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Home
Stocks
The Boeing Company
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall23
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 6/9DistressBetter than 23% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
20
71.3x▼17.6xBottom tier
▸
Growth
82
24.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
21
7.1%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
31
4.8x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
48
0.22%▼2.15%Around median
▸
Momentum
38
2.7%▲2.3%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
62
17▲3Around median
BA

BA The Boeing Company

The Boeing Company · NYSE
Market Open
200.34
▲ ⁦+1.08%⁩ (+2.13)
Market Cap$156.7B
Beta1.21
52w Low52w High
176.77254.35
Last Week
⁦-2.18%⁩
Last Month
⁦-13.53%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.86%⁩
Last Year
⁦-11.21%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$198
Analyst target · 9 analysts
$265
⁦+34%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$250–$305⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 9 analysts setting price target
$274.29
⁦+36.9%⁩
Current Price $200.34·Median $265.00
Low
$250.00
High
$305.00
Current price
$200.34
Average target
$274.29
Street summary

Boeing (BA) Price Target Review Analysis

Bearish tilt

Analyst sentiment toward Boeing stock has shifted toward caution over the past thirty days, with the average price target falling from $277 to $274.29. This decline coincided with a wave of downgrades on August 11, 2026, including Barclays lowering its rating to "Underweight" and Wolfe Research and Cantor Fitzgerald lowering their ratings, reflecting a decline in short-term confidence despite the current price target remaining above the market price.

As of 2026-08-18
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
28
Buy conviction
82%
High
Target dispersion
27%
Analyst ratings over time28 analysts rating
5
18
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.88 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-11
    Barclays
    Equal-WeightUnderweight
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-11
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    71.29x
    5.62x44.96x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    125.65x
    4.56x36.47x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    29.70x
    3.41x27.30x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    -0.1%
    -30.4%11.6%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    24.8%
    -10.9%44.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    116.8%
    -133.2%132.4%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    4.7%
    8.6%54.3%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    7.1%
    -25.7%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.77x
    0.54x4.33x
    High debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.2%
    0.1%4.7%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    14.2%
    6.1%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.50
    -5.467.76
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

The Boeing Company operates through three interconnected businesses: Commercial Airplanes BCA, Defense, Space & Security BDS, and Global Services BGS. Revenue is generated by delivering aircraft such as 737 and 787, executing defense programs such as KC-46A, T-7, and MQ-25, and providing aftermarket services, maintenance, and support to commercial and government customers. In Q2 fiscal 2026, BCA revenue of $11.8 billion represented approximately 48% of revenue, compared with $7.5 billion for BDS and approximately $5.3 billion for BGS.

Revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 reached approximately $24.6 billion, up 8% year over year, while gross profit was $2.4 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 9.8%. Despite the consolidated operating margin rising to 0.6% and free cash flow improving to $631 million, EDGAR data recorded a net loss of $444 million and a loss per share of $0.67, while adjusted core loss per share was $0.76.

Earnings quality varied significantly across segments in Q2 fiscal 2026; BCA recorded a negative operating margin of 2.7%, and BDS recorded a negative margin of 0.2% after a $280 million loss on the VC-25B program, while BGS achieved a strong margin of 18.1%. On a trailing-twelve-month basis ending in 2026, the latest EDGAR data showed revenue of $94.0 billion, gross profit of $4.4 billion, and net income of $2.4 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Commercial aircraft deliveries rose to 171 aircraft in Q2 fiscal 2026, the highest quarterly total since 2018, including 129 737 aircraft and 25 787 aircraft; management is targeting deliveries of 500 737 aircraft and between 90 and 100 787 aircraft during fiscal 2026.
  • Boeing is increasing 737 production to 47 aircraft per month following the Capstone review in May 2026, and in July 2026 it began low-rate production on the North Line in Everett in preparation for the planned rate of 52 aircraft per month. 787 production also stabilized at eight aircraft per month, but reaching ten aircraft depends on a recovery in GE engine deliveries.
  • The $715 billion backlog provides long-term support for operational visibility; BCA's backlog reached approximately $597 billion and includes more than 6,200 aircraft, compared with $85 billion for BDS and $33 billion for BGS. Boeing estimates market demand at approximately 44,000 new aircraft over twenty years.
  • On August 24, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense announced an F-15 Eagle Crest contract with a potential ceiling of $131.23 billion extending through 2037, but it is an IDIQ contract and does not represent a guaranteed order, and the amount obligated at award was only $343,740. On August 20, 2026, the United States also approved a potential $4.5 billion deal involving four KC-46A aircraft and related equipment for Qatar, with its impact contingent on the approval being converted into a final contract.
  • Management maintained fiscal 2026 free cash flow guidance of between $1 billion and $3 billion, with positive free cash flow in the low hundreds of millions expected in Q3 fiscal 2026 despite a scheduled $700 million payment to the Department of Justice. Management believes that exceeding the midpoint of the range depends primarily on delivering more commercial aircraft than planned.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The $715 billion backlog combines more than 6,200 commercial aircraft with defense programs and long-term services, giving Boeing a substantial future revenue base if it executes production and delivery schedules without material disruptions.
  • +Operational execution improved in Q2 fiscal 2026, with 171 commercial aircraft delivered, revenue rising 8%, and free cash flow reaching $631 million, alongside the repayment of $8.2 billion of debt during the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • +BGS represents an important source of earnings stability; it generated revenue of $5.3 billion and an operating margin of 18.1% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and also grew 8% year over year after excluding the impact of the Digital Aviation Solutions sale.
  • +Key growth programs advanced during 2026; the 737-7 completed testing, the 737-10 completed its final test flight, and the 777-9 surpassed 55% of flight certification testing, while the T-7 and MQ-25 programs received Milestone C approval to begin low-rate initial production.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus for BA stock is rated Buy, with an average target of $274.29 and a range of $250 to $305. The average target exceeds the 52-week range high of $254.35 by approximately 7.8%, while the low end of the target range is approximately 1.7% below it, reflecting an assumption that the operational recovery will continue. By contrast, no comparable historical price-to-earnings ratio is available in the market data, and the enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple of 31.1 times makes the valuation sensitive to any setback in deliveries, margins, or free cash flow.

