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Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.
AUPH

AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
16.10
▼ ⁦-0.06%⁩ (-0.01)
Market Cap$2.1B
Beta1.40
52w Low52w High
10.3419.25
Last Week
⁦+0.31%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.19%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.89%⁩
Last Year
⁦+31.86%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall98
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9SafeBetter than 98% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
70
7.1x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
90
19.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
92
55.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
91
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
74
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
68
25.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
37
4▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$16
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$16
⁦-1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$16–$16⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$19
⁦+16%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦10.6⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$16–$19⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$16.00
⁦-0.6%⁩
Current Price $16.10·Median $16.00
Low
$16.00
High
$16.00
Street summary

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (AUPH) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals stock has seen a positive shift in analyst estimates over the past thirty days, with the average price target jumping from $12.6 to $16, an increase of 26.98%. There is a clear lack of dispersion among the three analysts covering the stock, as their high, low, and average estimates converged at $16, reflecting a strong consensus on the stock's fair value at the current stage, which exceeds the market price of $15.47.

As of 2026-08-14
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.83
Buy
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
83%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.57 → 3.83
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2025-12-03
    Leerink Partners
    Market Perform· $16.00
  • ⬇ Downgrade2025-11-04
    RBC Capital
    OutperformSector Perform· $15.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    7.06x
    3.94x44.30x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.97x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.91x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.2%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    19.8%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    442.9%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    90.4%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    55.2%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    7.91
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-02-26 data

Company Overview

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical company whose commercial operations focus on LUPKYNIS for the treatment of lupus nephritis, while developing aritinercept for autoimmune diseases. The revenue model relies heavily on LUPKYNIS sales; in fiscal year 2025, its net sales reached $271.3 million out of total revenue of $283.1 million, or approximately 95.8%, and product sales grew 25% compared with fiscal year 2024.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, Aurinia reported revenue of $83.2 million and gross profit of $76.7 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 92.2%, along with net income of $37.4 million, a net margin of approximately 45.0%, and earnings per share of $0.28. Compared with Q1 of fiscal year 2026, revenue increased from $77.7 million by approximately 7.1%, and net income increased from $34.4 million by approximately 8.7%.

Fiscal year 2025 revenue reached approximately $283.1 million, up 20%, or 26% excluding a nonrecurring $10 million milestone payment included in fiscal year 2024. Net income reached $287.2 million, but it included a $173 million tax benefit arising primarily from the release of a deferred tax asset valuation allowance; therefore, pretax income of $114.2 million was a more accurate indicator of operating improvement than the accounting-driven surge in net profit.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The strength of LUPKYNIS lifted Q4 fiscal year 2025 revenue to $77.1 million, up 29%, while quarterly product sales increased to $74.2 million, up 29% from the corresponding period of fiscal year 2024.
  • Management expects total fiscal year 2026 revenue of between $315 million and $325 million, representing growth of between 11% and 15%, and LUPKYNIS net sales of between $305 million and $315 million, representing growth of between 12% and 16%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Management sees an opportunity to increase early diagnosis and extend the duration of treatment for lupus nephritis; it stated that urine screening for proteinuria occurs at fewer than 50% of visits by lupus patients, while guidelines recommend keeping patients on treatment for between 3 and 5 years.
  • LUPKYNIS's clinical position is based on the rapid reduction of proteinuria; the pivotal trial demonstrated a 50% reduction within one month, and management said that most primary study objectives were achieved within 6 months, even though the primary endpoint was measured at 12 months.
  • Aurinia began a clinical study of aritinercept in one autoimmune disease, and the program planned to begin a study in an additional disease during the first half of fiscal year 2026. The Phase 1 single ascending dose study showed strong and sustained reductions in immunoglobulin, supporting the possibility of once-monthly dosing.
  • As of August 21, 2026, insider data showed net purchases over three months of $24.6 million, with ten purchases versus one sale, a supportive signal that does not replace an assessment of commercial and clinical performance.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +LUPKYNIS achieved 25% net sales growth during fiscal year 2025, and the company then reported Q2 fiscal year 2026 revenue of $83.2 million and a gross margin of approximately 92.2%, combining continued expansion with high gross profitability.
    • +Operations generated cash flow of $135.7 million in fiscal year 2025, up 206%, and the company ended the fiscal year with $398 million in cash and investments after repurchasing 12.2 million shares for $98.2 million and reducing the diluted share count from 149.8 million to 139.7 million.
    • +LUPKYNIS's clinical data support its commercial proposition; proteinuria declined by 50% within one month in the pivotal trial, while management said that guidelines encourage early diagnosis and treatment for between 3 and 5 years.
    • +Aritinercept gives the company a potential growth path beyond LUPKYNIS, after showing strong and sustained reductions in immunoglobulin from a single dose in Phase 1, with no observed association between antidrug antibodies and either injection-site reactions or changes in pharmacokinetics in the presented data.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The business is highly dependent on a single product; LUPKYNIS net sales of $271.3 million represented approximately 95.8% of fiscal year 2025 revenue of $283.1 million, making results sensitive to any slowdown in prescribing, pricing, or insurance coverage.
    • −LUPKYNIS faces direct competition following the approval of Gazyva for lupus nephritis, and management confirmed that its fiscal year 2026 guidance incorporates the new competition. Although no near-term impact had been observed at the time of the February 26, 2026 call, the availability of multiple treatments could affect treatment sequencing and LUPKYNIS's market share.
    • −LUPKYNIS sales guidance for growth of between 12% and 16% in fiscal year 2026 indicates a clear slowdown from its 25% growth in fiscal year 2025, even as quarterly revenue continues to increase. Management also declined to provide first-quarter-specific indicators during the February 26, 2026 call and said only that the first two months had shown nothing outside historical patterns.
    • −The company ended the pediatric study in its existing form because of technical difficulties in recruiting patients and said it would discuss plans to fulfill its pediatric obligations with the Food and Drug Administration. This adds execution and regulatory risks, even as management emphasized that the disease burden and commercial opportunity in the pediatric population are relatively small.
    • −Management does not expect international markets to match the U.S. market in penetration, pricing, or reimbursement, and described partner Otsuka's contribution in Europe and Japan as supportive of growth but not a significant proportion of the LUPKYNIS business. International expansion therefore remains a limited factor in offsetting any potential weakness in the U.S. market.
    • −No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available, and the three displayed analyst targets are identical at $16, with no range between the highest and lowest estimates. This uniformity limits the diversity of valuation views, while the target itself is approximately 16.9% below the 52-week range high of $19.25, highlighting the risk of a valuation reset if LUPKYNIS growth slows or development programs encounter setbacks.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” and the average price target is $16, with the highest and lowest targets identical at the same level; therefore, the target range provides no dispersion that can be used to gauge differences in opinion. The $16 target lies between the low and high of the 52-week range of $10.34–$19.25, approximately 16.9% below the high and approximately 54.7% above the low, while no valid price-to-earnings ratio is available for comparison despite fiscal year 2025 net income being inflated by a $173 million tax benefit.

