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Home
Stocks
AngloGold Ashanti Plc
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall98
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 9/9Better than 98% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
76
13.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
93
63.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
91
47.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
91
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
77
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
64
56.4%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
43
4▲3Around median
AU

AU AngloGold Ashanti plc

AngloGold Ashanti plc · NYSE
Market Closed
104.42
▲ ⁦+0.52%⁩ (+0.54)
Market Cap$52.8B
Beta0.70
52w Low52w High
62.55129.14
Last Week
⁦-3.16%⁩
Last Month
⁦+7.16%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+33.07%⁩
Last Year
⁦+68.64%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$104
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$111
⁦+6%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$42–$128⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$219
⁦+110%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦6⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$111–$219⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$98.50
⁦-5.7%⁩
Current Price $104.42·Median $110.50
Low
$42.00
High
$128.00
Current price
$104.42
Average target
$98.50
Street summary

Clear Divergence in Analysts’ Outlook for AU Stock

The consensus price target rose to 98.5 from 95.2 over the last 7 and 30 days, an increase of 3.47%, with no change in the number of analysts. However, the consensus remains below the current price of 104.42, while the median stands at 110.5; the range between 42 and 128 also reflects wide dispersion in estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+3.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.25
Buy
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
88%
High
Rating activity · 30d
7↑ · 9↓
Target dispersion
82%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
3
4
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    UBS
    NeutralBuy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-10
    BMO Capital
    OutperformMarket Perform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-09
    Citigroup
    UnderweightNeutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.42x
    4.94x39.51x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.38x
    3.70x29.59x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.46x
    2.62x20.92x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.6%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    63.7%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    106.9%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    54.6%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    47.4%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

AngloGold Ashanti plc is a gold producer operating a global portfolio of nine operating assets, with its revenue and cash flows derived primarily from the production and sale of gold. In fiscal Q2 2026, Tier 1 assets accounted for more than 70% of total production, generated a 71% cash margin, and contained approximately 80% of mineral reserves; Tier 2 assets generated a 58% cash margin. The growth hubs identified by management include Obuasi, Geita, Sukari, Siguiri, and Cuiaba, alongside the Arthur project in Nevada.

In fiscal Q2 2026, EBITDA rose 46% year over year to approximately $2 billion, and headline earnings increased 58% to $1 billion, while headline earnings per share rose 49% to $1.97 from $1.32. Net cash flow from operating activities grew 41% to $1.4 billion, while free cash flow reached $727 million, up 36% from $535 million. In contrast, cash production costs increased 21% to $1,480 per ounce from $1,226, but the portfolio ended the quarter with net cash of $991 million and liquidity of $4.2 billion.

EDGAR filings show a clear expansion in scale and profitability during fiscal 2025, with revenue of $9.9 billion, gross profit of $4.9 billion, net income of $3.2 billion, and earnings per share of $5.18. This compares with revenue of $5.8 billion and net income of $1 billion in fiscal 2024, followed by revenue of $4.6 billion and a net loss of $222 million in fiscal 2023. These figures reflect the company's transition from a loss in fiscal 2023 to strong profitability in fiscal 2025, alongside improving gold prices and robust cash generation.

What's Driving the Stock

  • A 35% year-over-year increase in the average realized gold price supported fiscal Q2 2026 results, adding $733 million to free cash flow and helping EBITDA grow 46% to approximately $2 billion.
  • Free cash flow reached $727 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and net cash increased to $991 million following a $1.3 billion turnaround compared with June 2025. This strength enabled the declaration of $949 million in first-half dividends, including $364 million in the second quarter, representing a 102% increase in first-half dividends according to news dated August 18, 2026.
  • The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance and expects production to increase by approximately 6% in the second half compared with the first half, with production weighted more heavily toward the fourth quarter. Management also expects second-half cash production costs to be lower than in the first half due to higher production volumes, while anticipated cash tax payments are expected to return to a range of $230–250 million in each of the third and fourth quarters after $542 million in the second quarter.
  • Organic growth opportunities at Obuasi, Geita, Sukari, Siguiri, and Cuiaba are targeted to add between 300 thousand and 450 thousand ounces to a baseline exceeding three million ounces, with production growth beginning in fiscal 2027, continuing in 2028, and accelerating in 2029. At Cuiaba alone, management discussed the potential to add approximately 75 thousand ounces over three years, while stating that most of these opportunities rely on mining and processing expansions with relatively limited capital expenditure.
  • The full feasibility study for the Arthur project began in August 2026 following board approval, and the company aims to add more than one million ounces to the project's reserves during fiscal 2026. It also expects a regulatory decision on North Bullfrog by the end of 2026 and believes Nevada could become a significant production hub in the early 2030s.
  • On August 17, 2026, AngloGold Ashanti announced its intention to invest CAD 58,462,111 in shares of Thesis Gold & Silver, increasing its stake from approximately 5% to 9.7% of outstanding shares. This expands the company's exposure to future exploration opportunities, but remains a strategic investment in a smaller company rather than existing production.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +AngloGold Ashanti combines strong earnings growth with high cash generation; EBITDA increased 46%, headline earnings 58%, and free cash flow 36% in fiscal Q2 2026, despite higher costs and tax payments.
  • +The balance sheet improved from net debt of $311 million in June 2025 to net cash of $991 million at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, with liquidity of $4.2 billion. The company also repurchased $666 million of bonds in April 2026, reducing long-term financing risk.
  • +Tier 1 assets, which provide more than 70% of production at a 71% cash margin and contain approximately 80% of reserves, give the portfolio a strong foundation for benefiting from elevated gold prices. The potential organic growth plan of between 300 thousand and 450 thousand ounces provides a path to higher production without requiring a multibillion-dollar expansion.
  • +The policy of distributing 50% of free cash flow, the declaration of $949 million in dividends for the first half of fiscal 2026, and the $2 billion share repurchase program support the potential for continued capital returns. However, execution of the repurchase program was still awaiting South African Reserve Bank approval as of July 31, 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $95.2, but the dispersion is substantial between the lowest target of $42 and the highest target of $128. The highest target is close to the 52-week range high of $129.14, while the lowest target is below the range low of $54.41, reflecting broad disagreement over the sustainability of gold prices, the company's margins, and the execution of production growth. The available data do not provide a usable price-to-earnings multiple, so the valuation assessment here is based on the target range and the 52-week range, while accounting for cost inflation and operational risks.

