EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
The Buckle, Inc.
BKE

BKE The Buckle, Inc.

The Buckle, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
40.70
▲ ⁦+1.02%⁩ (+0.41)
Market Cap$2.1B
Beta1.03
52w Low52w High
40.1561.69
Last Week
⁦-4.17%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.98%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-11.27%⁩
Last Year
⁦-28.41%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall64
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 5/9Better than 64% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
9.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
30
6.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
94
19.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
62
1.8x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
60
10.74%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
13
-17.6%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
34
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$41
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$47
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$47–$47⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$47.00
⁦+15.5%⁩
Current Price $40.70·Median $47.00
Low
$47.00
High
$47.00
Street summary

The Buckle (BKE) Price Target Analysis

BKE stock shows complete stability in its price target at $47, with no notable changes over the past thirty days. This stability, coupled with the fact that only one analyst has set a price target, indicates a lack of dispersion in opinions, but simultaneously reflects weak analytical coverage and a narrow range of market expectations, leaving the current target lacking momentum from positive or negative revisions.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
0%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-22
    UBS
    Neutral· $52.00
  • = Reiterate2026-03-16
    UBS
    Neutral· $53.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    9.33x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.64x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.92x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.9%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.2%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    8.7%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    49.0%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    19.3%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.84x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    10.7%
    0.1%5.9%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    100.2%
    8.9%99.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-21 data

Company Overview

The Buckle, Inc. is a retailer of apparel, accessories, and footwear that generates revenue through its store network and online sales platform. The company ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with 446 stores across 42 states, compared with 440 stores a year earlier, while online sales reached $44.6 million, up 2.3%. The women's business accounted for 50% of sales and the men's business accounted for 50%, while denim represented 35.5% and tops represented 30.5% of sales.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, net sales rose 4.6% to approximately $320 million, and comparable-store sales increased 2.1%. Net income was $44.4 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.87, compared with net income of $45 million and earnings per share of $0.89 in Q2 fiscal 2025. Earnings per share exceeded the analyst estimate of $0.81.

Gross margin was 47.8% in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 40 basis points, but operating margin declined to 17.4% from 18.4% as selling, general, and administrative expenses increased to 30.4% of sales from 29.0%. During the first 26 weeks of fiscal 2026, sales rose 5.3% to $609 million and net income increased to $91.3 million, while operating margin improved to 19.0% from 17.3%. Trailing-twelve-month data for fiscal 2026 show revenue of $1.3 billion, gross profit of $642.4 million, and net income of $221.4 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The women's business rose 9.5% in Q2 fiscal 2026 after growing 18.5% in the comparable quarter, while women's denim sales increased 11% as its average price rose from $85.35 to $92.50.
  • The women's alternative bottoms category grew by approximately 50%, women's tops increased by nearly 10.5%, and the children's business grew 11% after increasing 23% in Q2 fiscal 2025.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Merchandise margin improved by 110 basis points in Q2 fiscal 2026, including 65 basis points related to tariff refunds; even after excluding them, the improvement was 45 basis points, supported by a 100-basis-point increase in private-label penetration, strong full-price selling, and lower markdowns.
  • The company continued expanding its store network, opening five stores, completing five full remodels, and closing one store during Q2 fiscal 2026. It then opened an additional store after the quarter ended, with five more store openings and four full remodels expected during the remainder of fiscal 2026.
  • Average unit retail increased by approximately 4.5% and average transaction value rose by approximately 3.5% in Q2 fiscal 2026, supporting sales growth despite an approximately 1% decline in units per transaction. In contrast, the men's business was approximately flat, with men's denim down 3.5% and men's tops up 3.5%.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 fiscal 2026 results combined 4.6% sales growth, a 2.1% increase in comparable-store sales, and earnings per share of $0.87, exceeding the analyst estimate of $0.81.
    • +The women's business gives the company a clear growth driver, as it now represents 50% of sales, up from 47.5%, with women's denim growing 11%, alternative bottoms nearly 50%, and tops approximately 10.5%.
    • +Private-label penetration increased to 44.5% of sales from 43.5% in Q2 fiscal 2025, and together with strong full-price selling and lower markdowns, this helped improve merchandise margin even after excluding the impact of tariff refunds.
    • +Buckle ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with $323 million in cash and investments while funding $44.5 million in capital expenditures during the first 26 weeks, providing a financial base to support store openings, remodels, and technology upgrades.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Inventory increased 13.3% year over year to $161 million at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, a pace exceeding quarterly sales growth of 4.6%; if demand does not keep pace with this expansion, the need for markdowns may increase and merchandise margin could come under pressure.
    • −Operating margin declined to 17.4% in Q2 fiscal 2026 from 18.4% because selling, general, and administrative expenses increased to 30.4% of sales from 29.0%. Pressures included increases of 45 basis points in marketing, 35 basis points in store labor, 30 basis points in health insurance, and 20 basis points in store supplies.
    • −The gross-margin improvement in Q2 fiscal 2026 benefited from tariff refunds that increased merchandise margin by 65 basis points, and management explained that most of the $2.5 million refund amount had already been recognized; therefore, the majority of this support will not recur in subsequent quarters.
    • −The pace of growth depends heavily on the women's business, while the men's business remained approximately flat and men's denim sales declined 3.5%. Management also acknowledged that men's footwear will remain a small part of the business until a suitable popular product emerges, following an extended series of year-over-year declines in footwear sales volumes.
    • −Comparable-store sales growth was only 2.1% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and units per transaction declined by approximately 1%, meaning the approximately 4.5% increase in average unit retail was an important component of revenue growth. This makes performance more sensitive to any weakening in customers' willingness to accept higher prices.
    • −The analyst consensus is Neutral, and the published target range is limited to $47 with no difference between the highest and lowest targets, while this target is approximately 23.8% below the 52-week range high of $61.69. Insider activity during the three months ended June 8, 2026 also recorded one sale and no purchases, which is a weak standalone signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless stated otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on BKE is Neutral, with an average price target of $47 and identical high and low targets of $47, reflecting limited variation in the published estimates. The target is approximately 15.4% above the 52-week range low of $40.73 and approximately 23.8% below its high of $61.69; no published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data to allow an additional comparison, while improving operating results provide some support for the valuation and the decline in operating margin and rise in inventory limit optimism.

