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Home
Stocks
Bunge Global S.A.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall66
Strong — clearly above market medianTurnaroundF 3/9Better than 66% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
66
26.4x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
59
80.5%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
27
8.9%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
50
5.2x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
38
2.29%▲2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
77
28.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
89
4▲3Top tier
BG

BG Bunge Global S.A.

Bunge Global S.A. · NYSE
Market Closed
122.41
▼ ⁦-1.75%⁩ (-2.18)
Market Cap$23.5B
Beta0.65
52w Low52w High
76.01134.87
Last Week
⁦+1.13%⁩
Last Month
⁦+8.66%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-3.37%⁩
Last Year
⁦+45.14%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$122
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$150
⁦+23%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$150–$155⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-69.16
⁦-156%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-69.16–$150⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$151.67
⁦+23.9%⁩
Current Price $122.41·Median $150.00
Low
$150.00
High
$155.00
Current price
$122.41
Average target
$151.67
Street summary

Broad-based rise in price targets while valuations remain unchanged

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose from 143.33 on 2026-09-04 to 151.67, an increase of 8.34 or 5.82% over seven days, and from 140 to 151.67 over 30 days, an increase of 11.67 or 8.34%. The number of analysts remained unchanged at three, indicating that the improvement resulted from higher estimates rather than an expansion of the coverage base. The current range is between 150 and 155, with a median of 150, reflecting relatively limited dispersion around the consensus.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+8.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.22
Buy
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
89%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
4%
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
3
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.78 → 4.22
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-04-30
    Barclays
    Overweight· $150.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    26.44x
    4.61x36.85x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    11.52x
    3.86x30.86x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.43x
    2.86x22.90x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    0.7%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    80.5%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -53.3%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    4.9%
    9.2%67.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    8.9%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.24x
    0.61x4.86x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    2.3%
    0.9%8.3%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    60.5%
    15.9%176.6%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Bunge Global S.A. operates through an integrated global platform for sourcing grains and oilseeds, processing them, refining oils, marketing products, and transporting them to food, feed, and fuel customers. Its operating earnings are distributed across soybean processing and refining, softseed processing and refining, tropical oils and specialty ingredients, grain merchandising and milling, as well as ocean freight and commercial services. The integration of Viterra's assets expanded origination, processing, and distribution capabilities, particularly in Argentina, Canada, and Europe, and also doubled ocean freight fleet flows, according to management on the July 29, 2026 call.

In Q2 fiscal year 2026, revenue was $24.04 billion and adjusted earnings per share were $2.00, both exceeding expectations, while reported earnings per share were $3.47 versus $2.61 in the comparative fiscal year 2025 period. Adjusted segment earnings before interest and taxes rose to $796 million from $373 million, an increase of approximately 113%, benefiting from strong soybean and softseed processing across multiple regions. The reported result included a positive mark-to-market timing difference of $1.67 per share and a negative impact of $0.20 per share from Viterra transaction and integration costs, explaining the substantial gap between reported and adjusted earnings.

