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Stocks
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
BNL

BNL Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.

Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
20.42
▼ ⁦-0.54%⁩ (-0.11)
Market Cap$3.9B
Beta0.95
52w Low52w High
17.1623.10
Last Week
⁦-2.16%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.08%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+2.82%⁩
Last Year
⁦+10.68%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall67
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 5/9Better than 67% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
36
26.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
52
7.7%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
61
4.4%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
44
6.2x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
51
5.71%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
71
11.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
89
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$20
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$24
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$22–$26⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$8.89
⁦-56%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.6⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$8.89–$24⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$24.17
⁦+18.4%⁩
Current Price $20.42·Median $24.00
Low
$22.00
High
$26.00
Current price
$20.42
Average target
$24.17
Street summary

Target Prices Steady as Analyst Coverage Declines

The consensus price target has not changed over the past 30 days, remaining at 23.57, while the range also stayed between 20 and 26 and the median at 24, compared with a current price of 20.96. However, the number of analysts fell from 3 to 2, reducing the consensus base and making the dispersion reading less robust, despite the average targets remaining above the current price.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.73
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦11 (-1)⁩
Buy conviction
64%
Mixed
Target dispersion
20%
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
1
6
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.91 → 3.73
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-01
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-10
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    26.87x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    25.22x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.57x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    6.6%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.7%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    49.0%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    43.4%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    4.4%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.20x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    5.7%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    150.4%
    31.2%370.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Broadstone Net Lease is a real estate company that generates revenue primarily by leasing a portfolio of properties under long-term contracts, with an increasing focus on build-to-suit projects and recycling capital from mature or non-core assets. At the end of Q2 fiscal year 2026, 765 of 766 properties were subject to lease agreements, base rent collection was 99.9%, and same-property rental revenue increased 2.2% year over year, led by 3.3% growth in the industrial portfolio.

In Q2 fiscal year 2026, revenue was $122.3 million, net income was $39.8 million, and earnings per share were $0.21, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 32.5%. Adjusted funds from operations, AFFO, were approximately $78.2 million, or $0.39 per share, an increase of 2.6% from Q2 fiscal year 2025; results benefited from same-property rent growth and the commencement of stabilization for recent build-to-suit projects.

Revenue for the twelve-month period ended in 2026 was approximately $476.2 million, net income was $145.8 million, and earnings per share were approximately $0.73, compared with revenue of $454.1 million, net income of $96.5 million, and earnings per share of $0.50 in fiscal year 2025. The composition of activity in Q2 fiscal year 2026 reflects a shift in investment toward build-to-suit projects, as the company invested $91.5 million, including $77.3 million in these projects and $13.5 million in transition capital.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Broadstone Net Lease raised its fiscal year 2026 AFFO per share guidance range to $1.55–$1.57 from $1.53–$1.57, resulting in a midpoint of $1.56 and representing growth of approximately 5% compared with fiscal year 2025.
  • The $303 million Colorado project for an advanced technology facility added a significant growth pipeline; the project is leased for 15 years to a Fortune 20 company, with 3% annual rent increases, an expected initial cash yield of approximately 8.5% in the first year rising to 9.7% in the second year, and a straight-line yield of approximately 11.6%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The committed and under-construction build-to-suit project portfolio totaled approximately $645 million, with a weighted initial cash yield of 7.9%, a weighted straight-line yield of 9.9%, and an average lease term of 13.7 years. The company expects these projects to add approximately $17 million in annual base rent in Q3 and Q4 fiscal year 2026, followed by an additional $29 million in the first half of fiscal year 2027.
  • The company raised its fiscal year 2026 real estate investment guidance to $600–$800 million from $500–$625 million and reduced its bad debt assumption to 50 basis points from 75 basis points. This is supported by portfolio performance, including collection of 99.9% of base rent and fiscal year 2026 lease expirations remaining at only approximately 1.9% of annual base rent.
  • Project Triboro offers three paths to create value from more than 550 acres of land and 1 gigawatt of committed power supply: selling the land, developing approximately 4.5 million square feet of industrial facilities at an estimated cost of $520 million, or constructing a hyperscale data center campus at a cost exceeding $2.5 billion. Management set the end of fiscal year 2026 as the target date for choosing among these paths after gaining clarity on zoning, power, and tenant demand.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +The build-to-suit portfolio provides clear contractual visibility into growth, as the company expects to add approximately $46 million in annual base rent between Q3 fiscal year 2026 and the first half of fiscal year 2027, equivalent to more than 10% of the existing portfolio's annual base rent.
    • +The Colorado transaction combines high credit quality with strong economics: a Fortune 20 tenant, a 15-year triple-net lease, 3% annual rent increases, and 100 megawatts of fully committed capacity, with the potential for a similar second building that is not included in the committed project pipeline.
    • +The core portfolio demonstrates strong operating resilience, with occupancy near 100%, 765 of 766 properties leased, collection of 99.9% of base rent, and 3.3% growth in industrial same-property rents in Q2 fiscal year 2026.
    • +Liquidity supported the growth plan; the company combined a $300 million delayed-draw loan, borrowing capacity under its credit facility, and unsettled equity sales to bring available liquidity to approximately $1 billion, while targeting initial leverage near six times.
    • +Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 21, 2026, recorded net purchases of 211,600 shares through two purchases and no sales, which supports confidence, although it is not a substitute for assessing development and financing risks.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The growth plan carries significant execution risk because the build-to-suit portfolio reached $645 million, while the Colorado project alone requires an estimated remaining investment of approximately $233 million. If delivery extends beyond the contingency periods specified in the lease, the company may provide rent credits or abatements and the rent commencement date may be delayed, even if the final contractual yield does not change.
    • −Revenue concentration may increase after rent commences at the Colorado facility in mid-fiscal year 2027, as management expects the Fortune 20 tenant to become Broadstone's largest tenant by annual base rent. The tenant's credit quality mitigates default risk, but it does not eliminate the increased dependence of rental income on a single facility and tenant.
    • −Project Triboro faces regulatory, commercial, and capital risks, as the final-use path had not been determined as of July 30, 2026, and the company was still discussing the data center designation with the municipality, reviewing a draft electric service agreement, and engaging with potential tenants. The hyperscale data center path could also cost more than $2.5 billion, potentially requiring a financing structure or joint venture partner.
    • −Some redevelopment activities involve leasing risks that are not present in pre-leased build-to-suit projects; the C.H. Robinson project, with an estimated cost of $17.9 million, began without an announced end tenant, despite targeting stabilized annual base rent of $2.7 million by Q2 fiscal year 2027. The Claire's project was also still being evaluated among demolition and rebuilding or renovation of the existing structure, while continuing to be marketed for lease or sale.
    • −Financing the project pipeline partly depends on issuing equity, creating dilution risk for shareholders; the company sold 2.2 million shares on a forward basis in Q2 fiscal year 2026 and another 1.6 million shares after the quarter ended, while unsettled equity sales totaled approximately $163 million. At the same time, debt was $2.7 billion and initial leverage was 5.9 times, near the six-times target.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $23.57, within a range of $20 to $26, with a “Buy” consensus; the average is slightly above the 52-week range high of $23.10, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 12.6%. In the absence of a reported price-to-earnings ratio, valuation of the investment case relies more heavily on fiscal year 2026 AFFO per share guidance of $1.55–$1.57, while accounting for dilution risk from equity issuances, leverage of 5.9 times, and execution risk associated with the large development pipeline.

