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Home
Stocks
The Bank of Nova Scotia
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall95
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 95% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
74
11.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
71
51.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
67
——Top tier
▸
Safety
10
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
87
3.30%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
98
39.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
96
8▲3Top tier
BNS

BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia

The Bank of Nova Scotia · NYSE
Market Closed
93.45
▲ ⁦+0.66%⁩ (+0.61)
Market Cap$113.9B
Beta1.21
52w Low52w High
62.9895.34
Last Week
⁦-1.55%⁩
Last Month
⁦+3.45%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+13.01%⁩
Last Year
⁦+46.29%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$93
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$73
⁦-22%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$67–$76⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$109
⁦+17%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦9.7⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$73–$109⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$72.15
⁦-22.8%⁩
Current Price $93.45·Median $73.00
Low
$67.00
High
$75.60
Current price
$93.45
Average target
$72.15
Street summary

Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) Price Target Analysis

Data shows complete stability in the average price target at 72.15 over the past thirty days, with a narrow range between 67 and 75.6. A clear price gap is noted, as the stock is currently trading at 94.92, a level significantly exceeding the highest available estimates (75.6), indicating a major divergence between the stock's market performance and analysts' price expectations, which have not yet seen an upward revision.

As of 2026-09-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.43
Hold
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
36%
Rating activity · 30d
3↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
9%
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
3
2
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.43
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-26
    Scotiabank
    OutperformPositive
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-25
    TD Securities
    HoldBuy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.44x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    51.2%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    47.9%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    3.3%
    0.6%9.0%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    56.2%
    9.8%97.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-25 data

Company Overview

The Bank of Nova Scotia, known as Scotiabank and ticker BNS, operates through four main engines: Canadian Banking, Global Wealth Management, Global Banking and Markets, and International Banking. The bank generates income from net interest on loans and deposits, fees from mutual funds, cards, insurance, and brokerage, as well as trading, underwriting, advisory services, and capital markets. In the latest available EDGAR data for quarter 1 of fiscal 2026, revenue was $9.6 billion, net income was $2.3 billion, and earnings per share were $1.73, compared with revenue of $37.7 billion and net income of $7.8 billion in fiscal 2025.

The quarter 3 fiscal 2026 call showed record performance, with quarterly adjusted earnings of $3 billion and diluted earnings per share of $2.28, up 21% year over year and above analysts' estimate of $2.10. Adjusted revenue, excluding the impact of divestitures, grew 16%, with net interest income up 12% and non-interest income up 21%; net interest margin also expanded 18 basis points year over year and remained stable quarter over quarter. Return on equity was 14.2%, while the productivity ratio improved 90 basis points to 52.5%, and the bank delivered positive operating leverage for the tenth consecutive quarter.

The earnings mix was broad-based in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026: Canadian Banking generated $1.1 billion, up 12%; Global Wealth Management generated $515 million, up 23%; Global Banking and Markets generated $647 million, up 37%; and International Banking generated $725 million, up 6%. Global Banking and Markets recorded revenue growth of 32%, while Wealth Management revenue grew 18% and International Banking revenue grew 7% on a constant-currency basis and excluding divested operations. The bank ended the quarter with a CET1 capital ratio of 13.1% after repurchasing 8.6 million shares, while capital returned to shareholders through dividends and repurchases totaled $8.3 billion during the twelve months ended quarter 3 of fiscal 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The earnings beat was the clearest driver in the August 25, 2026 results; adjusted earnings per share were $2.28 versus expectations of $2.10, and return on equity rose 170 basis points year over year to 14.2%, exceeding the bank's medium-term target of 14% or higher ahead of management's expected timeline.
  • Capital markets activity drove the earnings acceleration, as Global Banking and Markets revenue rose 32% and earnings increased 37% in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026, with capital markets revenue up 33% and corporate banking revenue up 30%. Transactions executed by the bank included participation in the two largest debt capital markets deals in Canada, the largest Canadian initial public offering since 2021, and the largest asset-backed securities transaction since the establishment of its structured credit platform.
  • The Canadian Banking mix is improving toward higher-yielding products; mid-market and small-business loans rose 3% quarter over quarter and 10% year over year, credit card balances increased 3% quarter over quarter, and premium cards accounted for 45% of new acquisitions versus 35% a year earlier. The segment's margin also expanded for the fifth consecutive quarter, and its return on equity rose to 19.4% in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026.
  • Wealth Management recorded third-quarter record quarterly net flows of $3 billion, up 14% from quarter 3 of fiscal 2025, marking eight consecutive quarters of positive flows. Net retail mutual fund sales exceeded $4 billion since the start of fiscal 2026, about 2.5 times their level a year earlier, while assets under management rose 16% and assets under administration increased 13%.
  • Operating efficiency supports earnings growth, as pre-tax, pre-provision profit grew 18% despite expenses rising 14% year over year and technology spending increasing 16% to $1.5 billion in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026. In Canadian Banking, direct costs remained flat year over year despite the addition of more than 500 sales employees, and digital sales reached 44% of total sales.
  • The bank expanded its institutional use of artificial intelligence during quarter 3 of fiscal 2026 by adding new capabilities to the Scotia Intelligence platform and launching Scotia Intelligence Knowledge Agents to accelerate access to institutional information and routine processes. Scotiabank also joined Lightworks, Sun Life, and TELUS in launching AI Consortium to build governance systems that help regulated Canadian institutions deploy artificial intelligence safely.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Operating momentum supports the case for continued improvement in returns, as return on equity reached 14.2% for the bank and 19.4% in Canadian Banking in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026. Management said the 14% level is not a ceiling, citing an improved business mix, fee growth, and productivity gains.
  • +Diversified earnings sources provide better protection than reliance on a single activity; earnings grew 12% in Canadian Banking, 23% in Wealth Management, 37% in Global Banking and Markets, and 6% in International Banking in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026. Average loans also rose 4% and deposits increased 5% bank-wide year over year.
  • +Credit indicators improved quarter over quarter, as total provisions for credit losses declined 10 basis points to 56 basis points, and impaired provisions fell 9 basis points to 52 basis points. In Canadian Banking, the ratio declined 8 basis points to 42 basis points, and in International Banking it fell 28 basis points to 138 basis points.
  • +The 13.1% CET1 ratio gives the bank capacity to fund organic growth and repurchase shares; it repurchased 8.6 million shares in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026. Management prioritizes organic growth in capital allocation, followed by share repurchases and small, targeted tuck-in acquisitions.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $72.15, within a range of $67 to $75.596, with a consensus rating of Buy. The average is approximately 18% above the 52-week range low of $61.06, but approximately 23% below the high of $93.435; this gap reflects a combination of optimism about improving return on equity and caution regarding the repeatability of the capital markets surge and international credit risks.

