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Stocks
Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.
BFH

BFH Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.

Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
106.37
▼ ⁦-0.46%⁩ (-0.49)
Market Cap$4.3B
Beta1.14
52w Low52w High
53.83114.53
Last Week
⁦-0.10%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.88%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+18.29%⁩
Last Year
⁦+69.24%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Better than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
95
8.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
33
1.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
89
——Top tier
▸
Safety
22
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
66
0.85%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
96
73.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
66
11▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$106
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$115
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$104–$132⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$705
⁦+563%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.4⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$115–$705⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$116.55
⁦+9.6%⁩
Current Price $106.37·Median $115.00
Low
$104.00
High
$132.00
Current price
$106.37
Average target
$116.55
Street summary

A slight improvement in consensus with clear divergence

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose by 2.05, or 1.79%, over the last 30 days, from 114.50 to 116.55, while the number of analysts remained at 6. In contrast, consensus declined very slightly over the last day and last 7 days by 0.15, or 0.13%, indicating greater stability in the near-term outlook rather than a sharp shift. Consensus stands at 116.55 versus a current price of 106.37, while the range is between 104 and 132, reflecting notable divergence in estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.47
Hold
Analyst coverage
17
Buy conviction
53%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
26%
Analyst ratings over time17 analysts rating
1
8
7
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.28 → 3.47
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    Wells Fargo
    Outperform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-25
    Wolfe Research
    PositiveOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    8.28x
    3.16x25.26x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.14x
    2.76x22.06x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.98x
    3.07x24.55x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    53.5%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.2%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    119.5%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    61.1%
    23.5%98.3%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    8.1%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.8%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    7.7%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (BFH) provides credit and payment solutions to brands and partners across sectors including travel, entertainment, sporting goods, and furniture. Revenue generation relies on its credit card and loan portfolio, interchange and merchant discount fees, and the Bread Pay platform, with a portion of revenue and profits shared with retail partners through RSA arrangements. In fiscal Q2 2026, average loans reached $18.2 billion, while the ending balance reached $18.5 billion, and direct-to-consumer deposits represented 50% of the funding mix.

In fiscal Q2 2026, the company reported revenue of $1.2 billion, net income of $146 million, and diluted earnings per share of $3.55. Revenue increased 7% year over year, and net income rose 5%, while adjusted PPNR grew 11% and reported PPNR grew 14%; results benefited from loan growth, prior pricing changes, lower interest expense, and higher interchange and merchant discount fees. Net interest margin was 18.5%, while the provided data did not include a comparable gross profit margin.

The growth mix was broad in fiscal Q2 2026; credit sales increased 11% year over year, supported by co-brand programs in travel, entertainment, and sporting goods, partnerships with Raymour & Flanigan, Furniture First, and Ethan Allen, Bread Pay with Vivint, and the launch of the Ford program. Ending loan balances increased 5%, while direct-to-consumer deposits grew 16% to $9.4 billion, reducing relative reliance on other funding sources and supporting a lower cost of funds.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Bread Financial raised its fiscal 2026 outlook for growth in average credit card and other loans to a low- to mid-single-digit range, compared with a prior outlook in the low-single-digit range, and also raised its revenue growth outlook to the same range, primarily supported by average loan growth.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Credit performance improved clearly in fiscal Q2 2026; the delinquency rate declined 48 basis points year over year to 5.25%, and net losses fell 90 basis points to 6.98%. Accordingly, the company improved its fiscal 2026 net loss outlook to 7.0%–7.1% from a prior range of 7.2%–7.4%.
  • The expansion of new and existing partnerships increased credit sales by 11% in fiscal Q2 2026, with named contributions from Ford, Raymour & Flanigan, Furniture First, Ethan Allen, and the Bread Pay platform with Vivint. This momentum translated into 3% growth in average loans to $18.2 billion and 5% growth in ending loans to $18.5 billion.
  • Direct-to-consumer deposits strengthened funding; they increased 16% year over year to $9.4 billion and became 50% of the mix, compared with 45% a year earlier. At the end of fiscal Q2 2026, deposits represented 80% of total funding, while liquid assets and undrawn facilities reached $6.7 billion, or approximately 30% of total assets.
  • The company repurchased 2.8 million shares for $241 million, equivalent to 7% of outstanding common shares, during fiscal Q2 2026, with $449 million remaining under the authorization. However, management explained that the pace of repurchases will slow in fiscal Q3 2026 as more capital is directed toward funding loan growth.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Operating performance combined 7% revenue growth with 11% adjusted PPNR growth in fiscal Q2 2026, while non-interest expenses remained nearly stable on a reported basis and increased only 3% after excluding the impact of the debt repurchase.
    • +Improving portfolio quality supports earnings and reserves; the delinquency rate declined to 5.25%, and net losses fell to 6.98%, while 65% of cardholders had prime credit scores above 650. Management also expects the net loss rate to improve by approximately another 30 basis points in fiscal Q3 2026 compared with Q2.
    • +The growing funding base provides greater flexibility, with direct-to-consumer deposits reaching $9.4 billion, the CET1 ratio reaching 12.9%, and loss absorption capacity equivalent to 24.6% of total loans at the end of fiscal Q2 2026.
    • +Diversified partnerships provide specific growth drivers instead of reliance on a single new program; momentum came from travel, entertainment, sporting goods, furniture, Bread Pay with Vivint, and the launch of the Ford program. This resulted in 11% credit sales growth and 5% ending loan growth in fiscal Q2 2026.
    • +Tangible book value per share increased 22% year over year to $63.66 in fiscal Q2 2026, alongside the repurchase of 7% of outstanding shares. This indicates strong capital generation, with $449 million remaining available under the repurchase authorization, although the pace will depend on loan growth requirements.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The credit outlook depends on continued consumer resilience and labor market stability; the company maintained cautious weightings for negative economic scenarios because of inflation, global conflicts, and fuel prices. Management explained that deteriorating economic conditions could delay reaching a net loss target of approximately 6%, which is expected on a path extending toward fiscal 2028 if the economy remains stable.
    • −Credit sales growth may slow after increasing 11% in fiscal Q2 2026; management indicated that July 2026 showed a broad pullback from the strength of June 2026 and that second-half comparisons will become more difficult as furniture programs launched in the second half of fiscal 2025 begin to enter the comparison base.
    • −The fiscal 2026 outlook includes revenue growth in the low- to mid-single-digit range, which is slower than the 7% increase in Q2. The company also expects net interest margin to be only stable to slightly higher compared with fiscal 2025, as the impact of pricing changes fades and pressure from lower late fees and a mix shift toward lower-yielding products emerges.
    • −RSA payments to retail partners will increase in fiscal Q3 2026 and over the longer term as a percentage of credit sales because of higher sales, improved program profitability, and increased revenue sharing with partners. Management also expects expenses to increase sequentially in fiscal Q3 and Q4 2026 due to growth costs and investments in technology and artificial intelligence, increasing the execution burden required to maintain positive operating leverage.
    • −The provision for credit losses increased on a comparative basis because the reserve release was only $3 million in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with $74 million a year earlier, with the difference primarily related to growth in ending loans. Accelerating loan growth could require additional reserve building and limit net income and return on tangible equity even as delinquency ratios improve.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus rating on BFH is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $116.7 and a relatively wide range of $104 to $132, reflecting differing assessments of the sustainability of loan growth and credit improvement. The average target is slightly above the 52-week range high of $114.53, while the stock’s full range extends from $53.83 to $114.53; the provided data does not include a usable earnings multiple, so the valuation assessment remains more dependent on execution of the fiscal 2026 outlook and macroeconomic risks than on a reported earnings multiple.

