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Home
Stocks
Aon plc
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall75
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 8/9Better than 75% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
50
16.6x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
57
4.9%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
99
——Top tier
▸
Safety
24
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
65
1.01%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
41
-3.5%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
85
15▲3Top tier
AON

AON Aon plc

Aon plc · NYSE
Market Closed
302.69
▼ ⁦-1.65%⁩ (-5.08)
Market Cap$64.2B
Beta0.68
52w Low52w High
302.44382.34
Last Week
⁦-8.52%⁩
Last Month
⁦-15.08%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-10.00%⁩
Last Year
⁦-17.38%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$303
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$385
⁦+27%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$349–$433⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$212
⁦-30%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$212–$385⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$393.30
⁦+29.9%⁩
Current Price $302.69·Median $385.00
Low
$349.00
High
$433.00
Current price
$302.69
Average target
$393.30
Street summary

Slight Decline in Consensus Amid a Broader Analyst Base

The consensus price target remained at 393.3 over the past day and seven days, despite the number of analysts included increasing from 4 to 8. Over 30 days, the consensus declined from 404.43 to 393.3, a decrease of 11.13 points or 2.75%, indicating a more conservative bias in the estimates. With the current price at 307.77, the median target is 385, while the range is between 349 and 433, reflecting a notable divergence among the estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.55
Buy
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
59%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
28%
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
3
10
7
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.67 → 3.55
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Piper Sandler
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.64x
    3.16x25.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    14.93x
    2.76x22.06x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.9%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    54.5%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.0%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    16.8%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Aon plc provides risk management and human capital solutions to businesses, combining Commercial Risk, Reinsurance, Health, and Wealth services under the Aon United model, supported by the Aon Business Services platform. The company generates revenue from consulting, brokerage, insurance and reinsurance program design, health and benefits analytics, valuation work and pension risk transfer, as well as alternative capital solutions. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, all four solution lines delivered organic growth of 5% each, reflecting operational diversification without quarterly growth depending on a single line.

Revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 was approximately $4.2 billion, up 2% year over year, while net income was $551 million and earnings per share according to EDGAR filings were $2.58. On an adjusted basis, operating income rose 5% to $1.2 billion, operating margin expanded by 70 basis points to 28.9%, and adjusted earnings per share grew 9% to $3.81. The company generated free cash flow of $483 million despite a $267 million tax impact related to proceeds from the sale of NFP's Wealth business.

In fiscal 2025, Aon reported revenue of $17.2 billion, net income of $3.7 billion, and earnings per share of $17.02, compared with trailing-twelve-month revenue through 2026 of $17.6 billion, net income of $3.9 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $18.30. Current growth is driven by new business, high client retention, and investment in talent and technology, while the agreed acquisition of USI for approximately $17 billion has become the largest factor in reassessing the stock's risks and potential returns.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 31, 2026, Aon signed a definitive agreement to acquire USI for approximately $17 billion, adding a U.S. platform that generates nearly $3 billion in revenue and strengthening the company's presence in the middle-market and specialty insurance sectors.
  • Aon expects the integration of USI to generate $395 million in annual cost and revenue synergies and expects the acquisition to be dilutive to adjusted earnings per share in 2027 before becoming accretive in 2028. Therefore, the investment impact depends on the speed of integration and realization of the announced synergies.
  • The core business delivered organic growth of 5% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, with new business contributing ten points to organic growth, client retention in the mid-90% range, and net new business contributing five points.
  • Aon increased the capacity of its data center lifecycle insurance program to $5 billion, with participation from more than 30 insurers, while the opportunity pipeline exceeded three times its level a year earlier and the construction business recorded its fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
  • The company expanded Claims Copilot during the second quarter of fiscal 2026 into North America, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, building on a track record that helped clients recover more than $10 billion over a decade by challenging denied claims.
  • Management reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, targeting mid-single-digit or higher organic growth, margin expansion of between 70 and 80 basis points, strong adjusted earnings-per-share growth, and double-digit free-cash-flow growth.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The resilience of growth is demonstrated by Commercial Risk, Reinsurance, Health, and Wealth each delivering organic growth of 5% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, with new business contributing ten points and client retention in the mid-90% range.
  • +The USI transaction provides an opportunity to expand Aon's scale in the U.S. middle market by adding nearly $3 billion in revenue, with targeted annual synergies of $395 million and an expected shift to accretion to adjusted earnings per share in 2028.
  • +Aon's expansion in data centers targets projects that may cost between $15 billion and $50 billion, supported by a $5 billion insurance facility and an opportunity pipeline that exceeded three times its level a year earlier, opening a source of growth through traditional insurance and alternative capital.
  • +Improved operating efficiency is evident in the 70-basis-point expansion of adjusted margin to 28.9% during the second quarter of fiscal 2026, with targeted restructuring savings of $100 million in 2026 and total savings reaching $450 million by 2027.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $390, within a wide range of $349 to $433, while the consensus rates the stock Neutral. The average is slightly above the 52-week range high of $382.34, compared with a low of $304.59. Wells Fargo's $383 target reflects a more conservative stance than the consensus average, while the information does not include a valid price-to-earnings multiple that can be used to judge whether the stock is inexpensive or expensive. Valuation remains tied to balancing organic business growth and margin expansion on one side against the debt financing of the USI transaction and its dilutive impact on adjusted earnings in 2027 on the other.