BuyAnalyst target: $274.29(+36.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were Boeing's key results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Revenue reached $24.6 billion, up 8% year over year, while gross profit was $2.4 billion. EDGAR data recorded a net loss of $444 million and a loss per share of $0.67, while adjusted core loss per share was $0.76. The company generated positive free cash flow of $631 million and a consolidated operating margin of 0.6%.

Did production and deliveries of 737 and 787 aircraft improve?

During Q2 fiscal 2026, Boeing delivered 129 737 aircraft and 25 787 aircraft as part of a total of 171 commercial aircraft. The company was increasing 737 production to 47 aircraft per month, and in July 2026 it began low-rate production on the Everett line to support the planned transition to 52 aircraft per month. 787 production stabilized at eight aircraft per month, but reaching ten aircraft remains linked to a recovery in GE engine deliveries and the completion of seat certifications.

What is the value of Boeing's backlog, and what does it include?

The total backlog reached $715 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026. BCA accounted for $597 billion of it, including more than 6,200 aircraft, while BDS's backlog was approximately $85 billion and BGS's backlog was approximately $33 billion. This scale supports revenue visibility, but it only converts into cash and earnings when Boeing successfully produces, delivers, and executes the contracts.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Operating profitability remains fragile despite revenue growth; Boeing recorded a net loss of $444 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, while BCA's margin was negative 2.7% and BDS's margin was negative 0.2%. The fixed-price VC-25B program also caused a quarterly loss of $280 million, and management expects BDS's fiscal 2026 margin to be only approximately 2.5% after accounting for this loss.
  • −Production increases and cash flows depend on a supply chain that has not fully stabilized; the 787 line slowed for several days in April 2026, GE engine deliveries were delayed during the first half of fiscal 2026, and seat certifications continue to affect delivery timing. Management also acknowledged that moving 737 production from 52 to 57 aircraft per month will be more difficult, with further improvements needed in wing production and supplier performance.
  • −Labor disruption risks increased after approximately 90% of SPEEA members voted on August 30, 2026, to authorize a strike following the rejection of the August 21, 2026 offers. The existing contracts expire at midnight on October 6, 2026, and any work stoppage could disrupt the 737 production ramp-up and delivery schedules at a critical stage of the recovery.
  • −Regulatory and quality risks remain despite certification progress; on August 7, 2026, the FAA ordered inspections of more than 400 Boeing 737 Max aircraft for potential cracks in a structural component. Depending on the scope of the inspections, this could result in additional costs and pressure on schedules and Boeing's operational reputation.
  • −The balance-sheet burden remains high; Boeing ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with $45.9 billion of debt compared with $20 billion in cash and securities. Although debt was reduced by $8.2 billion during the first half of fiscal 2026, the subsequent period includes a scheduled $700 million payment to the Department of Justice in Q3 fiscal 2026.
  • −The valuation carries elevated execution risk because market data do not provide a usable historical price-to-earnings ratio, while a valuation published on August 24, 2026, indicated an enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple of 31.1 times alongside low margins. Therefore, justifying analysts' targets depends heavily on achieving production increases and improving BCA and BDS margins and free cash flow over the following years.
  • Does the F-15 contract announced on August 24, 2026, represent guaranteed revenue of $131.23 billion?

    The $131.23 billion ceiling does not represent a fully funded order because F-15 Eagle Crest is an IDIQ contract. The financial commitment at award was only $343,740, and revenue is recognized as subsequent funded orders are issued. Nevertheless, the potential framework extends through 2037 and supports long-term visibility for production, modernization, and maintenance in Boeing's defense business.

    What are the main risks facing BA stock during the second half of fiscal 2026?

    SPEEA contracts expire at midnight on October 6, 2026, after approximately 90% of members voted to authorize a strike on August 30, 2026, threatening production continuity. The FAA also ordered inspections of more than 400 737 Max aircraft on August 7, 2026, while GE engine deliveries and 787 seat certifications continue to affect execution. Financially, the company carries $45.9 billion of debt and has a scheduled $700 million payment to the Department of Justice in Q3 fiscal 2026.

    What does the analyst target for BA stock assume?

    The average price target is $274.29, with a high target of $305 and a low target of $250, and the consensus rating is Buy. The average is approximately 7.8% above the 52-week range high of $254.35, indicating an expectation of improvement beyond the previous high of that range. This scenario requires execution of the plan to deliver 500 737 aircraft and between 90 and 100 787 aircraft in fiscal 2026, improved BCA and BDS margins, and free cash flow of between $1 billion and $3 billion.