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Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC
ASIC

ASIC Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC

Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC · NYSE
Market Closed
27.47
▲ ⁦+1.18%⁩ (+0.32)
Market Cap$1.3B
Beta-0.63
52w Low52w High
16.3527.90
Last Week
⁦+2.85%⁩
Last Month
⁦+10.59%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+40.80%⁩
Last Year
⁦+22.58%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/8Better than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
68
12.5x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
87
48.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
89
——Top tier
▸
Safety
61
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
20
0.00%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
84
6.0%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
64
33Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$27
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$28
⁦+2%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$28–$28⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$28.00
⁦+1.9%⁩
Current Price $27.47·Median $28.00
Low
$28.00
High
$28.00
Street summary

ASIC stock target analysis

Bullish tilt

The stock's target price has seen a positive revision over the last 30 days, with the consensus rising from $25.5 to $28, a growth rate of 9.8%, representing a price premium of approximately 13% over the current price of $24.78. This upward revision is accompanied by expectations of continued annual revenue growth to reach $855.5 million by the end of 2028, along with a steady increase in estimated earnings per share.

As of 2026-08-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.20
Buy
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
80%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
2
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.20 → 4.20
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-07
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-02-23
    Citigroup
    Buy
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.54x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.38x
    2.76x22.06x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    48.5%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    100.9%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-04-30 data

Company Overview

Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC is a specialty insurer operating in the excess and surplus lines E&S market, focusing on small and medium-sized businesses in the construction, hospitality, restaurant, retail, and residential real estate sectors, with expansion into wholesale trade and mixed-use real estate. The company generates income from insurance premiums, policy fees, and returns on its investment portfolio, and relies for growth on centralized risk selection and pricing, increased policy renewals, and the development of regional products targeting risks migrating from admitted insurers to the E&S market.

In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, revenue was $129.0 million, net income was $25.5 million, and adjusted diluted earnings per share were $0.51, while adjusted net income was $25.6 million compared with $8.5 million in the corresponding period. Gross written premiums grew 23.1%, including 27% growth in casualty insurance and 13% in property insurance, while net written premiums increased 32% and net earned premiums rose 34%.

Underwriting profitability improved in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, as underwriting income rose 87% to $13.3 million and the combined ratio declined to 87.4% from 90.9%. The loss ratio fell to 58.8% and the expense ratio to 28.6%, while net investment income was $12.0 million and realized and unrealized gains totaled $9.5 million, supported by the performance of the utilities and infrastructure portfolio.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Gross written premium growth in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 outpaced growth in the E&S market, reaching 23.1%, and management said more than half of the growth came from company-specific strategies, with quote production reaching an all-time high and the renewal base reaching a record level.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Ategrity launched targeted regional strategies in Texas, Florida, and New England, including the I-10 corridor in Texas and older mixed-use properties in Springfield, Massachusetts, supported by interactive city guides that help wholesale distributors target risks leaving the admitted insurance market.
  • Management expects direct written premium growth in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 to exceed E&S market growth by approximately 20 percentage points, with property growth potentially accelerating compared with the first quarter, and also expects the combined ratio to remain in the 87% range.
  • Operating leverage improved markedly in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026; the expense ratio declined 2.5 percentage points to 28.6%, operating expenses fell to 10.9% of net earned premiums, and policy acquisition costs declined to 17.6% from 18.8%.
  • The termination of the quota share reinsurance agreement for core casualty business increased the retention ratio to the low-80% range, helping net written premiums grow 32%, while cash and investments increased by $42 million since the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 to $1.15 billion.
  • The company is investing in automation and artificial intelligence to process larger submission volumes quickly, and management reported on April 30, 2026 that several solutions had entered the pilot stage, with full implementation expected to improve operating efficiency in the future.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The underwriting model demonstrated its ability to combine growth and profitability in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, with gross written premiums growing 23.1%, the combined ratio declining to 87.4%, and underwriting income rising 87% to $13.3 million.
    • +The precise regional strategies in Texas, Florida, and New England provide growth paths that do not rely solely on the broader E&S market cycle, because they target specific cities, neighborhoods, and risk categories within sectors where Ategrity has specialized expertise.
    • +Adjusted net income increased to $25.6 million from $8.5 million in the corresponding period, while net investment income rose to $12.0 million from $7.9 million, demonstrating the contribution of both underwriting and the investment portfolio to earnings growth.
    • +Book value per share reached $13.13 at the end of the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, up 24% since the initial public offering, while cash and investments reached $1.15 billion after a quarterly increase of $42 million.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Competition intensified in parts of the E&S market, particularly catastrophe-exposed property and large non-catastrophe-exposed accounts; Ategrity chose to withdraw from some large accounts when pricing was no longer adequate, while the conversion rate recorded a slight decline in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026.
    • −Property results remain sensitive to catastrophes; catastrophe losses represented 4.0% of net earned premiums in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, and the improvement from 6.2% in the corresponding period was associated with fewer catastrophe events compared with the California wildfire losses in the prior period.
    • −The reinsurance retention ratio increased to the low-80% range after the termination of a quota share agreement for core casualty business, which increases Ategrity's share of premiums but also raises the amount of losses the company retains on its balance sheet instead of transferring them to reinsurers.
    • −Analysts on the call noted an increase in the attritional loss ratio year over year and across accident years; management attributed this to a change in business mix and conservative property loss reserving, but a continuation of this trend could pressure the underwriting margin if actual losses exceed conservative assumptions.
    • −Management expects a very slight increase in the policy acquisition cost ratio from the 17.6% recorded in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 as the impact of ceding commissions associated with the quota share reinsurance agreement ends, a factor that could partially limit further improvement in the expense ratio.
    • −No published price-to-earnings ratio is available for the stock, and the sole analyst target of $28 is only approximately 2.9% above the 52-week range high of $27.22; therefore, valuation optimism is based on a single estimate with no dispersion among multiple targets, limiting the strength of the consensus signal.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $28 and matching high and low targets of $28; this target is approximately 2.9% above the 52-week range high of $27.22, while the range extends down to $16.35. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available, so trailing twelve-month net income of $91.0 million and earnings per share of approximately $1.83 can be used as reference points, while noting that the displayed consensus is based on only one target and does not provide an independent range of estimates.

