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Stocks
KE Holdings Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall39
Weak — below market medianSucker StockF 3/8Better than 39% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
33
27.3x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
54
-14.0%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
27
2.1%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
44
4.0x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
63
0.72%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
49
-8.3%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
82
10▲3Top tier
BEKE

BEKE KE Holdings Inc.

KE Holdings Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
16.93
▲ ⁦+1.44%⁩ (+0.24)
Market Cap$18.7B
Beta-0.33
52w Low52w High
13.8120.98
Last Week
⁦-5.47%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.08%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.99%⁩
Last Year
⁦-4.83%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$17
Analyst target · 17 analysts
$23
⁦+38%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$21–$24⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 17 analysts setting price target
$23.05
⁦+36.1%⁩
Current Price $16.93·Median $23.40
Low
$21.00
High
$24.40
Current price
$16.93
Average target
$23.05
Street summary

Slight Increase in Average Price Target

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose over the last 30 days from 22.85 to 23.05, an increase of 0.88%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days. The range also remained between 21 and 24.4, with a median of 23.4 from 17 analysts, indicating relatively limited dispersion and recent stability in estimates. The large increase in the number of analysts over the last day does not reflect a change in the average, but rather an expansion in the number of coverages in the current snapshot.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.26
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦23 (+16)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
96%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
20%
Analyst ratings over time23 analysts rating
7
15
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.08 → 4.26
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-21
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    CLSA
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-05-20
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    27.32x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    37.16x
    3.68x29.40x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    -0.8%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -14.0%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Weak
  • EPS Growth YoY
    172.6%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    24.0%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    2.1%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.02x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.7%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    32.0%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-21 data

Company Overview

KE Holdings operates a housing services platform that brings together existing-home and new-home transactions, home renovation and furnishing, rental management, and other emerging businesses. Revenue generation depends on brokerage and transaction services, platform fees recognized on a net basis for a portion of non-Lianjia transactions, renovation services, and the Carefree Rent product; the number of managed rental units exceeded 790 thousand by the end of FY2026 Q2. The company is transforming ACN from a unified property-listing channel into an ecosystem encompassing consulting, viewings, contracting, marketing, renovation, and leasing, while using artificial intelligence for data organization, customer matching, and agent support.

In FY2026 Q2, gross transaction value increased 6.3% year over year, while revenue declined 5.7% due to adjustments in the home renovation and furnishing business and the impact of the shift to net revenue recognition models. Existing-home revenue totaled 7.02 billion yuan, new-home revenue 8.95 billion yuan, home renovation and furnishing revenue 3.19 billion yuan, rental revenue 4.83 billion yuan, and emerging and other businesses revenue 550 million yuan. Gross margin increased 6.7 percentage points to 28.6%, GAAP operating profit rose 185.6% to 3.026 billion yuan, while GAAP net income nearly doubled to 2.624 billion yuan and adjusted net margin reached 13%.

On an annual basis, FY2025 revenue increased to 94.6 billion dollars from 93.5 billion dollars in FY2024, but gross profit declined from 22.9 billion dollars to 20.2 billion dollars, net income fell from 4.1 billion dollars to 3.0 billion dollars, and earnings per share dropped from 1.15 to 0.86. This shows that the improvement in FY2026 Q2 margins followed a fiscal year marked by limited revenue growth and declining profitability, making the sustainability of cost reductions and improvements in the business mix a central focus of the analysis.

