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Box, Inc.
BOX

BOX Box, Inc.

Box, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
33.75
▼ ⁦-1.08%⁩ (-0.37)
Market Cap$4.7B
Beta1.41
52w Low52w High
21.3436.34
Last Week
⁦-2.43%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.53%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+25.19%⁩
Last Year
⁦+3.97%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
34
48.2x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
50
15.9%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
98
39.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
69
0.5x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
86
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
84
2.2%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
41
7▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$34
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$37
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$26–$50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$36
⁦+5%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦10.7⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$36–$37⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$37.25
⁦+10.4%⁩
Current Price $33.75·Median $36.50
Low
$26.00
High
$50.00
Current price
$33.75
Average target
$37.25
Street summary

Prior improvement with narrowing coverage

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 29 to 37.25, an increase of 28.45%, but remained unchanged over the last 7 days and the last day. The current price is 35.19, approximately 5.9% below consensus, while the range is between 26 and 50, reflecting clear variation in estimates; the median at 36.5 is also slightly below consensus at 37.25.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+28.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.30
Hold
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
40%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
71%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
1
3
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.36 → 3.30
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    RBC Capital
    Underperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    Bank of America Securities
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    48.21x
    6.87x54.92x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    19.69x
    5.19x41.53x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    29.37x
    4.52x36.15x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    8.5%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.9%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -48.5%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    79.5%
    12.9%79.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    39.8%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.50x
    0.26x3.22x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.59
    -10.9113.66
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-25 data

Company Overview

Box provides a platform for managing, storing, securing, and connecting unstructured enterprise content to workflows, including contracts, records, research files, and operational documents. Its revenue model relies on seat licenses and enterprise plans such as Enterprise Advanced, alongside Box AI units and platform API usage; customers on integrated plans accounted for 69% of revenue in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, up from 63% a year earlier.

Revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2027 was approximately $321 million, up 9% year over year and 11% in constant currency. Adjusted operating profit was $95 million, with an operating margin of 29.4% and year-over-year expansion of 90 basis points, while adjusted gross margin was 81.2% and adjusted earnings per share were $0.40, exceeding the company's guidance of $0.39.

Forward revenue indicators showed stronger momentum than reported revenue growth; billings rose 17% to $310 million, and remaining performance obligations increased 15% to $1.7 billion, with Box expecting to recognize approximately 55% of them during the twelve months following the end of the quarter. Net retention also improved to 106% from 103% a year earlier, while the annual customer churn rate remained at 3% and the number of customers paying at least $100,000 annually grew by 10%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Box raised its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance by $10 million to approximately $1.29 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 10% and 11% in constant currency, driven by demand for Box AI and adoption of Enterprise Advanced.
  • Enterprise Advanced has become a driver of seat and pricing expansion; the 106% net retention rate exceeded the company's expectation of 105%, and management stated that retention among customers on this plan exceeded the company's overall rate.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Box recorded 17% growth in billings and 15% growth in remaining performance obligations in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, with short-term obligations growing 11% and 14% in constant currency, providing contractual visibility into future revenue.
  • Deals included a major federal agency quadrupling its seat count to use Enterprise Advanced and Claude-powered contract management solutions, while an insurance organization adopted the plan with Shield Pro and additional AI units to modernize more than 100 terabytes of content.
  • Box expanded its technology ecosystem through MCP integrations with Claude, Databricks, Harvey, Slackbot, and Watsonx Orchestrate, along with tools that enable multi-step operations within Box under existing permissions; the company aims to monetize this usage through AI units and platform API usage volume.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Box combines accelerating growth with operating discipline; in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, it achieved constant-currency growth of 11%, an adjusted operating margin of 29.4%, and free cash flow of $60 million, up 67% year over year.
    • +The migration of customers to Enterprise Advanced provides a clear path to increasing revenue from the same customer, as the share of integrated plans rose to 69% of revenue and net retention improved by three percentage points to 106%.
    • +Box's model-neutral approach strengthens its position as a governance layer for content used with Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Copilot, and Salesforce Agentforce, while features such as agent guardrails, prompt injection detection, and access policies add a security layer that is difficult to separate from enterprise workflows.
    • +Share repurchases support shareholder returns; Box repurchased 2.6 million shares for approximately $66 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, and had $378 million of repurchase capacity remaining as of July 31, 2026, with the weighted average diluted share count expected to decline to 141 million from 149 million in the previous year.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The expansion of Box AI usage and compute-intensive agent workloads is putting pressure on hosting economics; the company expects adjusted gross margin to decline from 81.2% in the second quarter to approximately 80.5% in the third quarter of fiscal 2027 and approximately 80% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2027.
    • −Limited access to certain components of public cloud providers' infrastructure is preventing Box from implementing efficiency projects at the level it expected at the beginning of fiscal 2027, and the improvement of these constraints is not tied to a specific timeline in the available information.
    • −Management expects billings growth to slow from 17% in the second quarter to approximately 9% in the third quarter of fiscal 2027; although billings were described as volatile, this decline increases the importance of sustained strength in bookings and net retention to demonstrate that the slowdown is seasonal rather than operational.
    • −Currency fluctuations affect profitability and reported growth; the second-quarter fiscal 2027 margin absorbed a negative impact of 100 basis points, and the fiscal 2027 outlook includes a negative impact of 80 basis points on operating margin, $0.09 on earnings per share, and approximately 150 basis points on billings growth.
    • −The analyst-based valuation shows significant dispersion; the average target of $37.25 exceeds the 52-week high of $36.16, while targets range from $26 to $50, revealing substantial disagreement over the value of AI momentum and the sustainability of margins.
    • −During the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 7, 2026, insiders recorded net sales of $2.2 million through 11 sales and no purchases; this is a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless the available information states otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus rates BOX as a “Buy,” with an average price target of $37.25 and a wide range of $26 to $50. The average target exceeds the 52-week high of $36.16, reflecting a positive assessment of the momentum in Enterprise Advanced and Box AI. Conversely, the low target of $26 and the wide gap between the ends of the range indicate meaningful concerns about declining gross margin, the expected slowdown in billings, and the costs of AI workloads.

