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Stocks
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall82
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Better than 82% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
56
12.7x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
46
11.0%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
92
——Top tier
▸
Safety
10
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
63
3.01%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
96
53.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
74
12▲3Top tier
BBVA

BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. · NYSE
Market Closed
29.55
▲ ⁦+2.46%⁩ (+0.71)
Market Cap$159.3B
Beta0.89
52w Low52w High
17.9029.64
Last Week
⁦+1.34%⁩
Last Month
⁦+3.68%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+34.20%⁩
Last Year
⁦+58.70%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$30
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$39
⁦+32%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.3⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target
—
Current Price $29.55
Average rating
★ 1.67
Sell
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
0%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.67 → 1.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-04
    Deutsche Bank
    BuyHold
  • = Reiterate2026-07-07
    Jefferies
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.74x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    11.0%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    6.2%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    3.0%
    0.6%9.0%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    41.5%
    9.8%97.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-04-30 data

Company Overview

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. is an international bank that generates its income primarily from net interest income on loans, fees and commissions from payments, asset management, credit cards, and CIB activities, as well as trading income. Its largest franchises are concentrated in Spain and Mexico, with operations in Turkey and South America, and digital banking businesses in Italy and Germany; its growth also depends on customer acquisition, increased transactions, retail and corporate financing, and expanding cross-border relationships with CIB clients.

In Q2 FY2026, BBVA recorded revenue of $10.5 billion, gross profit of $8.8 billion, net income of $3.1 billion, and earnings per share of $0.53. According to the results presentation, net profit attributable to shareholders reached €3.062 billion, up 11.4% year over year and 2.4% from the previous quarter, while earnings per share grew 15.2% year over year, and gross income increased 15.7% year over year due to 17.8% growth in net interest income and 16.2% growth in fees and commissions.

The earnings mix reflects broad geographic diversification but gives Mexico significant weight; Spain generated net profit of €1.1 billion in Q2 FY2026, and Mexico recorded €3 billion during H1 FY2026, while Turkey generated €269 million, South America €308 million, and the rest of the businesses €271 million during the quarter. Return on tangible equity was 22.2% and the efficiency ratio was 37.8% during H1 FY2026, with the CET1 capital ratio reaching 12.90%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 30, 2026, BBVA raised its FY2026 return on tangible equity guidance to around 21% from more than 20%, supported by H1 earnings of €6.051 billion and core revenue growth.
  • In its Q2 FY2026 results, the bank announced a new extraordinary €2 billion share buyback program, with its first €1 billion tranche beginning on August 5, 2026, following a previous €4 billion program that was scheduled to be completed on August 3, 2026.
  • The group loan book grew 17.7% year over year in constant currencies, with growth of 7.4% in Spain and around 10% in Mexico; this drove net interest income up 17.8% year over year in Q2 FY2026.
  • Management raised its FY2026 outlook for Mexico to loan growth of around 10%, high-single-digit net interest income growth, and a cost of risk below 335 basis points; it also raised its gross income growth outlook for South America to a high-teens rate.
  • The AI strategy supports the operational transformation story, as more than 100 thousand employees were using AI tools in Q2 FY2026, while the bank established a unified framework for developing and deploying AI agents and managing governance, security, and performance measurement at scale.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +BBVA combines strong growth with high profitability; since December 2020, its loan book has grown 62% in current euros versus 10% for its European peers, while return on tangible equity reached 22.2% versus 15.1% for peers in H1 FY2026.
  • +Core revenues show good diversification, with net interest income growing 17.8%, fees and commissions 16.2%, and trading income 13% year over year in Q2 FY2026, driven by lending, payments, asset management, and CIB.
  • +The 12.90% CET1 ratio provides capacity to reward shareholders, and management confirmed its target range of 11.5% to 12% and the return of excess capital, alongside the extraordinary €2 billion buyback program.
  • +The key franchises continue to gain market share; Spain's loan market share has increased by 84 basis points since the end of 2020, while BBVA Mexico's share rose by 272 basis points to 26.17% despite the entry of new FinTech companies.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The stock's 52-week range extends from $17.77 to $29.32, a spread of $11.55 equal to around 65% of the lower bound, a range that reflects valuation sensitivity to interest rate and risk expectations in Mexico and Turkey. The analyst consensus rating of “Buy” is supported by earnings per share of $1.88 for 2026 TTM and the increase in return on tangible equity guidance to around 21%, but the wide 52-week range keeps repricing risk present.

