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Stocks
Arrow Electronics, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall94
Excellent — top fifth of the marketTurnaroundF 5/9Better than 94% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
14.5x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
81
26.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
50
10.7%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
66
1.6x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
81
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
96
75.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
35
33Bottom tier
ARW

ARW Arrow Electronics, Inc.

Arrow Electronics, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
228.20
▲ ⁦+6.92%⁩ (+14.76)
Market Cap$10.9B
Beta1.20
52w Low52w High
101.79234.46
Last Week
⁦+10.79%⁩
Last Month
⁦+2.66%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.64%⁩
Last Year
⁦+79.67%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$228
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$250
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$175–$250⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$246
⁦+8%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦9.7⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$246–$250⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$225.00
⁦-1.4%⁩
Current Price $228.20·Median $250.00
Low
$175.00
High
$250.00
Current price
$228.20
Average target
$225.00
Street summary

Arrow Electronics (ARW) Stock Performance Review Analysis

Arrow Electronics stock saw a notable divergence in analyst outlooks during August 2026. Despite a 3.06% increase in the average price target to $225 compared to $218.33 thirty days ago, recent movements on August 17 revealed a split in expectations; Jefferies and BTIG downgraded their ratings to "Hold," while RBC Capital upgraded its rating to "Outperform." This divergence reflects uncertainty regarding the short-term trajectory despite positive forecasts for revenue and EPS growth.

As of 2026-08-24
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 2↓
Target dispersion
33%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
1
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-17
    Jefferies
    Hold
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-17
    BTIG
    Hold
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-17
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    14.50x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.28x
    5.19x41.53x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.35x
    4.52x36.15x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.3%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    26.1%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    77.7%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    11.3%
    12.9%79.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    10.7%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.61x
    0.26x3.22x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Arrow Electronics operates as a global technology distributor through two complementary businesses: Global Components and Enterprise Computing Solutions, or ECS. The components business connects suppliers and customers across the industrial, transportation, aerospace and defense, medical, consumer electronics, and data center markets, while ECS focuses on hybrid cloud, cybersecurity, infrastructure software, data protection, and AI-driven workloads. The company adds higher-value revenue and services through supply chain management, engineering, design, integration, and the ArrowSphere platform.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $10 billion, up 32% year over year and 30% in constant currency. Adjusted gross margin held steady at 11.2%, while adjusted operating income rose to $403 million and operating margin expanded 120 basis points to 4%; adjusted diluted earnings per share also jumped 124% to $5.45. Adjusted operating expenses as a percentage of gross profit declined by 10.5 percentage points to 64.1%, reflecting clear operating leverage benefits.

The Global Components segment generated approximately $7.4 billion, or about 74% of Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue, and achieved an adjusted operating margin of 5.4% after sales rose 11% from the previous quarter. ECS recorded approximately $2.6 billion in revenue, or about 26% of the total, with 14% year-over-year growth, and billings reached $5.9 billion. For comparison, EDGAR data for fiscal 2025 shows revenue of $30.9 billion, gross profit of $3.5 billion, net income of $571.3 million, and earnings per share of $10.93.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue of $10 billion exceeded the company's expectations and grew 32% year over year, while adjusted diluted earnings per share rose 124% to $5.45, driven by sales volume, value-added services, productivity, and lower interest expense.
  • The book-to-bill ratio remained well above 1 across all three regions, and backlog continued to extend into the first half of fiscal 2027, giving the components business clearer demand visibility. Management explained that unit growth was the primary driver, while price inflation contributed approximately one-third of the sequential increase in Global Components revenue.
  • Demand broadened across AI, data centers, industrial, and aerospace and defense, with transportation returning to growth, rather than relying on a single end market. Sales of interconnect, passive, and electromechanical components exceeded $1 billion for the second consecutive quarter, while memory represented a low-double-digit percentage of segment revenue.
  • ECS backlog rose by more than 75% year over year to a record level in Q2 fiscal 2026, with storage growing 21%, compute 51%, and business applications 26%. Arrow also expanded its ECS Centers of Excellence to include more than 100 ready-to-deploy solutions for hybrid infrastructure, cybersecurity, and AI, and said these engagements have historically achieved a 90% proposal close rate.
  • For Q3 fiscal 2026, the company expects revenue of between $9.6 billion and $10.2 billion, representing 28% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, and adjusted diluted earnings per share of between $4.83 and $5.03. The guidance includes Global Components sales of between $7.5 billion and $7.9 billion, representing approximately 5% sequential growth at the midpoint.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Arrow's mix of components and ECS provides diversified exposure to the technology cycle; in Q2 fiscal 2026, demand came from industrial, transportation, aerospace and defense, and data centers, alongside growth in cloud, cybersecurity, and infrastructure software.
  • +The book-to-bill ratio rising above 1 and backlog extending into the first half of fiscal 2027 indicate that components momentum does not depend solely on transitory quarterly shipments, and management described it as still being in the early stages of a broad market recovery.
  • +Earnings quality improved as adjusted operating margin rose 120 basis points to 4% in Q2 fiscal 2026, while the components margin increased 180 basis points year over year to 5.4%. Return on working capital rose 10.9 percentage points to 23.6%, and return on invested capital increased 5.8 points to 13.9%.
  • +The business generated $318 million in operating cash flow in Q2 fiscal 2026 and more than $1 billion fiscal year to date, while total debt declined by approximately $650 million year over year to $2.2 billion and the adjusted leverage ratio improved to 1.75 times. These figures give the company flexibility to reinvest and repurchase shares, with repurchases totaling $43 million during the quarter.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $225, with a wide range of $175 to $250 and a Neutral consensus; the average is approximately 5% below the 52-week range high of $237.33, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target remains approximately 26% below it. The stock's 52-week range is $101.79 to $237.33, but the price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable in the data, so the valuation assessment here relies on the dispersion of targets and the wide trading range, reflecting continued disagreement over the sustainability of the components cycle and ECS contract charges despite strong growth and margins.

