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Stocks
Bitdeer Technologies Group
BTDR

BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group

Bitdeer Technologies Group · NASDAQ
Market Closed
11.96
▲ ⁦+3.73%⁩ (+0.43)
Market Cap$2.8B
Beta2.51
52w Low52w High
6.9227.80
Last Week
⁦+11.36%⁩
Last Month
⁦+9.93%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-31.62%⁩
Last Year
⁦-11.73%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall7
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 3/9Better than 7% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
15
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
94
127.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
10
-13.0%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
24
7.5x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
7
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
42
-18.8%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
88
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$12
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$20
⁦+67%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$15–$23⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$19.60
⁦+63.9%⁩
Current Price $11.96·Median $20.00
Low
$15.00
High
$23.00
Current price
$11.96
Average target
$19.60
Street summary

Bitdeer (BTDR) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

Bitdeer stock saw an 8.41% downward adjustment in its average price target over the past 30 days, with the consensus falling from $21.4 to $19.6, coinciding with an increase in the number of analysts from 3 to 4. Despite this decline in the price target, qualitative ratings leaned positive; Cantor Fitzgerald upgraded its rating to (Overweight) on August 5, followed by Barclays initiating coverage of the stock with an (Overweight) rating on August 20, 2026.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-5.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.15
Buy
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
92%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
67%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
3
9
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.92 → 4.15
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-20
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Needham
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    22.50x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -71.1%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Weak
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    127.7%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    46.6%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    0.5%
    12.9%79.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    -13.0%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    7.46x
    0.26x3.22x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-10 data

Company Overview

Bitdeer Technologies Group operates through an interconnected ecosystem encompassing self-mining and joint Bitcoin mining, mining hosting, the design and manufacturing of SEALMINER machines, AI cloud computing, and leasing AI data center infrastructure. The company benefits from owning an approximately 3-gigawatt energy and infrastructure portfolio and manufacturing mining machines in-house, allowing it to allocate capacity and equipment to the highest-return uses; the Tydal contract with Volta also added long-term colocation leasing as a new pillar alongside mining, AI cloud, and ASIC manufacturing.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue reached $228.8 million, up 47% year over year and 21% quarter over quarter, driven by the expansion of self-mining and accelerating AI cloud growth. AI cloud contributed approximately $14 million, up 284% quarter over quarter, while Bitcoin production reached approximately 2,694 coins, up 377% year over year. By contrast, the company recorded a gross loss of $8.5 million and a negative gross margin of 3.7%, despite a $30.5 million improvement in gross profit compared with the previous quarter, while operating loss reached $101.7 million and loss per share was $0.37.

The annual financial statements show that revenue declined from $368.6 million in FY2023 to $349.8 million in FY2024, while gross profit fell from $77.8 million to $66.4 million. Net loss widened from $56.7 million in FY2023 to $599.2 million in FY2024, and loss per share reached $4.36. In Q2 FY2026, adjusted EBITDA reached $31.1 million, up 575% year over year and 116% quarter over quarter, highlighting an operational improvement that continues to be offset by net losses and high cash consumption.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 4, 2026, Bitdeer signed a 16-year lease and services agreement with Volta to deliver 121 megawatts of IT capacity in Tydal, Norway, with approximately $4.7 billion in contracted base revenue, a 3% annual escalation, and full pass-through of electricity costs to the tenant.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • AI cloud annual recurring revenue reached approximately $76 million by the end of June 2026, up 77% quarter over quarter, with approximately 95% utilization across 4,248 deployed GPU units; the business also contributed $14 million in revenue in Q2 FY2026.
  • On August 31, 2026, Bitdeer AI announced that the entire 9.5-megawatt capacity of the A102 center in Malaysia had been sold before its scheduled commissioning in the first quarter of 2027, with expected AI cloud computing revenue from the site exceeding $800 million.
  • The self-mining hash rate rose to approximately 73 exahashes per second by the end of Q2 FY2026, up 342% year over year, supported by approximately 243 thousand active machines; quarterly production reached 2,694 Bitcoin, representing 377% year-over-year growth.
  • The company launched SEALMINER A4 Ultra Hydro with chip-level efficiency of 9.45 joules per terahash and introduced SEALMINER DL1 Hydro as its first machine for the Scrypt algorithm, while the Sparks factory in Nevada, which began construction in July 2026, is targeting production capacity of 10 thousand units per month upon completion by the end of 2026.
  • Energy costs declined 15% quarter over quarter, and blended mining fleet efficiency improved to 15.8 joules per terahash in Q2 FY2026, contributing to a $30.5 million improvement in gross profit and an increase in adjusted EBITDA to $31.1 million.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The Tydal contract provides the company with a long-term revenue base of approximately $4.7 billion over 16 years, with electricity cost pass-through and a 3% annual escalation, while an eight-year extension option could raise the potential value to approximately $8 billion over 24 years if exercised.
    • +Simultaneous growth in AI cloud and mining provides more than one revenue driver; cloud annual recurring revenue rose to $76 million and utilization reached 95%, while Bitcoin production grew 377% year over year in Q2 FY2026.
    • +Vertical integration through SEALMINER supports mining economics, as the company does not bear the margins of external equipment suppliers when deploying its machines internally and can allocate production among self-mining, joint mining, and hosting according to available returns.
    • +The company ended Q2 FY2026 with approximately $496 million in cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash, up from $298 million at the end of the previous quarter, while insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 14, 2026, recorded two purchases, no sales, and a net amount of approximately $447 thousand.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Underlying profitability remains weak; Q2 FY2026 recorded a negative gross margin of 3.7%, an operating loss of $101.7 million, and a loss per share of $0.37, while the net loss in FY2024 reached approximately $599.2 million.
    • −Operations used approximately $158.5 million in cash in Q2 FY2026, and long-term debt reached approximately $1.8 billion, while the Tydal project requires approximately $500 million in remaining capital expenditures before completion of the two targeted delivery phases on December 31, 2026, and March 31, 2027.
    • −A significant part of the AI thesis depends on executing the Tydal contract with a single customer, Volta, and the agreement gives the tenant the right to terminate at the end of the tenth year; although the obligations are expected to be supported by an institutional credit structure, management described this support as expected, and construction had not been completed as of August 10, 2026.
    • −The company raised $457 million through its at-the-market equity issuance program during Q2 FY2026, then made up to an additional $1 billion available under the program on August 10, 2026; news published on August 11, 2026, estimated that the new financing could dilute existing shareholders' stakes by as much as 30%.
    • −Management raised its FY2026 capital expenditure guidance for cryptocurrency mining infrastructure to a range of $200 million to $280 million, excluding the costs of SEALMINER machines, GPU units, AI cloud, and colocation leasing development, and also expected the run rate of general and administrative expenses to increase in the second half of FY2026.
    • −The Clarington site faces ongoing legal exposure; during the August 10, 2026, call, management explained that the court had denied the company's motion to dismiss the lawsuit and that the case had moved into discovery, while Bitdeer maintained that the lawsuit was without merit.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus for BTDR stock is a “Buy” rating, with an average price target of $19.6 and a range of $15 to $23. The average target and the highest target are below the 52-week range high of $27.8, while both remain clearly above the range low of $6.916, reflecting a wide potential repricing range tied to execution of the AI strategy. No meaningful price-to-earnings multiple is available because of the losses, so the value of the Tydal and Malaysia contracts and cloud growth should be weighed against operating losses, debt, and the possibility of ownership dilution through equity issuances.