    BuyAnalyst target: $16(-0.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the primary driver of Aurinia's revenue?

    LUPKYNIS is the company's primary commercial driver in the treatment of lupus nephritis. Its net sales reached $271.3 million in fiscal year 2025, up 25%, and represented approximately 95.8% of total revenue of $283.1 million. In Q4 of fiscal year 2025, product sales reached $74.2 million out of total revenue of $77.1 million.

    How did Aurinia perform in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Revenue reached $83.2 million, compared with $77.7 million in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, representing a sequential increase of approximately 7.1%. Gross profit reached $76.7 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 92.2%. Net income was $37.4 million and earnings per share were $0.28, compared with net income of $34.4 million and earnings per share of $0.25 in the previous quarter.

    What is Aurinia's guidance for fiscal year 2026?

    Management expects total revenue of between $315 million and $325 million in fiscal year 2026, equivalent to growth of between 11% and 15% from fiscal year 2025. It expects LUPKYNIS net sales of between $305 million and $315 million, representing growth of between 12% and 16%. This means continued growth, but at a slower pace than LUPKYNIS's 25% sales growth in fiscal year 2025.

    What clinically distinguishes LUPKYNIS according to the February 26, 2026 call?

    Management said that the pivotal LUPKYNIS trial showed a 50% reduction in proteinuria within one month of starting treatment. Most response objectives associated with the primary endpoint were also achieved within 6 months, despite the study being designed to measure the benefit at 12 months. The company links this speed to guidelines for early diagnosis and intensive treatment, which also recommend continuing treatment for between 3 and 5 years.

    Why is aritinercept important to Aurinia's future?

    Aritinercept represents an effort to expand Aurinia's portfolio beyond its substantial commercial reliance on LUPKYNIS. It is a dual inhibitor of BAFF and APRIL, and the Phase 1 single ascending dose study showed strong and sustained reductions in immunoglobulin, supporting the possibility of once-monthly dosing. The company began a study in one autoimmune disease, and its program announced on February 26, 2026 included beginning a study in an additional disease during the first half of fiscal year 2026.

    Why does fiscal year 2025 net income not reflect operating profitability alone?

    Net income reached $287.2 million and diluted earnings per share reached $2.07 in fiscal year 2025. However, the results included a $173 million tax benefit, arising primarily from the release of a valuation allowance on deferred tax assets that the company expects to utilize. Therefore, pretax income of $114.2 million and operating cash flow of $135.7 million were measures more closely related to the operating and cash performance of that fiscal year.