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove BBVA's earnings in Q2 FY2026?

Net profit attributable to shareholders reached €3.062 billion in Q2 FY2026, up 11.4% year over year and 2.4% from the previous quarter. Net interest income grew 17.8% and fees and commissions 16.2% year over year, driven by lending, payments, asset management, and CIB. The loan book also grew 17.7% in constant currencies, and earnings per share increased 15.2% year over year.

How important is Mexico to BBVA stock's results?

Mexico generated net profit of €3 billion during H1 FY2026, equivalent to nearly half of the group's €6.051 billion net profit. Lending there grew around 10%, and net interest income increased 8.9% year over year in constant currencies, while loan market share reached 26.17%. Management raised its FY2026 outlook to loan growth of around 10%, high-single-digit net interest income growth, and a cost of risk below 335 basis points.

How is BBVA returning capital to shareholders in FY2026?

The bank was completing a €4 billion buyback program on August 3, 2026. It announced an additional extraordinary €2 billion program, with its first €1 billion tranche beginning on August 5, 2026. The CET1 ratio was around 12.90% in Q2 FY2026, versus a target range of 11.5% to 12%, with management committed to distributing excess capital.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Mexico represents a significant concentration of earnings, generating €3 billion in net profit during H1 FY2026 versus €6.051 billion for the group, making results sensitive to credit growth, interest rates, asset quality, and the Mexican peso exchange rate.
  • −The risk outlook in Turkey deteriorated, as management raised its FY2026 cost of risk estimate from 200 to around 220 basis points due to persistently high provisioning needs in retail portfolios, while the net profit outlook remained near €1 billion with a slight downside bias.
  • −Turkey's margins remain exposed to interest rates and inflation; net interest income declined quarter over quarter due to a narrower customer spread in Turkish lira and higher funding costs, and management warned that exiting hyperinflation accounting in 2028 has become at risk.
  • −Expense growth of 17.9% exceeded gross income growth of 16.9% during H1 FY2026, although cost growth declined to 14.5% after excluding voluntary redundancies and a VAT settlement; therefore, controlling investment and costs remains necessary to protect efficiency.
  • −Management expected a slight slowdown in growth in retail and consumer finance portfolios across the Mexican system during H2 FY2026, increasing the dependence of achieving the around 10% loan growth outlook on corporate financing lines and projects linked to the Mexico Plan.
  • −Mexico faces intensifying competition from more than 60 FinTech companies and from Nubank after it obtained a license to operate as a full-service bank, although BBVA continued to increase its credit card share and its overall loan market share reached 26.17%.
  • What are BBVA's main risks in Turkey?

    Turkey recorded net profit of €269 million in Q2 FY2026 and €532 million during H1. Net interest income declined quarter over quarter due to higher funding costs and a narrower customer spread in Turkish lira, while the cost of risk was 236 basis points year to date in FY2026. Management raised its FY2026 cost of risk outlook from 200 to around 220 basis points, while the profit outlook remained near €1 billion with a slight downside bias.

    What is BBVA doing in artificial intelligence?

    More than 100 thousand BBVA employees were using AI tools within the bank's controls in Q2 FY2026. The bank is implementing The Eight roadmap to embed artificial intelligence in key functions, along with a unified framework for creating and deploying AI agents and managing their governance, security, and performance. On the credit risk side, direct loans to software and information technology services companies totaled around €700 million to €800 million, while data center exposure represented 0.7% of exposure at default.

    Can BBVA maintain asset quality while growing loans?

    The group's cost of risk was 143 basis points in H1 FY2026, down from 154 basis points in the previous quarter, and it was expected to remain near this level at the end of FY2026. In Spain, the non-performing loan ratio declined to a record low of 2.86% and coverage increased to 71%, while the cost of risk was 31 basis points. However, retail portfolios in Turkey and Argentina required higher provisions, making the maintenance of credit quality dependent on developments in the economic environment in those two markets.