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ArcBest Corporation
ARCB

ARCB ArcBest Corp

ArcBest Corp · NASDAQ
Market Closed
134.86
▼ ⁦-0.08%⁩ (-0.11)
Market Cap$3.0B
Beta1.56
52w Low52w High
59.43176.69
Last Week
⁦-1.81%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.66%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-5.12%⁩
Last Year
⁦+85.04%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall69
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 5/9SafeBetter than 69% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
48
195.4x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
22
3.7%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
63
1.4%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
75
1.4x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
48
0.36%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
82
86.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
41
8▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$135
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$163
⁦+21%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$145–$180⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$99
⁦-27%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.3⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$99–$163⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$162.83
⁦+20.7%⁩
Current Price $134.86·Median $163.00
Low
$145.00
High
$180.00
Current price
$134.86
Average target
$162.83
Street summary

ArcBest (ARCB) Price Forecast Analysis

Bullish tilt

ArcBest stock shows complete stability in analyst outlooks over the past thirty days, with the average price target remaining unchanged at $162.83 without any adjustments from the five covering analysts. The stock is currently trading at $133.93, a level 7.6% below the lowest price target ($145), indicating a significant gap between technical valuations and the current market price, with forecasts dispersed up to a high of $180.

As of 2026-09-02
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.71
Buy
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
57%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
26%
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
2
6
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.58 → 3.71
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    TD Cowen
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    195.45x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    19.34x
    4.57x36.58x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.03x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    6.2%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.7%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -89.7%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    50.8%
    8.6%54.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    1.4%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.40x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.4%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    66.2%
    6.6%80.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.10
    -5.667.97
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

ArcBest Corp operates through an integrated logistics model that combines the Asset-Based business, built on the ABF Freight network for less-than-truckload freight transportation, with the Asset-Light business, which provides Managed Solutions, truckload transportation, and expedited services. The company generates revenue from shipment volumes, pricing, and fuel-related surcharges, while seeking to improve profitability through shipment selection, higher productivity, managing yield per shipment, and using the ArcBestView platform and digital tools to consolidate pricing, booking, shipment tracking, and reporting.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $1.2 billion, up 16% year over year, but net loss according to EDGAR data was $13.8 million and earnings per share were negative $0.62. The GAAP result was affected by non-cash impairment charges of $76.5 million related to the Panther trade name, U-Pack equipment, and other assets, in addition to $8.8 million related to office space in the Asset-Light segment; after excluding specified items, adjusted operating income was $74 million and adjusted earnings per share were $2.38, compared with $45 million and $1.36 in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2025.

Asset-Based accounted for the largest portion of the quarter 2 fiscal year 2026 mix, with revenue of $784 million, up 10% per day, and delivered a $21 million improvement in adjusted operating income, with the adjusted operating ratio reaching 90.8%. Asset-Light revenue was approximately $439 million, up 28% per day, and the segment generated adjusted operating income of $6 million, an annual improvement of $5 million; daily shipments also increased 15% and revenue per shipment rose 12%, driven by growth in Managed Solutions and tighter truckload market capacity.

What's Driving the Stock

  • ArcBest expects restructuring, brand consolidation, and the closure of selected service centers to generate annual savings at the full run rate of $40 million; approximately $2 million was realized in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, and it expects $6 million in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026, followed by $10 million each quarter beginning in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2027.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Asset-Based economics improved in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, as weight per shipment increased 8%, daily tonnage rose 5%, and billed revenue per shipment increased 13%, while the adjusted operating ratio improved 200 basis points year over year and 650 basis points sequentially to 90.8%. In July 2026, daily tonnage increased 8% and weight per shipment rose 11% year over year, indicating the continued impact of selecting heavier and more efficient shipments.
  • Pricing strength supported the results, as negotiated customer renewals increased 5.8%, and on June 22, 2026, the company implemented a 5.9% general rate increase that it said remained firm. In Asset-Light, management's near-term expectations for truckload rate increases are in the low-double-digit range, benefiting from capacity contraction and higher tender rejections.
  • Managed Solutions recorded a record level of daily shipments in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, and the higher mix of this lower-cost business helped reduce selling, general, and administrative expenses per shipment in Asset-Light by 12%. Shipments per employee per day also increased 35% to a record level, and management expects adjusted operating income for the segment of between $6 million and $8 million in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026.
  • The company launched ArcBestView during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 to integrate pricing, booking, shipment visibility, and reporting into a single experience, and said customer engagement with it continues to grow. In parallel, applications such as city route optimization and AI-powered capacity sourcing are delivering productivity benefits, while the expanded dynamic pricing pool enhances the company's ability to select the most profitable shipments.
  • Management estimates that the ABF Freight network has excess capacity of between 15% and 20% after closing facilities representing approximately 1% of total network doors, while the number of doors remains approximately 8% above its 2021 level. This capacity allows the company to absorb potential growth if heavier freight shifts from the full-truckload market to the less-than-truckload network.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 demonstrated clear operating leverage: revenue increased 16%, adjusted operating income rose to $74 million from $45 million, and adjusted earnings per share improved to $2.38 from $1.36.
    • +The savings program combines measurable impact with a defined timeline, as the company targets $40 million in annual savings at the full run rate by quarter 1 of fiscal year 2027, including approximately $30 million related to Asset-Based, approximately $8 million related to Asset-Light, and approximately $2 million related to the U-Pack operation.
    • +Asset-Light demonstrated broad improvement in growth and productivity during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026; daily revenue increased 28%, daily shipments rose 15%, and productivity reached a 35% increase in shipments per employee, while generating approximately $6.3 million in non-GAAP operating income compared with $1.5 million in the entirety of fiscal year 2025.
    • +Pricing strength and the selection of heavier shipments provide dual support for profitability; billed revenue per shipment in Asset-Based increased 13% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, alongside an improvement in the adjusted operating ratio to 90.8% and 8% growth in weight per shipment.
    • +The analyst consensus carries a Buy rating, with targets ranging from $145 to $180 and averaging $162.83, reflecting a collectively positive outlook despite the wide range of potential outcomes.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Through quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, there had been no broad-based shift in industrial demand; management described freight demand as subdued, with weakness in housing, apparel, and consumer brands, while core LTL customers continued to ship lower volumes despite strong retention.
    • −Daily shipments in Asset-Based declined 3% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 and by the same percentage in July 2026, meaning tonnage growth depended more on higher weight per shipment than on expansion in shipment count. Daily revenue growth also slowed from 11% in April 2026 to 9%, then 8%, and ultimately 7% in July 2026, even though management views the difference between June and July as limited.
    • −Management expects ABF's adjusted operating ratio in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 to remain close to the 90.8% recorded in quarter 2, rather than improve sequentially, due to an expected decline in fuel surcharge revenue and wage increases for union and nonunion employees. In July 2026, billed revenue per hundredweight declined 1%, while the metric excluding fuel decreased by a low-single-digit percentage due to a change in shipment mix.
    • −The accounting result shifted to a net loss of $13.8 million and negative earnings per share of $0.62 in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, following total non-cash impairment charges of $85.3 million. The company also expects cash costs of between $6 million and $7 million, mostly in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026, primarily related to severance, employee benefits, and the disposal of U-Pack equipment.
    • −The legal and insurance framework for carrier selection following the Miller v. C.H. Robinson ruling remains evolving, as management said insurers, shippers, carriers, and brokers may reassess requirements and contracts. ArcBest does not currently expect a change in its outlook, but the continuing discussion around insurance costs and litigation trends represents an evolving exposure in Asset-Light.