EDGAR filings for Q1 fiscal year 2026 showed revenue of $21.9 billion, gross profit of $766 million, net income of $68 million, and earnings per share of $0.35. On a trailing-twelve-month basis ending in fiscal year 2026, revenue was $115.1 billion, gross profit was $3.6 billion, net income was $683 million, and earnings per share were approximately $3.49. Fiscal year 2025 recorded revenue of $70.3 billion, gross profit of $3.4 billion, net income of $816 million, and earnings per share of $4.91.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 29, 2026, management raised adjusted earnings per share guidance for fiscal year 2026 to a range of $9.25–$9.75, compared with the previous range of $9.00–$9.50, following strong Q2 fiscal year 2026 results and an improved outlook for soybean and softseed processing.
  • Adjusted segment earnings before interest and taxes were $796 million in Q2 fiscal year 2026, versus $373 million in the comparative period, while adjusted earnings per share rose to $2.00 from $1.31. Soybean value chains in North America and South America led the improvement, while softseed results increased across all regions.
  • Viterra integration cost savings are progressing faster than planned after Bunge raised its savings target from $250 million to $350 million. Viterra's assets added production capacity in Argentina, Canada, and Europe and expanded soybean, grain, and softseed origination, while management indicated that the initial integration benefits were becoming visible in the earnings trend during the trailing twelve months ending in fiscal year 2026.
  • Growth projects with defined timelines are advancing: the expanded barge unloading unit in Destrehan was scheduled to begin operations during August 2026, and the multi-seed processing plant was scheduled to begin operations near the end of Q3 fiscal year 2026, while the Morristown soy protein concentrate plant began production but had not yet reached full capacity. The Westhaven specialty ingredients and refined oils project in the Netherlands also remained targeted for the end of Q1 fiscal year 2027.
  • Bunge strengthened its participation in sustainable aviation fuel and renewable diesel through an agreement to supply certified soybean oil to Acelen, and a partnership with Petrobras and Vibra to supply Brazilian feedstocks certified under Low-LUC CORSIA. These agreements support the processing network's ability to benefit from demand for renewable feedstocks, alongside clarity regarding RVO requirements in the United States and higher biodiesel blending rates in other countries.
  • The business generated approximately $1.3 billion in adjusted funds from operations from the beginning of fiscal year 2026 through the end of Q2 and produced approximately $1.1 billion in discretionary cash flow after $238 million in sustaining capital expenditures. During the same period, Bunge paid $275 million in dividends, spent $541 million on growth and productivity projects, and completed the $2 billion share repurchase commitment associated with the Viterra transaction.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The surge in operating earnings supports the case for a cyclical improvement: adjusted segment earnings before interest and taxes rose by approximately 113% in Q2 fiscal year 2026, and management reported the strongest global soybean processing margins in six quarters, with improvement in the United States, Argentina, Brazil, and Asia.
  • +The Viterra integration provides tangible diversification across crops and regions, with additional soybean capacity in Argentina, softseed capacity in Argentina, Canada, and Europe, and a broader grain merchandising network. This supports the $350 million cost-savings target, in addition to commercial and network opportunities for which management has not provided a final figure.
  • +Capital allocation combines investment with shareholder returns; discretionary cash flow over the trailing twelve months was $1.7 billion, and cash return on equity was 10.8% versus a 7.2% cost of equity. Adjusted return on invested capital was also 8.4%, rising to 9.3% after adjusting for construction in progress and excess cash.
  • +Liquidity gives Bunge the capacity to finance inventory and projects during periods of volatility; committed credit facilities totaled $9.7 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal year 2026, of which $8.8 billion was unused, in addition to $2.4 billion available under a $3 billion commercial paper program. At the same time, the adjusted leverage ratio was 1.9 times.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $143.33, within a relatively wide range of $130 to $150, compared with a 52-week share-price range of $76.01 to $134.87; accordingly, the average target and the highest target are above the top of the 52-week range, while the lowest target falls within that range. The “Buy” consensus is supported by improved Q2 fiscal year 2026 earnings and the increase in adjusted earnings per share guidance to $9.25–$9.75, but the absence of an available price-to-earnings multiple in the data and the wide target range warrant caution, particularly given weak grain merchandising, higher interest expense, and Viterra integration costs.

BuyAnalyst target: $143.33(+17.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove BG's results in Q2 fiscal year 2026?

Revenue in Q2 fiscal year 2026 was approximately $24.04 billion, and adjusted earnings per share were $2.00 versus $1.31 in the comparative period. Adjusted segment earnings before interest and taxes rose to $796 million from $373 million, led by soybean processing in North America and South America and improved softseed results across all regions. Reported earnings per share were $3.47, but included a positive revaluation timing difference of $1.67 per share and a negative impact of $0.20 from Viterra costs.

How did Viterra change Bunge's earnings model?

Viterra expanded Bunge's crop origination, processing, and distribution network, adding an important balance of soybean capacity in Argentina and softseed capacity in Argentina, Canada, and Europe. Management said on July 29, 2026 that the integrated platform deals directly with more farmers and has more options to redirect flows among processing, distribution, and export channels, while ocean freight fleet flows also doubled. The company raised its cost-savings target from $250 million to $350 million, confirming that execution was ahead of plan.

What is Bunge's guidance for fiscal year 2026?