HoldAnalyst target: $225(-1.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Arrow Electronics' growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Revenue rose 32% year over year to $10 billion, with higher unit volumes leading the growth and price inflation making an additional contribution. In Global Components, price inflation contributed approximately one-third of the sequential increase, while demand came from industrial, transportation, aerospace and defense, and data centers. Value-added services and expense discipline helped lift adjusted operating income to $403 million and adjusted diluted earnings per share to $5.45.

Does ARW have clear demand visibility into fiscal 2027?

The book-to-bill ratio remained well above 1 across all three regions during Q2 fiscal 2026. Backlog also continued to build into the first half of fiscal 2027, with improving demand among broad-market customers. Management confirmed that order sizes and cadence remained normal and were not driven by panic inventory stocking behavior.

How important is the ECS business to Arrow Electronics' results?

ECS generated revenue of $2.6 billion and billings of $5.9 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026, with each growing 14% year over year. Its backlog rose by more than 75% to a record level, supported by cloud, cybersecurity, data protection, and infrastructure software. Arrow supports this business through ArrowSphere and more than 100 ready-to-deploy solutions in its ECS Centers of Excellence, alongside Microsoft designations in Copilot and Azure Virtual Desktop.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Multi-year ECS contracts with one partner pose a direct risk to profitability; Arrow recorded a $27 million charge that reduced the segment margin by 100 basis points in Q2 fiscal 2026. The company terminated a key component of a post-distribution agreement and is restructuring another component, and it expects additional charges at a lower rate during the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • −ECS hardware solutions face supply constraints due to shortages of memory and SSD storage drives, limiting the availability of storage and compute within customer locations. Arrow can redirect some demand toward software and public cloud, but persistent constraints could affect implementation timing and the revenue mix.
  • −Management expects supply chain services earnings to return to a more typical level in Q3 fiscal 2026 after making a significant contribution in Q2, and also indicated that some cash flow timing benefits may partially reverse during the year. This poses a risk to the sustainability of the exceptional margin and cash flow pace recorded in the first half.
  • −Q3 fiscal 2026 guidance indicates a relative slowdown compared with the previous quarter's results; expected year-over-year revenue growth at the midpoint is 28% versus 32% in Q2, while expected ECS sales growth is only 2% at the midpoint. Management attributed the slower ECS growth to the comparison with the addition of a large partner in the prior year, while continuing to target low-double-digit billings growth for the full fiscal year.
  • −Price inflation contributed approximately one-third of the sequential growth in Global Components revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026, so not all growth resulted from higher unit volumes. Comparisons may become more difficult if the contribution from pricing declines, even though management confirmed that unit demand remained the larger driver.
  • −Insiders recorded net sales of $7.3 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 2, 2026, with five sales and no purchases. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context does not explain the motivations behind those transactions.
What is the main issue affecting ECS margins?

In Q2 fiscal 2026, Arrow recorded a $27 million charge on underperforming multi-year contracts with a strategic partner. The charge reduced the adjusted ECS margin by 100 basis points, while management said the margin would have exceeded 4% without it. The company terminated a key component of a post-distribution agreement and is restructuring another component, with lower additional charges expected during the second half of fiscal 2026.

What is Arrow's guidance for Q3 fiscal 2026?

The company expects revenue of between $9.6 billion and $10.2 billion, representing 28% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. It expects Global Components sales of between $7.5 billion and $7.9 billion and ECS sales of between $2.1 billion and $2.3 billion. It also expects adjusted diluted earnings per share of between $4.83 and $5.03, a tax rate of between 23% and 25%, and interest expense of approximately $50 million.

How is Arrow strengthening its AI-related offerings?

The company introduced the remote engineering Digital Test Drive platform to enable customers to evaluate hardware performance and accelerate product development without physically transporting evaluation equipment. eInfochips received recognition in Gartner's Emerging Market Quadrant for physical AI services in Q2 fiscal 2026. ECS Centers of Excellence also provide more than 100 ready-to-deploy solutions for hybrid infrastructure, cybersecurity, and AI, and these engagements have historically achieved a 90% proposal close rate.