    HoldAnalyst target: $116.7(+9.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove BFH’s results in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Bread Financial generated approximately $1.2 billion in revenue, $146 million in net income, and $3.55 in diluted earnings per share in fiscal Q2 2026. Revenue increased 7%, driven by average loan growth, prior pricing changes, lower interest expense, and higher interchange and merchant discount fees. Adjusted PPNR also grew 11%, while credit sales increased 11% and ending loans grew 5%.

    How did credit quality change at Bread Financial?

    The delinquency rate declined to 5.25% in fiscal Q2 2026, improving by 48 basis points year over year, while the net loss rate fell to 6.98%, an improvement of 90 basis points. The reserve rate was 11.23%, down 66 basis points, with 65% of cardholders above a prime credit score of 650. The company raised its fiscal 2026 credit outlook by lowering the expected net loss range to 7.0%–7.1% from 7.2%–7.4% previously.

    What are the key growth partnerships supporting BFH?

    Fiscal Q2 2026 growth came from existing co-brand programs, particularly in travel, entertainment, and sporting goods, and from the company’s expansion in the furniture sector. Management named Raymour & Flanigan, Furniture First, and Ethan Allen as clear contributors, alongside the launch of the Ford program. Bread Pay also achieved solid growth, particularly through its partnership with Vivint, and this mix helped increase credit sales by 11%.

    How important are direct-to-consumer deposits to Bread Financial’s balance sheet?

    Direct-to-consumer deposits increased 16% year over year to $9.4 billion in fiscal Q2 2026. They represented 50% of the funding mix, compared with 45% a year earlier, while total deposits accounted for 80% of funding at period-end. Liquid assets and undrawn facilities reached $6.7 billion, or approximately 30% of total assets, providing liquidity to fund loan growth and withstand volatility in the economic environment.

    What is Bread Financial’s outlook for fiscal 2026?

    Management expects average credit card and other loans to grow in the low- to mid-single-digit range compared with fiscal 2025, after the prior outlook called for a low-single-digit range. It expects similar revenue growth, a stable to slightly higher net interest margin, and positive operating leverage after excluding the pre-tax impact of the debt repurchase. It also targets a net loss rate between 7.0% and 7.1% and a normalized effective tax rate between 25% and 27%.

    Will Bread Financial continue repurchasing shares at the same pace?

    The company repurchased 2.8 million common shares for $241 million in fiscal Q2 2026, equivalent to 7% of outstanding shares, with $449 million remaining under the authorization. It also issued $135 million of preferred shares at an 8.875% yield to improve its capital structure. However, management said the pace of repurchases will slow in fiscal Q3 2026 because seasonal loan growth will consume a larger share of capital, and it outlined a plan to repurchase $25 million during July 2026.

  • −Insider activity recorded one sale totaling a net $297,348.24 during the three months ended with the latest transaction on July 28, 2026, with no recorded purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the provided data does not include evidence to the contrary.