HoldAnalyst target: $390(+28.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is the biggest driver of AON stock following the announcement of the USI transaction?

The biggest driver is the August 31, 2026 agreement to acquire USI for approximately $17 billion and add a platform that generates nearly $3 billion in revenue in the U.S. middle market. Aon is targeting $395 million in annual cost and revenue synergies. However, the transaction will be dilutive to adjusted earnings per share in 2027 before becoming accretive in 2028. Investors are therefore focusing on debt financing and the speed of integration as much as on revenue expansion.

How did Aon perform in the second quarter of fiscal 2026?

Revenue was $4.2 billion, up 2% year over year, while net income according to EDGAR was approximately $551 million and earnings per share were $2.58. The company delivered organic growth of 5% in each of its four solution lines. Adjusted operating income rose 5% to $1.2 billion, and adjusted margin expanded by 70 basis points to 28.9%. Adjusted earnings per share also reached $3.81, up 9%, while free cash flow reached $483 million.

Can Aon grow despite declining insurance and reinsurance rates?

Results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 showed organic growth of 5% despite reinsurance rates declining between 15% and 20% and property rates falling. New business contributed ten points to organic growth, while net new business contributed five points and client retention was in the mid-90% range. The addition of new clients also offset part of the pricing pressure in reinsurance. Management reaffirmed its target of mid-single-digit or higher organic growth for fiscal 2026, with an expected net market impact of between zero and two points.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The cash acquisition of USI is valued at approximately $17 billion, nearly equal to Aon's total debt of $15.25 billion at the end of fiscal 2025, and the information provided states that the transaction will be debt-financed. Therefore, leverage and financing-cost risks are rising following the partially debt-financed acquisition of NFP.
  • −The USI acquisition will be dilutive to adjusted earnings per share in 2027 before becoming accretive in 2028, leaving an execution period during which results are exposed to the risk of delayed integration or failure to achieve the targeted annual synergies of $395 million.
  • −The brokerage and reinsurance businesses face pressure from a weaker pricing cycle; reinsurance rates declined between 15% and 20%, property rates fell, increases in casualty rates slowed, and directors and officers and cyber insurance rates remained flat or posted low growth.
  • −Fiduciary investment income declined 12% year over year to $58 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 because of lower interest rates, illustrating the sensitivity of part of earnings to interest-rate movements even as average balances increased.
  • −Revenue-generating headcount grew 3% during the first half of fiscal 2026, below the full-year target range of between 4% and 8%, and management acknowledged that competition for talent is intense and that reaching the target requires hiring to accelerate during the second half.
  • −Insiders recorded seven sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on July 28, 2026, for net sales of $1.7 million. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the information establishes otherwise.
  • How important are data centers to Aon's business?

    Aon increased the capacity of its data center lifecycle insurance program to $5 billion, with participation from more than 30 insurers. Management explained that some facilities may cost between $15 billion and $20 billion, while other projects may reach $40 billion or $50 billion, compared with approximately $1.3 billion of available capacity for a single facility. The data center opportunity pipeline exceeded three times its level a year earlier, and the construction business recorded its fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. The company uses its Commercial Risk and Reinsurance expertise to attract traditional and alternative capital to these projects.

    How does Aon use artificial intelligence in its products?

    Aon expanded the Claims Copilot platform during the second quarter of fiscal 2026 into North America, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The platform combines a substantial amount of global claims management information to improve coverage negotiations and risk strategies, drawing on experience that helped clients recover more than $10 billion over a decade. The company also uses the Radford McLagan database and a tool for measuring the sensitivity of jobs to artificial intelligence within Talent Solutions. Aon also offers Aon Activate as a data- and artificial-intelligence-powered platform connecting benefits, well-being, pensions, and rewards.

    What are Aon's main financial targets for fiscal 2026?

    On July 29, 2026, management reaffirmed its target of mid-single-digit or higher organic revenue growth. It expects adjusted margin expansion of between 70 and 80 basis points, with strong adjusted earnings-per-share growth and double-digit free-cash-flow growth. The company is targeting restructuring savings of $100 million in 2026 as part of a total target of $450 million by 2027. It is also targeting an increase in revenue-generating headcount of between 4% and 8%, compared with growth of 3% during the first half of fiscal 2026.