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Home
Stocks
Bank of Montreal
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall79
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 7/9Better than 79% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
68
13.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
45
63.7%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
62
——Around median
▸
Safety
9
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
85
2.89%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
94
43.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
62
8▲3Around median
BMO

BMO Bank of Montreal

Bank of Montreal · NYSE
Market Closed
174.88
▲ ⁦+0.69%⁩ (+1.19)
Market Cap$121.7B
Beta1.15
52w Low52w High
119.84187.22
Last Week
⁦+1.19%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.47%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+6.38%⁩
Last Year
⁦+38.26%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$175
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$85
⁦-51%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$74–$580⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$21
⁦-88%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.5⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$21–$85⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$206.00
⁦+17.8%⁩
Current Price $174.88·Median $85.00
Low
$74.00
High
$580.00
Current price
$174.88
Average target
$206.00
Street summary

Sharp divergence in BMO targets despite consensus remaining above the price

The current consensus target price is 206 versus a current price of 174.88, approximately 17.8% higher, but it has declined 11.49% over the last 7 days from 232.75, alongside a decrease in the number of analysts from 5 to 2. Over 30 days, the consensus rose 47.14% from 140 to 206, reflecting a significant change in the sample more than a stable trend. The target range is also extremely wide, between 74 and 580, while the median is 85, indicating high dispersion and uncertainty.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+47.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.13
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦15 (-3)⁩
Buy conviction
33%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 2↓
Target dispersion
289%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
3
2
7
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.13 → 3.13
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-27
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.41x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    63.7%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    7.5%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.9%
    0.6%9.0%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    57.8%
    9.8%97.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-25 data

Company Overview

Bank of Montreal (BMO) is a diversified banking group in Canada and the United States, generating income from net interest income on loans and deposits, as well as wealth and asset management fees, transaction banking, and capital markets. Its business drivers include Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, U.S. Banking, Wealth Management, and Capital Markets; all four operating segments delivered record pre-provision, pre-tax earnings in Q3 fiscal 2026.

In Q3 fiscal 2026, revenue was C$9.9 billion versus estimates of C$9.73 billion, and adjusted revenue grew 11% year over year. Adjusted net income reached a record C$2.859 billion, up 19%, and adjusted earnings per share rose 22% to $3.96; by contrast, reported net income was $1.8 billion and reported earnings per share were $2.38 due to adjusting charges that included $973 million largely related to accounting goodwill for the transportation finance and vendor finance businesses announced for sale.

Pre-provision, pre-tax earnings rose 13% to $4.5 billion, and adjusted return on equity was 14%, representing a year-over-year increase of 200 basis points. The efficiency ratio improved to 54.9%, positive operating leverage was 1.6%, while net interest margin excluding markets reached 226 basis points, up 5 basis points year over year and down 3 basis points sequentially. Within the business mix, net income from Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking grew 15%, U.S. Banking 9%, Wealth Management 22%, and Capital Markets 45%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Diversified growth drove Q3 fiscal 2026 results; non-interest revenue rose 26% year over year, or 15% excluding trading, supported by wealth management fees, debt underwriting, transaction banking, and lending.
  • Capital Markets pre-provision, pre-tax earnings reached a record $903 million, up 39%, with revenue growing 20%; Global Markets revenue rose 27%, and Investment and Corporate Banking revenue increased 10%. BMO also announced an agreement to acquire the capital markets business of Euroz Hartleys Group to expand its metals and mining capabilities in Australia.
  • U.S. business momentum improved in Q3 fiscal 2026, with commercial loans growing 4% sequentially and transaction banking revenue rising 15% year over year, while return on equity was 9.8% and return on tangible common equity was 17.3%. Management's path toward a 12% return for the U.S. business is distributed approximately evenly among customer balance growth, increased fee income, efficiency, and normalization of credit provisions.
  • Credit quality supported earnings, as total provisions for credit losses declined to $722 million from $739 million in the prior quarter, and provisions related to impaired loans fell to $708 million. Commercial watchlist balances also declined by $1 billion, and gross impaired loans were $6.8 billion, or 97 basis points.
  • Management is targeting a sustainable return on equity of 15% by the end of fiscal 2027 and expects the sales of 138 U.S. branches, the transportation finance and vendor finance businesses, and Moneris Canada to add approximately 50 basis points to the Common Equity Tier 1 ratio upon closing. The ratio was 13% in Q3 fiscal 2026, and the bank also announced a new program to repurchase up to 25 million shares, or approximately 3.6% of outstanding shares, beginning in September 2026 and subject to regulatory approval.
  • Digital investment demonstrated a tangible operational impact: BMO Insurance launched the SmartDecision platform, which uses predictive modeling to provide underwriting decisions within 10 seconds, while the Lumi bot increased new employee productivity by 17%. Weekly enrollments in BMO Blue Rewards have also increased by 65% since its launch, and mutual fund sales through Canadian financial centers rose 33% year over year.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +BMO combines adjusted revenue growth of 11%, pre-provision, pre-tax earnings growth of 13%, and positive operating leverage of 1.6% in Q3 fiscal 2026, demonstrating that the improvement in profitability spanned all four operating segments and did not depend on a single activity.
  • +The balance sheet supports expansion and capital returns; the Common Equity Tier 1 ratio was 13%, and the bank generated 33 basis points of capital after dividends, while the announced divestitures are expected to add another 50 basis points upon closing.
  • +Risk indicators improved, with provisions for credit losses declining to $722 million, gross impaired loans falling 4 basis points sequentially to 97 basis points, and the bank maintaining $4.8 billion in allowances for performing loans.
  • +Fee diversification provides a source of growth beyond net interest income; Wealth and Asset Management revenue rose 24%, exchange-traded fund flows and long-term mutual fund sales each increased 19%, while Capital Markets generated record pre-provision, pre-tax earnings of $903 million.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $117 and a wide range between $74 and $203. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $187.22, while the highest target exceeds that high; this divergence indicates fundamental disagreement over BMO's ability to achieve a 15% return on equity by the end of fiscal 2027 and balance credit and margin risks. The price-to-earnings multiple is not used as an anchor in this comparison because the data does not provide a figure for it.

