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Stocks
AstraZeneca PLC
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall76
Strong — clearly above market medianFalling StarF 7/8Better than 76% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
48
23.8x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
63
8.6%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
87
14.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
70
1.4x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
61
1.31%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
31
-1.0%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
84
9▲3Top tier
AZN

AZN AstraZeneca PLC

AstraZeneca PLC · NYSE
Market Closed
160.17
▲ ⁦+0.33%⁩ (+0.53)
Market Cap$248.4B
Beta0.21
52w Low52w High
146.10212.71
Last Week
⁦-2.79%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.05%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-12.13%⁩
Last Year
⁦+0.02%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$160
Analyst target · 10 analysts
$185
⁦+16%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$158–$216⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$87
⁦-45%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$87–$185⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 10 analysts setting price target
$186.67
⁦+16.5%⁩
Current Price $160.17·Median $185.00
Low
$158.00
High
$216.00
Current price
$160.17
Average target
$186.67
Street summary

Stable Targets Amid Divergent Valuations

Price target expectations remained unchanged over 1, 7, or 30 days; consensus stayed at 186.67 with 10 analysts. The range is between 158 and 216, compared with a current price of 156.94, reflecting a wide range of analyst opinions despite the stable consensus and unchanged number of participants. Revenue estimates and average EPS also rose from 2026 to 2029, but the number of EPS analysts ranges from 3 to 9, making confidence less consistent in the more distant years.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.18
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
91%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
36%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
3
7
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.18
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-23
    CICC
    Outperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-13
    HSBC
    BuyHold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    23.83x
    3.94x44.30x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    14.75x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.50x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    3.5%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.6%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    25.8%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    81.9%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    14.8%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.41x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.3%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    31.3%
    7.4%76.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-27 data

Company Overview

AstraZeneca PLC develops and markets innovative medicines across three main areas: Oncology, BioPharmaceuticals, and Rare Disease. Revenue comes primarily from sales of medicines such as Tagrisso, Calquence, Imfinzi, Farxiga, and Ultomiris, in addition to alliance revenue and profit sharing from partnered medicines such as Enhertu, Datroway, and Tezspire; alliance revenue increased 29% in the first half of FY 2026.

In FY 2025, revenue was $58.7 billion, gross profit was $48.1 billion, net income was $10.2 billion, and earnings per share were $6.54, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 81.9% and a net income margin of approximately 17.4%. This compares with revenue of $54.1 billion and net income of $7.0 billion in FY 2024, and revenue of $45.8 billion and net income of $6.0 billion in FY 2023. According to EDGAR data for Q2 FY 2025, the company recorded revenue of $14.5 billion, gross profit of $12.0 billion, net income of $2.4 billion, and earnings per share of $1.57, with a gross margin of approximately 82.8%.

