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Stocks
Booking Holdings Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall85
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 6/9SafeBetter than 85% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
56
18.1x17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
75
12.9%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
97
61.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
72
0.4x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
45
0.24%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
45
-4.4%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
63
23▲3Around median
BKNG

BKNG Booking Holdings Inc.

Booking Holdings Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
173.92
▼ ⁦-0.24%⁩ (-0.41)
Market Cap$134.8B
Beta1.07
52w Low52w High
150.14225.00
Last Week
⁦-12.87%⁩
Last Month
⁦-18.30%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+8.27%⁩
Last Year
⁦-21.96%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$174
Analyst target · 9 analysts
$240
⁦+38%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$188–$270⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$189
⁦+9%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦9.1⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$189–$240⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 9 analysts setting price target
$233.47
⁦+34.2%⁩
Current Price $173.92·Median $240.00
Low
$188.00
High
$270.00
Current price
$173.92
Average target
$233.47
Street summary

Booking (BKNG) Target Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

Booking Holdings stock saw a 2.48% increase in its consensus target price over the last thirty days, moving from $227.83 to $233.47, despite the number of analysts remaining stable at 9. This change reflects a gradual improvement in the current analysts' optimism regarding the stock's fair value, especially with a positive gap between the current price (199.6) and the median target of $240.

As of 2026-09-02
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.92
Buy
Analyst coverage
38
Buy conviction
79%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
47%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time38 analysts rating
5
25
8
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.76 → 3.92
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    Bernstein
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Susquehanna
    Positive
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    18.13x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.60x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.63x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    7.3%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    12.9%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    56.3%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    100.0%
    12.0%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    61.7%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.36x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.2%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    17.8%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    6.03
    -2.656.14
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Booking Holdings operates a diversified global travel platform through the Booking.com, Agoda, and Priceline brands, connecting travelers with providers of accommodations, flights, car rentals, activities, and other travel services. Its model relies on booking these services through its platforms, while expanding Connected Trip to increase the number of customers who book more than one category for the same trip, and on the payments platform through which approximately 73% of gross bookings passed in Q2 fiscal 2026. Accommodations remain the largest source of the group’s economics, while alternative accommodations accounted for approximately 37% of room nights at Booking.com.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $7.4 billion and grew 8% year over year, or approximately 7% on a constant-currency basis, while gross bookings increased 9%, or approximately 8% on a constant-currency basis. Room nights grew 5%, and daily room rates increased approximately 2% on a constant-currency basis, while airline tickets increased 4% and attraction tickets grew at a double-digit rate. Room nights, gross bookings, revenue, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization exceeded the high end of the company’s guidance.

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached approximately $2.6 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026, an increase of 9%, and its margin expanded by approximately 40 basis points. Adjusted earnings per share increased 15% to $2.54, supported by a 6% decline in the average share count, while EDGAR data showed earnings per share of $2.53. The company generated $3.6 billion in free cash flow and ended the quarter with $17.7 billion in cash and investments.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Connected Trip transactions grew at a double-digit rate in Q2 fiscal 2026, more than twice the growth rate of total Booking.com transactions, and came to represent a low-double-digit percentage of its total transactions; company data indicate that customers who book multiple categories return more frequently.
  • Tier 2 and 3 members of the Genius program represented more than 30% of the active customer base and accounted for a high-fifties percentage of room nights in Q2 fiscal 2026, with both metrics increasing year over year. The direct business-to-consumer booking mix also remained in the mid-sixties, supporting repeat usage and reducing relative reliance on paid channels.
  • The United States recorded high-single-digit growth in room nights during Q2 fiscal 2026, driven by domestic demand, while domestic room nights in Asia grew at a low-double-digit rate. The company combines Booking.com’s global reach with Agoda’s local expertise to develop products, payments, and distribution in Asia.
  • Booking.com began testing an AI-powered discovery experience that combines flight prices, traveler reviews, and automatically generated insights, alongside the rollout of the next generation of Penny at Priceline and the launch of Gallery View at Agoda. On the operational side, AI-powered voice support expanded to cover the majority of eligible inbound calls, helping reduce customer service cost per booking at a double-digit rate.
  • The company raised its expected annual savings target from the transformation program from approximately $550 million to approximately $650 million, after identifying an additional $100 million primarily from procurement that is expected to be realized mainly in 2027. In the first half of fiscal 2026, it repurchased $7.4 billion of shares, including $3.7 billion in Q2 alone.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The company combined 8% revenue growth, 9% growth in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, and 15% growth in adjusted earnings per share in Q2 fiscal 2026, with margin expansion of approximately 40 basis points; this shows that the reduction in share count and cost discipline drove earnings growth above sales growth.
  • +Connected Trip provides a path to increase repeat usage and value extracted from each customer, as its transactions grew at a double-digit rate and at more than twice the growth rate of Booking.com transactions, alongside an increase in the share of bookings processed through the payments platform to 73%.
  • +Generating $3.6 billion in free cash flow in Q2 fiscal 2026 and holding $17.7 billion in cash and investments provide the capacity to fund product development and share repurchases; the company returned $4.1 billion to shareholders during the quarter.
  • +News from August 18, 2026 indicated that BlackRock owned 8.70% of Booking Holdings through more than 65 million shares valued at approximately $11.65 billion, representing notable institutional support according to the provided data, although it does not guarantee future stock performance.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $233.47, compared with a high target of $270 and a low target of $188, with an overall consensus rating of “Buy.” The average target is approximately 2.5% above the top of the 52-week range of $227.72, while the wide range of targets reflects significant differences in estimates of the impact of Connected Trip growth and savings versus slower airline ticket growth and geopolitical and legal risks. The provided data do not include a usable price-to-earnings ratio, so it is not possible to confirm whether the earnings valuation is low or high based solely on the provided context.

