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Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
ANF

ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. · NYSE
Market Closed
145.23
▲ ⁦+1.61%⁩ (+2.30)
Market Cap$6.5B
Beta0.92
52w Low52w High
65.45155.22
Last Week
⁦+1.18%⁩
Last Month
⁦+22.53%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+90.04%⁩
Last Year
⁦+57.98%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall88
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 88% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
84
12.5x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
61
4.7%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
90
16.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
74
2.1x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
11
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
86
20.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
32
5▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$145
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$164
⁦+13%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$92–$185⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$243
⁦+67%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.4⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$164–$243⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$157.30
⁦+8.3%⁩
Current Price $145.23·Median $163.50
Low
$92.00
High
$185.00
Current price
$145.23
Average target
$157.30
Street summary

Sharp Rise in Consensus Amid Divergent Ratings

The consensus price target rose from 117.14 on August 12 to 157.3 currently, an increase of 40.16 or 34.28% over 30 days, while the increase over the last 7 days was limited to 1.41 or 0.9%, and the number of analysts remained unchanged at three. The current price stands at 145.23, compared with a consensus of 157.3 and a median of 163.5, with a wide range between 92 and 185, reflecting clear divergence in estimates despite the consensus remaining above the current price.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+34.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
43%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 2↓
Target dispersion
64%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
1
5
8
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.57 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
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    Outperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-27
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    BuyNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    BTIG
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.49x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.77x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.56x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    11.0%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.7%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    10.2%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    63.7%
    12.0%66.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    16.7%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.12x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-26 data

Company Overview

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. operates a retail portfolio centered on the Abercrombie and Hollister brands, generating revenue through stores, digital channels, and third-party channels. The company is expanding the reach of both brands from apparel to additional categories and channels; Hollister has entered over 1,500 Target stores with products including dorm gear, while Abercrombie is expanding the distribution of NFL products to nflshop.com, stadium stores, team sites, and Fanatics.com. The company is also investing in footwear and accessories, Abercrombie kids licensing, and store openings and renovations.

In Q2 of Fiscal 2026, the company reported record quarterly revenue of $1.27 billion, up 5% year-over-year, operating income of $253 million, an operating margin of 19.9%, and diluted earnings per share of $4.17. The quarter benefited from an IEEPA duty recovery of approximately $100 million, which added about 790 basis points to the operating margin and about $1.75 to EPS; however, performance also exceeded management's expectations by an additional 200 basis points driven by margin improvement and operating leverage from stronger sales.

The growth mix was balanced but uneven: Abercrombie brands' sales increased 8% and comparable sales rose 4%, while Hollister sales increased 2% and comparable sales declined 3%. Geographically, revenue grew 5% in the Americas, 19% in APAC, and 2% in EMEA, while comparable sales changes were 1%, 13%, and negative 4%, respectively. The difference between revenue growth and comparable sales growth was driven by new stores and the performance of third-party channels.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its Fiscal 2026 outlook to revenue growth of approximately 5% from $5.27 billion in Fiscal 2025, and increased the operating margin range to 14.5%–15% and the diluted EPS range to $13.10–$13.60.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

For Q3 of Fiscal 2026, the company expects revenue growth between 5% and 6% compared to revenue of $1.3 billion in Q3 of Fiscal 2025, with an operating margin between 13% and 14% and diluted EPS between $2.90 and $3.20.
  • Abercrombie accelerated from 3% growth in Q1 of Fiscal 2026 to 8% in Q2 of Fiscal 2026, supported by improved conversion, higher average unit retail, and full-price selling, with strength in wovens, shirts, pants, and shorts.
  • Hollister's partnership with Target added to revenue growth through product placement in over 1,500 locations, while management stated that Hollister's growth accelerated in August 2026 compared to the 2% level recorded in Q2 of Fiscal 2026 following inventory improvements.
  • Share repurchases are supporting EPS; the company repurchased $177 million in shares during Q2 of Fiscal 2026 and $282 million during the first half, representing approximately 4% and 7% of beginning-of-year shares outstanding respectively, and raised its annual repurchase target to at least $500 million.
  • The company plans capital expenditures of approximately $250 million and to execute about 130 store experiences in Fiscal 2026, including 50 new stores and 80 remodels or right-sizes, offset by about 20 closures.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The company achieved 15 consecutive quarters of revenue growth through Q2 of Fiscal 2026, with both Abercrombie and Hollister posting record revenues for that quarter, indicating growth breadth across both brands rather than reliance on just one.
    • +Operating performance exceeded management's expectations even after isolating the duty recovery; out of the approximately 990 basis points by which operating margin beat the previous forecast, about 200 basis points came from margin improvement and operating leverage on stronger sales, not from the recovery.
    • +New channels and categories provide additional capital-light growth avenues, including Hollister's partnership with Target, expanded distribution of NFL products, footwear, accessories, home goods, and licensing, with management confirming that third-party channels did not have a material negative impact on gross margin through Q2 of Fiscal 2026.
    • +The company ended Q2 of Fiscal 2026 with cash and equivalents of $628 million and liquidity of approximately $1.1 billion, while continuing to invest in brands and stores and repurchasing nearly 7% of beginning-of-year shares during the first half.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −A significant portion of Fiscal 2026 profitability relies on a non-recurring benefit from IEEPA duty recoveries; the company expects total recoveries of about $120 million to add approximately 220 basis points to operating margin and $2.10 to annual EPS, while management described the underlying margin before this benefit as being around 12.5%.
    • −Duties and freight costs remain a direct pressure on margins; Q2 of Fiscal 2026 absorbed a 100 basis point year-over-year increase in duty expenses, and management expects higher freight costs to largely offset improved Section 301 duty assumptions during the second half.
    • −Comparable growth is weaker than total revenue growth; the company's comparable sales were flat in Q2 of Fiscal 2026, declining 3% at Hollister and 4% in EMEA, while a portion of revenue growth came from new stores and third-party channels.
    • −Hollister faced inventory constraints during Q2 of Fiscal 2026 after demand exceeded available quantities at multiple points, which could limit the conversion of demand into sales if the chase model fails to maintain product availability during peak periods.
    • −The neutral analyst consensus reflects high valuation divergence, as targets range from $92 to $185 around an average of $155.13, indicating a material disagreement in estimating the sustainability of growth and margins after the duty recovery impact fades.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ended August 10, 2026, recorded four sales with no purchases, totaling $4.3 million in net sales; this is a weak standalone trading signal as such sales may be pre-arranged unless context states otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $155.13, which is very close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $154.58, but dispersion is wide between a low target of $92 and a high target of $185, with a neutral consensus. Data published on August 26, 2026, indicated an apparent P/E ratio of 14.2x, but assessing sustainable profitability should isolate the IEEPA duty recovery benefit estimated at about $2.10 per share in Fiscal 2026 and accounting for 220 basis points of annual operating margin.