What's Driving the Stock

  • BEKE's FY2026 Q2 earnings per share exceeded the average analyst estimate by 35%, leading to a rating upgrade from “Hold” to “Buy” on August 24, 2026, with group-wide cost reductions serving as a key factor behind the outperformance.
  • Gross transaction value for existing homes increased 8% year over year to 629.89 billion yuan, and transaction volume rose nearly 25% despite the number of active stores and agents remaining approximately stable, while average transactions per active connected store increased 26%. Revenue from non-Lianjia platform services also grew 27.8%, and the contribution margin of this business increased 6.1 percentage points to 46.1%.
  • The new-home business maintained limited growth in a pressured market; gross transaction value increased 1.2% year over year to 258.39 billion yuan, revenue rose 3.8% to 8.95 billion yuan, and contribution margin improved 4.4 percentage points to 28.8% due to project selection and improvements in conversion and costs.
  • The shift to a lighter model in Carefree Rent increased the number of managed units by approximately 34% year over year to more than 790 thousand units, and products recognized on a net basis came to represent more than 50% of the portfolio. Despite a 14.8% decline in rental revenue, its contribution margin increased 6.9 percentage points to 15.3%, with the landlord renewal rate reaching 74% and the tenant renewal rate reaching 56%.
  • Cost efficiency drove a significant expansion in profitability: GAAP operating expenses declined 14.1% to 3.989 billion yuan, store costs fell 25.9% to 560 million yuan, and adjusted operating profit increased 123.6% to 3.592 billion yuan. Operating cash flow totaled 6.61 billion yuan, with a substantial cash balance of 67.3 billion yuan at the end of FY2026 Q2.
  • The company spent approximately 250 million dollars on share repurchases during FY2026 Q2 and approximately 460 million dollars during the first half, equivalent to about 2.4% of the shares outstanding at the end of FY2025. From the program's launch in September 2022 through the end of the quarter, cumulative purchases totaled approximately 2.99 billion dollars, equivalent to 14.8% of the share count before the program began.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Existing-home transactions show operational gains that extend beyond a mere market improvement; connected-store transaction volume grew nearly 30% year over year and active-store productivity increased 26% without an expansion in network size, alongside the business's contribution margin reaching 46.1%.
  • +The lower cost base gave the company clear operating leverage in FY2026 Q2; despite a 5.7% decline in revenue, GAAP net income increased 100.8% and GAAP operating profit rose 185.6%.
  • +The substantial liquidity of 67.3 billion yuan and operating cash flow of 6.61 billion yuan provide the capacity to withstand real estate volatility, fund business development, and continue repurchasing shares without relying on a rapid market recovery.
  • +The shift toward specialized, AI-powered services could increase conversion and agent productivity; the customer manager role handled more than 50 thousand opportunities between May and July 2026 and achieved an opportunity-to-viewing conversion rate of 7.4% versus 5% for the broader market.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is 23.05 dollars, within a range of 21 to 24.4 dollars, and the stock carries a consensus “Buy” rating following a published upgrade from “Hold” to “Buy” on August 24, 2026. The average target and the highest target are above the 52-week range high of 20.98 dollars, compared with a low of 13.81 dollars, reflecting analyst expectations for continued improvement in profitability. No valid price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation assessment is based on the target range and the expansion of FY2026 Q2 margins, balanced against the decline in FY2025 net income and real estate market and collection risks.

BuyAnalyst target: $23.05(+36.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove BEKE's FY2026 Q2 earnings to exceed expectations?

Earnings per share exceeded the average analyst estimate by 35%, with GAAP net income increasing 100.8% to 2.624 billion yuan. Gross margin increased 6.7 percentage points to 28.6%, while GAAP operating expenses declined 14.1% to 3.989 billion yuan. Lower store costs and an improved mix of platform, renovation, and rental services helped adjusted net margin reach 13%, the highest level in three years according to management.

Has KE Holdings' existing-home business returned to growth?

Gross transaction value for existing homes totaled 629.89 billion yuan in FY2026 Q2, up 8% year over year and 17.9% quarter over quarter. Revenue increased 4.5% year over year to 7.02 billion yuan, while transaction volume grew nearly 25% and average transactions per active connected store increased 26%. Contribution margin improved to 46.1%, supported by lower fixed labor costs and a greater share of higher-margin non-Lianjia platform services revenue.

Why did home renovation and furnishing revenue decline despite the improvement in its margin?

