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Stocks
Boise Cascade Company
BCC

BCC Boise Cascade Company

Boise Cascade Company · NYSE
Market Closed
75.44
▲ ⁦+0.52%⁩ (+0.39)
Market Cap$2.7B
Beta1.05
52w Low52w High
65.0091.97
Last Week
⁦-1.14%⁩
Last Month
⁦-12.89%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.41%⁩
Last Year
⁦-10.72%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall41
Weak — below market medianValue TrapF 5/9SafeBetter than 41% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
71
25.4x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
11
-1.5%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
35
4.5%4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
80
0.6x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
40
1.17%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
43
-4.3%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
44
6▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$75
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$95
⁦+25%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$92–$97⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$38
⁦-49%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.0⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$38–$95⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$94.50
⁦+25.3%⁩
Current Price $75.44·Median $94.50
Low
$92.00
High
$97.00
Current price
$75.44
Average target
$94.50
Street summary

Forecast Stability Analysis for Boise Cascade (BCC)

BCC stock shows complete stability in the average target prices at 94.5 dollars across timeframes (day, week, month), indicating an absence of any recent revisions by analysts. Despite the significant gap between the current price (67.16) and the target average, the low number of following analysts (only two analysts) raises the level of uncertainty regarding the comprehensiveness of this valuation within the current market context.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.29
Hold
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
57%
Mixed
Target dispersion
7%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
4
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.29 → 3.29
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    Truist Securities
    —· $97.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    D.A. Davidson
    —· $92.00
  • = Reiterate2026-02-25
    Truist Securities
    —· $103.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.40x
    4.94x39.51x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    16.38x
    3.70x29.59x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.70x
    2.62x20.92x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    3.9%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -1.5%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -56.5%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    14.1%
    7.6%58.9%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    4.5%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.61x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.2%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    30.5%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.22
    -11.4212.56
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Boise Cascade Company operates through an integrated model combining wood products manufacturing and building materials distribution. The Building Materials Distribution segment sells general line products, commodities, and engineered wood products, while the Wood Products segment manufactures plywood, I-joist, and LVL; the link between manufacturing and distribution gives the company direct visibility into demand and the ability to align production, inventory, and logistics.

In fiscal year 2026 Q2, consolidated revenue rose 5% year over year to approximately $1.8 billion, while net income reached $57.3 million and earnings per share were $1.63, equivalent to a net income margin of approximately 3.1%. Reported revenue of $1.83 billion exceeded the FactSet estimate of $1.78 billion, and earnings per share also exceeded its estimate of $1.23; by comparison, the company recorded revenue of $6.4 billion, net income of $132.8 million, and earnings per share of $3.53 in fiscal year 2025.

The Building Materials Distribution segment generated sales of $1.7 billion, up 5%, but recorded earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $85.6 million versus $91.8 million a year earlier, with its margin declining from 5.7% to 5.0% and gross margin falling to 15.2%. Within the segment, general line sales rose 9% and commodity sales rose 7%, while engineered wood products declined 6%. The Wood Products segment recorded sales of $459.6 million, including internal sales to the distribution segment that are not added directly to consolidated revenue, and its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased to $52.4 million from $37.3 million, supported by plywood prices and volumes and lower costs for OSB panels used in I-joist.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Boise Cascade announced on August 3, 2026, that it was expanding its partnership with James Hardie to distribute a portfolio including Hardie Siding and Trim, AZEK Exteriors, and TimberTech Decking and Railing, and management said it would be the sole national distribution partner, with inventory loading beginning at numerous locations during September 2026 and sales of the full portfolio in fiscal year 2026 Q4.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The average plywood selling price was $393 per thousand feet in fiscal year 2026 Q2, up 15% year over year and sequentially, while volume increased to 368 million feet from 356 million. Management attributed the price improvement to lower imports, including a 25% year-over-year decline in Brazilian imports through the end of the quarter.
  • The engineered wood products order book in August 2026 was approximately three times its level a year earlier, supporting a price increase that management expects to reach approximately 3% when fully implemented. The company expects a limited impact in fiscal year 2026 Q3, an additional impact in fiscal year 2026 Q4, and nearly full implementation in fiscal year 2027 Q1.
  • Management provided an expected fiscal year 2026 Q3 range for Building Materials Distribution segment earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $53 million and $68 million, and a range for the Wood Products segment of between $22 million and $57 million. The width of the ranges is related to the supplier transition, slowing end markets, and volatility in plywood prices and imports.
  • During the first half of fiscal year 2026, the company repurchased approximately $108 million of shares, including $43 million in fiscal year 2026 Q2, with approximately $130 million remaining available under the program. The board of directors also approved a 5% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.23 per share, payable in mid-September 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The integrated wood products and distribution model provides clear operating flexibility; Boise Cascade can shift veneer between engineered wood products and plywood production according to demand, while using channel data to adjust production, inventory, and logistics.
    • +Fiscal year 2026 Q2 demonstrated the company's ability to exceed expectations despite a 1% decline in total U.S. housing starts and a 4% year-over-year decline in single-family housing starts, as earnings per share exceeded the FactSet estimate by approximately 33% and revenue exceeded the estimate by approximately $50 million.
    • +The James Hardie partnership could expand the serviceable market through a unified exterior portfolio and support cross-selling, order volumes, and truck fill rates. The partnership brings together more than 600 Boise Cascade sales employees with the James Hardie, TimberTech, and AZEK teams, according to management on the August 4, 2026 call.
    • +The economics of the Wood Products segment improved in fiscal year 2026 Q2, as its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose approximately 40% to $52.4 million, driven by a 15% increase in plywood prices and lower per-unit costs for OSB panels in I-joist production.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Boise Cascade's business remains highly sensitive to the housing cycle; total U.S. housing starts declined 1% and single-family housing starts declined 4% in fiscal year 2026 Q2, while management indicated that mortgage rate volatility, weak housing affordability, and consumer caution are weighing on construction, repair, and remodeling.
    • −The transition to the James Hardie portfolio carries execution and revenue risks for several quarters because the company will liquidate inventory from previous suppliers, add new inventory, and train its teams before the sales ramp is complete. Management expects pressure on decking, siding, and trim revenue, and the decking category alone represented approximately 9% of Building Materials Distribution segment revenue during the last twelve months.
    • −Demand for engineered wood products may slow after fiscal year 2026 Q2 benefited from some orders being brought forward ahead of the price increase and amid transportation concerns; accordingly, management expects volumes to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage sequentially in fiscal year 2026 Q3. Order intake has also slowed, and at least one major customer indicated that it was reducing its inventory days.
    • −Competition is already evident in margins and pricing; the Building Materials Distribution segment margin declined from 5.7% to 5.0%, while realized I-joist and LVL prices fell 7% and 4% year over year, respectively. Management said some engineered wood products markets accepted the price increase, while other markets remained flat, and the company had to reduce prices in certain markets to match competition.
    • −Selling and distribution expenses increased by $10.8 million year over year in fiscal year 2026 Q2, with approximately half of the increase related to fuel and outside delivery. Management says it passes a large portion of these costs on to customers, but not 100%, and the company may also incur additional freight costs to move old inventory between branches during the James Hardie transition.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $94.5 and a relatively narrow range of $92 to $97; the average is approximately $2.53 above the 52-week range high of $91.97, while the stock's 52-week range extends from $65 to $91.97. A price-to-earnings ratio is not available in the data, so the targets should be viewed in light of the decline in net income to $105.7 million during the latest twelve-month period in fiscal year 2026 and the pressure from the James Hardie transition on fiscal year 2026 Q3 results, balanced against the strength of Q2 results and the share repurchase program.