    BuyAnalyst target: $28(+1.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC generate its revenue?

    Ategrity underwrites E&S insurance for small and medium-sized businesses in construction, hospitality, restaurants, retail, and residential real estate, with emerging categories such as wholesale trade and mixed-use real estate. Revenue comes from premiums, policy fees, and investment income, with policy fees reaching $2.2 million in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 compared with $0.6 million in the corresponding period. Net investment income was $12.0 million, supported by a cash and investment portfolio valued at $1.15 billion.

    What were ASIC's key results in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026?

    Revenue was $129.0 million and net income was $25.5 million in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, while adjusted net income was $25.6 million, or $0.51 per diluted share. Gross written premiums grew 23.1%, net written premiums increased 32%, and net earned premiums rose 34%. The combined ratio declined to 87.4% from 90.9%, and underwriting income increased 87% to $13.3 million.

    What supports Ategrity's growth in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026?

    Management expects direct written premium growth to exceed E&S market growth by approximately 20 percentage points in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. The plan relies on regional strategies in Texas, Florida, and New England, as well as package products targeting small and medium-sized businesses in areas with less intense competition. Management also said on April 30, 2026 that property growth could accelerate slightly compared with the first quarter, while targeting a combined ratio in the 87% range.

    How do the Texas, Florida, and New England strategies affect ASIC's business?

    Ategrity analyzes economic and legal trends and insurance submission flows at the city and neighborhood levels, then develops solutions for specific categories migrating from the admitted market to the E&S market. Examples include wholesale trade along the I-10 corridor in Texas, older mixed-use properties in Springfield, Massachusetts, and smaller markets such as Laredo, Waco, El Paso, and San Antonio. Development of the distribution network in New England began in September before the official launch, so the strategy contributed to business before the launch event was completed.

    What are the main operational risks facing Ategrity?

    Pricing competition has increased in catastrophe-exposed property insurance and some large accounts, forcing Ategrity to reject business that did not meet its required pricing terms. Catastrophe losses represented 4.0% of net earned premiums in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, compared with 6.2% in the corresponding period, demonstrating that results remain exposed to variations in catastrophe activity between periods. The company also increased its reinsurance retention ratio to the low-80% range, which supports net premiums but increases retained losses when claims occur.

    What does the analysts' $28 target for ASIC shares indicate?

    The stock has a “Buy” consensus, with an average target of $28, which is also the highest and lowest available target. This target is approximately 2.9% above the 52-week range high of $27.22, while the low end of the range is $16.35. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available, so the target should be viewed alongside trailing twelve-month net income of $91.0 million and earnings per share of approximately $1.83, while noting that the matching high and low targets reflect the absence of a diverse range of analyst estimates.