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Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
AWI

AWI Armstrong World Industries, Inc.

Armstrong World Industries, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
163.87
▲ ⁦+0.70%⁩ (+1.14)
Market Cap$6.9B
Beta1.17
52w Low52w High
150.28206.08
Last Week
⁦-3.10%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.62%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+2.20%⁩
Last Year
⁦-17.05%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall76
Strong — clearly above market medianFalling StarF 9/9SafeBetter than 76% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
45
22.6x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
67
8.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
80
24.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
80
0.8x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
49
0.82%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
39
-5.5%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
75
6▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$164
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$203
⁦+24%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$190–$230⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$77
⁦-53%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.6⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$77–$203⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$207.60
⁦+26.7%⁩
Current Price $163.87·Median $203.00
Low
$190.00
High
$230.00
Current price
$163.87
Average target
$207.60
Street summary

AWI targets rise amid continued divergence

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target for Armstrong World Industries rose to 207.6 from 202 over the last 1 and 7 days, an increase of 2.77%, and to 207.6 from 197.67 over the last 30 days, an increase of 5.02%. The number of analysts remained unchanged at two, meaning the improvement reflects higher estimates within a limited base rather than broader coverage. The current price of 170.41 is below the current target range of 190 to 230, while the median stands at 203, indicating a more optimistic price outlook compared with the previous month.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+5.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.80
Buy
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
70%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
24%
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
1
6
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.78 → 3.80
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    D.A. Davidson
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Jefferies
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.57x
    4.94x39.51x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    18.49x
    3.70x29.59x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.25x
    2.62x20.92x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.6%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.6%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    7.2%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    40.3%
    7.6%58.9%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    24.6%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.83x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.8%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    18.5%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    6.71
    -11.4212.56
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Armstrong World Industries manufactures ceiling and wall solutions for commercial buildings and generates revenue through two main segments: Mineral Fiber, which sells acoustic ceiling tiles and grid systems, and Architectural Specialties, which provides specialized architectural solutions made from metal, felt, wood, and other materials. The first segment is supported by a combination of price increases and an improved product mix, particularly demand for higher-value SWAT tiles, while the second grows organically and through acquisitions, including Evenscape in February 2026 and Paraline and Geometric in 2025. The company is also expanding its offerings through TEMPLOK for energy efficiency, DYNAMAX, DATAZONE, and containment solutions for data centers, as well as the Kanopi and PROJECTWORKS platforms.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $472.0 million, gross profit was $195.0 million, net income was $96.7 million, and earnings per share were $2.26. This equates to a gross margin of approximately 41.3% and a net income margin of approximately 20.5%, while consolidated sales increased 11%, adjusted EBITDA increased 8%, and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 13% year over year. Data for the twelve months ended in 2026 showed revenue of $1.7 billion, gross profit of $683.3 million, net income of $315.3 million, and earnings per share of approximately $7.38.

Growth in Q2 fiscal 2026 came from both segments, but their drivers differed: Mineral Fiber sales increased 8%, driven by 6% growth in average unit value and 2% volume growth, while its adjusted EBITDA margin reached 44.7%. Architectural Specialties sales grew 17%, including 9% organic growth, with the remainder supported by acquisitions, and its adjusted margin reached 20.4%, or 21.4% on an organic basis. These results reflect the company's ability to deliver double-digit consolidated revenue growth despite management describing market conditions as largely subdued during the first half of fiscal 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

