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Stocks
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
BJRI

BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc.

BJ's Restaurants, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
60.78
▲ ⁦+1.11%⁩ (+0.67)
Market Cap$1.3B
Beta1.32
52w Low52w High
28.4674.60
Last Week
⁦+0.12%⁩
Last Month
⁦-11.46%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+37.05%⁩
Last Year
⁦+81.11%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall79
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 6/8SafeBetter than 79% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
51
32.0x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
41
3.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
66
5.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
67
3.4x▼2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
35
0.00%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
91
106.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
74
7▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$61
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$54
⁦-11%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$38–$74⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$37
⁦-40%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.2⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$37–$54⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$55.00
⁦-9.5%⁩
Current Price $60.78·Median $54.00
Low
$38.00
High
$74.00
Current price
$60.78
Average target
$55.00
Street summary

BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) Price Target Review

Bullish tilt

BJRI stock has seen a notable positive shift in analyst estimates over the past thirty days, with the average price target jumping by 34.15% to rise from $41 to $55. This adjustment reflects growing optimism supported by an upgrade of the stock's rating to "Outperform" by William Blair in July 2026, with expectations for continued growth in earnings per share from 2.22 in 2026 to 2.83 by 2028.

As of 2026-08-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.40
Hold
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
40%
Mixed
Target dispersion
59%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
4
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.09 → 3.40
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-20
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-17
    William Blair
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    31.99x
    4.56x36.49x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    24.61x
    3.79x30.29x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.82x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.3%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.5%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    57.0%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    60.1%
    12.0%66.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    5.1%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.39x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.18
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

BJ's Restaurants, Inc. operates a chain of 219 restaurants under the BJ's Restaurant and Brewhouse brand and generates revenue from guest spending in its restaurants and across various ordering channels and dayparts. Its offerings center on categories including pizza, burgers, and chicken sandwiches, alongside Pizookie and the Pizookie Meal Deal; the company uses menu refreshes, seasonal promotions, and digital marketing to increase traffic, while investing in restaurant maintenance, remodels, and improvements to the guest experience.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $388.9 million, up 6.4% year over year, and gross profit was $289.8 million, representing a gross margin of approximately 74.5%. Net income was $18.8 million and earnings per share were $0.86, equivalent to a net margin of approximately 4.8%, compared with net income of $9.0 million and earnings per share of $0.41 in Q1 fiscal 2026. Comparable restaurant sales also rose 6.5%, driven by traffic growth of 8.3% despite a 1.8% contraction in average check.

Restaurant-level operating profit was $66.8 million, and its margin expanded by approximately 20 basis points to 17.2% despite 120 basis points of pressure from food inflation. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose to $44.4 million from $42.1 million, with a margin of 11.4%. The company did not provide a numerical revenue breakdown by product category or channel, but stated that growth spanned all regions, dayparts, channels, and days of the week, and that more than 80 restaurants achieved record daily or weekly results during the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 outlook following its first-half performance; it now expects comparable restaurant sales growth of between 3% and 4%, versus 1% to 3% previously, and restaurant-level operating profit of between $228 million and $235 million, versus $221 million to $233 million previously.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • BJ's raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization outlook for fiscal 2026 to a range of $145–152 million from $140–150 million, supported by traffic growth, operating discipline, and improved labor operating leverage.
  • Biscoff Pizookie achieved twice the order rate recorded by the comparable seasonal promotion in Q2 fiscal 2025 and, together with the Pizookie Meal Deal and menu refreshes, helped drive traffic growth of 8.3%. Marketing impressions also increased 67% in the quarter and 146% in the first half, while marketing spending efficiency improved by approximately 20 basis points during the first half.
  • Management reported that refreshes to the pizza, burger, and chicken sandwich categories increased order rates, sales, average price, and profit margin dollars compared with the period before the refreshes, despite reinvesting more than $1.5 million in product quality, particularly pizza.
  • The company plans to open two restaurants in Q4 fiscal 2026 in Buckeye, Arizona, and Joliet, Illinois, after capital expenditures of $23.3 million in Q2 that included five remodel projects and construction of the two restaurants.
  • Net debt declined to approximately $30 million at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026 from $61 million at the beginning of the year, following the repayment of $18 million in debt, alongside the repurchase of approximately 64 thousand shares for $2.4 million.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +BJ's recorded eight consecutive quarters of sales and traffic growth and seven consecutive quarters of earnings growth through Q2 fiscal 2026, demonstrating that the improvement extended to both demand and profitability.
    • +Comparable restaurant sales growth of 6.5% was driven by an 8.3% increase in traffic, and BJ's traffic growth exceeded the Black Box casual dining benchmark by more than nine percentage points in Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • +A 90-basis-point improvement in labor expense to 34.5% enabled restaurant margin to expand to 17.2% despite approximately 5% food commodity basket inflation, reflecting operational ability to absorb a significant portion of input cost pressure.
    • +Cash flow allocation combines investment, growth, balance sheet strengthening, and shareholder returns; the company spent $23.3 million on capital expenditures, repaid $18 million in debt, and repurchased $2.4 million of shares during Q2 fiscal 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Food commodity basket inflation of approximately 5% pressured cost of sales margin by 120 basis points in Q2 fiscal 2026, led by beef costs with an expected increase of 20%, while management said the subsequent improvement in cost of sales may be limited rather than a significant decline.
    • −Traffic growth depends partly on seasonal Pizookie promotions and the Pizookie Meal Deal; the success of Biscoff Pizookie led to a 1.8% contraction in average check, and mix pressure may recur when seasonal products attract large numbers of guests with smaller checks.
    • −Management's outlook indicates that comparable restaurant sales growth in Q3 fiscal 2026 will exceed Q4 fiscal 2026 due to the shape of year-over-year comparisons, raising the possibility that momentum will slow during the second half despite the increase in full-year guidance.
    • −General and administrative expenses increased 90 basis points to 6.8% of revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 and included a $1.4 million legal reserve and leadership transition costs, in addition to a $1.5 million deferred compensation obligation whose impact was offset in other income.
    • −The facilities improvement and growth plan requires continued spending; the company maintained its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure outlook at $85–95 million, after repair and maintenance expense increased by approximately $1 million, or 14% year over year, in Q2.
    • −Net insider sales totaled $6.5 million during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 31, 2026, with one purchase versus ten sales. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless information proving otherwise is provided.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $55 and a wide range of $38 to $74; the highest target is close to the top of the 52-week range of $74.6, while the lowest target reflects greater cost risks and slowing mix. The 52-week range extends from $28.46 to $74.6, and the data do not include a valid price-to-earnings ratio that can be used to compare valuation with earnings, so the breadth of analyst targets remains an important indicator of differing estimates regarding the sustainability of traffic growth and margins.

