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Home
Stocks
Barclays PLC
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall50
Balanced — near the middle of the marketSuper StockF 6/8Better than 50% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
58
9.6x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
81
—7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
54
——Around median
▸
Safety
8
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
36
0.45%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
81
40.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
33
2▼3Bottom tier
BCS

BCS Barclays PLC

Barclays PLC · NYSE
Market Closed
26.70
▲ ⁦+1.87%⁩ (+0.49)
Market Cap$90.0B
Beta0.88
52w Low52w High
19.2928.69
Last Week
⁦+1.91%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.09%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.94%⁩
Last Year
⁦+31.46%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$27
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$58
—
Range ⁦$58–$58⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$58.00
⁦+117.2%⁩
Current Price $26.70·Median $58.00
Low
$58.00
High
$58.00
Street summary

A Major Jump in the Target with Mixed Valuation Signals

The price-target consensus remained at 58 over the past day and seven days, with seven analysts; the highest target, lowest target, and median were all 58, indicating no apparent dispersion in the current data. However, compared with August 11, the consensus rose from 20 to 58, an increase of 38 points or 190%, with no change in the number of analysts; this is a major jump that warrants caution when interpreting the confidence level.\n\nThe latest ratings include Barclays moving from Neutral to Overweight on September 8, versus Morgan Stanley changing from Overweight to Positive on September 2, classified as a downgrade. Annual estimates show average revenue rising from 41.9 billion to 46.7 billion, and average earnings per share from 2.8227 to 4.3445 between 2026 and 2029, but the number of EPS analysts falls to one analyst in 2028 and 2029; therefore, the outlook appears more optimistic in the targets and estimates, while the degree of certainty remains limited and mixed.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+190.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 2↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
2
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.67 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Barclays
    NeutralOverweight
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-02
    Morgan Stanley
    OverweightPositive
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-01
    Barclays
    OverweightNeutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    9.58x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    —
    —
  • EPS Growth YoY
    —
    —
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.4%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Barclays PLC is a diversified banking group that generates income from retail and corporate banking in the United Kingdom, wealth management and investment, investment banking, and digital consumer credit in the United States. Income drivers include net interest income from loans, deposits, and the structural hedge; markets and financing income; advisory and capital markets fees; and credit cards and consumer loans. In the United States, the bank operates a fully digital platform serving more than 25 million customers without branches and added direct lending capabilities through the Best Egg acquisition completed in May 2026.

In fiscal year 2025, revenue reached $11.1 billion, compared with $10.7 billion in fiscal year 2024, representing growth of approximately 3.7%, while net income rose from $6.4 billion to $7.2 billion, or about 12.5%. Earnings per share increased from 0.348 in fiscal year 2024 to 0.423 in fiscal year 2025. This continues the revenue growth trajectory from $9.5 billion in fiscal year 2022 to $10.0 billion in fiscal year 2023 and then $10.7 billion in fiscal year 2024.

In fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, group income rose 16% year over year to £8.3 billion, profit before tax increased by more than 30% to £3.3 billion, and earnings per share rose 43% to 16.7 pence. Return on tangible equity reached 16.1%, and the cost-to-income ratio improved to 54% from 59%, with a CET1 capital ratio of 14.3%. By business mix, Barclays U.K. delivered a tangible return of 20.4% and income growth of 7%, the U.K. Corporate Bank recorded a return of 21.3% and income growth of 8%, Investment Banking generated a return of 16%, while the U.S. Consumer Bank delivered a return of 10.5% excluding the gain from the sale of the American Airlines portfolio.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 28, 2026, management raised its fiscal year 2026 group income target to approximately £31.5 billion, compared with the original target of approximately £30 billion, and reaffirmed its target for return on tangible equity of more than 12% in fiscal year 2026 and more than 14% in fiscal year 2028.
  • The strength of the Investment Bank supported fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 results; markets income rose 17% in dollar terms, equities income jumped 44%, investment banking fees grew 30%, advisory fees increased 51%, and equity capital markets income rose 91%. Equities now account for 32% of Investment Bank income, compared with 22% in fiscal year 2023, reflecting diversification away from greater reliance on fixed income.
  • The U.K. businesses continue to expand volumes; U.K. lending grew 5% year over year, U.K. corporate lending rose 12%, and mortgage completions reached £10 billion during fiscal year 2026 quarter 2. Barclays U.K. generated net interest income of £2 billion, up 8%, while net interest income at the U.K. Corporate Bank rose 15%.
  • Barclays completed the acquisition of Best Egg in May 2026, adding approximately £11 billion of managed balances and consumer lending capabilities, and also announced a partnership to make card products available within Samsung Wallet in the United States. Excluding the gain from the sale of the American Airlines portfolio, U.S. Consumer Bank income grew 11% in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, with a net interest margin of 13.2%.
  • On July 28, 2026, the bank announced a £1 billion share buyback and an £800 million interim dividend, bringing total distributions for the first half of fiscal year 2026 to £2.3 billion, up 61% year over year. Total distributions announced since fiscal year 2024 reached approximately £9 billion, compared with a target of more than £10 billion by the end of fiscal year 2026.
  • The bank achieved total efficiency savings of approximately £350 million during the first half of fiscal year 2026, including £200 million in quarter 2. Management intends to spend up to £500 million on structural cost actions in the second half of fiscal year 2026, with an expected return of approximately 100% within 12 months and total savings exceeding £2 billion over the plan period.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 results combine 16% income growth, an increase of more than 30% in profit before tax, and 43% growth in earnings per share, with the cost-to-income ratio improving by five percentage points to 54%; this indicates genuine operating leverage that does not depend solely on volume growth.
  • +The diversification of earnings sources is improving; more stable income streams from financing, markets, retail, and corporate banking rose to £5.9 billion in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, compared with £4.6 billion two years earlier, while the three U.K. businesses delivered returns on tangible equity exceeding 20%.
  • +The structural hedge provides multi-year support for net interest income; it accounted for approximately 45% of group net interest income in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, and management expects it to drive approximately half of group income growth from fiscal year 2025 to fiscal year 2028. Planning was based on a reinvestment yield of 3.5%, while the swap rate reached 4.3% in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2.
  • +Capital strength supports the bank's ability to combine growth and distributions; the CET1 ratio stood at 14.3% before accounting for the impact of the buyback, the liquidity coverage ratio was 158%, and the net stable funding ratio was 136%. Tangible book value per share also rose 10% year over year to 423 pence.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $20 and both the highest and lowest targets at $20, making the consensus extremely narrow and unrepresentative of a range of valuation estimates. This target is only $0.71 above the 52-week range low of $19.29 and approximately 30% below the high of $28.69; therefore, the consensus signal appears more conservative than the verbal “Buy” rating, particularly after the downgrade to “Hold” on August 3, 2026, due to cost concerns.

BuyAnalyst target: $20(-25.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were Barclays' key achievements in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2?

Group income reached £8.3 billion, up 16% year over year, and profit before tax increased by more than 30% to £3.3 billion. Earnings per share rose 43% to 16.7 pence, and return on tangible equity reached 16.1%. The cost-to-income ratio improved from 59% to 54%, while the CET1 ratio stood at 14.3%.

What are Barclays' targets for fiscal year 2026 and fiscal year 2028?

Management raised its fiscal year 2026 group income target to approximately £31.5 billion, compared with an original target of approximately £30 billion. It expects group net interest income, excluding the Investment Bank and Head Office, to exceed £13.7 billion in fiscal year 2026. It also targets return on tangible equity of more than 12% in fiscal year 2026 and more than 14% in fiscal year 2028, with a cost-to-income ratio in the low-50s by fiscal year 2028.

How does the Investment Bank contribute to Barclays' growth?

