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Stocks
Brixmor Property Group Inc.
BRX

BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc.

Brixmor Property Group Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
28.73
▼ ⁦-0.21%⁩ (-0.06)
Market Cap$8.8B
Beta0.97
52w Low52w High
24.6632.86
Last Week
⁦-1.81%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.08%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-6.63%⁩
Last Year
⁦+4.13%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall55
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9Better than 55% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
44
20.7x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
42
5.9%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
80
6.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
42
4.7x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
52
4.21%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
57
13.3%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
45
6▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$29
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$34
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$33–$40⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$15
⁦-48%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.6⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$15–$34⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$35.43
⁦+23.3%⁩
Current Price $28.73·Median $34.00
Low
$33.00
High
$40.00
Current price
$28.73
Average target
$35.43
Street summary

Brixmor (BRX) Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

Brixmor Property Group (BRX) stock has seen an improvement in analyst outlook over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 3.78% to reach $35.43. This adjustment reflects growing optimism, especially since the current stock price ($29.81) is trading below the lowest price target set by analysts ($33), indicating strong upside potential from an analytical perspective.

As of 2026-08-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
83%
High
Target dispersion
24%
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
3
12
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-21
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-09
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    20.67x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    26.71x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.86x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.2%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.9%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    26.4%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    60.2%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    6.3%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.74x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.2%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    86.2%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Brixmor Property Group Inc. is a real estate company focused on open-air shopping centers that are predominantly grocery-anchored, generating its income by leasing space to retailers, restaurants, service providers, and health and wellness businesses. Its growth depends on raising rents when leases are signed and renewed, increasing occupancy, developing underutilized land and space, reinvesting capital in existing assets, and selectively acquiring centers where the tenant mix can be improved or density increased.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $353.9 million, compared with $339.4 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2025, representing growth of approximately 4.3%. Net income was $73.5 million and earnings per share were $0.24, compared with net income of $85.1 million and earnings per share of $0.28 a year earlier; accordingly, net income declined by approximately 13.6%, and the calculated net income margin fell from approximately 25.1% to approximately 20.8%. The company also reported $0.58 in funds from operations per share, while same-property net operating income grew 5.8%, including a 440-basis-point contribution from base rent.

Total leased occupancy was 94.8% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, while small-shop occupancy reached a record 92.6%. The company executed new and renewal leases covering 1.4 million square feet, with a combined cash rent spread of 19%, including 31% on new leases and 16% on renewals, and attracted brands such as Trader Joe's, Ross Dress for Less, Barnes & Noble, Sierra, and HomeSense. This mix reflects operating growth driven by grocery stores, anchor tenants, small shops, restaurants, services, and health and wellness businesses, with no separate revenue disclosure for each category in the available data.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its fiscal year 2026 guidance to same-property net operating income growth of between 5% and 5.75%, and funds from operations of between $2.35 and $2.37 per share, supported by strong demand for space and an improved forecast for uncollectible revenue of 60–85 basis points of total revenue.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Signed annual base rent not yet commenced reached a record $71 million; the company expects $29 million of it to commence in the second half of fiscal year 2026 and approximately $37 million in fiscal year 2027, with a significant portion of the pipeline extending into fiscal year 2027 and beyond.
  • The company ended Q2 of fiscal year 2026 with approximately $350 million of active reinvestment projects at an expected incremental return of 10%, and a future pipeline exceeding $700 million. It added eight active projects and four outparcel development projects during the quarter, bringing the number of outparcel projects added in the first half to ten, with an average incremental return of 16%.
  • The cash rent spread on new leases reached 31% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 and remained above 30% for three years, while the renewal spread was 16% and remained in the mid-teens range over the same period. Embedded rent growth in new and renewed leases also reached a record 2.8%, compared with approximately 1.6% in the existing portfolio.
  • Brixmor completed four strategic acquisitions valued at $164 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, including Mayfair Shopping Center, Jones Crossing, Vintage Marketplace, and Stanford Station, at a combined capitalization rate in the low-6% range. Mayfair and Jones Crossing were immediately added to the future redevelopment pipeline, and management said the Mayfair acquisition was accretive to earnings from day one.
  • Financial flexibility improved, with $1.5 billion in liquidity, leverage of 5.3 times, and no significant maturities until March 2027. The company repaid a $600 million maturity and issued $400 million of senior notes at an effective yield of approximately 5.22%, while S&P revised its outlook to positive.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +The $71 million annual pipeline of signed rents not yet commenced provides tangible visibility into income growth, particularly with $29 million expected to commence in the second half of fiscal year 2026 and approximately $37 million in fiscal year 2027.
    • +Pricing strength supports portfolio growth; new lease spreads reached 31%, renewal spreads reached 16%, and embedded rent growth hit a record 2.8%. The company also re-leased at least six of eight recaptured anchor spaces at spreads exceeding 40%, with the income expected to commence in fiscal year 2027.
    • +The reinvestment pipeline represents a high-return internal source of growth, with approximately $350 million of active projects at an expected incremental return of 10% and more than $700 million of future opportunities. Outparcel projects add another dimension to growth, after the ten projects added in the first half achieved an average incremental return of 16%.
    • +The company combines same-property net operating income growth of 5.8% with a tenant base that management described as the strongest in its history, alongside small-shop move-outs falling to record-low levels and tenant retention rising 300 basis points from the comparable period of fiscal year 2025.
    • +Liquidity of $1.5 billion and leverage of 5.3 times support the company's ability to fund redevelopment and disciplined acquisitions, with no significant maturities until March 2027 and a positive outlook from S&P.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Net income in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 declined to $73.5 million from $85.1 million in the comparable quarter, despite revenue growth of approximately 4.3% to $353.9 million. Earnings per share fell to $0.24 from $0.28, while the calculated net income margin declined to approximately 20.8% from approximately 25.1%.
    • −Total leased occupancy declined 30 basis points sequentially to 94.8% because of proactive vacancies at redevelopment assets and the recapture of space from Rent the Runway and Painted Tree. The company expects occupancy to return to a growth trajectory in the second half of fiscal year 2026, but some income from spaces re-leased at spreads above 40% will not commence until fiscal year 2027.
    • −Space recaptures affected near-term earnings, as the company recorded a cost of approximately $3 million related to the reversal of straight-line rental revenue, partially limiting growth in funds from operations. Guidance for the second half of fiscal year 2026 also implies a slowdown in same-property net operating income growth because of a difficult comparison with strong supplemental and other revenue in Q4 of fiscal year 2025.
    • −The pace of acquisitions may remain volatile; management said it evaluates transactions on a case-by-case basis and does not depend on them to achieve growth. It also noted the entry of new private capital into the open-air shopping center sector, increasing competition for assets, even though it believes competitors' focus on lower-return core opportunities differs from its redevelopment and densification strategy.
    • −Some new acquisitions require three or four years before redevelopment-related rent growth emerges, including densification opportunities in College Station and Long Island. This creates a time gap between capital expenditure and realization of the full return, while the company may continue to bear financing and execution costs during that period.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $35.43, within a range of $33 to $40, and the stock has a Buy consensus; the average also exceeds the upper end of the 52-week range of $32.86 by approximately 7.8%, while the highest target is approximately 21.7% above it. No price-to-earnings multiple is available in the data, so the stock's valuation is based on analyst targets and the 52-week range of $24.66–$32.86, balancing net operating income growth and the rent pipeline against the decline in net income and earnings per share in Q2 of fiscal year 2026.

