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Stocks
Anterix Inc.
ATEX

ATEX Anterix Inc.

Anterix Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
82.18
▼ ⁦-0.74%⁩ (-0.61)
Market Cap$1.6B
Beta0.85
52w Low52w High
17.58113.00
Last Week
⁦-5.11%⁩
Last Month
⁦-17.21%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+20.94%⁩
Last Year
⁦+265.73%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall94
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 4/9SafeBetter than 94% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
20
23.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
96
18.9%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
86
26.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
83
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
68
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
92
342.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
21
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$82
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$115
⁦+40%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$69–$161⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$23
⁦-72%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.1⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$23–$115⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$115.00
⁦+39.9%⁩
Current Price $82.18·Median $115.00
Low
$69.00
High
$161.00
Current price
$82.18
Average target
$115.00
Street summary

Anterix (ATEX) Price Target Update

Bullish tilt

The stock has seen a sharp upward revision in the average price target over the past 30 days, with the consensus jumping from $69 to $115, an increase of 66.67%. This rise in price targets comes despite a previous rating downgrade by B. Riley to 'Neutral' in June 2026, indicating growing optimism regarding the stock's fair value compared to its current price of $93.25.

As of 2026-08-21
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+66.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
67%
High
Target dispersion
112%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
1
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.33 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-06-04
    B. Riley
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    23.41x
    4.21x33.71x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    31.18x
    3.09x24.70x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    20.93x
    2.57x20.60x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    0.7%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    18.9%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    123.6%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    93.4%
    11.3%77.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    26.5%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.49
    -8.274.77
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-12 data

Company Overview

Anterix Inc. owns a nationwide portfolio of licensed low-frequency spectrum in the 900 MHz band and works to prepare and market it to utilities and other entities requiring private, secure communications. The economic value comes from spectrum licensing deals with utilities, broadband license exchange gains, and revenue from products associated with the networks it enables, in addition to regional or nationwide opportunities and potential satellite connectivity applications. After the FCC expanded the configuration to 10 MHz, 40% of counties had been cleared under this configuration, while approximately 3 billion MHz-POPs, or about 85% of the total portfolio, remained available for monetization.

In Q1 of fiscal 2027, Anterix recorded GAAP revenue of $2.0 million, operating expenses of $12.856 million according to the correction provided in the call transcript, net income of $240 thousand, and earnings per share of $0.01. Broadband license exchanges also generated a gain of approximately $11 million, demonstrating that the quarter's result depended heavily on realizing value from spectrum assets, while operating revenue remained limited relative to expenses. The data did not present gross profit or a gross margin that could be relied upon.

Fiscal 2026 revenue was approximately $6.5 million, net income was $90.6 million, and earnings per share were $4.83. In the latest 12 months within fiscal 2027, revenue rose to $7.0 million, while net income reached $65.7 million and earnings per share were approximately $3.35. The company ended Q1 of fiscal 2027 with approximately $116 million in cash and no debt, after collecting approximately $16 million from customers and $20 million from stock option exercises during the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management reported on August 12, 2026 that there were approximately twelve active opportunities, distributed among deals with seven-, eight-, and nine-figure values, and said that discussions already underway two months earlier had accelerated as new opportunities emerged each month.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • SpaceX's application to the FCC presented a potential third path for meeting network buildout requirements through satellite coverage, and Anterix announced its support for the proposal. Management also described the first round of direct-to-device connectivity tests with Lynk as highly successful, expanding the potential uses of 900 MHz spectrum from terrestrial utility networks to satellite applications.
  • Market comparisons support Anterix's negotiating position; its completed deals with utilities averaged approximately $1.40 per MHz-POP, compared with approximately $2.50 in the FCC's latest AWS-3 auction, while management said the value reflected by the company's market capitalization was approximately $0.60 per MHz-POP.
  • Approximately 3 billion MHz-POPs, equivalent to about 85% of the total portfolio, remain unmonetized and include several of the largest and most valuable urban markets. Management estimated the theoretical gross value of this portion at more than $4 billion using the company's average deal value and approximately $7.5 billion using the AWS-3 auction average, before deducting clearing and execution costs.
  • Management expected to collect approximately $10 million in additional contracted proceeds during the remainder of fiscal 2027 and also indicated that broadband license gains were expected to be at least several million dollars in the low-single-digit range in the quarter following Q1 of fiscal 2027. At the same time, the company allocated approximately $7 million to spectrum clearing during Q1 of fiscal 2027.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The nationwide licensed 900 MHz portfolio gives Anterix a rare asset that can be monetized through local or regional utility deals, a nationwide deal, network-related products, or satellite connectivity applications; therefore, the value thesis does not depend on a single commercial path.
    • +With approximately 85% of MHz-POPs remaining unmonetized, there is substantial scope for additional deals, while management confirms that there are approximately twelve active opportunities, including potential deals with seven-, eight-, and nine-figure values.
    • +The company had approximately $116 million in liquidity and no debt at the end of Q1 of fiscal 2027, giving it the ability to fund clearing and hold firm on pricing instead of accepting a deal below its targeted value.
    • +The comparisons show a substantial gap between the implied value cited by management of $0.60 per MHz-POP and the company's average deal value of $1.40 and the AWS-3 auction average of $2.50, with actual execution and clearing costs remaining critical factors in converting this gap into shareholder value.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Operating revenue remains small relative to the company's size; it amounted to only $2.0 million in Q1 of fiscal 2027 versus corrected operating expenses of $12.856 million, and net income was only $240 thousand despite recording a license gain of approximately $11 million.
    • −Profitability depends heavily on spectrum gains and deals that may be intermittent; fiscal 2026 net income was $90.6 million despite revenue of only $6.5 million, then net income for the latest 12 months within fiscal 2027 declined to $65.7 million. This makes the timing of exchanges and deals a significant factor in period-to-period result volatility.
    • −Management did not provide comprehensive financial guidance and said that broadband license gains in the quarter following Q1 of fiscal 2027 were expected to be at least in the low-single-digit millions, following a gain exceeding $10 million in the previous quarter. This indication could represent a sequential decline in gains if the result comes near the stated minimum.
    • −Monetizing the portfolio requires spectrum clearing, dealing with incumbent frequency users, and obtaining the required spectrum from FCC inventory on a county-by-county basis; the company spent approximately $7 million on clearing in Q1 of fiscal 2027. Management also declined to specify the total cost, explaining that rapid nationwide clearing could require higher incentives than gradual regional execution.
    • −The valuation is highly sensitive to spectrum value assumptions; the average analyst target of $115 is slightly above the 52-week range high of $113, while the broad target range extends from $69 to $161. This gap reflects substantial differences in estimates of deal timing, clearing costs, and the realizable value of the assets.
    • −Insiders recorded net sales of $30.7 million over three months, with 31 sales and no purchases through the latest transaction on August 25, 2026. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data provide no details proving the reasons for those transactions.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is "Buy," with an average target of $115 and a wide range between $69 and $161; the average is slightly above the 52-week range high of $113. The valuation is primarily based on spectrum repricing, as management compares the implied value of approximately $0.60 per MHz-POP with its average deal value of $1.40 and the AWS-3 auction average of $2.50. However, the wide range of targets highlights the risks associated with monetization timing, clearing costs, and reliance on nonrecurring license gains for earnings.