    Valuation

    The average analyst target is $162.83, within a range of $145 to $180, with a Buy consensus; the average is below the 52-week range high of $176.69, while the highest target exceeds that high by a limited margin. No reported price-to-earnings ratio is available, which is consistent with profitability fluctuating between a net loss of $13.8 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 and net income of $16.3 million in the latest displayed twelve-month period. The valuation therefore rests on ArcBest's ability to convert adjusted operating improvement and $40 million in savings into more stable accounting earnings, while the wide target range remains evidence of differing analyst estimates regarding the durability of the recovery.

    BuyAnalyst target: $162.83(+20.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove ARCB's results in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

    ArcBest's revenue increased to $1.2 billion, up 16% year over year, and adjusted operating income reached $74 million compared with $45 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2025. Adjusted earnings per share improved to $2.38 from $1.36 due to pricing strength, higher weight per shipment, Managed Solutions growth, and productivity gains. In contrast, EDGAR data recorded a net loss of $13.8 million and negative earnings per share of $0.62 following large non-cash impairment charges.

    How does Asset-Based performance differ from Asset-Light performance at ArcBest?

    Asset-Based generated revenue of $784 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, up 10% per day, and the adjusted operating ratio reached 90.8%. Asset-Light generated revenue of $439 million, up 28% per day, and adjusted operating income of $6 million. Asset-Based benefited from heavier shipments and pricing discipline, while Asset-Light benefited from Managed Solutions, tighter truckload capacity, and a 35% productivity increase in shipments per employee.

    What is the expected financial impact of ArcBest's restructuring plan?

    The plan targets annual savings at the full run rate of $40 million, of which approximately $2 million was realized in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026. Management expects to realize approximately $6 million in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 and reach $10 million per quarter beginning in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2027. Approximately $30 million of the savings is related to Asset-Based, approximately $8 million to Asset-Light, and approximately $2 million to the U-Pack operation, with an annual non-GAAP impact of approximately $38 million.

    Is ArcBestView an important growth driver for ARCB stock?

    ArcBest launched the ArcBestView platform in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 to combine pricing quotes, booking, shipment tracking, and reporting in a single interface. Management said customer engagement with the platform continues to grow and believes it can increase digital adoption and improve the customer experience and workforce productivity. This is linked to expanding the dynamic pricing pool and using AI in city route optimization and capacity sourcing, but the company did not provide a standalone revenue figure for the platform.

    What are the main demand risks facing ArcBest in fiscal year 2026?

    Management said on July 29, 2026, that it had not yet seen a broad-based shift in industrial demand, despite some PMI indicators remaining in expansion territory. Demand remained weak in housing, apparel, and consumer brands, while demand in recreational vehicles and some construction activity related to building AI capacity was described as more resilient. In Asset-Based, daily shipment count declined 3% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, so tonnage growth came primarily from an 8% increase in weight per shipment.

    What is ArcBest's outlook for quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026?

    Management expects ABF's adjusted operating ratio in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 to remain close to the quarter 2 level of 90.8%. This outlook includes lower fuel surcharges and wage increases, partially offset by restructuring savings and continued productivity gains. In Asset-Light, the company expects adjusted operating income of between $6 million and $8 million, supported by pricing discipline, Managed Solutions growth, and improved costs.

  • −No reported price-to-earnings ratio is available as a reference, while the 52-week range extends from $59.43 to $176.69, and the highest analyst target of $180 is only slightly above the upper end of that range; therefore, the valuation's appeal depends more on achieving earnings improvement and savings than on a wide margin between analyst targets and recent historical highs. In addition, insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 11, 2026, recorded net selling of $3.1 million across eight sales and no purchases, a weak trading signal on its own because such sales may be prearranged.