The business's revenue declined 30.1% year over year to 3.19 billion yuan in FY2026 Q2 after the company exited cities, stores, and customer acquisition channels with weak unit economics. Lower new-home deliveries also pressured demand, while competitors used price reductions and high channel incentives. In contrast, centralized procurement and cost management increased contribution margin by 7.5 percentage points to 39.6%, and management said the broad-based contraction had been largely completed during FY2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
KE Holdings' performance remains tied to the Chinese real estate market, which management described as still being in an adjustment phase characterized by continued pressure in the new-home market and an uneven recovery across cities and segments, while prices across various tiers remained in correction during FY2026 Q2.
  • −Home renovation and furnishing revenue declined 30.1% year over year to 3.19 billion yuan due to exits from cities and customer acquisition channels with weak unit economics and lower demand associated with declining new-home deliveries. The company also faces competitors using price reductions and high channel incentives to attract existing-home customers, and management did not provide a numerical timeline for a revenue recovery.
  • −Rental services revenue declined 14.8% year over year to 4.83 billion yuan as Carefree Rent shifted to a lighter model based on net accounting recognition. Despite improved margins and growth in managed units, management linked sustainable profitability to reducing unit turnover and reletting costs and increasing renewal rates, operating conditions that growth in unit count alone does not guarantee.
  • −Developer credit and collection risk remains present in the new-home business; the company recorded a full bad-debt provision of approximately 280 million yuan in FY2026 Q2 following a conservative assessment of receivables and collateral value. Although the collection cycle for new-home receivables improved by approximately 12 days to about 39 days, management emphasized the need to maintain strict payment terms and avoid unreasonable risks when growing gross transaction value.
  • −The jump in FY2026 Q2 margins should not be extrapolated automatically; management said that marketing channel incentives and front-end sales costs may fluctuate depending on revenue scale, mix, and seasonality. The annual statements reinforce this caution, as FY2025 revenue increased by only approximately 1.2%, while net income declined by approximately 26.8% and earnings per share fell from 1.15 to 0.86.
  • −Artificial intelligence may reduce the value of agents' traditional role in conveying static information, which the chief executive acknowledged when stating that information such as the number of rooms, price, and year of construction has become readily accessible. The company is betting on offsetting this through deeper services, specialized data, and AI-powered human roles, but management described the ultimate form of artificial intelligence and its associated management and expertise structures as still unresolved.
  • How does the new Carefree Rent model affect KE Holdings' figures?

    The transition to a lighter product that recognizes revenue on a net basis led rental revenue to decline 14.8% year over year to 4.83 billion yuan in FY2026 Q2. At the same time, managed units exceeded 790 thousand, representing growth of approximately 34%, and products recognized on a net basis came to represent more than half of the portfolio. Contribution margin increased to 15.3%, and the landlord renewal rate reached 74% and the tenant renewal rate reached 56%, but management linked the sustainability of the improvement to reducing reletting, labor, and channel costs.

    What role does artificial intelligence play in KE Holdings' strategy?

    KE Holdings uses artificial intelligence to organize customer data, compare new-home projects through a dynamic knowledge base, allocate tasks, and support the customer manager, whose income is not tied to closing a transaction. Between May and July 2026, this role handled more than 50 thousand opportunities and achieved an opportunity-to-viewing conversion rate of 7.4% versus 5% for the broader market. The company plans to invest in deep service, deep data, and the platform ecosystem, while acknowledging that the ultimate form of artificial intelligence and its associated management structure are still being tested.

    How strong are BEKE's cash position and share repurchase program?

    Operating cash flow totaled 6.61 billion yuan in FY2026 Q2, and the broad cash balance excluding customer deposits stood at approximately 67.3 billion yuan. The company spent approximately 250 million dollars on share repurchases during the quarter and approximately 460 million dollars during the first half, equivalent to about 2.4% of the shares outstanding at the end of FY2025. From September 2022 through the end of FY2026 Q2, total purchases reached approximately 2.99 billion dollars, representing approximately 14.8% of the share count before the program was launched.