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Stocks
Barrick Mining Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall98
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/8Better than 98% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
84
11.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
95
49.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
83
26.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
89
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
38
1.19%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
59
41.0%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
92
9▲3Top tier
B

B Barrick Mining Corporation

Barrick Mining Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
43.68
▲ ⁦+0.51%⁩ (+0.22)
Market Cap$73.2B
Beta1.10
52w Low52w High
28.3854.69
Last Week
⁦-1.02%⁩
Last Month
⁦+8.85%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+17.45%⁩
Last Year
⁦+49.79%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$44
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$55
⁦+25%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$42–$57⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$60
⁦+37%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.2⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$55–$60⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$52.25
⁦+19.6%⁩
Current Price $43.68·Median $54.50
Low
$42.00
High
$57.00
Current price
$43.68
Average target
$52.25
Street summary

Gradual Increase in Price Targets with Clear Dispersion

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose to 52.25, an increase of 0.85 or 1.65% over the last 7 days, and 1.45 or 2.85% over the last 30 days, while the number of analysts remained at 3 with no change over the last day. This indicates a gradual improvement in the outlook, while the range between 42 and 57 and the divergence of the average from the median of 54.5 reflect notable variation among estimates, keeping the degree of uncertainty relatively high.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.09
Buy
Analyst coverage
23
Buy conviction
83%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
34%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time23 analysts rating
7
12
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.79 → 4.09
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
    Scotiabank
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Bank of America Securities
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.23x
    4.94x39.51x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.58x
    3.70x29.59x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.26x
    2.62x20.92x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.6%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    49.4%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    144.7%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    56.1%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    26.3%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.2%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    13.4%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-10 data

Company Overview

Barrick Mining Corporation is a mining company focused on gold and copper production through a portfolio distributed across North America and other regions. It generates revenue from the sale of mineral production, while the Nevada Gold Mines and Pueblo Viejo assets form the cornerstone of its North American business, and its growth portfolio includes the Fourmile and Lumwana projects and the Pueblo Viejo expansion. In Q2 FY2026, North American assets contributed 53% of attributable adjusted EBITDA and achieved a 61% margin, while other regions recorded a 59% margin and copper achieved margins similar to the gold business.

According to the latest available annual EDGAR filings, FY2025 revenue increased to $17.0 billion from $12.9 billion in FY2024, and gross profit rose to $8.7 billion from $5.0 billion, representing a gross margin of approximately 51.2%. FY2025 net income was approximately $7.2 billion and earnings per share were $2.93, compared with net income of $3.1 billion and earnings per share of $1.22 in FY2024.

In Q2 FY2026, management reported net earnings of $1.2 billion, up 50% year over year, and adjusted earnings of $1.36 billion, or $0.82 per share. Attributable adjusted EBITDA reached $2.425 billion at a 59% margin, while gold production reached 976 thousand ounces, 3% above guidance and 11% above the previous quarter, and copper production totaled 56 thousand tonnes.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Gold production in Q2 FY2026 exceeded guidance by 3% and increased 11% from the previous quarter to 976 thousand ounces, driven by the accelerated ramp-up of Loulo-Gounkoto, Pueblo Viejo's recovery following maintenance in the previous quarter, and Cortez achieving record underground mining volumes as the Goldrush ramp-up continued.
  • Adjusted earnings per share in Q2 FY2026 jumped 74% year over year to $0.82, and net earnings increased 50% to $1.2 billion, while attributable adjusted EBITDA rose 51% to $2.425 billion.
  • Barrick is targeting an initial offering of a 10% stake in its North American gold assets by the end of 2026, with the vast majority of the net proceeds expected to be returned to shareholders. This followed an agreement with Newmont whose total package value was approximately $4 billion and included Fourmile, Mike, and Fiberline, the settlement of historical disputes, and reduced friction costs associated with the offering.
  • The company returned $1.5 billion to shareholders during Q2 FY2026, including $1.2 billion through share repurchases under a $3 billion authorization. The distribution policy provides for a base quarterly dividend of $0.175 per share, with an additional year-end performance payment targeting a total return of 50% of attributable free cash flow.
  • The Fourmile and Lumwana projects and the Pueblo Viejo expansion progressed according to the announced schedule and budget; 20 drill rigs are operating at Fourmile, while the Lumwana expansion aims to double copper production and begin initial expanded production by the end of Q1 FY2028. The deferral of the start of Reko Diq plant construction also reduced FY2026 attributable capital expenditure guidance to a range of $3.8–$4.2 billion.
  • Management maintained its FY2026 production and cost guidance unchanged and expects gold production in Q3 FY2026 to exceed the Q2 level, then rise further in Q4, with copper production increasing in the second half compared with the first half.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The bullish case is based on sequential operational improvement; Q2 FY2026 was the third consecutive strong quarter, with gold production 3% above guidance, adjusted EBITDA growth of 51%, and a consolidated margin of 59%.
  • +The balance sheet has clear flexibility after ending Q2 FY2026 with net cash of $1.2 billion, an undrawn $3 billion revolving credit facility, and no material debt maturities before 2033.
  • +The offering of 10% of the North American assets could more clearly unlock the value of Nevada Gold Mines, Pueblo Viejo, and Fourmile, particularly after the Newmont agreement aligned interests and reduced dispute risks and offering execution costs, with the intention of returning most of the net proceeds to shareholders.
  • +Fourmile, Lumwana, and the Pueblo Viejo expansion provide a multiyear organic growth path; Lumwana aims to double copper production, while Fourmile is being advanced with 20 drill rigs and completion of the preliminary feasibility study targeted by the end of 2028.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates Barrick Mining Corporation shares a “Buy,” with an average price target of $51.4 and a wide range of $42 to $57. The average target is below the 52-week high of $54.69, while the upper end of the target range exceeds that high, and the 52-week range extends from $26.14 to $54.69; the breadth of these reference points reflects differing estimates regarding the value of the North American asset offering, its execution risks, and cost pressures. The context does not provide a valid comparable earnings multiple, so the valuation assessment is based on the analyst target range and the 52-week range rather than an earnings-based valuation conclusion.