BuyAnalyst target: $72.15(-22.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove BNS stock results in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026?

Adjusted earnings per share were $2.28 on August 25, 2026, exceeding analysts' estimate of $2.10 and rising 21% year over year. Adjusted revenue grew 16%, net interest income rose 12%, and non-interest income increased 21%. Global Banking and Markets performance was pivotal, with revenue up 32% and earnings rising 37% to $647 million.

Has Scotiabank's return on equity improved?

Return on equity reached 14.2% in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026, up 170 basis points year over year. The bank thereby exceeded its medium-term target of 14% or higher ahead of management's expected timeline. In Canadian Banking, return on equity reached 19.4% after a quarter-over-quarter improvement of 160 basis points, and management aims to support it through non-mortgage lending, low-cost deposits, fees, and productivity.

How important is Wealth Management to BNS profitability?

Global Wealth Management generated earnings of $515 million in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026, up 23% year over year, while its revenue increased 18%. Net flows were $3 billion, a third-quarter record, and the segment recorded eight consecutive quarters of positive flows. Assets under management also rose 16%, assets under administration increased 13%, and net retail mutual fund sales exceeded $4 billion since the start of fiscal 2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Credit risk remains material despite the quarter-over-quarter improvement, as provisions for credit losses were $1.1 billion, or 56 basis points, and the allowance for credit losses rose to $7.6 billion, or 97 basis points, in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026. Gross impaired loans also increased 1 basis point to 100 basis points, and management noted that mortgage delinquencies remained elevated, along with some weakness in mortgages in Chile and the Caribbean.
  • −The record level of capital markets revenue may be difficult to repeat, as management described the business as difficult to predict and sensitive to the degree of market volatility. Management explained that a rise in the VIX to above 50 could pressure equity and debt capital markets businesses, making the 37% earnings growth in Global Banking and Markets in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026 vulnerable to a pullback in a less favorable environment.
  • −Some International Banking indicators remain weaker than the overall picture; total loans declined 1% year over year, with non-retail loans down 7%, while net interest margin contracted 7 basis points quarter over quarter to 469 basis points in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026. Segment provisions were $522 million, or 138 basis points, including an additional provision of $57 million for a corporate account in Brazil.
  • −The migration of international portfolios to the advanced internal ratings-based approach in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026 is expected to reduce capital ratios by approximately 15 basis points and increase the denominator used to calculate International Banking's return on equity. Management expects to absorb the impact and maintain the CET1 ratio near 13%, but this partially limits near-term improvement in the segment's return.
  • −The regulatory and economic environment adds specific burdens, as the four-percentage-point reduction in Chile's tax rate over three years will result in a one-time write-off of a deferred tax asset when the legislation is enacted in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026. Management is also monitoring risks from tariffs, geopolitical tensions, higher energy costs, and inflation, although the latest tariff measures it discussed represent less than 1% of the bank's total loans.
  • −Valuation poses a risk if investors assume record earnings will continue; the average analyst target of $72.15 is approximately 23% below the 52-week range high of $93.435. The highest target of $75.596 also remains below that high, suggesting that the Buy consensus does not necessarily assume a return to the upper end of the previous range.
What is the state of Scotiabank's credit quality and provisions?

Total provisions for credit losses were $1.1 billion, or 56 basis points, in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026, down 10 basis points quarter over quarter. Impaired provisions declined to 52 basis points, but gross impaired loans increased 1 basis point to 100 basis points, and the allowance for credit losses reached $7.6 billion. The bank continued to monitor mortgage delinquencies, while the retail portfolio's average FICO score was 798.

How does BNS allocate its capital to shareholders and growth?

The bank ended quarter 3 of fiscal 2026 with a CET1 ratio of 13.1%, after using capital for organic growth and repurchasing 8.6 million shares. The total returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases was $8.3 billion during the twelve months ended that quarter. Management ranks organic growth first, followed by share repurchases and then small tuck-in acquisitions that address a specific need, while expecting CET1 to remain near 13% in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026.

What are the main risks in BNS International Banking?

International Banking generated earnings of $725 million in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026, up 6%, but its total loans declined 1% year over year due to a 7% decrease in non-retail loans. The provision for credit losses ratio was 138 basis points, and the quarter included an additional provision of $57 million for a corporate account in Brazil. The transition to the advanced internal ratings-based approach will also reduce capital by approximately 15 basis points in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026, and the Chilean tax change, once enacted, will result in a one-time write-off of a deferred tax asset.