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Stocks
AutoNation, Inc.
AN

AN AutoNation, Inc.

AutoNation, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
203.67
▼ ⁦-1.71%⁩ (-3.55)
Market Cap$6.9B
Beta0.73
52w Low52w High
176.62235.81
Last Week
⁦-1.05%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.12%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+8.50%⁩
Last Year
⁦-8.29%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall60
Balanced — near the middle of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Grey zoneBetter than 60% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
9.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
21
-0.1%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
53
12.5%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
42
4.0x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
60
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
60
-5.3%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
49
8▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$204
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$248
⁦+22%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$202–$260⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-185.03
⁦-191%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-185.03–$248⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$243.00
⁦+19.3%⁩
Current Price $203.67·Median $248.00
Low
$202.00
High
$260.00
Current price
$203.67
Average target
$243.00
Street summary

AutoNation (AN) Stock Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

AutoNation stock has seen a notable improvement in analyst outlooks over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising from 233.83 to 243 dollars, an increase of 3.92%. This upward adjustment reflects growing confidence in the company's performance, especially as the number of analysts remains constant, indicating positive revisions from existing institutions such as Morgan Stanley and Citigroup, which maintained 'Overweight' and 'Buy' ratings during August 2026.

As of 2026-08-13
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.07
Buy
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
79%
High
Target dispersion
28%
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
4
7
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.93 → 4.07
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    9.43x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.89x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.11x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    0.2%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -0.1%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    35.1%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    17.8%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    12.5%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.03x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.83
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

AutoNation is one of the largest automotive retailers, generating revenue from the sale of new and used vehicles, after-sales services and parts, and vehicle-related financing and insurance services. Its earnings mix is distinguished by the fact that approximately 80% of profits comes from Customer Financial Services and after-sales services, which are higher-margin and more recurring businesses than vehicle sales alone. AutoNation Finance also operates as a captive finance arm, while extended service contracts and warranties support customer retention and generate future maintenance business.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue according to EDGAR was approximately $6.9 billion, gross profit was $1.2 billion, net income was $182.1 million, and earnings per share were $5.39. Management reported more detailed operating figures, including revenue of $6.93 billion versus $6.97 billion a year ago, gross profit of $1.23 billion at a margin of 17.8%, and adjusted operating income of $343 million at a margin of approximately 5%. Adjusted earnings per share were $5.56, up from $5.46, making this the sixth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth in adjusted earnings per share.

After-sales services led the earnings mix in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, generating record gross profit of $607 million and revenue of $1.26 billion. Customer Financial Services generated gross profit of $358 million, while AutoNation Finance delivered record quarterly profit of $11 million. In contrast, new vehicle sales declined to 63,240 vehicles, but stable unit profitability, financing, and share repurchases offset part of the impact of weaker sales volumes.

What's Driving the Stock

  • AutoNation Finance profit in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 increased to $11 million from $2 million a year ago, while its portfolio expanded by approximately 52% to $2.67 billion, and new originations reached $485 million.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