Bunge raised adjusted earnings per share guidance for fiscal year 2026 to $9.25–$9.75, from $9.00–$9.50 in the previous outlook. The company expects higher results in soybean processing and refining and slightly higher results in softseeds, offset by lower results in grain merchandising and milling. It also maintained its expectations for an adjusted tax rate of 22%–26%, net interest expense of $620–$660 million, capital expenditures of $1.5–$1.7 billion, and depreciation and amortization of approximately $975 million.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Visibility for the second half of fiscal year 2026 remains limited, particularly in Q4, due to geopolitical tensions, shifting trade flows, and changing weather conditions. Management explained that volatility associated with conflicts in the Black Sea and the Middle East reduced volumes and margins and encouraged end customers to purchase on a short-term basis, which could make achieving guidance more sensitive to actual market developments and margin curves.
  • −Bunge lowered its expectations for fiscal year 2026 Grain Merchandising and Milling segment results compared with its previous outlook, as the difficult trading environment persists due to abundant grain supplies and the supply-demand balance. In Q2 fiscal year 2026, improvements in ocean freight, commercial services, cotton, and wheat milling only partially offset weakness in global grain merchandising and sugar.
  • −The improvement in processing margins is not evenly distributed geographically; the United States was the primary driver of higher soybean margin assumptions for the second half of fiscal year 2026, while Brazil declined slightly and Europe and Asia remained unchanged. Management also indicated that higher energy costs in Argentina are partially offsetting the improvement there, and that part of the strength in spot softseed margins came after a portion of available capacity had already been committed.
  • −The refined oils business faces pressure from food customers that have shortened their purchasing horizons, with some shifting to lower-value products in response to consumer behavior. Management also said that refining results were lower in the United States and Europe and that European biodiesel performance declined, limiting these businesses' ability to benefit from strong processing conditions.
  • −The post-Viterra expansion carries financial and execution burdens; corporate expenses rose due to the addition of Viterra, and transaction and integration costs had a negative impact of $0.20 per share in Q2 fiscal year 2026. Net interest expense also rose to $154 million for the quarter, and management expects $620–$660 million for fiscal year 2026, with capital expenditures between $1.5 billion and $1.7 billion and management's estimate leaning toward the upper end of the range.
  • −Agricultural supply chains remain exposed to weather, fertilizer, and regulatory policy; management identified phosphate as a factor to monitor in Brazil and Argentina because of its potential effect on agricultural investment and yields, and also linked part of the economics of oils and oilseeds to RVO requirements and U.S. exemption decisions. Shifts in Australian canola exports to China, the delayed implementation of B16 in Brazil, and any disruption to Black Sea exports, which according to management represent approximately 25% of global wheat exports, could affect regional volumes and margins.
Which growth projects could add production capacity to BG?

On the July 29, 2026 call, management said the expanded barge unloading unit in Destrehan was scheduled to begin operations during August 2026 and that the multi-seed processing plant was targeted for near the end of Q3 fiscal year 2026. The Morristown soy protein concentrate plant began operating, but was still in the production ramp-up and customer qualification phase, while the Avondale refined tropical oils expansion was targeted for the period following the call. The Westhaven project in the Netherlands remained targeted for the end of Q1 fiscal year 2027, with expectations of adding greater refined oils and specialty ingredients capabilities in Europe.

How is Bunge exposed to the renewable fuel market?

Bunge signed an agreement in Brazil to supply certified soybean oil to Acelen for use in sustainable aviation fuel and renewable diesel. It also entered into a partnership with Petrobras and Vibra to supply Brazilian feedstocks certified under Low-LUC CORSIA for the production and marketing of sustainable aviation fuel. U.S. RVO requirements and higher biodiesel blending rates support demand for oils, but management also noted that exemption decisions and subsequent policies remain factors to monitor.

Does Bunge have sufficient liquidity to finance the integration and investment?

Committed credit facilities totaled $9.7 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal year 2026, with approximately $8.8 billion unused. The $3 billion commercial paper program also had $2.4 billion available, and the adjusted leverage ratio was 1.9 times. From the beginning of fiscal year 2026 through the end of Q2, the company generated approximately $1.3 billion in adjusted funds from operations, but it also expects capital expenditures of $1.5–$1.7 billion and may require additional working capital financing in the second half.