    BuyAnalyst target: $35.43(+23.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What were BRX's key results in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Brixmor's revenue reached approximately $353.9 million, up approximately 4.3% from $339.4 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2025. Net income was $73.5 million and earnings per share were $0.24, compared with $85.1 million and $0.28, respectively, a year earlier. The company reported funds from operations of $0.58 per share, while same-property net operating income grew 5.8%. Total leased occupancy was 94.8%, and small-shop occupancy reached a record 92.6%.

    What supports BRX's growth beyond fiscal year 2026?

    Signed annual base rent not yet commenced reached a record $71 million on July 28, 2026. The company expects $29 million of rent to commence in the second half of fiscal year 2026 and approximately $37 million in fiscal year 2027, with an additional six months of leasing activity remaining when the results were released. It also has approximately $350 million of active reinvestment projects at an expected incremental return of 10% and a future pipeline exceeding $700 million. Management confirmed that a significant portion of signed rents will commence in fiscal year 2027 and beyond.

    Can Brixmor still raise rents?

    The company executed new and renewal leases covering 1.4 million square feet in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, with a combined cash rent spread of 19%. New lease spreads reached 31% and renewal spreads reached 16%, while embedded rent growth hit a record 2.8%. Management explained that average base rent increased from $12 to more than $19, but the company is signing new leases in the mid-$20s range, while anchor-tenant leases expiring within three years at approximately $11 are being signed near $18. At least six of eight recaptured anchor spaces were also re-leased at spreads exceeding 40%.

    How does BRX deploy capital in redevelopment and acquisitions?

    Brixmor prioritizes reinvestment in its assets and ended Q2 of fiscal year 2026 with approximately $350 million of active projects and an expected incremental return of 10%. It added eight projects to the active pipeline, including Morris Hills, Southtown, and Market Plaza, alongside four new outparcel projects. It also completed four acquisitions valued at $164 million, including Mayfair Shopping Center, Jones Crossing, Vintage Marketplace, and Stanford Station, at a combined capitalization rate in the low-6% range. Mayfair and Jones Crossing were added to the redevelopment pipeline, while management expects rent growth associated with some of these assets to commence within three to four years.

    What are the main risks of investing in BRX based on its Q2 fiscal year 2026 results?

    Net income declined approximately 13.6% year over year to $73.5 million, and earnings per share fell to $0.24 despite revenue growth. Total leased occupancy also declined 30 basis points sequentially to 94.8%, and the company recorded a cost of approximately $3 million from reversing straight-line rental revenue related to recaptured spaces. Some re-leasing and redevelopment income will not commence until fiscal year 2027, and some acquisitions require three or four years to deliver the targeted rent growth. In addition, the company faces increasing competition from private capital for open-air retail assets, and insiders recorded net sales of 267,300 shares during the three months through August 12, 2026, although those sales may have been prearranged.

    What do BRX's guidance and analyst consensus indicate?

    Management raised its fiscal year 2026 guidance to same-property net operating income growth of between 5% and 5.75%, and funds from operations of between $2.35 and $2.37 per share. The increase is based on operating strength and an improved forecast for uncollectible revenue of 60–85 basis points of total revenue. The stock has a Buy consensus, with an average target of $35.43, a low target of $33, and a high target of $40. The average target is above the top of the 52-week range of $32.86, but the absence of a disclosed price-to-earnings multiple makes the valuation more dependent on the execution of rent growth and redevelopment. compelling to sustainable revenue.

  • −Net insider activity during the three months ended with the transaction recorded on August 12, 2026 was the sale of 267,300 shares, with one sale and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available data contain no evidence to the contrary.