    HoldAnalyst target: $94.5(+25.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Boise Cascade generate its revenue?

    Boise Cascade combines wood products manufacturing with building materials distribution through a national network. The Building Materials Distribution segment generated sales of $1.7 billion in fiscal year 2026 Q2, driven by 9% growth in general line products and 7% growth in commodities, versus a 6% decline in engineered wood products. The Wood Products segment generated sales of $459.6 million, including internal sales to the distribution segment, from products such as plywood, I-joist, and LVL.

    Why were fiscal year 2026 Q2 results better than expected?

    Revenue was $1.83 billion versus the FactSet estimate of $1.78 billion, and earnings per share were $1.63 versus an estimate of $1.23. The Wood Products segment benefited from a 15% increase in the average plywood price to $393 per thousand feet and from an increase in volume to 368 million feet. Lower per-unit costs for OSB panels in I-joist production also helped raise the segment's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to $52.4 million.

    What is the significance of Boise Cascade's agreement with James Hardie?

    Management said on the August 4, 2026 call that Boise Cascade would nationally distribute a portfolio including Hardie Siding and Trim, AZEK Exteriors, and TimberTech Decking and Railing. The company plans to begin loading inventory at numerous locations during September 2026 and selling the full portfolio in fiscal year 2026 Q4, but a return to a normal pace may take several quarters. Management sees opportunities in cross-selling and reducing customer transactions through a more unified purchase order, delivery, sales representative, and pricing structure.

    What are the main risks in the fiscal year 2026 Q3 outlook?

    The company expects earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $53 million and $68 million for the Building Materials Distribution segment and between $22 million and $57 million for the Wood Products segment. Management expects a distribution segment gross margin of between 14% and 14.75%, compared with 15.2% in fiscal year 2026 Q2, due to the supplier transition, inventory costs, and weak end markets. It also expects engineered wood products volumes to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage and plywood volumes to decline by a low-single-digit percentage sequentially.

    Does the capital allocation policy support BCC shareholders?

    Boise Cascade spent approximately $108 million on share repurchases during the first half of fiscal year 2026, including $43 million in fiscal year 2026 Q2. Approximately $130 million remained available under the repurchase program at the end of the quarter. The company also paid $18 million in regular dividends during the first half, and the board of directors approved a 5% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.23 per share, payable in mid-September 2026.

    What does the insider selling signal in BCC mean?

    The data show two sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 27, 2026, for net sales of $262,489.4. On its own, this represents a weak trading signal compared with a market capitalization of $2.7 billion and the company's approximately $108 million of share repurchases during the first half of fiscal year 2026. Insider sales may be prearranged, and the data do not include evidence of an operating motive or a change in outlook behind these transactions.

    −
    Plywood earnings depend partly on the balance of imports, tariffs, and prices; 25% lower Brazilian imports supported prices in fiscal year 2026 Q2, but management said that continued imports after the new Section 301 tariffs take effect will depend on price movements. Therefore, a change in imported supply or a decline in plywood prices could reverse part of the improvement that lifted Wood Products segment earnings.