BuyAnalyst target: $95.2(-8.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove AU stock's results in fiscal Q2 2026?

EBITDA rose 46% year over year to approximately $2 billion, while headline earnings increased 58% to $1 billion. Free cash flow reached $727 million, up 36% from $535 million, with net operating cash flow growing 41% to $1.4 billion. A 35% increase in the average realized gold price was a key factor, adding $733 million to free cash flow, while lower sales volumes reduced it by $151 million.

Did AngloGold Ashanti reaffirm its fiscal 2026 guidance?

The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 production and cost guidance in its July 31, 2026 results. Management expects second-half production to increase by approximately 6% compared with the first half, with production more heavily concentrated in the fourth quarter. It also expects second-half cash production costs to be lower than in the first half, but noted an anticipated slight decline at Tropicana and temporary difficulties accessing higher-grade ore at Iduapriem.

How large are AngloGold Ashanti's organic growth plans?

Management aims to add between 300 thousand and 450 thousand ounces to a production baseline exceeding three million ounces from Obuasi, Geita, Sukari, Siguiri, and Cuiaba. It expects production growth to begin in fiscal 2027, continue in 2028, and then increase further in 2029. At Cuiaba, the company discussed the potential to add approximately 75 thousand ounces over three years, while the full feasibility study for the Arthur project began in August 2026 with the goal of adding more than one million ounces to its reserves during fiscal 2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Earnings and cash flows depend heavily on the gold price; the higher realized price added $733 million to free cash flow in fiscal Q2 2026, while lower sales volumes reduced cash flow by $151 million. Therefore, a reversal in the gold-price environment could directly pressure earnings, dividends, and share repurchases.
  • −Cash production costs rose 21% year over year to $1,480 per ounce in fiscal Q2 2026, with inflation, gold-price-linked royalties, and exchange rates adding approximately $216 per ounce, or 18%, to the cost base. Brent crude prices also rose 45%, while the company's internal inflation rate was approximately 6%, limiting how much margins benefit from higher gold prices.
  • −The Obuasi mine experienced a fatality on April 24, 2026, leading to a two-week suspension of operations and adding approximately $38 per ounce to the group's second-quarter costs. The company is temporarily operating without using the ore passes associated with the KMS shaft and is constructing a new pass targeted for completion in fiscal Q4 2026, keeping safety and operational execution risks elevated.
  • −The fiscal 2026 second-half outlook depends on an approximately 6% production increase and greater production weighting toward the fourth quarter, increasing the sensitivity of results to any new disruption. The company expects slightly lower production at Tropicana as it transitions to lower-grade ore in the Havana 6 pit, while Iduapriem is facing temporary difficulty accessing higher-grade areas that were flooded.
  • −The company faces multinational regulatory and supply-chain exposure; it is holding discussions with the government of Guinea regarding a requirement to route Siguiri gold through a local refinery and is monitoring developments in the Middle East for their potential impact on energy and global supply chains. Some Siguiri expansion opportunities also require resettlement and the maintenance of a social license to operate, although management said it did not expect a material obstacle during the three years following the July 31, 2026 call.
  • −The wide range of analyst targets, from $42 to $128, reveals significant divergence in assessments of value and risk, while the average target is $95.2 compared with the 52-week range high of $129.14. Insider activity recorded one sale and no purchases, totaling a net 35,637 shares during the three months ending with the latest transaction on May 19, 2026; this is a weak standalone signal because sales may be prearranged.
How does AngloGold Ashanti return cash to shareholders?

The dividend policy provides for a quarterly payment of $0.125 per share, followed by an annual true-up that raises the total distribution to 50% of free cash flow. The company declared $949 million in dividends for the first half of fiscal 2026, including $364 million in the second quarter, and news dated August 18, 2026 stated that first-half dividends increased 102%. Shareholders also approved a $2 billion share repurchase program, although its implementation was awaiting South African Reserve Bank approval as of July 31, 2026.

Why did AngloGold Ashanti's costs rise despite earnings growth?

Cash production costs rose 21% to $1,480 per ounce in fiscal Q2 2026 from $1,226 in the corresponding period. Inflation, gold-price-linked royalties, and exchange rates added approximately $216 per ounce, while Brent crude rose 45% and the company's internal inflation rate was approximately 6%. The Obuasi suspension following the April 24, 2026 incident added approximately $38 per ounce, while the company said its Full Asset Potential program helped offset some of these pressures.

What are the main operational risks to monitor for AU?

Obuasi remains a key focus following the April 24, 2026 fatality and the two-week operational suspension, with work continuing without the ore passes associated with the KMS shaft until a new pass targeted for fiscal Q4 2026 is completed. Tropicana is transitioning to lower-grade ore in Havana 6, while Iduapriem is experiencing temporary difficulty accessing higher-grade areas that were flooded. The company is also discussing requirements with the government of Guinea to route Siguiri gold through a local refinery and is monitoring the impact of developments in the Middle East on energy and supply chains.