BuyAnalyst target: $117(-33.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were the key results for BMO stock in Q3 fiscal 2026?

BMO reported revenue of C$9.9 billion, exceeding FactSet estimates of C$9.73 billion. Adjusted net income was C$2.859 billion, up 19%, and adjusted earnings per share rose 22% to $3.96. On a reported basis, net income was $1.8 billion and earnings per share were $2.38 due to adjusting items that included a $973 million charge primarily related to accounting goodwill for businesses announced for sale.

How does BMO plan to reach a 15% return on equity?

Management reaffirmed its target of achieving a sustainable return on equity of 15% by the end of fiscal 2027, compared with an adjusted return of 14% in Q3 fiscal 2026. The path depends on diversified revenue growth, expense discipline, risk management, and reallocating capital to higher-return opportunities. Management expects the sales of branches, finance businesses, and Moneris Canada to add approximately 50 basis points to the Common Equity Tier 1 ratio upon closing.

Did Bank of Montreal's loan quality improve in Q3 fiscal 2026?

Total provisions for credit losses declined to $722 million from $739 million in the prior quarter, and provisions for impaired loans fell to $708 million. Gross impaired loans were $6.8 billion, or 97 basis points, down 4 basis points sequentially, and the commercial watchlist also declined by $1 billion. However, consumer insolvencies remained elevated, and management expects provisions for impaired loans in Q4 fiscal 2026 to be in line with Q3.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Consumer credit and the Canadian economy remain vulnerable to pressure; management said consumer insolvencies remain elevated and the Canadian labor market is weaker than historical norms, despite signs of stabilization. Management expects provisions for impaired loans in Q4 fiscal 2026 to be similar to the Q3 level, meaning the credit burden has not disappeared.
  • −Tariffs and trade policy uncertainty pose risks to growth, employment, investment, and supply chains between Canada and the United States. Although direct exposure is less than 1% of the loan book and management did not see a broad-based credit event in Q3 fiscal 2026, it described the indirect economic effects on Canada as the largest variable.
  • −Margins came under sequential pressure; net interest margin excluding markets declined 3 basis points to 226 basis points, with management attributing approximately two points of the decline to holding lower-yielding liquid assets. The U.S. business margin also declined one basis point as loans grew faster than deposits, while total deposits remained stable year over year and sequentially amid competition for deposits.
  • −The sales of 138 U.S. branches, the transportation finance and vendor finance businesses, and Moneris Canada could result in the loss of existing earnings before capital is redeployed. Management estimated the distribution of lost earnings at approximately two-thirds from U.S. Banking and one-third from Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, relying on shifting capital from businesses with single-digit returns to opportunities targeting returns above 15%.
  • −Adjusted expenses rose 9% in Q3 fiscal 2026, or 6% excluding the impact of currencies and performance-based compensation. In Wealth Management, expenses increased 22% in parallel with revenue, making continued positive operating leverage dependent on achieving sufficient growth in fees and net interest income.
  • −The wide range of analyst targets from $74 to $203 reflects significant disagreement in valuation, while the average target of $117 is closer to the low end of the range than the high end and below the 52-week range high of $187.22. This dispersion increases repricing risk if return targets falter or margin and credit pressures persist.
  • What is driving growth in BMO's U.S. business?

    U.S. commercial loans grew 4% sequentially in Q3 fiscal 2026, transaction banking revenue rose 15% year over year, and core retail customer deposits increased 2%. Return on equity for the U.S. business was 9.8%, and return on tangible common equity was 17.3%. Management says the path toward a 12% return is distributed approximately evenly among customer balance growth, fee income growth, improved efficiency, and normalization of credit provisions.

    What is the impact of BMO's announced divestitures?

    The transactions include the sale of 138 U.S. branches outside core markets, the transportation finance and vendor finance businesses, and Moneris Canada. Management expects these transactions to add 50 basis points to the Common Equity Tier 1 ratio and support return on equity after closing. Management estimated that approximately two-thirds of lost earnings relate to U.S. Banking and the remaining one-third to Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, while the growth commitments presented at Investor Day remain unchanged.

    How does BMO use artificial intelligence in its business?

    In Q3 fiscal 2026, BMO Insurance launched the SmartDecision platform, which uses predictive modeling to deliver underwriting decisions within 10 seconds, compared with an industry average of 28 business days or more. The Lumi bot for frontline employees also increased new employee productivity by 17% by facilitating access to policy information. Lumi is being expanded to support customer conversations, beginning with mortgage renewals.