    BuyAnalyst target: $115(+39.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Anterix generate revenue from its 900 MHz spectrum?

    Anterix realizes value by licensing spectrum to utilities, through broadband license exchanges, and from products associated with the networks it enables. Revenue in Q1 of fiscal 2027 was approximately $2.0 million, while license exchanges generated a gain of approximately $11 million. The company is also pursuing regional and nationwide opportunities and satellite applications, but the data do not include a new definitive deal in these areas as of the August 12, 2026 call.

    How much spectrum has Anterix not yet monetized?

    Management said that approximately 3 billion MHz-POPs remain available for monetization, representing about 85% of the portfolio's total MHz-POPs. This amount includes several of the largest and most valuable urban markets. Management estimated its gross value at more than $4 billion using a benchmark of $1.40 per MHz-POP, or approximately $7.5 billion using a benchmark of $2.50, before clearing and execution costs.

    What is the significance of SpaceX and Lynk to the ATEX investment thesis?

    On August 11, 2026, SpaceX submitted a proposal to the FCC to add a satellite-based buildout option, and Anterix supported the proposal because it could expand the ways its spectrum can be used and buildout requirements can be met. Management also said on August 12, 2026 that the first round of direct-to-device connectivity tests with Lynk was highly successful. These developments do not establish the existence of a definitive sale or licensing deal with SpaceX or Lynk, but they add a potential path to the spectrum's existing utility uses.

    Is Anterix's balance sheet sufficient to fund spectrum clearing?

    Anterix ended Q1 of fiscal 2027 with approximately $116 million in cash and no debt. During the quarter, it received approximately $16 million in customer payments and $20 million from stock option exercises and spent approximately $7 million on spectrum clearing. The company also expects to collect approximately $10 million in contracted proceeds during the remainder of fiscal 2027, but management did not specify the total cost required to clear the entire portfolio.

    Why do Anterix's earnings differ so significantly from its revenue?

    Fiscal 2026 revenue was approximately $6.5 million, while net income reached $90.6 million and earnings per share reached $4.83. In Q1 of fiscal 2027, revenue was $2.0 million and net income was $240 thousand after a license gain of approximately $11 million. These figures indicate that gains from managing and exchanging spectrum assets can affect net income more significantly than operating revenue, making earnings volatile from one period to another.

    What are the main risks to monitor in ATEX?

    The primary risk is that operating revenue in Q1 of fiscal 2027 was only $2.0 million versus corrected operating expenses of $12.856 million. Monetizing the spectrum also requires spending on clearing and negotiations with incumbent frequency users and the FCC, and management did not provide a total estimate for this cost. Additional factors include the wide range of analyst targets between $69 and $161 and insider net sales of $30.7 million over three months, with the caveat that these sales may have been prearranged.