The Investment Bank delivered a return on tangible equity of 16% in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, up 3.8 percentage points year over year. Markets income rose 17% in dollar terms, equities income jumped 44%, while investment banking fees grew 30%. Advisory fees also increased 51%, and equity capital markets income rose 91%, with equities now accounting for 32% of the unit's income, compared with 22% in fiscal year 2023.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Group costs rose by approximately £300 million year over year in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, and management plans up to £500 million of structural cost actions in the second half, in addition to an annual impact of £100–150 million from a change in the senior employee compensation mix starting in fiscal year 2027. Cost concerns overshadowed the increase in the income target and led to an 8.7% decline in the share price during the session following the results, highlighting the valuation's sensitivity to any delay in realizing the expected savings.
  • −The U.S. Consumer business faces pressure from high interest rates on the margins of loans originated for distribution; management said quarterly income may not fully return to the quarter 1 level during fiscal year 2026 despite volume growth. Unit costs also rose 12%, including $45 million per month of Best Egg costs since the beginning of May 2026.
  • −Competition for U.K. deposits remains a source of margin pressure; the ISA season was 7% larger than the previous year and more competitive on pricing, while product margins were slightly weaker than management expected in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2. In addition, the maturity of higher-margin mortgages written in early 2021 is reducing product margins, even as management expects the effect to turn neutral or positive in the second half of fiscal year 2026.
  • −The efficiency of the Private Bank and Wealth Management business declined under the weight of investment; its income grew 5% in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, compared with a 12% increase in costs, and management expects a cost-to-income ratio in the mid-70s during fiscal year 2026. Net inflows into assets under management were also only £0.3 billion in the quarter, despite assets under management recording annual growth of 15%.
  • −Capital faces expected regulatory inflation in risk-weighted assets of between £19 billion and £26 billion in fiscal year 2027, related to the implementation of Basel 3.1 and the internal ratings-based approach in the U.S. Consumer Bank. Despite the expected reduction in Pillar 2A requirements, management did not provide final guidance before the regulatory details become clear.
  • −Barclays was downgraded to “Hold” on August 3, 2026, following the market's negative reaction to fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 costs, despite the aggregated consensus remaining at “Buy.” The consensus target is only $20, which is closer to the 52-week range low of $19.29 than to its high of $28.69, and the target range offers no diversity because both the highest and lowest targets are $20.
What is the impact of Best Egg and Samsung Wallet on Barclays' U.S. strategy?

Barclays completed the acquisition of Best Egg in May 2026, adding approximately £11 billion of managed balances and direct-to-consumer lending capabilities. The business has incurred Best Egg costs of approximately $45 million per month since the beginning of May 2026, while the unit's net interest margin reached 13.2% in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2. The bank also announced a partnership to offer card products within Samsung Wallet, but management did not disclose its expected financial contribution because it is starting from a zero base.

Are Barclays' capital distributions supported by a strong balance sheet?

On July 28, 2026, the bank announced a £1 billion share buyback program and an £800 million interim dividend, bringing distributions for the first half of fiscal year 2026 to £2.3 billion. Distributions announced since fiscal year 2024 reached approximately £9 billion, with a target of more than £10 billion by the end of fiscal year 2026. Fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 ended with a CET1 ratio of 14.3%, a liquidity coverage ratio of 158%, and a net stable funding ratio of 136%.

What are the main risks BCS investors are monitoring after the July 28, 2026 results?

The risks are concentrated in rising costs, pressure on U.K. deposit margins, and weak pricing for loans originated for sale in the U.S. Consumer Bank. Management plans up to £500 million of structural cost actions in the second half of fiscal year 2026, while U.S. Consumer income may not fully recover to the quarter 1 level during fiscal year 2026. The bank also expects risk-weighted assets to increase by £19–26 billion in fiscal year 2027, and the stock was downgraded to “Hold” on August 3, 2026, due to cost concerns.