After-sales services generated record gross profit of $607 million, with customer-pay revenue growth of 7%, a 5% increase in customer-pay repair orders, and 16% growth in wholesale parts revenue due to new commercial wins.
  • Customer Financial Services profitability reached $2,799 per vehicle, an increase of approximately 3% year over year, and customers purchased an average of 2 products per vehicle, while approximately three-quarters of units sold were associated with a financing contract.
  • The business generated adjusted free cash flow of $439 million in the first half of fiscal year 2026, an increase of 11%, and the conversion rate improved to 125%. During the same period, the company repurchased $457 million of shares, reducing the weighted average shares outstanding by approximately 12% year over year to 33.8 million shares.
  • The company invested $317 million in the acquisition of Toyota of Newnan and 3 luxury stores in the San Francisco Bay Area, and these assets add approximately $600 million in annual revenue and about 9,700 new and used vehicle sales.
  • Management expects continued growth in adjusted earnings per share in the second half of fiscal year 2026, supported by stable unit profitability, growth in Customer Financial Services and after-sales services, and a lower number of shares outstanding.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +A large portion of profit depends on businesses that are more recurring and higher-margin than vehicle sales; approximately 80% of profits comes from Customer Financial Services and after-sales services, and the after-sales business recorded record gross profit of $607 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026.
    • +The growth of AutoNation Finance provides an independent earnings driver, after its portfolio increased to $2.67 billion and quarterly profit rose to $11 million, with delinquency rates and reserves remaining stable according to management.
    • +Strong cash flow supports capital allocation flexibility; adjusted free cash flow reached $439 million in the first half of fiscal year 2026, and the company allocated capital between acquisitions and share repurchases while keeping leverage within the target range of 2 to 3 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
    • +Adjusted earnings per share increased year over year for 6 consecutive quarters, and the approximately 12% reduction in the share count helped translate stable operating performance into per-share growth despite a slight decline in total revenue.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −New vehicle sales in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 declined by 4% to 63,240 units, battery electric vehicle sales fell by more than 30%, domestic brand units declined by 12%, and luxury units declined by 4%.
    • −Gross profit declined to $1.23 billion from $1.28 billion a year ago, and adjusted operating income fell to $343 million from $369 million, while new vehicle profit declined to $2,381 per unit from $2,785 due to higher vehicle costs.
    • −After-sales services face mix pressure; their margin declined to 48.1% from 49% as lower-margin wholesale parts gained weight, and management expects the vehicle base representing the traditional dealership market to contract over a period of 12 to 24 months.
    • −The supply of lower-priced used vehicles remains constrained, and management indicated that the share of vehicles priced below $20,000 was lower than desired, limiting the ability to serve more price-sensitive customer segments.
    • −Adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses reached 68.2% of gross profit, compared with 66.2% a year ago, so reaching management's target range of 66% to 67% by the end of fiscal year 2026 requires successful execution of productivity initiatives and improved gross profit.
    • −Analyst targets range from $202 to $260, a wide spread reflecting meaningful differences in estimates of earnings sustainability, while the average target of $243 is above the 52-week range high of $235.81. Insider activity also recorded 1 sale totaling a net 198,000 shares during the 3 months ended August 5, 2026, but it is a weak standalone trading signal because such sales may be prearranged.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus rating on AN stock is “Buy,” with an average price target of $243 and a wide target range of $202 to $260. Both the average target and the highest target exceed the 52-week range high of $235.81, but the lower end of $202 highlights valuation sensitivity to the possibility of weaker vehicle volumes and margin pressure, and the available data does not include a valid earnings multiple that can be used as an additional anchor.

    BuyAnalyst target: $243(+19.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What were AutoNation's most important sources of profit in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Approximately 80% of AutoNation's profits came from Customer Financial Services and after-sales services, rather than vehicle sales alone. After-sales services recorded record gross profit of $607 million, while Customer Financial Services generated gross profit of $358 million. AutoNation Finance delivered quarterly profit of $11 million, further diversifying the company's earnings sources.

    How did AutoNation Finance perform in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    The AutoNation Finance portfolio grew to $2.67 billion from $1.76 billion a year ago, an increase of approximately 52%. Loan originations reached $485 million, and the arm's penetration reached 11% of total vehicle sales and 18% of financed sales. Profit also increased to $11 million from $2 million a year ago, with delinquency rates and reserves remaining stable.

    Why did AN earnings per share grow despite the revenue decline?

    Revenue was $6.93 billion in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 versus $6.97 billion a year ago, but adjusted earnings per share increased to $5.56 from $5.46. Growth at AutoNation Finance and the strength of after-sales services helped offset part of the decline in vehicle sales. Share repurchases also reduced the weighted average shares outstanding by approximately 12% year over year to 33.8 million shares.

    What was the state of AutoNation's new and used vehicle sales?

    New vehicle sales declined by 4% to 63,240 units in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, with battery electric vehicle sales falling by more than 30%. New vehicle profit was $2,381 per unit, while used vehicle profit was $1,582 per unit. In the used vehicle market, units priced above $40,000 increased by 10%, but the supply of vehicles priced below $20,000 remained constrained.

    How is AutoNation using its cash flows in fiscal year 2026?

    Adjusted free cash flow reached $439 million in the first half of fiscal year 2026, an increase of 11% and a conversion rate of 125%. The company spent $317 million on acquisitions and $126 million on capital expenditures, and repurchased $457 million of shares. The acquisitions included Toyota of Newnan and 3 luxury stores that collectively add approximately $600 million in annual revenue.

    What are management's key targets for the remainder of fiscal year 2026?

    Management expects adjusted earnings per share to grow in the second half of fiscal year 2026, supported by stable unit profitability and growth in Customer Financial Services and after-sales services. It targets reducing selling, general, and administrative expenses to a range of 66%–67% of gross profit on an adjusted run-rate basis by the end of fiscal year 2026, compared with 68.2% in Q2. It also expects customer-pay revenue in after-sales services to continue growing at a mid-single-digit rate, with lease returns expected to increase during the second half.