    HoldAnalyst target: $155.13(+6.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What are ANF's key results in Q2 of Fiscal 2026?

    Revenue reached $1.27 billion, a 5% year-over-year increase, and operating income was $253 million. Operating margin reached 19.9% and diluted EPS was $4.17, compared to an adjusted EPS of $2.32 in the prior-year quarter. The IEEPA duty recovery of about $100 million contributed approximately 790 basis points to the margin and $1.75 to EPS. Even after this benefit, management stated that results exceeded their expectations by an additional 200 basis points.

    How did Abercrombie's performance differ from Hollister's in Q2 of Fiscal 2026?

    Abercrombie brands' revenue grew 8%, accelerating from 3% in Q1 of Fiscal 2026, and its comparable sales rose 4%. Hollister revenue increased 2% following a 19% growth in the prior-year quarter of Fiscal 2025, while its comparable sales declined 3%. Abercrombie benefited from strength in wovens, shirts, pants, and full-price selling, whereas Hollister saw strength in wovens, shorts, and non-denim bottoms. Management noted that Hollister's growth accelerated in August 2026 following improved inventory availability.

    What is Abercrombie & Fitch's outlook for Fiscal 2026?

    Management expects revenue growth of approximately 5% compared to revenue of $5.27 billion in Fiscal 2025, with growth across regions and brands. The expected operating margin range is between 14.5% and 15%, and the diluted EPS range is between $13.10 and $13.60. This outlook includes IEEPA duty recoveries of about $120 million, adding approximately 220 basis points to the margin and $2.10 to EPS. The company also targets share repurchases of at least $500 million and capital expenditures of approximately $250 million.

    What is the significance of the Target and NFL partnerships for ANF's growth?

    The Target partnership introduced Hollister products to over 1,500 locations, representing the brand's first material US expansion into wholesale and non-apparel categories. Strong response included dorm products like throws and plush items, and management said the partnership reached new customers and added to Q2 Fiscal 2026 revenue growth. Abercrombie is entering its second year as the official apparel partner of the NFL, with products for all 32 teams. Distribution is expanding to nflshop.com, stadium stores, team sites, and Fanatics.com, with no material negative impact reported on gross margin as of August 26, 2026.

    Why doesn't the reported operating margin fully reflect underlying profitability?

    Operating margin was 19.9% in Q2 of Fiscal 2026, but the IEEPA duty recovery alone added about 790 basis points. For the full Fiscal 2026, management expects a margin between 14.5% and 15% that includes a 220 basis point recovery benefit, while indicating an underlying level of approximately 12.5%. Conversely, the quarter exceeded management's expectations by about 200 basis points after isolating the recovery, thanks to margin improvement and operating leverage. Therefore, assessing profitability sustainability depends on full-price selling, inventory, and sales performance after the recovery impact ends.

    What are the key geographic indicators in ANF's results?

    Revenue in Q2 of Fiscal 2026 grew 5% in the Americas, 19% in APAC, and 2% in EMEA. Comparable sales were 1% in the Americas and 13% in APAC, but declined 4% in EMEA. The UK remained a strong growth market, Germany returned to growth, and the Middle East business showed sequential improvement. Management believes APAC's first-half performance supports the region's potential, as they continue to review the most appropriate path to capture that opportunity.