EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Alphatec Holdings, Inc.
ATEC

ATEC Alphatec Holdings, Inc.

Alphatec Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
10.58
▲ ⁦+19.68%⁩ (+1.74)
Market Cap$1.6B
Beta0.85
52w Low52w High
6.8223.29
Last Week
⁦+13.40%⁩
Last Month
⁦+12.91%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+41.44%⁩
Last Year
⁦-33.46%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall12
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketFalling StarF 6/9DistressBetter than 12% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
28
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
86
19.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
60
-7.8%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
24
19.9x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
22
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
8
-40.8%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
90
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$11
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$15
⁦+42%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$12–$24⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-3.07
⁦-129%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.1⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-3.07–$15⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$16.22
⁦+53.3%⁩
Current Price $10.58·Median $15.00
Low
$12.00
High
$24.00
Current price
$10.58
Average target
$16.22
Street summary

Alphatec (ATEC) Stock Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

Alphatec stock saw stability in its average price target at $16.22 over the past week, following a slight decline of 0.43% in the total of the last thirty days. The variance between the high of $24 and the low of $12 reflects uncertainty in the estimates of the seven analysts; however, all these targets remain significantly higher than the current price of $9.63, indicating general optimism despite the divergence in valuation.

As of 2026-08-12
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.21
Buy
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
113%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
3
11
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.33 → 4.21
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    25.48x
    4.64x37.16x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    78.92x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    0.1%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    19.5%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    36.3%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    70.8%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    -7.8%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    19.88x
    0.60x5.10x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    -0.26
    -38.7417.53
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Alphatec Holdings operates in spinal surgery technologies, building its business model around integrated procedural solutions rather than selling implants individually. The ecosystem includes EOS and EOS Insight technologies for imaging and planning, Valence for navigation and operating room integration, and SafeOp for real-time neural information, alongside lateral and cervical surgery solutions, posterior fixation, and patient-specific rods. The company generates its revenue primarily from surgical products, while also using EOS to gain access to medical institutions and increase adoption of its procedural solutions after system installation.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $214 million, representing year-over-year growth of 15%. The surgical business contributed approximately $196 million, or about 92% of the total, and grew 17%, while EOS revenue was approximately $17 million and was nearly flat year over year. Surgical case volume increased approximately 20% and the number of active surgeons increased approximately 24%, but average revenue per case declined 2.7% due to case mix, international growth, and weak biologics attachment.