BuyAnalyst target: $233.47(+34.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did BKNG perform in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Booking Holdings’ revenue reached approximately $7.4 billion, up 8% year over year or 7% on a constant-currency basis. Gross bookings increased 9%, and room nights grew 5%, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached approximately $2.6 billion and increased 9%. Adjusted earnings per share also increased 15% to $2.54, and the adjusted earnings margin expanded by approximately 40 basis points.

How important is Connected Trip to Booking Holdings’ growth?

Connected Trip aims to combine accommodations, flights, car rentals, and activities within a single trip instead of separate transactions. Its transactions grew at a double-digit rate in Q2 fiscal 2026, at more than twice the growth rate of total Booking.com transactions, and represented a low-double-digit percentage of its transactions. The share of gross bookings processed through the payments platform also increased to 73%, providing the infrastructure that connects different travel categories and supports value and contribution margins.

Has AI become an important financial driver for BKNG?

During Q2 fiscal 2026, Booking.com began testing a discovery experience combining flight prices, traveler reviews, and AI-generated travel advice, while Priceline is rolling out the next generation of Penny and Agoda launched the Gallery View interface. Internally, AI tools helped reduce customer service cost per booking at a double-digit rate, and their costs came to represent a low-single-digit percentage of total technology spending. However, traffic from large language models remained well below 1% of room nights, and management has not yet provided figures on Penny’s impact on conversion or customer satisfaction.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Long-haul international travel came under pressure from the Middle East conflict through higher airfares and lower capacity on some routes; international room nights increased only slightly, while Q3 fiscal 2026 guidance assumed that these indirect effects would continue through the end of the quarter.
  • −The company lowered its fiscal 2026 gross bookings growth forecast compared with its previous forecast due to weaker airline ticket growth, despite its accommodation outlook remaining essentially unchanged. It also expects Q3 fiscal 2026 growth of only 3% to 5% in room nights and 4% to 6% in each of gross bookings, revenue, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, rates below the Q2 results.
  • −Growth in some important categories slowed in Q2 fiscal 2026; airline tickets grew only 4%, and alternative accommodations grew 4% compared with 5% growth in total room nights. Management acknowledged that it wants higher growth in alternative accommodations, particularly in the United States, where its supply remains relatively smaller.
  • −Customer acquisition channels face competitive disruption from AI-powered search; SEO traffic came under pressure, while referrals from large language models remained well below 1% of room nights and showed no material change during the months or quarters preceding the call. Management also has not yet provided quantitative data demonstrating the impact of tools such as Penny and the new discovery experience on conversion or customer satisfaction, leaving the external commercial return from AI unresolved.
  • −On August 3, 2026, the City of San Francisco filed a lawsuit against Booking Holdings and other websites, accusing them of misleading consumers about direct booking and charging fees up to 85% above official hotel rates. The lawsuit seeks damages and civil penalties, creating legal and regulatory exposure and risks to consumer trust based on the allegations presented.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 17, 2026 recorded net sales of $26.3 million, with 22 sales and no purchases. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context does not explain the motives for these transactions.
What is Booking Holdings’ guidance for Q3 and fiscal 2026?

The company expects Q3 fiscal 2026 room night growth of 3% to 5%, and growth in gross bookings, revenue, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of 4% to 6%. For fiscal 2026, it expects high-single-digit growth in gross bookings, revenue, and adjusted earnings, and low-to-mid-double-digit growth in adjusted earnings per share. However, its gross bookings forecast was lowered from the previous estimate due to weaker airline ticket growth, with the effects of higher airfares and lower capacity assumed to continue through the end of Q3.

What are the most significant risks facing BKNG stock according to the provided data?

The Middle East conflict pressured long-haul international travel through higher airfares and lower capacity, while international room nights increased only slightly in Q2 fiscal 2026. The company also faces pressure on SEO and extremely limited referrals from large language models, alongside growth of only 4% in airline tickets and alternative accommodations. On August 3, 2026, San Francisco filed a lawsuit alleging fees up to 85% above official hotel rates, adding legal and regulatory exposure.