In the latest Q2 FY 2026 call, management announced that first-half FY 2026 revenue grew 6%, or 11% excluding the impact of Farxiga and Brilinta, which were affected by generics, while core earnings per share rose 11% and the core gross margin reached 83%. Oncology generated first-half revenue of $14.1 billion, up 15%, BioPharmaceuticals revenue was $11.2 billion, down 5%, and Rare Disease revenue grew 11% to $4.9 billion. In Q2 FY 2026, Tagrisso generated revenue of $1.9 billion, Calquence exceeded $1 billion for the first time in a single quarter, and Enhertu recorded approximately $888 million, up 31%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • AstraZeneca reaffirmed its FY 2026 guidance for mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth and low double-digit core earnings-per-share growth at constant exchange rates, with the core gross margin expected to remain stable or increase slightly compared with FY 2025.
  • Oncology is driving operating momentum; its revenue grew 15% to $14.1 billion in the first half of FY 2026, while Q2 revenue increased 16% for Calquence, 25% for Imfinzi and Imjudo combined, 31% for Enhertu, and 37% for Truqap.
  • Respiratory products and Rare Disease support growth diversification: in Q2 FY 2026, Fasenra revenue rose 13% to $570 million, Tezspire rose 45% to $390 million, and Breztri rose 20% to $346 million, while Strensiq grew 36% and Rare Disease revenue grew 11% in the first half.
  • The company achieved positive results from six key Phase III programs during the first half of FY 2026 and plans 25 key Phase III trial readouts over 18 months from July 27, 2026. It raised its estimate of peak revenue for tozorakimab to more than $5 billion and estimated peak revenue for sone-ve at between $3 billion and $5 billion following the positive result from the CLARITY-Gastric01 study.
  • The Phase III EMBOLD and ELUMINATE programs for elecoglipron began during July 2026 after Phase II studies showed weight loss of up to 11.8% at week 36 and an HbA1c reduction of up to 1.9% at week 26. Management also believes that each of the three launches, Datroway, Etcamah, and Baxfendy, has the potential to exceed $5 billion in peak annual revenue.
  • Reports on August 3 and 4, 2026, about preliminary talks with Bristol Myers Squibb affected the share price; the reports estimated the potential entity's value at approximately $400 billion. However, the news remained within the realm of reports and rumors, with doubts about its accuracy and the strategic rationale for using AstraZeneca shares, in addition to regulatory concerns in Oncology.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +FY 2025 revenue rose approximately 8.5% to $58.7 billion, while net income jumped approximately 45.7% to $10.2 billion and earnings per share increased from $4.50 to $6.54, demonstrating that earnings grew faster than sales during the period.
  • +Portfolio diversification limits dependence on a single medicine; in the first half of FY 2026, 15% growth in Oncology, 11% growth in Rare Disease, and momentum in Respiratory offset a significant portion of the pressures from loss of exclusivity for Farxiga, Brilinta, and roxadustat.
  • +Growth ambitions are based on several assets rather than a single trial: the company has 25 key Phase III readouts over 18 months from July 27, 2026, and six new molecules expected to have pivotal data in FY 2027, alongside positive results for sone-ve, tozorakimab, and VOLGA.
  • +Management maintained its ambition of reaching $80 billion in revenue by 2030 and said this target is risk-adjusted and does not require additional business development deals if the pipeline's probabilities of success materialize as planned. This is reinforced by AstraZeneca's full ownership of assets such as tozorakimab and sone-ve, compared with medicines whose returns it shares with partners.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $186.67 and a wide range between $158 and $216. The average target lies between the bounds of the 52-week range of $145.80 and $212.71, but below its high, while the highest target slightly exceeds that high; this dispersion reflects clear differences regarding the pipeline's ability to offset loss of exclusivity. A price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable in the data, so the consensus should be considered alongside clinical trial risks and Farxiga pressures, rather than as an independent judgment of value.

BuyAnalyst target: $186.67(+16.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did AstraZeneca perform in Q2 FY 2026?

The company announced on July 27, 2026, that first-half FY 2026 revenue grew 6%, or 11% excluding Farxiga and Brilinta, and core earnings per share increased 11%. The core gross margin reached 83%, with Oncology growing 15% to $14.1 billion and Rare Disease growing 11% to $4.9 billion in the first half. In Q2 FY 2026, Tagrisso generated revenue of $1.9 billion and Calquence exceeded $1 billion, while Enhertu recorded approximately $888 million.

Is AstraZeneca's $80 billion revenue target by 2030 still in place?

Yes, management confirmed in the July 27, 2026, call that the $80 billion revenue ambition by 2030 remains in place. It explained that the estimate is risk-adjusted and assumes that some programs succeed and others fail, rather than relying on a single asset. The plan is supported by six positive results from key Phase III programs during the first half of FY 2026 and 25 key readouts planned over 18 months from the date of the call.

What are the main growth medicines for AZN shares following Farxiga pressures?

