| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 32 | 22.4x | 17.3x | Bottom tier | |
Growth | 33 | 4.3% | 7.1% | Bottom tier | |
Quality | 31 | 0.0% | 4.5% | Bottom tier | |
Safety | 56 | 1.8x | 2.6x | Around median | |
Capital Return | 58 | 2.05% | 0.06% | Around median | |
Momentum | 14 | -33.3% | -1.6% | Bottom tier | |
Sentiment | 90 | 19 | 3 | Top tier |
The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today
89% of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.
10-year US Treasury yield 4.96% as of 2026-10-22. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
Alibaba Group combines e-commerce within China and across borders, quick commerce, cloud services, and proprietary AI products and chips. Its commerce ecosystem includes Taobao, Tmall, Freshippo, AliExpress, 1688, and alibaba.com, while its AI ecosystem extends from T-Head chips and Alibaba Cloud infrastructure to Qwen models, the MaaS model service, and the Qwen and QwenWork applications. Most revenue comes from e-commerce, with Alibaba E-commerce Group reporting revenue of 205.9 billion yuan in Q1 FY2027 (ends 2026-06), while the company works to expand the contribution of higher-growth cloud and AI.
In Q1 FY2027 (ends 2026-06), revenue reached 268.2 billion yuan, up 8.3% year over year, while net income was 10.6 billion yuan and diluted earnings per share were 4.48. Gross margin was 38.0% and operating margin was 7.2%, compared with 44.9% and 14.1%, respectively, in the corresponding quarter of FY2026. The business generated operating cash flow of 22.9 billion yuan, while Alibaba Cloud external customer revenue grew 45% and AI-related products accounted for 35% of external cloud revenue.
Revenue for the last 12 months through 2026-06-30 was approximately 1.04 trillion yuan, with net income of 73.5 billion yuan and operating cash flow of 78.8 billion yuan, but free cash flow was negative 76.7 billion yuan. In Q1 FY2027 (ends 2026-06), cash and investments totaled 185.6 billion yuan versus total debt of 266.6 billion yuan. During the 90 days through 2026-09-27, three insider purchases totaling 25.7 million dollars were recorded, with no sales under 10b5-1 plans or outside them.
Q1 FY2027 (2026-06)
Last 12 months to 2026-06-30
When: 2026-11-24
Annual revenue growth at the 8.3% threshold
Gross margin at the 38.0% threshold
Operating cash flow at the 22.9 billion yuan threshold
The median target from 12 analysts is 175 dollars within a range of 160 dollars to 209 dollars, a method that prices expected growth and results, while the broader analyst consensus is 180.57 dollars with a "Buy" recommendation. The industry-multiple value is 93 dollars within a range of 68 dollars to 134 dollars, based on earnings over the last 12 months and a median multiple of 20.9 for 51 companies, and therefore prices Alibaba similarly to its peers. The no-growth value is 11 dollars at a discount rate of 8.8%, measuring what remains if current after-tax operating profit stays constant forever; it is therefore much lower than the two methods that incorporate forecasts or market comparisons. Analyst targets converge around a range above the industry-multiple estimate, while the difference in the no-growth value reflects the absence of any future contribution from growth; across the reference sample, analyst targets tend to be optimistic, while the cash flow model tends to be conservative. During the 90 days through 2026-09-27, Susquehanna raised its target to 190 dollars and Barclays to 200 dollars, while Bernstein SocGen Group lowered its target to 165 dollars.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
Alibaba Cloud and AI represent the fastest growth drivers in Q1 FY2027 (ends 2026-06), as external cloud customer revenue grew 45%. AI-related products accounted for 35% of external cloud revenue, and their annualized revenue run rate reached 49.5 billion yuan. The annualized revenue run rate for model services and applications, including MaaS, also exceeded approximately 16 billion yuan in August 2026, with a target of 30 billion yuan by the end of 2026.
Yes, Alibaba E-commerce Group reported revenue of 205.9 billion yuan in Q1 FY2027 (ends 2026-06), compared with total group revenue of 268.2 billion yuan. The group includes commerce within China, quick commerce, international commerce, and global wholesale through platforms including Taobao, Tmall, AliExpress, 1688, and alibaba.com. During the same period, quick commerce in China grew 45%, but customer management revenue declined 7%.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
Operating margin declined to 7.2% in Q1 FY2027 (ends 2026-06), compared with 14.1% in the corresponding quarter of FY2026. Operating cash flow reached 22.9 billion yuan, but free cash flow during the last 12 months through 2026-06-30 was negative 76.7 billion yuan. In contrast, management said that servers equipped with chips typically reach breakeven within three years, with an estimated useful life of five years.
Zhenwu chips had served more than 650 customers on Alibaba Cloud by early August 2026, and Zhenwu M890 can run inference workloads for models exceeding two trillion parameters. On 2026-09-22, the company unveiled Zhenwu V900, said its performance is three times that of M890, and set Q1 2027 for mass production and commercial launch. Qwen model downloads exceeded three billion, with more than 300 thousand derivative models built, expanding the user base that can be converted into demand for computing and MaaS.
During the 90 days through 2026-09-27, three open-market purchases totaling 25.7 million dollars were recorded. No insider sales were recorded during the period, so sales under 10b5-1 plans were zero and sales outside them were zero. These figures describe reported insider activity during the specified window and do not by themselves measure Alibaba's business performance or valuation.
The next earnings announcement is expected on 2026-11-24. The report will focus on comparing revenue growth with the 8.3% level recorded in Q1 FY2027 (ends 2026-06), and on the ability of gross margin to exceed 38.0%. Alibaba Cloud growth will also be important after external customer revenue growth reached 45% and management targeted continued acceleration in the following quarters.