    BuyAnalyst target: $23.57(+15.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the most important driver of BNL's growth after Q2 fiscal year 2026?

    The most important driver is the approximately $645 million build-to-suit portfolio, with a weighted initial cash yield of 7.9% and a weighted straight-line yield of 9.9%. The company expects approximately $17 million in annual base rent to commence during Q3 and Q4 fiscal year 2026, followed by $29 million in the first half of fiscal year 2027. The combined $46 million represents more than 10% of the existing portfolio's annual base rent.

    Why is the Colorado facility important to BNL stock?

    The advanced technology facility in Colorado added approximately $303 million to the build-to-suit project pipeline and is designed with 100 megawatts of fully committed capacity. The project is tied to a 15-year triple-net lease with a Fortune 20 tenant, 3% annual rent increases, and a straight-line yield of approximately 11.6%. The company is targeting project completion and rent commencement in mid-fiscal year 2027 and expects the tenant to become its largest by annual base rent.

    What is the significance of BNL's Q2 fiscal year 2026 results?

    Revenue was $122.3 million, net income was $39.8 million, and earnings per share were $0.21 in Q2 fiscal year 2026. AFFO was also approximately $78.2 million, or $0.39 per share, an increase of 2.6% from Q2 fiscal year 2025. The company raised its fiscal year 2026 AFFO per share guidance to $1.55–$1.57 while reducing its bad debt assumption to 50 basis points.

    What are the main opportunities and risks in Project Triboro?

    Project Triboro spans more than 550 acres in northeastern Pennsylvania, with 1 gigawatt of committed power supply and approximately $120 million of invested capital. The options include selling the land, developing four industrial buildings totaling approximately 4.5 million square feet at an estimated cost of $520 million, or constructing a hyperscale data center campus at a cost exceeding $2.5 billion. As of July 30, 2026, zoning issues, the power agreement, and tenant discussions were still in progress, and management set the end of fiscal year 2026 as the target date for deciding on the path.

    Can BNL finance the development pipeline without increasing financial risk?

    The company ended Q2 fiscal year 2026 with total debt of $2.7 billion and initial leverage of 5.9 times, compared with a target of approximately six times. After the quarter, it entered into a $300 million delayed-draw loan, and total available liquidity from the loan, credit facility, and unsettled equity totaled approximately $1 billion. However, financing included the forward sale of 3.8 million shares during and after the quarter, so balancing growth funding, dilution, and debt remains a key consideration for shareholders.

    What is the status of BNL's distributions in fiscal year 2026?

    The board of directors declared a quarterly distribution of $0.2925 per share for shareholders of record on September 30, 2026. The company set the payment date on or before October 15, 2026. The company's ability to support distributions should be assessed alongside fiscal year 2026 AFFO per share guidance of $1.55–$1.57 and the funding requirements of the $645 million development portfolio.

  • −Competition for data center-related assets is strong, and management described the amount of capital pursuing these opportunities as extremely high. It also said the Colorado transaction originated through developer relationships and was not a broadly marketed opportunity. Therefore, regularly replicating its 11.6% straight-line yield may be difficult, particularly because management described the Colorado and Triboro opportunities as unique cases rather than a widespread pattern.