EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
American Water Works Company, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall41
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 7/9DistressBetter than 41% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
29
23.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
48
7.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
45
6.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
36
5.3x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
47
2.40%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
66
-2.9%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
68
9▲3Top tier
AWK

AWK American Water Works Company, Inc.

American Water Works Company, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
137.69
▼ ⁦-1.54%⁩ (-2.15)
Market Cap$27.8B
Beta0.58
52w Low52w High
120.57145.64
Last Week
⁦-2.27%⁩
Last Month
⁦+2.05%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+10.64%⁩
Last Year
⁦-0.58%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$138
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$135
⁦-2%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$130–$162⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$140.50
⁦+2.0%⁩
Current Price $137.69·Median $135.00
Low
$130.00
High
$162.00
Current price
$137.69
Average target
$140.50
Street summary

Slight Increase in Consensus with Clear Divergence

The consensus price target rose from 137.5 to 140.5 over the last 7 days, the same increase recorded over the last 30 days, equivalent to 2.18%, while the number of analysts remained at 6. Compared with the current price of 137.69, the consensus indicates limited upside, while the median stands at 135, suggesting that the outlook is not uniformly bullish. The target range between 130 and 162 reflects a notable divergence in estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.08
Hold
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
23%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
23%
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
3
9
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.86 → 3.08
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-16
    Bank of America Securities
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-15
    Barclays
    Underweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    23.86x
    4.50x36.01x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    22.77x
    4.35x34.77x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.82x
    3.07x24.54x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    -3.8%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.3%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    3.8%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    47.3%
    9.8%69.4%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    6.3%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.34x
    1.28x10.25x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    2.4%
    1.4%6.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    58.3%
    35.0%95.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.04
    0.573.91
    Below average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

American Water Works operates water and wastewater utilities across 14 states, generating revenue by providing these services and recovering infrastructure investments through rates approved by state regulators. Its growth model is based on investing capital in network upgrades and improvements to resilience and water quality, then earning a return on those investments, alongside acquiring new water systems and expanding its customer base to achieve economies of scale.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company recorded revenue of $1.4 billion and net income of $315 million, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 22.5%, while adjusted earnings per share reached $1.61 versus $1.49 in the corresponding period of fiscal 2025, representing growth of slightly more than 8%. In the first six months of fiscal 2026, adjusted earnings per share reached $2.62 versus $2.51 in the corresponding period, while operating and maintenance costs remained stable year over year despite higher depreciation, financing costs, and general taxes.

Fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $5.1 billion, net income was $1.1 billion, and earnings per share were $5.69, while trailing-twelve-month data through fiscal 2026 showed revenue of approximately $5.3 billion, net income of $1.1 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $5.76. The operating mix combines regulated water and wastewater services, organic network investments, and customer-base growth through acquisitions, most notably the Nexus Water Group systems, which added 47 thousand customer connections.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 29, 2026, American Water reaffirmed its adjusted earnings-per-share range for fiscal 2026 of $6.02 to $6.12, a range reflecting targeted growth of approximately 8%, and maintained its earnings-per-share and dividend growth target of 7% to 9% through 2030 and beyond.
  • The company invested $1.8 billion in capital projects and acquisitions during the first half of fiscal 2026 and is targeting 2% customer growth; these investments support revenue through approved rate increases that recover capital.
  • On June 1, 2026, the company closed the acquisition of systems from Nexus Water Group several months ahead of the estimated schedule, adding 47 thousand customer connections and 70 local employees. As of June 30, 2026, it had approximately 57 thousand additional connections under agreement across six states, with a total value of $236 million.
  • American Water completed three rate cases in West Virginia, Maryland, and Pennsylvania during fiscal 2026, and the outcomes allowed recovery of approximately 100% of the capital investments made in each state. In Pennsylvania, the commission approved an annual increase of $75 million in water and wastewater revenue with a 9.55% return on equity.
  • The proposed merger with Essential Utilities received approvals from Kentucky in April 2026 and from Ohio and Virginia in May and June 2026, while the parties also reached a preliminary settlement in Texas. During the July 30, 2026 call, management expected the transaction to close by the end of Q1 fiscal 2027.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The regulated utility model provides relative revenue visibility, and Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue growth was driven by approved rate increases to recover investments, while operating and maintenance costs remained stable year over year.
  • +Adjusted earnings per share grew slightly more than 8% in Q2 fiscal 2026 to $1.61, and management reaffirmed the fiscal 2026 range of $6.02–$6.12 and its long-term earnings-per-share and dividend growth target of 7% to 9%.
  • +Investments of $1.8 billion during the first half of fiscal 2026, the addition of 47 thousand connections from Nexus Water Group, and the portfolio of agreements covering 57 thousand connections support the path toward expanding the customer base and achieving economies of scale.
  • +Merger approvals with Essential Utilities in three states and the preliminary settlement in Texas demonstrate tangible progress, and management indicated the potential to achieve savings from the combined company over time.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates the stock a “Buy,” with an average target of $137.5 and a relatively wide range of $130 to $150. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $145.64, while the highest target exceeds that high, reflecting differing views on the impact of regulated growth and acquisitions versus financing and regulatory-decision risks. The data do not include a usable earnings multiple, so the valuation assessment is based on the target range and the 52-week range of $120.57–$145.64.

