government interest in Fekola Regional, compared with a priority interest of 20% in the main Fekola operation, implying a higher effective tax rate for the regional project after the final ownership structure is established.

  • −The valuation carries limited margin-of-safety risk relative to optimistic expectations, as the average analyst target is $6.17, below the 52-week range high of $6.29, while the target range extends from $5 to $7.5. This divergence reflects a fundamental difference in assessing the impact of Goose’s recovery and Fekola Regional’s execution versus production, tax, and free-cash-flow risks.