    BuyAnalyst target: $37.25(+10.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove BOX's results in the second quarter of fiscal 2027?

    Revenue reached $321 million, up 9% year over year and 11% in constant currency, while adjusted earnings per share reached $0.40 versus guidance of $0.39. Billings rose 17% to $310 million, and remaining performance obligations grew 15% to $1.7 billion. Management attributed the performance to record bookings for the quarter, adoption of Enterprise Advanced, and increased use of Box AI.

    How does Box generate additional revenue from AI?

    Box sells additional AI units and aims to monetize platform API usage volume, alongside upgrading customers to Enterprise Advanced. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027, customers on integrated plans accounted for 69% of revenue, compared with 63% a year earlier. Management said consumption of AI units is growing from a low base and that most activity comes from existing customers but is driving larger expansion deals.

    Why is the 106% net retention rate important for BOX shares?

    The rate means that spending by the existing customer base increased overall after accounting for expansion, contraction, and customer churn. The rate reached 106% in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, exceeding guidance of 105% and rising from 103% a year earlier, while the annual customer churn rate remained at 3%. Box identified seat expansion, higher pricing per seat, and the strength of Enterprise Advanced as the main drivers, and expects to end fiscal 2027 at 106%.

    What is Box's guidance for fiscal 2027?

    Box expects revenue of approximately $1.29 billion in fiscal 2027, after raising guidance by $10 million, equivalent to year-over-year growth of 10% and 11% in constant currency. It expects an adjusted gross margin of approximately 80.5%, an adjusted operating margin of approximately 28%, and adjusted earnings per share of approximately $1.54. For the third quarter of fiscal 2027, the company expects revenue of approximately $329 million and adjusted earnings per share of $0.39.

    What are the main AI- and cloud infrastructure-related risks for BOX?

    Long-running agent workloads and the processing of millions of documents increase token consumption and computing capacity requirements, raising customer cost sensitivity and putting pressure on the cost of delivering the service. Box also said that limitations in certain components of public cloud providers' infrastructure affected expected efficiency projects during fiscal 2027. This is reflected in the expected decline in adjusted gross margin from 81.2% in the second quarter to approximately 80.5% in the third quarter and approximately 80% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2027.

    How does Box use share repurchases within its capital allocation strategy?

    Box repurchased 2.6 million shares for approximately $66 million during the second quarter of fiscal 2027. As of July 31, 2026, approximately $378 million remained available under the existing repurchase program. The company expects a weighted average diluted share count of 141 million in fiscal 2027, compared with 149 million shares in the previous year.