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Stocks
Badger Meter, Inc.
BMI

BMI Badger Meter, Inc.

Badger Meter, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
125.13
▲ ⁦+0.10%⁩ (+0.12)
Market Cap$3.6B
Beta0.64
52w Low52w High
112.09204.00
Last Week
⁦-5.40%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.26%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.32%⁩
Last Year
⁦-32.39%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall74
Strong — clearly above market medianFalling StarF 5/9SafeBetter than 74% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
32
29.2x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
54
0.8%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
82
17.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
87
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
63
1.27%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
20
-25.9%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
92
8▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$125
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$162
⁦+29%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$112–$167⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$101
⁦-20%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$101–$162⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$153.20
⁦+22.4%⁩
Current Price $125.13·Median $162.00
Low
$112.00
High
$167.00
Current price
$125.13
Average target
$153.20
Street summary

Badger Meter (BMI) Price Target Revision Analysis

Bearish tilt

Badger Meter stock has seen a gradual decline in its average price target over the past 30 days, with the consensus falling from $158.5 to $153.2, representing a total decline of 3.34%. This negative adjustment, which coincided with Barclays maintaining its "Underweight" rating on July 28, 2026, reflects growing caution among analysts despite financial projections indicating continued revenue and EPS growth through 2029.

As of 2026-08-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.67
Buy
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
58%
Mixed
Target dispersion
44%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
3
4
4
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.67 → 3.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-28
    Barclays
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-05-22
    Stifel Nicolaus
    —· $140.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-21
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    29.24x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    26.31x
    4.57x36.58x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    18.62x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    4.1%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.8%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -7.0%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    41.3%
    8.6%54.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    17.8%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.3%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    37.2%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    9.57
    -5.667.97
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-22 data

Company Overview

Badger Meter provides water measurement and management solutions for utilities, combining mechanical and ultrasonic water meters, advanced metering infrastructure AMI, a Network as a Service platform, and device-connected software. Its ecosystem includes ORION Cellular, BEACON, EyeOnWater Premium, and Cobalt, alongside stormwater and sewer line applications from SmartCover and UDlive; it therefore generates revenue from hardware, software, turnkey projects, and product-supply projects across the entire water cycle.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $222.3 million, down 7% year over year, while core revenue declined 7.5% after excluding about $2 million in UDlive sales over two months. Despite the year-over-year contraction, core sales rose 9% sequentially, benefiting from the start of shipments for several awarded AMI projects, including PRASA. Water utility sales declined 8% year over year, or 9% excluding UDlive, while flow instrumentation sales increased 6%, supported broadly by water applications.

Gross profit in Q2 fiscal 2026 was approximately $90.8 million, equivalent to a gross margin of 40.8%, representing a year-over-year decline of 30 basis points. Net income was $29.7 million, or about 13.4% of revenue, and diluted earnings per share were $1.02, down 13% year over year. Operating profit declined 12%, and its margin fell 110 basis points to 17.7%, but the core operating margin excluding UDlive was 18.4% and declined by only 40 basis points.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The PRASA project and several awarded AMI projects entered the initial shipment phase during Q2 fiscal 2026, helping core sales rise 9% sequentially, and management describes the nine-project portfolio as solid, with each project having different timing and execution speed.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