Gross margin reached 72.5% in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 260 basis points year over year, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $36 million, with a 17% margin and year-over-year growth of approximately 53%. The company generated $34 million in operating cash flow and approximately $1 million in free cash flow, despite investing $33 million in inventory and instrument sets. Nevertheless, the company continued to report net losses according to the August 7, 2026 results, so it does not have a positive price-to-earnings ratio.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 4, 2026, Alphatec raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance from $134 million to approximately $140 million, equivalent to a 16% margin, while maintaining its revenue outlook at approximately $882 million and growth at 15%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Surgeon additions remain the most prominent operating driver; the number of active surgeons grew approximately 24% and case volume increased 20% in Q2 fiscal 2026, while management expects surgical case volume growth in the high teens during the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • Existing accounts that adopted EOS Insight achieved an approximately 32% increase in implant revenue within six months of implementation, while EOS Insight penetration remains at only approximately 15% to 20% of the installed EOS device base. These figures indicate room for expansion within existing customers if the company continues converting imaging and planning usage into surgical procedures and products.
  • EOS revenue reached approximately $17 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with $14 million in the previous quarter, amid improved orders and installations. The company also received FDA clearance for its IOA intraoperative alignment technology, while Contour 3D, Valence, and SafeOp are expanding the ecosystem used for surgical planning and execution.
  • The company restructured its financing through a term loan and revolving credit facility with JPMorgan and TD Cowen, combining two previous facilities into one structure and extending maturities to 2031. Alphatec expects this to reduce annual interest expense by more than $6 million, with total liquidity of approximately $204 million at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Revenue growth of 15%, surgical business growth of 17%, and a 20% increase in cases in Q2 fiscal 2026 support the thesis that Alphatec is gaining new surgeons while simultaneously expanding use of its products among existing customers.
    • +The 260-basis-point increase in gross margin to 72.5% and the 420-basis-point expansion in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin to 17% show that revenue growth has begun translating more clearly into operating profitability and cash flow.
    • +The EOS base provides an internal expansion opportunity; EOS Insight penetration does not exceed 15% to 20% of installed devices, while implant revenue increased approximately 32% within six months at existing accounts that activated the software.
    • +Fiscal 2026 guidance of $882 million in revenue, $140 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, and at least $20 million in free cash flow supports the growth trajectory amid improving liquidity and an expected decline in interest costs.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Alphatec continues to report net losses despite improvements in adjusted earnings and cash flow, and the stock does not have a positive price-to-earnings ratio; this makes achieving sustainable net profitability a key factor in justifying its $1.4 billion market capitalization.
    • −Average revenue per case declined 2.7% year over year in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the company attributed approximately three-quarters of the shortfall from the desired level to weak biologics attachment. The attachment rate stabilized instead of improving, prompting management to revise its average revenue per case outlook from approximately flat to a low-single-digit decline during fiscal 2026.
    • −Management expects surgical case volume growth to slow from 20% in the first half to the high teens in the second half of fiscal 2026. It also maintained its annual revenue outlook at $882 million despite Q2 fiscal 2026 results exceeding some market expectations, limiting the margin of safety if surgeon additions or utilization slow.
    • −The company projected a gross margin of approximately 71% in the second half of fiscal 2026, compared with 72.5% in Q2, due to a higher mix of EOS revenue. EOS installations may also fluctuate between quarters because of institutional space and installation requirements, adding volatility to the timing and margins of revenue.
    • −Alphatec faces established competition in biologics; management stated that Medtronic generates approximately $700 million from BMP and linked the differentiation of its offering to the Theradaptive transaction. This makes improving biologics attachment dependent on commercial execution and the ability to offer clear differentiation in a market that management described as difficult to differentiate.
    • −Analysts' targets range from $12 to $24, a gap reflecting significant divergence in estimates of the profitability and growth trajectory, while the 52-week range extends from $6.82 to $23.29. Insider activity over the three months also recorded a net value of negative $48,460.5, with one sale and no purchases through June 11, 2026, but it is a weak standalone indicator because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is "Buy," with an average price target of $16.22, a high of $24, and a low of $12. The average target is approximately 30% below the top of the 52-week range of $23.29, while the highest target slightly exceeds that peak, reflecting broad disagreement over the potential magnitude of improvement in growth and margins. A positive price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable because net losses persist, so the valuation depends heavily on achieving the fiscal 2026 guidance of $140 million in adjusted earnings and at least $20 million in free cash flow.

    BuyAnalyst target: $16.22(+53.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Alphatec's growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Revenue reached $214 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, an increase of 15% year over year. Surgical revenue rose 17% to $196 million, supported by approximately 20% growth in case volume and approximately 24% growth in the number of active surgeons. EOS revenue also increased to $17 million from $14 million in the previous quarter, despite remaining nearly flat year over year.

    How does EOS Insight contribute to ATEC's growth?

    EOS Insight connects imaging data with surgical planning, alignment, bone-density assessment, and patient-specific rods. Existing accounts that used the software recorded an approximately 32% increase in implant revenue within six months of implementation. On August 4, 2026, management estimated software penetration at only approximately 15% to 20% of the installed EOS device base, leaving room for expansion within existing accounts.

    Has Alphatec become a free-cash-flow generator?

    The company generated $34 million in operating cash flow and approximately $1 million in free cash flow in Q2 fiscal 2026. This came after investing approximately $33 million in inventory and instrument sets to support growth in surgeon additions exceeding 20%. Management expects free cash flow of between $4 million and $6 million in Q3 fiscal 2026 and at least $20 million for the full fiscal 2026.

    What was the main operating weakness in ATEC's results?

    Average revenue per case declined 2.7% year over year in Q2 fiscal 2026 due to case mix, international growth, and weak biologics attachment. Management said approximately three-quarters of the shortfall from the desired level in this metric was related to biologics, whose attachment rate stabilized rather than improved. The company therefore expects average revenue per case to decline in the low single digits during fiscal 2026, while revenue per case remains strong in lateral, ALIF, and cervical procedures.

    What is Alphatec's outlook for fiscal 2026?

    The company maintained its revenue outlook at approximately $882 million, representing growth of approximately 15% in fiscal 2026. This includes approximately $805 million in surgical revenue, growing approximately 17%, and approximately $77 million in EOS revenue. On August 4, 2026, it raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance from $134 million to approximately $140 million, while maintaining its free cash flow outlook of at least $20 million.

    What do Alphatec's liquidity and financing structure look like?

    Alphatec ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with approximately $119 million in cash and $85 million in available borrowing capacity, for total liquidity of approximately $204 million. During the quarter, it combined two previous loans into a single financing structure through a term loan and revolving facility with JPMorgan and TD Cowen. The transaction extended maturities to 2031, and the company expects it to reduce annual interest expense by more than $6 million.