    BuyAnalyst target: $19.6(+63.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Bitdeer's growth in Q2 FY2026?

    Q2 FY2026 revenue reached approximately $228.8 million, up 47% year over year and 21% quarter over quarter. Growth came primarily from the increase in the self-mining hash rate to 73 exahashes per second and the rise in Bitcoin production to 2,694 coins. AI cloud's contribution also increased to $14 million, up 284% compared with the previous quarter. The business's annual recurring revenue reached $76 million by the end of June 2026.

    Why is the Tydal contract important for BTDR stock?

    On August 4, 2026, Bitdeer signed a 16-year contract with Volta to provide 121 megawatts of IT capacity in Tydal, Norway. The company expects approximately $4.7 billion in contracted base revenue, with a 3% annual escalation and full reimbursement of electricity costs. An eight-year extension option could raise the potential value to approximately $8 billion over 24 years, but the tenant has the right to terminate at the end of the tenth year. The company is targeting delivery of the first phase on December 31, 2026, and the second on March 31, 2027, with approximately $500 million in remaining capital expenditures.

    How is Bitdeer expanding in AI cloud computing?

    AI cloud utilization reached approximately 95% across 4,248 deployed GPU units by the end of June 2026. The company signed a ten-year contract to lease 21.7 megawatts of IT capacity in Malaysia, with expected delivery in the first quarter of 2027 and a design supporting 128 NVIDIA GV300 NVL72 systems. On August 31, 2026, Bitdeer AI announced that the entire 9.5-megawatt capacity of the A102 center in Malaysia had been sold before its scheduled commissioning in the first quarter of 2027. The company expects AI cloud computing revenue from A102 to exceed $800 million.

    Has Bitdeer's Bitcoin mining business improved?

    The self-mining hash rate reached approximately 73 exahashes per second by the end of Q2 FY2026, up 342% year over year, with approximately 243 thousand active machines. The company produced 783 Bitcoin in April, 921 in May, and 990 in June 2026, bringing total Q2 production to 2,694 coins. Blended fleet efficiency also improved to 15.8 joules per terahash, and energy costs declined 15% quarter over quarter. Nevertheless, hash price pressure and depreciation associated with fleet expansion continued to affect the negative gross margin of 3.7%.

    What is SEALMINER's impact on Bitdeer's business model?

    Bitdeer uses its in-house SEALMINER manufacturing capability to avoid external equipment suppliers' margins when expanding its own fleet. SEALMINER A4 Ultra Hydro operates at chip-level efficiency of 9.45 joules per terahash, while SEALMINER DL1 Hydro expands the product line into Scrypt algorithm mining. In July 2026, the company began construction of a 187 thousand-square-foot factory in Sparks, Nevada. Upon completion by the end of 2026, the facility is targeting production of 10 thousand units per month and the creation of approximately 70 local jobs.

    What are the main financing and dilution risks facing BTDR shareholders?

    Long-term debt reached approximately $1.8 billion at the end of Q2 FY2026, despite declining by $78 million from the previous quarter. The company raised $457 million through its at-the-market equity issuance program during the quarter, helping increase cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash to $496 million. On August 10, 2026, the company made up to an additional $1 billion available under the issuance program, and news reports on August 11, 2026, estimated potential dilution of existing shareholders' stakes by up to 30%. Management says it prefers to finance projects with non-dilutive debt when supported by contracted cash flows, but it has not ruled out the use of equity.