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Home
Stocks
Aptiv PLC
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall54
Balanced — near the middle of the marketValue TrapF 8/9Grey zoneInsider cluster buyBetter than 54% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
84
472.8x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
34
15.1%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
27
3.0%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
62
2.2x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
94
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
7
-39.5%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
85
13▲3Top tier
APTV

APTV Aptiv PLC

Aptiv PLC · NYSE
Market Closed
45.54
▼ ⁦-0.33%⁩ (-0.15)
Market Cap$9.7B
Beta1.36
52w Low52w High
43.8388.93
Last Week
⁦+1.13%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.22%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-30.15%⁩
Last Year
⁦-44.56%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$46
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$65
⁦+42%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$55–$94⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$68.90
⁦+51.3%⁩
Current Price $45.54·Median $64.50
Low
$55.00
High
$94.00
Current price
$45.54
Average target
$68.90
Street summary

Aptiv PLC Price Target Review

Bearish tilt

The price target for Aptiv stock has seen a notable decline over the past thirty days, with the consensus average falling from 85 to 68.9, a sharp decrease of 18.94%. This negative adjustment reflects growing caution among analysts, particularly with a wide dispersion in forecasts ranging from 55 to 94, indicating uncertainty regarding fair valuation despite the stock currently trading (50.04) below the lowest observed price target.

As of 2026-08-17
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.15
Buy
Analyst coverage
20
Buy conviction
85%
High
Target dispersion
86%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
6
11
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.90 → 4.15
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    472.78x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    7.21x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.47x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    16.2%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.1%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -97.3%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    19.3%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    3.0%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.22x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.61
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Aptiv PLC develops platforms and technologies for automotive and autonomous systems, generating revenue through two main segments: Intelligent Systems, which includes ADAS, radar, digital cockpit, software, and services; and Engineered Components, which includes high-voltage connectors, cables, busbars, and power distribution solutions. The company also applies its technologies and manufacturing expertise in non-automotive markets, including robotics, drones, energy storage, data centers, space, and defense; revenue from these markets grew 12% in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with a 1% decline in automotive revenue.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue was $3.3 billion, gross profit was $775 million, net income was $248 million, and earnings per share according to EDGAR filings were approximately $1.17. On the adjusted basis presented by management, revenue grew 2%, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $613 million, and the margin expanded by 10 basis points, while adjusted earnings per share were $1.63, up $0.12 year over year.

Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue was split between $1.5 billion for Intelligent Systems, whose revenue was flat and whose adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declined by 120 basis points, and $1.8 billion for Engineered Components, which grew 3% and expanded its margin by 100 basis points. Regionally, revenue grew 10% in North America and 6% in Asia Pacific, including 5% in China, while Europe declined 8% under pressure from production volumes at some premium automakers.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Aptiv secured $5 billion in new business in fiscal Q2 2026, bringing the year-to-date total through June 30, 2026 to $10 billion, placing it, according to management, on track toward its $20 billion target for fiscal 2026.
  • The company is expanding its growth base beyond automotive; revenue from these markets rose 12% in fiscal Q2 2026, and management expects annual revenue from robotics and drones to reach approximately $300 million over the next few years.
  • In July 2026, Aptiv secured its first commercial contract with a leading drone company, with expected total revenue exceeding $500 million over a five-year program, and revenue generation expected to begin in fiscal 2027 after an approximately six-month path from contract award to sales.
  • Product and contract catalysts include the first Gen 8 radar contract with Volvo Cars, a software-defined vehicle engineering contract with a major North American automaker, Robust.AI's selection of AI-based perception and computing solutions and sensor fusion for the Carter Gen 3 robot, along with the expansion of the partnership with NVIDIA to offer Aptiv software to edge AI customers.
  • Management lowered its fiscal 2026 outlook to revenue of between $12.6 billion and $12.8 billion, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $2.31 billion and $2.37 billion, adjusted earnings per share of between $5.60 and $5.80, and free cash flow of between $625 million and $725 million; therefore, delivering on this outlook has become a central factor in the stock's performance.
  • Aptiv repurchased $250 million of shares in fiscal Q2 2026 and $325 million during the first half, and intends to add approximately $300 million during the second half, bringing the annual total to more than $600 million. Insider data also showed net purchases of $7.9 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 13, 2026, with six purchases versus two sales.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +Diversification beyond automotive gives Aptiv a faster-growing, higher-margin revenue source, according to management; revenue from these activities grew 12% in fiscal Q2 2026, while the company uses its existing facilities and equipment, limiting the need for significant upfront capital investment.
  • +The Gen 8 radar, Gen 6 ADAS, digital cockpit, and 800-volt connectors contracts confirm that Aptiv sells an integrated combination of software, computing, sensing, and power distribution, while total new business reached $10 billion in the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • +The drone contract, with expected revenue exceeding $500 million, and the annual target of approximately $300 million from robotics and drones over the next few years provide a tangible path to shifting the revenue mix away from fluctuations in traditional automotive production.
  • +In fiscal Q2 2026, Aptiv maintained adjusted revenue growth of 2% and expanded its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin by 10 basis points, despite weakness in China and post-Versigent separation costs, while targeting free cash flow of between $625 million and $725 million for fiscal 2026.
  • +Capital allocation supports shareholder returns; Aptiv plans to repurchase more than $600 million of shares during fiscal 2026, while insider net purchases of $7.9 million over the three months through August 13, 2026 indicate positive internal alignment, without guaranteeing future performance.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $68.9, within a wide range of $55 to $94, with a consensus rating of “Buy”; the average is below the 52-week range high of $88.93, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target remains above the range low of $44.88. This divergence reflects Aptiv's potential to benefit from non-automotive contracts and share repurchases, but is counterbalanced by Morgan Stanley's downgrade to Equal-Weight on August 5, 2026 following the reduction in fiscal 2026 guidance and weak revenue. Therefore, achieving the targets is highly dependent on execution of the second-half outlook and a recovery in launches.

