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Home
Stocks
Amrize Ltd
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall56
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 4/8Insider cluster buyBetter than 56% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
73
18.6x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
31
5.1%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
51
7.8%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
65
2.1x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
69
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
19
-1.4%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
84
11▲3Top tier
AMRZ

AMRZ Amrize Ltd

Amrize Ltd · NYSE
Market Closed
40.52
▲ ⁦+0.20%⁩ (+0.08)
Market Cap$22.4B
Beta-0.03
52w Low52w High
39.7465.94
Last Week
⁦-5.70%⁩
Last Month
⁦-13.12%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-25.50%⁩
Last Year
⁦-22.02%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$41
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$50
⁦+23%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$40–$70⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$48
⁦+18%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$48–$50⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$53.89
⁦+33.0%⁩
Current Price $40.52·Median $50.00
Low
$40.00
High
$70.00
Current price
$40.52
Average target
$53.89
Street summary

Consensus Target Declines as Dispersion Widens

Bearish tilt

The consensus target price remained stable over the last day at 53.89, with the number of analysts unchanged at 8. However, it declined by 1.55 over 7 days and by 5.99, or 10%, over 30 days, from 59.88 to 53.89. The current range is between 40 and 70, while the median is 50, reflecting clear dispersion among estimates despite the consensus and median remaining above the current price of 40.52.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-10.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.67
Buy
Analyst coverage
21
Buy conviction
57%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 2↓
Target dispersion
74%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time21 analysts rating
4
8
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.94 → 3.67
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-09
    Citigroup
    BuyCautious
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-02
    Bank of America Securities
    NeutralUnderperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-10
    RBC Capital
    Sector PerformUnderperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    18.59x
    4.94x39.51x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.42x
    3.70x29.59x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.97x
    2.62x20.92x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.1%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.1%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -11.0%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    25.0%
    7.6%58.9%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    7.8%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.12x
    0.22x3.72x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

Amrize operates in the North American building materials market through two main segments: Building Materials, which sells cement, aggregates, supplementary cementitious materials, and concrete, and Building Envelope, which provides commercial and residential roofing systems, insulation products, and weatherproofing products. About half of the company’s business comes from commercial construction, and it benefits from a network of 18 cement plants and 141 cement terminals, alongside local aggregates and distribution operations serving data center, energy, advanced manufacturing, and infrastructure projects.

In Q2 FY2026, consolidated revenue grew 8.6% and organic growth was 6.7%, while the two segments reported combined revenue of approximately $3.4 billion. Building Materials contributed approximately $2.4 billion, or about 71% of this total, up 8.2%, and generated $793 million in adjusted EBITDA at a margin of approximately 33%; Building Envelope recorded $1 billion, or about 29%, up 9.4%. At the group level, adjusted EBITDA reached $986 million, equivalent to an approximate margin of 29% of the two segments’ reported revenue, while net income rose 14.4% and diluted earnings per share increased 14.7% compared with the corresponding period.

The presented financial statements reveal a clear disparity between periods: Q1 FY2026 recorded revenue of $2.2 billion, a net loss of $116 million, and negative earnings per share of $0.21, while revenue for the twelve months ending in FY2026 reached approximately $11.9 billion and net income totaled $1.2 billion. In FY2025, Amrize generated revenue of $11.8 billion, gross profit of $3 billion, net income of $1.2 billion, and earnings per share of $2.14, making the improvement in profitability following the first-quarter loss a key point to monitor.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Amrize raised its FY2026 revenue guidance to a range of $12.5–$12.7 billion, driven by growth in cement and aggregates volumes and demand from major projects, but revised its adjusted EBITDA guidance to $3.1–$3.2 billion due to oil-related cost inflation and delays in passing through price increases.
  • Cement volumes rose 5% and aggregates volumes increased 6.5% in Q2 FY2026, while freight-adjusted aggregates prices increased 4% and the cement price rose 2.1% from the previous quarter to more than $171 per short ton, despite remaining 0.2% below the corresponding period.
  • The data center boom provides Amrize with a defined demand base; management points to more than 300 planned data centers in North America and says its network can serve more than 90% of them. Current projects include the Elevate system at a large data center in West Texas, cement and aggregates supplied to a data center in Illinois, and materials for a semiconductor plant in Arizona and liquefied natural gas facilities in Louisiana.
  • The ASPIRE program delivered savings of $29 million in Q2 FY2026, with a target of $80 million during FY2026 and $250 million through 2028. The company added more than 650 new suppliers to the program to optimize spending on materials, services, logistics, and equipment.
  • The company invested $241 million in capital expenditures during the quarter and completed a 660 thousand-ton expansion at its cement plant in Missouri, while working to add 300 thousand tons in Quebec, 100 thousand tons in Midlothian, and 50 thousand tons in Alberta. The Rapid Redi-Mix transaction completed on July 31, 2026, also added a network of batch plants in Dallas-Fort Worth, while PB Materials in West Texas exceeded management’s initial expectations.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Broad exposure to major projects provides a multiyear growth driver, as the company delivered organic growth of 6.7% in Q2 FY2026, with demand from data centers, energy, advanced manufacturing, and infrastructure modernization.
  • +Amrize combines volume growth with pricing strength in Building Materials; cement volumes rose 5%, aggregates volumes increased 6.5%, and freight-adjusted aggregates prices increased 4%, helping the segment raise adjusted EBITDA by 5.2% to $793 million.
  • +The balance sheet supports the company’s ability to invest and return capital; cash totaled $729 million, available liquidity was $4 billion, and leverage was 1.7 times as of June 30, 2026. The company returned $502 million to shareholders during the quarter, including $197 million in share repurchases and $305 million in dividends.
  • +Insider activity reinforces the positive signal, with three-month net purchases totaling $1.4 million across 12 purchases and no sales, and the latest transaction occurring on August 27, 2026. This aligns with the analysts’ Buy consensus, although this activity alone is insufficient to determine value.