On July 28, 2026, management raised its expected fiscal 2026 sales growth range to 9%–11% from 8%–10%. It also raised the adjusted EBITDA growth range to 9%–12% and the adjusted diluted earnings per share growth range to 12%–15%. Approximately two-thirds of the $20 million increase in the midpoint of sales guidance came from Architectural Specialties and approximately one-third from Mineral Fiber, and it was driven primarily by Q2 results exceeding expectations rather than by an assumed improvement in the second-half market.
  • Mineral Fiber's mix continues to shift toward higher-value products; Q2 fiscal 2026 was the thirteenth consecutive quarter in which the premium category outperformed the lower-end category. Demand for SWAT tiles contributed to 6% growth in average unit value, alongside 2% volume growth, and management expects approximately 7% sales growth for the segment in fiscal 2026, including approximately 6% from average unit value and one percentage point from volume.
  • The number of TEMPLOK project opportunities has more than doubled since the end of Q1 fiscal 2026, supported by marketing focused on energy savings, thermal comfort, and tax incentives. In data centers, projects won by the company since the beginning of fiscal 2026 increased by more than 50% compared with the corresponding period, as the offering expanded to include DYNAMAX, DATAZONE, structural grid systems, and containment solutions through the WAVE joint venture.
  • Architectural Specialties delivered 9% organic growth and 17% total growth in Q2 fiscal 2026, while order intake continued at a double-digit rate for the fourth consecutive quarter. These orders support management's second-half outlook and provide initial visibility into the 2027 backlog, with notable strength in transportation and education and project wins at JFK, SFO, LAX, San Antonio International Airport, and with the Ohio Department of Transportation.
  • Adjusted free cash flow grew 9% since the beginning of fiscal 2026, driven by higher cash earnings and WAVE distributions. The company paid $30 million in dividends and repurchased $135 million of shares during the same period. The board then added $800 million to the repurchase authorization and extended it through 2029, while management reaffirmed that investment in the business and acquisitions take priority over repurchases in its capital allocation priorities.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Mineral Fiber has clear pricing power and product-mix strength; it delivered 6% growth in average unit value and a 44.7% adjusted EBITDA margin in Q2 fiscal 2026 despite freight and raw-material inflation. Management is targeting a margin of approximately 44% for fiscal 2026, which would represent the fourth consecutive year of segment margin expansion.
    • +The expansion of Architectural Specialties provides a growth path beyond the traditional mineral-fiber ceiling market, as segment sales increased 17% and organic growth reached 9% in Q2 fiscal 2026. Double-digit order intake for the fourth consecutive quarter across transportation, education, office, and healthcare also supports the backlog and reduces reliance on a single architectural product category.
    • +TEMPLOK, DYNAMAX, DATAZONE, and the Kanopi and PROJECTWORKS platforms provide the company with specific growth drivers rather than merely broad market expansion. TEMPLOK opportunities have more than doubled since the end of Q1 fiscal 2026, and data-center wins have increased by more than 50% since the beginning of fiscal 2026, while management expects growth initiatives to add up to 150 basis points of above-market Mineral Fiber volume growth during the year.
    • +The results and guidance support a picture of consistent earnings growth; consolidated sales increased 11% and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 13% in Q2 fiscal 2026, after which management raised the midpoints of its key guidance ranges. Adjusted free cash flow also increased 9% since the beginning of fiscal 2026, enabling the company to fund investment, acquisitions, dividends, and share repurchases through a balanced approach.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Market conditions remained largely subdued during the first half of fiscal 2026 because of economic uncertainty, and management said the increase in sales guidance resulted primarily from Q2 exceeding expectations while assuming that second-half conditions would remain as previously expected. This means the new annual sales growth range of 9%–11% does not depend on a broad recovery in end-market demand, despite pockets of strength in transportation, data centers, and healthcare.
    • −Input costs are pressuring the conversion of sales growth into earnings growth; freight represents approximately 10% of cost of sales, and management expects mid-teens inflation during fiscal 2026, while raw materials represent approximately 35% and are expected to experience low-single-digit inflation. Indeed, adjusted EBITDA grew only 8% versus 11% sales growth in Q2, and Mineral Fiber's margin declined to 44.7% from 45.2% a year earlier, with additional freight pressure expected during the second half.
    • −Recent acquisitions will dilute Architectural Specialties' overall margin during fiscal 2026, despite progress in integration. The segment's margin was 20.4% in Q2 versus 21.4% organically, and management expects a full-year margin of approximately 19% for the overall segment and approximately 20% organically, highlighting the cost of expanding the platform before the acquired companies reach Armstrong's targeted margins.
    • −The data-center initiative faces a broader and more fragmented competitive environment in back-of-house computing spaces, where structural requirements can be met through various floor-based or overhead solutions. Management also explained that Mineral Fiber tiles and traditional grid systems represent a smaller percentage of data-center project spending than in a typical commercial building. Maximizing the opportunity therefore depends on the success of DYNAMAX, DATAZONE, and containment solutions, as well as building direct relationships with hyperscalers and colocators.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $202 and a target range of $190 to $215; the average is approximately 2% below the 52-week high of $206.08, while the highest target exceeds it by approximately 4%. The 52-week range extends from $150.28 to $206.08, and the breadth of the target range reflects differing assessments of the ability of growth in Mineral Fiber and Architectural Specialties to offset input inflation and reduce the impact of acquisitions on margins.

