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Stocks
The Andersons, Inc.
ANDE

ANDE The Andersons, Inc.

The Andersons, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
70.97
▼ ⁦-1.27%⁩ (-0.91)
Market Cap$2.4B
Beta0.65
52w Low52w High
37.6982.11
Last Week
⁦+5.52%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.44%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-1.55%⁩
Last Year
⁦+71.92%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall68
Strong — clearly above market medianTurnaroundF 6/9SafeBetter than 68% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
83
13.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
29
-5.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
37
9.9%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
69
1.5x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
46
1.12%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
81
70.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
32
33Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$71
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$90
⁦+27%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$90–$110⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$21
⁦-70%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦6⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$21–$90⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$96.67
⁦+36.2%⁩
Current Price $70.97·Median $90.00
Low
$90.00
High
$110.00
Current price
$70.97
Average target
$96.67
Street summary

Consensus Stability with Clear Divergence in Valuations

Aggregate price targets did not change over one, seven, or 30 days; the consensus remained at 96.67, while the number of analysts increased from one to two in the one-day and 30-day snapshots. The current range is between 90 and 110, with a median of 90, versus a current price of 70.97, reflecting a notable divergence among estimates despite the stability of the calculated consensus.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦3 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
28%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-04
    Bank of America Securities
    Underperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-06-18
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.67x
    4.61x36.85x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.87x
    3.86x30.86x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.41x
    2.86x22.90x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    2.4%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -5.2%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    119.9%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    7.2%
    9.2%67.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    9.9%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.49x
    0.61x4.86x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.1%
    0.9%8.3%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    15.2%
    15.9%176.6%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.75
    -4.825.90
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

The Andersons operates through two main interconnected segments. The Trade segment manages grain and oilseed merchandising, assets related to crop origination, storage, and marketing, fertilizers, and premium ingredients used in food and pet food manufacturing, while the Renewables segment produces and markets ethanol and its co-products; consequently, earnings are affected by crop volumes, commodity price volatility, fertilizer margins, and domestic and export demand for biofuels.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $3.1 billion, gross profit was $223.7 million, net income was $56.6 million, and diluted earnings per share were $1.65. Gross profit increased by more than 40% compared with the same period, while adjusted net income was $74 million and adjusted earnings per share were $2.15, compared with $8 million and $0.24, respectively, in Q2 fiscal 2025; adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization also increased to $140 million from $65 million.

Most of the earnings surge came from the Renewables segment, which recorded adjusted pretax income of $88 million and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $103 million, compared with $10 million and $30 million in Q2 fiscal 2025. Meanwhile, the Trade segment generated adjusted pretax income of $20 million and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $53 million, compared with $17 million and $46 million, supported by improved fertilizer margins and operating efficiency.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Record ethanol production in Q2 fiscal 2026, together with strong domestic and export demand and higher co-product values, increased the Renewables segment's adjusted pretax income to $88 million from $10 million a year earlier.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The company recorded $24 million in 45Z credits in Q2 fiscal 2026 and expects these credits to total between $90 million and $100 million during fiscal 2026, with all four ethanol plants benefiting from higher credits.
  • Management is targeting annual run-rate earnings of $7 per share by the end of 2028, after market conditions and operational execution demonstrated the company's ability to exceed $6 per share during the twelve-month period referenced in the August 4, 2026 call.
  • The domestic ethanol blend rate reached 10.51% in 2025 after increasing by 14 basis points from 2024, and management expects a similar or greater increase during 2026, supported by the economics of discretionary blending.
  • The grain elevator upgrades at the Houston project have been completed, and the company expects the soybean meal export portion to be fully operational in Q4 fiscal 2026, after working for approximately nine months with potential customers to secure the required demand volume.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The improvement in profitability was broad-based across both segments in Q2 fiscal 2026, as the group's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased to $140 million from $65 million, with the same metric growing in both Trade and Renewables.
    • +The Renewables segment represents a strong growth driver due to record ethanol production, higher margins and export demand, improved corn oil prices and volumes, and expected 45Z credits of between $90 million and $100 million in fiscal 2026.
    • +The balance sheet provides capacity to fund growth projects; the ratio of long-term debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization was 1.3 times, well below the company's target ceiling of 2.5 times.
    • +Carbon intensity reduction projects and the Houston upgrade could expand the earnings base, while the Class VI well project at Clymers aims to reduce ethanol's carbon intensity and generate additional tax credits after receiving regulatory approval and commencing operations.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The earnings surge has become more dependent on Renewables; the segment generated $88 million in adjusted pretax income in Q2 fiscal 2026 versus $20 million for Trade, making the group's results sensitive to a deterioration in ethanol economics or related credits.
    • −Management indicated on August 4, 2026 that theoretical crush margins had declined after Q2, corn futures volatility had increased, and U.S. ethanol was priced near parity with Brazilian ethanol, with export competition emerging from Brazil; these factors could pressure the sustainability of record Renewables margins.
    • −Carbon intensity reduction gains depend on policy and regulatory approvals; 45Z credits contributed $24 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, while the Class VI well permit at Clymers remained under regulatory review, and year-round E15 legislation had not been enacted as of the August 4, 2026 call.
    • −The Trade segment faces weather and crop risks, as management described the Skyland area as one of the driest regions in the western Corn Belt, with low hard wheat production in Kansas and most of the western Corn Belt needing rain; weather will determine crop volumes and asset opportunities during the remainder of fiscal 2026.
    • −Farm economics could affect fertilizer purchasing decisions despite expanded corn acreage, while global fertilizer supplies and tensions in the Middle East remain factors influencing the segment's costs and operating dynamics.
    • −Analyst targets require strong execution, as the target price range is between $90 and $110, entirely above the 52-week range high of $82.11; insiders also recorded two sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on July 22, 2026, for net sales of $418,146.72, with the caveat that insider sales may be prearranged.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $96.67 and a range between $90 and $110; the average is approximately 17.7% above the 52-week range high of $82.11, and the lowest target is also above that high. This range reflects elevated expectations for continued strength in Renewables and achievement of the $7 per share target by the end of 2028, but it leaves room for revaluation risk if ethanol margins decline or projects and regulatory approvals are delayed.