    BuyAnalyst target: $55(-9.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove BJRI's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    BJ's revenue reached approximately $388.9 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 6.4% year over year, while comparable restaurant sales rose 6.5%. Performance was driven by traffic growth of 8.3%, with contributions from Biscoff Pizookie, the Pizookie Meal Deal, and category refreshes across the menu. Net income was $18.8 million and earnings per share were $0.86, while restaurant-level operating profit reached $66.8 million.

    Did BJ's raise its fiscal 2026 outlook?

    Yes, on July 30, 2026, the company raised its fiscal 2026 comparable restaurant sales growth outlook to 3%–4% from 1%–3%. It also raised its restaurant-level operating profit range to $228–235 million from $221–233 million. The adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization range increased to $145–152 million from $140–150 million, while the capital expenditure outlook remained at $85–95 million.

    How do Pizookie and the Pizookie Meal Deal affect BJRI's growth?

    Biscoff Pizookie doubled the year-over-year order rate for the seasonal Pizookie during Q2 fiscal 2026 and helped attract trial visits from younger guests. Management also said that the Pizookie Meal Deal drives new customer acquisition and repeat visits, and that it is testing a premium version without providing final results. The trade-off is that the success of these promotions pressured average check by 1.8%, even as sales and profit dollars continued to grow.

    What are the main margin pressures on BJ's during fiscal 2026?

    Cost of sales margin faced 120 basis points of pressure in Q2 fiscal 2026 due to food basket inflation of approximately 5%. Pressures included an expected 20% increase in beef costs, along with higher produce prices and transportation costs due to severe weather. A 90-basis-point improvement in labor expense offset part of this, allowing restaurant margin to rise 20 basis points to 17.2%, but management did not expect an immediate significant decline in cost of sales.

    How does BJ's use its cash flows and balance sheet?

    The company spent $23.3 million on capital expenditures in Q2 fiscal 2026, including restaurant maintenance, five remodel projects, and construction of the Buckeye and Joliet restaurants targeted to open in Q4 fiscal 2026. It also repaid $18 million in debt, reducing net debt to approximately $30 million from $61 million at the beginning of the year. In addition, it repurchased and retired approximately 64 thousand shares for $2.4 million, while maintaining its fiscal 2026 share repurchase limit at $50 million, subject to market conditions.

    What does analyst consensus indicate about BJRI stock?

    The provided analyst consensus for the stock is “Buy,” with an average price target of $55. Targets range from $38 to $74, a wide range compared with the 52-week range of $28.46–$74.6. This dispersion indicates a meaningful difference in estimates regarding the sustainability of traffic growth, the company's ability to mitigate food inflation, and its ability to translate menu refreshes into sustained margin expansion.