▼ Selling Case5 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $57.38 and a wide range of $48 to $70; the average is approximately 13% below the 52-week range high of $65.94, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 6%. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data, so the valuation assessment centers on the 52-week range of $42.72–$65.94 and the company’s ability to achieve adjusted EBITDA guidance of $3.1–$3.2 billion despite cost pressures.

BuyAnalyst target: $57.38(+41.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Amrize’s growth in FY2026?

Demand from data centers, energy, advanced manufacturing, and infrastructure is driving the company’s growth, with Q2 FY2026 revenue increasing 8.6% and organic growth reaching 6.7%. Management says more than 300 data centers are planned in North America and that Amrize’s network can serve more than 90% of them. Current business includes the Elevate system in West Texas, supplies for a data center in Illinois, a semiconductor plant in Arizona, and liquefied natural gas facilities in Louisiana.

Why did Amrize revise its FY2026 earnings guidance despite raising its revenue guidance?

The company raised revenue guidance to $12.5–$12.7 billion but revised its adjusted EBITDA range to $3.1–$3.2 billion. This reflects an expected increase of $140–$170 million in oil-related freight, diesel, and raw material costs, in addition to delays in passing through price increases. Management attributed approximately one-third of the guidance change to delayed pricing in Building Envelope, one-third to lower cement price expectations, and the final third to fuel surcharges being insufficient to offset higher freight costs.

How did Amrize’s two segments perform in Q2 FY2026?

Building Materials recorded revenue of $2.4 billion, up 8.2%, and adjusted EBITDA of $793 million, up 5.2%. Cement volumes rose 5%, aggregates volumes increased 6.5%, and freight-adjusted aggregates prices increased 4%. Building Envelope generated revenue of $1 billion, up 9.4%, but its adjusted EBITDA declined 5.2% under pressure from raw material and freight costs.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Cost inflation represents the most significant financial risk; management raised its estimate for the increase in freight, diesel, and raw material costs to $140–$170 million in FY2026 and explained that delays in passing through price increases prompted the revision of adjusted EBITDA guidance to $3.1–$3.2 billion.
  • −Building Envelope profitability came under pressure despite revenue growth of 9.4%, as adjusted EBITDA declined 5.2% due to higher raw material and freight costs and prices remaining below the corresponding-period level. Passing through price increases may also take 30–90 days because of projects priced in advance.
  • −Expectations for margin improvement depend on assumptions that had not yet materialized as of the August 7, 2026 call; management expects costs to remain elevated in Q3 FY2026, then moderate in Q4, with the price-cost spread turning positive in that quarter. Persistently high oil prices or freight rates could delay this shift.
  • −Growth in cement and aggregates volumes is expected to slow in the second half of FY2026 due to difficult comparisons, despite continued expectations for full-year growth in both. At the same time, new residential construction remained weak, weighing on weatherproofing products, which represent approximately 10% of the Building Envelope business.
  • −Annual comparisons face an additional burden from approximately $55 million in insurance recoveries recorded in FY2025, including $17 million in the second quarter, which limits reported earnings growth even if operating performance improves. The wide range of analyst targets, from $48 to $70, also reflects meaningful divergence in assessments of strong demand versus cost pressures.
What role does the ASPIRE program play in improving Amrize’s profitability?

ASPIRE delivered savings of $29 million in Q2 FY2026 after adding more than 650 new suppliers as part of spending optimization efforts. The company targets savings of $80 million during FY2026, rising to $250 million through 2028. The projects cover raw materials, services, logistics, and equipment, and the quarter’s savings partially offset inflation in freight, diesel, and raw materials.

How is Amrize deploying capital in FY2026?

Amrize spent $241 million on capital projects in Q2 FY2026, including cement expansions and efficiency improvements. It also returned $502 million to shareholders, including $197 million in share repurchases and $305 million in dividends, and the board declared an additional dividend of $0.11 per share that was paid on August 26, 2026. Available liquidity was $4 billion and cash totaled $729 million, with leverage of 1.7 times as of June 30, 2026.

What is the significance of the PB Materials and Rapid Redi-Mix acquisitions for Amrize?

PB Materials added a leading aggregates business in West Texas, and management said on August 7, 2026, that its contribution exceeded initial expectations. Amrize closed the Rapid Redi-Mix transaction on July 31, 2026, adding a network of batch plants and fleets in Dallas-Fort Worth and creating integration with the region’s cement and aggregates networks. Management expects Rapid Redi-Mix to be accretive to earnings per share during FY2026, while targeting a total contribution from mergers and acquisitions of $30–$50 million within the annual earnings bridge.