BuyAnalyst target: $51.4(+17.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Barrick's Q2 FY2026 results?

Barrick produced approximately 976 thousand ounces of gold, up 11% from the previous quarter and 3% above guidance. Management attributed the improvement to the ramp-up of Loulo-Gounkoto ahead of schedule, Pueblo Viejo's recovery following maintenance in the previous quarter, and Cortez achieving record underground tonnes as the Goldrush ramp-up continued. Copper production totaled 56 thousand tonnes, while net earnings increased 50% year over year to $1.2 billion. Adjusted earnings per share also reached $0.82, up 74% year over year and in line with the Bloomberg consensus cited on the call.

What are the details of Barrick's plan to offer its North American assets?

Barrick plans to offer a 10% stake in a U.S. gold company comprising high-quality North American assets, targeting completion of the transaction by the end of 2026. Management confirmed that at this stage it does not plan to exceed the 10% stake or distribute the assets directly to shareholders instead of proceeding with the offering. The company expects to return the vast majority of the net proceeds from the offering to shareholders. It also said the Newmont agreement reduced the friction costs associated with the transaction and allowed the structure to be reassessed before marketing begins.

What does the Newmont agreement add to Barrick?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Gold all-in sustaining costs increased 11% year over year in Q2 FY2026, highlighting the sensitivity of margins to fuel and cost pressures even though costs remained within the company's guidance range.
  • −Attributable free cash flow declined 33% year over year in Q2 FY2026 due to the timing of tax and interest payments and a nonrecurring $400 million payment related to Loulo-Gounkoto; the company also received an additional payment request of $48 million in July 2026 due to the retroactive application of the 2023 financial mining code to 2024 and 2025.
  • −Production momentum was disrupted by weather events in Q2 FY2026, as Barrick suspended operations at Veladero for approximately two weeks after evacuating workers due to a weather event, while the Pueblo Viejo facility stopped after the Wylie Creek dam dried up, and management said the buffer within production guidance was not conservative.
  • −The plan to separate the North American gold assets faces opposition from institutional investors concerned that some of the highest-value assets could leave the parent company, creating execution and shareholder acceptance risks despite the continued target of completing the 10% stake offering by the end of 2026.
  • −The economics and acceleration of Fourmile remain uncertain; the preliminary feasibility study is targeted for completion by the end of 2028, permitting and the choice between a roaster and an autoclave have not been finalized, and management preliminarily estimated the new processing facility at approximately $2.5 billion while emphasizing that the figure is not final.
  • −Safety performance remained below target in Q2 FY2026 despite the total recordable injury frequency rate declining from 0.92 to 0.70, as the company recorded six lost-time injuries, which management described as unacceptable despite investing more than $90 million in safety technologies during FY2026.
  • Management estimated the total value of the agreement package at approximately $4 billion, not $4 billion in addition to a separate $2 billion payment. The package includes Newmont's 38.5% stake in Fourmile, Barrick's acquisition of 61.5% of Mike and Fiberline, the settlement of historical disputes, and reduced offering costs. Barrick said Mike and Fiberline are associated with approximately 6.4 million ounces, without providing a final breakdown of the classification of these resources. Consolidating the assets allows both parties to evaluate increasing processing capacity at Nevada Gold Mines and reducing ore haulage by truck.

    How does Barrick return capital to shareholders?

    The company returned $1.5 billion to shareholders in Q2 FY2026, including $1.2 billion in share repurchases under a total authorization of $3 billion. The distribution policy provides a base quarterly dividend of $0.175 per share. An additional year-end performance payment targets increasing the total distribution to 50% of attributable free cash flow. During the three quarters since October 2025, total dividends and repurchases amounted to $3 billion, more than double the previous comparable period.

    What are Barrick's most important growth projects and their timelines?

    Barrick increased drilling activity at Fourmile to 20 rigs and is targeting completion of the preliminary feasibility study by the end of 2028. The Lumwana expansion aims to double copper production, with initial production from the expansion beginning by the end of Q1 FY2028, while the project remains within budget. The Pueblo Viejo expansion advanced work on the tailings facility, haul roads, and water treatment, with 90% of resettlement packages accepted. In contrast, the company decided not to begin construction of the Reko Diq plant during FY2026 and reduced its expected attributable capital expenditure to $450–$500 million.

    What are the key operational and financial risks to monitor?

    Gold all-in sustaining costs increased 11% year over year in Q2 FY2026, although costs remained within guidance. Attributable free cash flow declined 33% due to the timing of taxes and interest and the nonrecurring $400 million Loulo-Gounkoto payment, with an additional request for $48 million in July 2026. Weather events also disrupted Veladero for approximately two weeks and halted Pueblo Viejo after the Wylie Creek dam dried up. In safety, the company recorded six lost-time injuries despite the total recordable injury frequency rate declining to 0.70 and investing more than $90 million in safety technologies during FY2026.