In Oncology, Enhertu grew 31% to $888 million in Q2 FY 2026, Calquence exceeded $1 billion for the first time, and Tagrisso generated revenue of $1.9 billion. In Respiratory, Tezspire grew 45% to $390 million, Fasenra grew 13% to $570 million, and Breztri grew 20% to $346 million. Management believes that Datroway, Etcamah, and Baxfendy each have the potential to exceed $5 billion in peak annual revenue and also raised the estimate for tozorakimab to more than $5 billion.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Loss of exclusivity remains the greatest immediate operating pressure; BioPharmaceuticals revenue declined 5% to $11.2 billion in the first half of FY 2026, and Farxiga fell 19% to $1.8 billion in Q2 after generic competition entered the United States, while Symbicort declined 8% to $671 million due to pricing pressure and a new generic competitor.
  • −The drug pipeline remains exposed to failures in advanced trials; the CARDIO-TTRansform study of Wainua did not meet its primary endpoint, and the Ultomiris study in adult and adolescent HSCT-TMA patients did not achieve statistical significance for the event-free survival endpoint, while the company announced on August 17, 2026, the discontinuation of the Phase III study of Volrustomig in lung cancer.
  • −AstraZeneca faces intense competition and pricing pressures in China, where growth was affected by volume-based procurement, and management acknowledged the intensity of local competition in the Tagrisso market and the antibody-drug conjugate market. Tagrisso also faces a competitive threat from the MARIPOSA regimen in the United States, while the C5 franchise faces longer-acting competitors.
  • −FY 2026 includes pressures on margins and cash flows; the company expects a lower core gross margin in the second half due to the seasonal mix of lower-margin medicines and expects the working-capital impact associated with the loss of Farxiga exclusivity in the United States to continue through year-end. Net debt increased by approximately $3.5 billion in the first half, with capital expenditure expected to increase by approximately one-third and core financing costs expected to rise in the second half.
  • −Reports of a potential merger with Bristol Myers Squibb carry execution and regulatory risks if they develop into an actual deal; reports on August 4, 2026, pointed to potential antitrust obstacles in Oncology, and Jefferies analysts questioned the rationale for using AstraZeneca shares to finance the acquisition. Jim Cramer also described the rumors as potentially being a hoax, underscoring that the reports do not represent a confirmed deal.
  • −The valuation reflects considerable divergence in expectations; the range between the lowest analyst target of $158 and the highest target of $216 is wide, and the average target of $186.67 is approximately 12% below the top of the 52-week range of $212.71. The price-to-earnings ratio is also unavailable in the data, limiting the ability to assess the valuation against reported earnings and making pipeline results and loss of exclusivity decisive factors in repricing.
What is the impact of generics and loss of exclusivity on AstraZeneca?

BioPharmaceuticals revenue declined 5% to $11.2 billion in the first half of FY 2026 due to Farxiga, Brilinta, and roxadustat. In Q2 FY 2026, Farxiga declined 19% to $1.8 billion after generic competition entered the United States, and Symbicort declined 8% to $671 million following the entry of a new generic competitor. In contrast, total revenue growth was 11% excluding Farxiga and Brilinta, illustrating the strength of the rest of the portfolio but not eliminating the pressure from loss of exclusivity.

What do reports of an AstraZeneca and Bristol Myers Squibb merger mean for investors?

Reports emerged on August 3, 2026, about preliminary talks that could result in an entity valued at approximately $400 billion, but they did not constitute an announcement of a confirmed deal within the data. On August 4, 2026, reports pointed to potential regulatory obstacles in Oncology and doubts from Jefferies about using AstraZeneca shares in the acquisition. Jim Cramer also questioned the accuracy of the rumors, so this news remains a source of volatility rather than an established financial basis for the deal.

Does insider selling represent a negative signal for AZN shares?

The data indicate one sale and no purchases during the three months ending with the transaction recorded on May 20, 2026, for net sales of $2.2 million. This is a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data do not clarify whether this transaction was. It is less important than FY 2025 revenue growth to $58.7 billion and the risks from the loss of Farxiga exclusivity and clinical trial results in FY 2026.