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Stocks
The Brink's Company
BCO

BCO The Brink's Company

The Brink's Company · NYSE
Market Closed
111.98
▲ ⁦+2.46%⁩ (+2.69)
Market Cap$4.5B
Beta1.04
52w Low52w High
91.05136.37
Last Week
⁦+4.20%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.19%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+7.65%⁩
Last Year
⁦-0.41%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall57
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 7/9DistressBetter than 57% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
79
25.8x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
48
8.1%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
81
9.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
40
3.3x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
37
0.91%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
38
0.9%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
50
2▼3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$112
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$163
⁦+46%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$163–$163⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$87
⁦-22%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.0⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$87–$163⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$163.00
⁦+45.6%⁩
Current Price $111.98·Median $163.00
Low
$163.00
High
$163.00
Street summary

Brink's (BCO) Target Price Analysis

Brink's stock shows a state of complete stability in its target price at $163, with a total absence of any price revisions during the periods (day, week, month). The alignment of the high, low, and average target prices indicates a lack of dispersion among analysts, but it also reflects limited current coverage as the consensus relies on only one analyst, which reduces the depth of analytical insight for the stock at the moment.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-02-10
    Truist Securities
    —· $163.00
  • = Reiterate2026-01-05
    Truist Securities
    —· $138.00
  • = Reiterate2024-05-21
    William Blair
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.80x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    11.49x
    4.57x36.58x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.64x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.5%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.1%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    16.4%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    26.4%
    8.6%54.6%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    9.2%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.34x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.9%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    23.3%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.68
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

The Brink's Company provides cash and valuables management services through its Cash and Valuables Management business, alongside ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions AMS/DRS. Its ongoing business model transformation relies on increasing recurring revenue from outsourcing and managed-service contracts for banks and retailers, connecting physical payments with digital solutions, and improving service network density and routing; meanwhile, the Global Services business benefits from transaction volumes in volatile precious metals markets.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Brink's reported revenue of $1.4 billion, gross profit of $366.1 million, net income of $44.4 million, and earnings per share of $1.07, according to EDGAR data. Gross margin was approximately 26.2%, compared with approximately 25.4% in fiscal Q1 2026, when the company generated revenue of $1.4 billion, gross profit of $355.7 million, and net income of $32.1 million.

Adjusted metrics in fiscal Q2 2026 showed revenue growth of 7%, comprising 4% constant-currency growth and a 3% positive currency impact, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 11% to $257 million and the margin reached a second-quarter record of 18.5%. Most of the $54 million organic increase came from AMS/DRS, which grew organically by 14% and added $50 million, while the Cash and Valuables Management business delivered modest organic growth due to Global Services and disciplined pricing, partially offset by customer conversions to AMS/DRS.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Brink's raised its organic earnings outlook for fiscal 2026 after earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization exceeded the midpoint of its previous guidance range, while maintaining its organic revenue growth framework at a mid-single-digit rate and margin expansion of between 30 and 50 basis points.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

AMS/DRS delivered organic growth of 14% in fiscal Q2 2026, marking the fourteenth consecutive quarter of mid-teens or better organic growth, and revenue from this business exceeded $1.5 billion after more than doubling during that period.
  • The company signed an enterprise agreement to provide a complete DRS solution across more than 5,000 locations for a major U.S. retail chain, nearly doubling its share of the customer's spending and increasing service network density along existing routes.
  • Brink's won an AMS contract with Bank Mandiri to service more than one-third of the bank's network of more than 13,000 ATMs in Indonesia, and also secured a full outsourcing agreement for a European banking consortium's network, with operations beginning during the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • Fiscal Q3 2026 guidance targets revenue of between $1.365 billion and $1.415 billion, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $263 million and $283 million, a margin of approximately 19.6% at the midpoint, and adjusted earnings per share of between $2.23 and $2.63.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The higher-margin business mix is growing faster than the company as a whole; AMS/DRS delivered organic growth of 14% in fiscal Q2 2026, while most of the total $54 million organic increase came from these two recurring service-based businesses.
    • +Profitability is advancing faster than revenue, as adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 11%, operating profit increased 15%, and adjusted earnings per share grew 18%, compared with revenue growth of 7% in fiscal Q2 2026.
    • +New contracts support the growth outlook for the second half of fiscal 2026, including the deployment of DRS across more than 5,000 U.S. locations, the Bank Mandiri contract, the European banking consortium network agreement, and deployments with Paradies and Pandora.
    • +Free cash flow for the four quarters ended fiscal Q2 2026 was approximately $468 million, representing a 46% conversion rate from earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization and exceeding the full-year framework of 40% to 45% at that stage.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The NCR Atleos transaction may temporarily increase financial risk, as Brink's expects net debt to exceed three times adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at closing, compared with 2.7 times at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, while interest expense was $63 million during the quarter.
    • −The NCR Atleos transaction remains subject to the satisfaction of closing conditions and remaining regulatory approvals despite receiving shareholder approval with more than 99% of votes, completing the U.S. review early, and securing more than 80% of the required money transmitter licenses; therefore, the targeted closing timeline in early fiscal Q1 2027 remains dependent on the remaining approval processes in Europe, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific.
    • −Organic growth in North America, Latin America, and Europe slowed to approximately 2% in fiscal Q2 2026, and several AMS/DRS installations and contracts shifted from the second quarter to the second half due to customer timing decisions, making the expected growth acceleration dependent on executing deployment schedules without further delay.
    • −Brink's business in Argentina faced weak consumption due to government austerity measures during the first half of fiscal 2026, representing an independent regional headwind even as management described the economies of the rest of Latin America as stable.
    • −The company lowered its estimate of the positive currency impact for fiscal 2026 to a range of between 1.5% and 2.5% compared with its previous forecast, after fiscal Q2 2026 results benefited from a positive currency impact of $37 million, or 3% of growth; this reduces an external tailwind that contributed to reported revenue growth.
    • −The published valuation anchor relies on a single target of $163, as the highest, lowest, and average analyst targets are identical, and this target is approximately 19.5% above the 52-week range high of $136.37; therefore, the target range provides no diversity for testing differences among analyst estimates.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $163 and identical high and low targets of $163. This target is approximately 19.5% above the 52-week range high of $136.37, but the absence of dispersion among the targets makes the valuation anchor dependent on a uniform estimate, while the available data do not provide a published earnings multiple for comparison.