    HoldAnalyst target: $47(+15.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove BKE's sales growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Net sales rose 4.6% to approximately $320 million, and comparable-store sales increased 2.1% in Q2 fiscal 2026. The women's business led growth with a 9.5% increase, including an 11% rise in women's denim and nearly 50% growth in alternative bottoms. Average unit retail also increased by approximately 4.5% and average transaction value rose by approximately 3.5%, despite an approximately 1% decline in units per transaction.

    Was Buckle's margin improvement in Q2 fiscal 2026 fully sustainable?

    Gross margin increased 40 basis points to 47.8%, and merchandise margin improved by 110 basis points in Q2 fiscal 2026. Of this improvement, 65 basis points came from tariff refunds, while the underlying improvement after excluding them was 45 basis points, supported by private-label merchandise, full-price selling, and lower markdowns. Management said all expected refunds, totaling $2.5 million, had already been received and that only a small impact would carry into Q3 fiscal 2026.

    How does the performance of BKE's women's business differ from that of its men's business?

    The women's business grew 9.5% and represented 50% of sales in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with a 47.5% share a year earlier. The men's business remained approximately flat and represented the other half of sales, with men's denim down 3.5% and men's tops up 3.5%. Within the women's business, the average denim price increased from $85.35 to $92.50, while alternative bottoms grew nearly 50%.

    What is Buckle's plan for stores and capital expenditures in fiscal 2026?

    Buckle opened five stores, completed five full remodels, and closed one store during Q2 fiscal 2026. After the quarter ended, it opened an additional store, bringing the fiscal year-to-date total as of the call date to nine new stores, ten full remodels, and two closures, with five additional openings and four more remodels expected during the remainder of fiscal 2026. Capital expenditures totaled $44.5 million during the first 26 weeks, including $24.4 million for stores and technology upgrades and $20.1 million for the headquarters and distribution center, including the purchase of a replacement corporate aircraft.

    What are the main strengths and pressures in BKE's financial position?

    Cash and investments totaled $323 million at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, while net fixed assets were $192 million. In contrast, inventory increased 13.3% to $161 million, outpacing quarterly sales growth of 4.6%. Trailing-twelve-month data for fiscal 2026 show revenue of $1.3 billion, net income of $221.4 million, and earnings per share of approximately $4.34.

    What does the analyst consensus indicate about BKE's stock valuation?

    The analyst consensus is Neutral, with an average price target of $47 and identical high and low targets at the same level. This target lies between the 52-week range low of $40.73 and its high of $61.69 and is approximately 23.8% below the high. Earnings beats and growth in the women's business support the positive view, while the decline in operating margin to 17.4% and the 13.3% increase in inventory justify a degree of caution.