BuyAnalyst target: $137.5(-0.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove AWK’s results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

American Water recorded revenue of approximately $1.4 billion and net income of $315 million in Q2 fiscal 2026. Adjusted earnings per share reached $1.61 versus $1.49 in the corresponding period of fiscal 2025, representing growth of slightly more than 8%. The revenue increase came from approved rate increases to recover investments, while operating and maintenance costs remained stable and depreciation, financing costs, and general taxes increased.

What is American Water’s outlook for fiscal 2026?

On July 29, 2026, the company reaffirmed its adjusted earnings-per-share range of $6.02 to $6.12 for fiscal 2026. This range targets growth of approximately 8%, compared with adjusted earnings per share of $2.62 in the first six months of fiscal 2026. Management explained that most of the expected earnings-per-share growth will come in the second half as revenue increases in key states take effect in Q3.

How does the Nexus Water Group acquisition support AWK’s growth?

American Water closed the acquisition of the Nexus Water Group systems on June 1, 2026, several months ahead of the estimated schedule. The systems added 47 thousand customer connections and 70 local employees and were part of $1.8 billion in capital investments and acquisitions during the first half of fiscal 2026. As of June 30, 2026, the company had additional agreements covering approximately 57 thousand connections across six states, valued at $236 million, supporting its 2% customer growth target.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Growth remains dependent on regulatory decisions, and Pennsylvania approved an annual increase of only $75 million versus a request of $160 million, approximately $85 million below the amount requested. In addition, the DSIC mechanism covers only approximately 40% of capital spending in the state, and comprehensively expanding it would require legislative amendment.
  • −Total adjusted earnings per share in the first six months of fiscal 2026 grew from $2.51 to $2.62, or only approximately 4.4%, below the annual growth target of 8%; therefore, the plan depends heavily on revenue increases in key states taking effect during the second half.
  • −The large investment program increases financing and dilution risks; total debt to capital stood at 58% on June 30, 2026, and the company issued $500 million of long-term debt at an interest rate of 4.625%, then settled 3.4 million shares under forward equity contracts for $476 million, with plans to settle the remaining contracts in Q4 fiscal 2026.
  • −The Essential Utilities merger remains subject to the completion of regulatory proceedings in several states despite the approvals already secured, and as of July 30, 2026, American Water was engaged in settlement discussions in Pennsylvania and ongoing proceedings in other states; this leaves risks related to the timing and terms of approvals and execution through the targeted closing by the end of Q1 fiscal 2027.
  • −Bill-affordability pressures may constrain the pace of investment recovery, particularly with rate cases continuing before six regulatory bodies. Management emphasizes that the average residential water bill will remain at or below 1% of average household income, but maintaining this threshold alongside substantial capital investments requires a delicate regulatory balance.
  • −Analyst targets range from $130 to $150, while the average is $137.5 and remains below the 52-week range high of $145.64; this indicates differing assessments of fair value and valuation risk if the company fails to achieve its targeted earnings-per-share growth or if rate recoveries are delayed.
  • What is the status of American Water’s merger with Essential Utilities?

    The proposed merger received approval from Kentucky in April 2026, followed by approvals from Ohio and Virginia in May and June 2026. The parties also reached a preliminary settlement in Texas, while proceedings and settlement discussions continued in other states during the July 30, 2026 call. Management expected the transaction to close by the end of Q1 fiscal 2027 and indicated that economies of scale would emerge over time.

    What are the main regulatory risks facing AWK stock?

    In Pennsylvania, the company received an annual revenue increase of $75 million versus a request of $160 million, with a 9.55% return on equity. The DSIC mechanism covers only approximately 40% of capital spending in the state, while comprehensively increasing the eligible asset base requires legislative amendment. As of July 30, 2026, the company had general rate cases pending before six regulatory bodies, making the timing and value of investment recovery key factors in its results.

    How does AWK finance its capital investments?

    Total debt to capital stood at 58% on June 30, 2026. On May 20, 2026, the company issued $500 million of long-term debt at an interest rate of 4.625%. In June 2026, it also settled approximately 3.4 million shares out of nearly 8 million shares under forward contracts, generating net proceeds of $476 million, and planned to settle the remaining contracts in Q4 fiscal 2026.