On July 22, 2026, management reaffirmed its expectation that core revenue would improve sequentially during the two remaining quarters of fiscal 2026, with full-year organic revenue remaining near the fiscal 2025 level; it also expects sequential growth in Q3, while most of the year-over-year improvement is concentrated in Q4 due to an easier comparison.
  • The short-cycle order rate improved in Q2 fiscal 2026 compared with Q1, and management described it as having returned to a more normal level after a shortfall ranging between $15 million and $20 million in the previous quarter. This provides additional support for the outlook alongside the nine awarded projects and other opportunities under negotiation.
  • Flow instrumentation sales rose 6% year over year due to demand for water applications and orders related to clamp-on meters and mag meters used in data centers, but management maintained its long-term view for this category at low-single-digit growth, close to GDP growth.
  • ACE 2026 showed interest from customers and consultants in dynamic multi-carrier SIM technology, ORION Lens, EyeOnWater Premium and BEACON Field software, and Cobalt functions integrated with artificial intelligence. Management believes that the shift from mechanical meters to static meters, increased deployment of cellular AMI, and the addition of software and post-meter technologies are factors that structurally improve the margin mix.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The start of PRASA execution and several other projects provides a tangible recovery path following a 9% sequential increase in core sales in Q2 fiscal 2026, while some AMI projects extend between three and five years, supporting shipment flows across multiple periods.
    • +The company maintained a gross margin of 40.8% and a core operating margin of 18.4% despite a 7.5% year-over-year decline in core revenue, reflecting the impact of spending discipline, pricing, and the mix of software and connected solutions.
    • +Badger Meter's offering extends from mechanical and ultrasonic meters to ORION Cellular, BEACON, EyeOnWater Premium, SmartCover, and UDlive, giving it sources of demand across metering, utilities, stormwater, wastewater, and recurring software.
    • +The company repurchased 204 thousand shares for $25.3 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, bringing total repurchases to about $80 million over three quarters, with approximately $90 million remaining under the authorization. It also renewed an undrawn $150 million credit facility for five years, preserving capital allocation flexibility.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Revenue declined 7% year over year in Q2 fiscal 2026, and core sales fell 7.5%, while water utility sales dropped 8%, or 9% excluding UDlive; therefore, achieving organic revenue near the fiscal 2025 level depends on continued order improvement and accelerated project execution during the second half.
    • −The expected year-over-year improvement is heavily concentrated in Q4 fiscal 2026, while AMI projects may take between three and five years and are subject to variability in shipping and installation due to external factors. This pattern increases the risk of revenue shifting between quarters, even though management describes the nine-project portfolio as solid.
    • −Operating profit declined 12% and diluted earnings per share fell 13% year over year in Q2 fiscal 2026, while the operating margin decreased 110 basis points to 17.7%. The company also expects approximately $5 million annually in amortization of UDlive intangible assets, in addition to ongoing operating expenses associated with it.
    • −Electronic products, including ORION Cellular, ultrasonic meters, and post-meter technologies, face increasing pressure on component costs and availability due to demand from artificial intelligence and data centers for memory, capacitors, and circuit boards. Management said on July 22, 2026, that these pressures were not easing, although the company had managed to mitigate their impact through that date and has price-increase pass-through clauses in most contracts, but not all.
    • −The ratio of core working capital to sales rose from 20.0% at the end of the previous quarter to 22.9% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and free cash flow declined to $21.9 million from $40.6 million a year earlier. The company attributes this to lower earnings and temporary increases in inventory and accounts receivable, but it needs to reduce inventory during the remainder of the year to achieve its target of cash conversion exceeding 100% of net income.
    • −The PRASA project carries exposure to reviews and protests related to the government procurement process, although management said on July 22, 2026, that its view of the project had not changed and that shipments had begun. Analyst consensus remains Neutral, with a wide target range between $112 and $167, revealing significant divergence in estimates of the impact of the project recovery and execution risks.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $153.2, within a wide range of $112 to $167, and is accompanied by a Neutral consensus rather than a Buy consensus; the average is also approximately 25% below the 52-week range high of $204 and about 37% above its low of $112.09. A price-to-earnings ratio is not available in the data, so the stock's valuation hinges on Badger Meter's ability to convert the expected shipment recovery in Q3 and Q4 fiscal 2026 into growth and profitability, weighed against the contraction in revenue, margins, and cash flow in Q2.

    HoldAnalyst target: $153.2(+22.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did Badger Meter's revenue decline in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Revenue declined 7% year over year to $222.3 million, and core sales fell 7.5% after excluding approximately $2 million in UDlive sales. The primary reason was the timing of AMI project execution, as water utility sales declined 8%, or 9% excluding the acquisition. In contrast, core sales rose 9% from Q1 as shipments for PRASA and other awarded projects began, while flow instrumentation grew 6%.

    What is Badger Meter's outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

    Management confirmed on July 22, 2026, that quarterly core revenue is expected to improve sequentially during the remainder of fiscal 2026. It expects full-year organic revenue to be near the fiscal 2025 level, with sequential growth in Q3 and a greater concentration of year-over-year improvement in Q4. This outlook depends on the start of execution for a portfolio of nine awarded projects, improved short-cycle orders, and other opportunities under negotiation.

    How important is the PRASA project to BMI stock?

    Badger Meter began shipping products for the PRASA project by Q2 fiscal 2026, and the project is part of a portfolio of nine projects supporting the second-half outlook. Management confirmed on July 22, 2026, that its view of the project had not changed despite reviews and protests related to the procurement process. However, the pace of execution may be uneven because AMI projects combine supply and installation and may typically extend between three and five years.

    How does Badger Meter protect its margins from rising component costs?

    Gross margin was 40.8% in Q2 fiscal 2026, down 30 basis points, while the core operating margin was 18.4%. The company uses spending discipline and pricing programs, and most project contracts extending for three, four, or five years include clauses that allow cost increases to be passed through. The risk remains because pressures on memory, capacitors, and circuit boards affect ORION Cellular, ultrasonic meters, and post-meter technologies, and cost pass-through mechanisms are not present in all contracts.

    What distinguishes Badger Meter's products in the water meter market?

    The company offers a choice between mechanical and ultrasonic meters within the BlueEdge portfolio, alongside ORION Cellular and Network as a Service offerings. The software layer includes BEACON Field, EyeOnWater Premium, and Cobalt functions integrated with artificial intelligence, while SmartCover and UDlive extend coverage to stormwater and sewer lines. At ACE 2026, customer and consultant interest also focused on dynamic multi-carrier SIM and ORION Lens, supporting an offering that combines hardware, connectivity, and software.

    What do liquidity and capital allocation look like at Badger Meter?

    Free cash flow was $21.9 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, down from $40.6 million due to lower earnings and a temporary increase in working capital. The company repurchased 204 thousand shares for $25.3 million during that quarter, and about $80 million over three quarters, with approximately $90 million remaining under the authorization. It also renewed an undrawn $150 million credit facility for five years and targets annual cash flow conversion exceeding 100% of net income.