    BuyAnalyst target: $202(+23.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove AWI's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 was approximately $472.0 million, gross profit was $195.0 million, net income was $96.7 million, and earnings per share were $2.26. Consolidated sales increased 11%, adjusted EBITDA increased 8%, and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 13% year over year. Growth came from an 8% increase in Mineral Fiber sales and a 17% increase in Architectural Specialties sales. A 6% increase in average unit value, 2% Mineral Fiber volume growth, and 9% organic growth in Architectural Specialties contributed to this result.

    How important are TEMPLOK and data centers to Armstrong World Industries' growth?

    TEMPLOK is an energy-efficient ceiling tile that the company markets based on electricity savings, thermal comfort, and the potential to benefit from tax incentives. By the July 28, 2026 call, the number of TEMPLOK project opportunities had more than doubled since the end of Q1 fiscal 2026. In data centers, Armstrong expanded from traditional tiles and grid systems into DYNAMAX, DATAZONE, containment solutions, and structural grid systems through WAVE. The number of data-center project wins since the beginning of fiscal 2026 increased by more than 50% compared with the corresponding period.

    What is AWI's outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

    Management raised its fiscal 2026 consolidated sales growth forecast to 9%–11%, compared with 8%–10% previously. It expects adjusted EBITDA growth of 9%–12%, adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of 12%–15%, and adjusted free cash flow growth of 10%–14%. It is also targeting approximately 7% sales growth in Mineral Fiber and 15%–17% in Architectural Specialties, with margins of approximately 44% for the former and 19% for the latter. Management explained that the $20 million increase in the midpoint of sales guidance came primarily from Q2 performance, with subdued market conditions assumed to continue in the second half.

    Is the Mineral Fiber segment maintaining its high margins?

    The Mineral Fiber segment's adjusted EBITDA margin was approximately 44.7% in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with 45.2% a year earlier. A 6% increase in average unit value, 2% volume growth, and WAVE's contribution supported profitability, but freight and raw-material inflation and increased selling, general, and administrative expense investments pressured the margin. Management is targeting a margin of approximately 44% for fiscal 2026, which would represent the fourth consecutive year of segment margin expansion. However, expected mid-teens freight inflation makes pricing and productivity critical to achieving this target.

    How do Architectural Specialties and acquisitions contribute to AWI's business?

    Architectural Specialties sales increased 17% in Q2 fiscal 2026, including 9% organic growth and contributions from Evenscape, Paraline, and Geometric. The adjusted EBITDA margin was 20.4% for the segment and 21.4% on an organic basis, showing that recent acquisitions are still diluting the overall margin. Order intake continued at a double-digit rate for the fourth consecutive quarter, supported by projects in transportation, education, office, and healthcare. Armstrong uses early access to the design process at companies such as Zahner and Evenscape to sell additional solutions from Mineral Fiber, grid systems, and the rest of the Architectural Specialties portfolio.

    What are the main risks to AWI shares based on Q2 fiscal 2026 data?

    The main risks are weakness in the commercial market, economic uncertainty, and input inflation, particularly freight, which management expects to rise at a mid-teens rate during fiscal 2026. Recent acquisitions will also continue to dilute Architectural Specialties' full-year margin, with an overall margin of approximately 19% expected versus approximately 20% organically. In data centers, the company faces more fragmented competition, while traditional tiles and grid systems represent a smaller share of project spending than in typical commercial buildings. Valuation adds risk because the average analyst target of $202 is close to the 52-week high of $206.08, increasing the stock's sensitivity to any weakness in margins or execution.

  • −Some demand channels may be volatile; the home-center channel increased 9% year over year in Q2 fiscal 2026, but management said this channel can fluctuate and that its activity during the quarter did not include an unusual factor that could be relied upon. The continuation of small renovation projects and discretionary spending is also tied to customer confidence in an economic environment that management described as not particularly encouraging.
  • −The target valuation leaves limited room for operational error when compared with historical price levels; the average analyst target of $202 is only approximately 2% below the 52-week high of $206.08, while the highest target reaches $215. Any failure to offset freight inflation or achieve targeted acquisition margins could weaken the justification for approaching the upper end of the target range.