BuyAnalyst target: $68.9(+51.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

Why did Aptiv lower its fiscal 2026 outlook?

Aptiv lowered the midpoint of its revenue outlook by $300 million following the fiscal Q2 2026 call. The reduction consists of approximately $150 million from lower customer production schedules, $100 million from delayed program launches and production ramp-ups, and $50 million from the timing of enterprise software and services sales. The pressures are concentrated in weakness in China's domestic market, declining exports to China by premium European automakers, and program delays in China and at a European automaker. The new outlook is for revenue of between $12.6 billion and $12.8 billion and adjusted earnings per share of between $5.60 and $5.80.

How important are the robotics and drone businesses to Aptiv's future?

Aptiv is targeting annual revenue of approximately $300 million from robotics and drones over the next few years, and management describes the margins in these two markets as significantly higher than automotive margins. In July 2026, the company won its first commercial drone contract, with expected revenue exceeding $500 million over five years, with revenue generation set to begin in fiscal 2027. Robust.AI also selected Aptiv's perception, computing, and sensor fusion solutions for the Carter Gen 3 robot. These businesses use Aptiv's existing facilities and equipment, reducing the upfront capital investment burden.

How did Aptiv's two segments perform in fiscal Q2 2026?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case7 pts

  • −Automotive results in China depend heavily on domestic platforms; Aptiv's revenue from export platforms represented only approximately 10% of its total revenue in China as of the August 4, 2026 call, while Chinese domestic retail sales fell 20%, prompting domestic automakers and some European automakers exporting to China to reduce production schedules.
  • −Aptiv lowered the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook by $300 million, including approximately $150 million due to customer production schedule adjustments, $100 million due to delayed program launches and volume ramp-ups, and $50 million due to the timing of enterprise software and services sales; management acknowledged that its previous assumptions regarding launches and production ramp-ups had not been sufficiently conservative.
  • −Expected growth is slowing from 2% in fiscal Q2 2026 to approximately 1% in fiscal Q3 2026, while second-half vehicle production shifted from a tailwind to a 150-basis-point headwind, and the expected contribution from launches and production ramp-ups declined by 100 basis points to 200 basis points.
  • −Intelligent Systems accounts for the largest share of the outlook reduction; its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declined by 120 basis points in fiscal Q2 2026 due to investment in non-automotive markets and stranded costs following the Versigent separation, and management expects its annual revenue to be approximately flat with a margin in the mid-teens.
  • −Software carries high earnings volatility; the deferral of approximately $50 million in enterprise solutions sales in the second half of fiscal 2026 had a greater-than-usual decremental impact on earnings, while the fiscal Q4 2026 outlook depends on software growth returning to the high-single-digit or low-double-digit range.
  • −Operational risks include supplier disruption and continued investment in semiconductor supply-chain resilience; a fire at a supplier to a North American customer affected Intelligent Systems production, while the fiscal 2026 free cash flow outlook includes ongoing spending to strengthen semiconductor supply resilience.
  • −Morgan Stanley downgraded Aptiv to Equal-Weight on August 5, 2026 after results in which adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations by 14.8% but revenue fell short of estimates, reflecting that the earnings surprise did not offset market concerns about the outlook reduction, weakness in China, and program delays.

Intelligent Systems recorded revenue of $1.5 billion, flat year over year, with its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declining by 120 basis points. Engineered Components recorded revenue of $1.8 billion, up 3%, with its margin expanding by 100 basis points. The second segment benefited from double-digit growth in diversified industrial, space, and defense markets, while the first was affected by weakness at some European automakers and lower production at a North American customer due to a supplier fire. At the Aptiv level, revenue was $3.3 billion and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $613 million.

Which products and contracts support Aptiv's growth?

In fiscal Q2 2026, Aptiv secured its first Gen 8 radar contract from Volvo Cars for its software-defined vehicle platform, along with a centralized vehicle architecture contract with a major North American automaker. The company also launched a complete Gen 6 ADAS system and a digital cockpit supporting over-the-air updates, and integrated high-voltage connectors into an 800-volt European architecture. In non-automotive markets, it expanded its partnership with NVIDIA for edge AI and with Kyndryl for mission-critical systems. These activities helped increase new business to $5 billion during the quarter and $10 billion during the first half of fiscal 2026.

How exposed is Aptiv to volatility in the Chinese market?

Aptiv's revenue in China grew 5% in fiscal Q2 2026 due to an improved mix with domestic automakers, but this growth fell short of the company's previous assumptions. Export platforms represented only approximately 10% of Aptiv's total revenue in China as of the August 4, 2026 call, leaving the mix more exposed to domestic demand, whose retail sales management said declined 20%. Premium European automakers also reduced schedules for vehicles exported to China, and active safety programs at the second-largest player in the Chinese market were affected. Therefore, production schedule changes accounted for approximately $150 million of the reduction in the annual revenue outlook.

How is Aptiv using liquidity and share repurchases in fiscal 2026?

Aptiv repurchased $250 million of shares in fiscal Q2 2026, bringing the first-half total to $325 million. The company intends to repurchase approximately an additional $300 million in the second half, bringing the full-year total to more than $600 million. Management expects free cash flow of between $625 million and $725 million for fiscal 2026, despite Versigent separation costs and investment in semiconductor supply resilience. Over the next few years, the company targets allocating approximately half of free cash flow to share repurchases while completing additional small acquisitions to diversify the business.