    BuyAnalyst target: $163(+45.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the primary driver of BCO stock growth in fiscal 2026?

    The most prominent operating driver is AMS/DRS, which grew organically by 14% in fiscal Q2 2026 and added $50 million in organic revenue. This marked the fourteenth consecutive quarter in which the business achieved mid-teens or better organic growth, and its revenue exceeded $1.5 billion after more than doubling during the period. New contracts support the continuation of this trajectory, including a DRS solution for more than 5,000 U.S. locations and the Bank Mandiri contract in Indonesia.

    How did Brink's perform in fiscal Q2 2026?

    The company reported revenue of $1.4 billion, gross profit of $366.1 million, and net income of $44.4 million, according to EDGAR. Earnings per share under those statements were $1.07, and the calculated gross margin reached approximately 26.2%. On the adjusted basis discussed by management on August 5, 2026, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $257 million, with a margin of 18.5% and earnings per share of $2.13.

    Why is the NCR Atleos transaction important to Brink's?

    Brink's believes that combining its network with NCR Atleos's Allpoint network could increase route density, improve service levels, and reduce ATM servicing costs. The transaction received support from more than 99% of votes cast by shareholders of both companies and obtained antitrust approvals in the United States, Brazil, India, Turkey, and Colombia. As of August 5, 2026, the company had completed more than 80% of the necessary money transmitter licenses, but it was still awaiting other approvals before the targeted closing in early fiscal Q1 2027.

    What is Brink's outlook for fiscal Q3 and fiscal 2026?

    For fiscal Q3 2026, the company expects revenue of between $1.365 billion and $1.415 billion, with a slight organic acceleration from the previous quarter. Guidance for adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ranges from $263 million to $283 million, equivalent to a margin of approximately 19.6% at the midpoint, while adjusted earnings per share are expected to range from $2.23 to $2.63. For fiscal 2026, Brink's maintained its organic revenue growth forecast at a mid-single-digit rate and raised its organic earnings outlook, while targeting margin expansion of between 30 and 50 basis points.

    What are the main investment risks for BCO?

    The primary financial risk is the expected increase in leverage to more than three times net debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization upon closing the NCR Atleos transaction, compared with 2.7 times at the end of fiscal Q2 2026. The transaction also still requires remaining regulatory approvals, while the acceleration of AMS/DRS growth in the second half depends on completing installations, some of which shifted from the second quarter due to customer decisions. In addition, organic growth slowed to approximately 2% in North America, Latin America, and Europe, and the company reduced its estimate of the currency benefit for fiscal 2026 to a range of between 1.5% and 2.5%.

    How does Brink's generate cash flow, and what is its debt plan?

    Free cash flow for the four quarters ended fiscal Q2 2026 was approximately $468 million, representing a conversion rate of 46% from earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The company is targeting a conversion rate of between 40% and 45% for fiscal 2026, supported by the shift toward less capital-intensive AMS/DRS offerings and improved working capital. Brink's plans to reduce its standalone leverage to approximately 2.3 times before the transaction and then lower net leverage to below 3 times by the end of fiscal 2027.