    BuyAnalyst target: $96.67(+36.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove ANDE's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 was approximately $3.1 billion, gross profit was $223.7 million, and net income was $56.6 million. Diluted earnings per share were $1.65, while adjusted earnings per share were $2.15 compared with $0.24 in Q2 fiscal 2025. Gross profit increased by more than 40%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $140 million from $65 million. Renewables led the improvement, alongside better fertilizer and merchandising performance in the Trade segment.

    Why did the Renewables segment generate record earnings?

    The ethanol plants achieved record production for Q2 fiscal 2026, with higher margins driven by domestic and export demand and co-product values. The segment's adjusted pretax income increased to $88 million from $10 million in Q2 fiscal 2025. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization also increased to $103 million from $30 million. The results included $24 million in 45Z credits, along with improved corn oil prices and trading volumes.

    How important are 45Z credits to The Andersons' earnings?

    The Andersons recorded $24 million in 45Z credits in Q2 fiscal 2026. Management expects the credits to total between $90 million and $100 million during fiscal 2026, with quarterly variation typically not exceeding a few million dollars. The company expects Q2 and Q3 to be slightly lower, and Q1 and Q4 to be slightly higher due to the timing of maintenance activities. The company is also investing in reducing ethanol's carbon intensity to increase opportunities to generate credits in the future.

    How did the Trade segment perform in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    The segment's adjusted pretax income was $20 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with $17 million in the same period. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased to $53 million from $46 million. The fertilizer business benefited from improved operating efficiency, margins, and risk management during the primary application season, while commodity price volatility created additional merchandising opportunities. Meanwhile, market conditions limited space income, and drought in the western Corn Belt remained a risk to crop volumes.

    Which projects support the $7 per share earnings target?

    Management is targeting annual run-rate earnings of $7 per share by the end of 2028, after exceeding $6 during the twelve-month period referenced in the August 4, 2026 call. The company is working to increase ethanol production and reduce its carbon intensity, while the Class VI well permit at the Clymers facility continues through regulatory review. The grain elevator upgrades in Houston have been completed, and the soybean meal export portion is planned to be fully operational in Q4 fiscal 2026. Capital expenditures were $76 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, with approximately $225 million expected for fiscal 2026, excluding acquisitions.

    What are the main risks to monitor for ANDE?

    A significant portion of the current improvement depends on Renewables, which recorded $88 million in adjusted pretax income in Q2 fiscal 2026. Management noted declining theoretical crush margins, competition from Brazilian ethanol, and corn price volatility, which could pressure margins. In Trade, drought in Skyland and the western Corn Belt threatens crop volumes, while global fertilizer supplies and farm economics affect demand. The 45Z credits, the Clymers permit, and the enactment of year-round E15 also remain dependent on policy or regulatory approvals.