| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 48 | — | 17.8x | Around median | |
Growth | 21 | -13.0% | 7.1% | Bottom tier | |
Quality | 17 | -1.3% | 4.5% | Bottom tier | |
Safety | 51 | — | 2.6x | Around median | |
Capital Return | 24 | 0.02% | 2.12% | Bottom tier | |
Momentum | 71 | 0.8% | 2.9% | Top tier | |
Sentiment | 89 | 3 | 3 | Top tier |
Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources produces and sells metallurgical coal used in steelmaking, with secondary sales of thermal coal generated within the metallurgical coal segment. Revenue depends on shipment volumes and realized prices linked to Atlantic and Australian indices and domestic contracts; at the midpoint of fiscal year 2026 guidance, 70% of metallurgical coal tonnage was committed and priced at an average of $128.17 per ton, while 30% was committed but unpriced, and secondary thermal volumes were fully committed and priced at an average of $75.94 per ton.
In Q2 fiscal year 2026, revenue was $492.9 million, net loss was $12.3 million, and diluted loss per share was $0.96, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $25.6 million. The company shipped 3.5 million tons, compared with 3.6 million tons in Q1 fiscal year 2026, and the weighted average realized price for metallurgical coal sales declined to $124.30 per ton from $128.40; the provided data did not include a gross profit or gross margin figure.
The pricing mix reflects a clear disparity among markets: metallurgical coal exports linked to Atlantic indices and other mechanisms realized $109.08 per ton, compared with $143.82 for exports linked to Australian indices, while the realized price for the secondary thermal portion was $79.36 per ton. Although the cost of metallurgical coal sales declined sequentially to $103.07 per ton from $107.98, higher diesel and materials costs and lower volumes prompted the company to raise its annual cost guidance range.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
The average analyst price target is $173, within a range of $160 to $194, against a Neutral consensus; the average is about $39.36 above the 52-week low of $133.64, but about $80.82 below the high of $253.82. No meaningful price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data because the company recorded a loss of $61.7 million in fiscal year 2025 and a trailing loss of $46.1 million in 2026 data, so the valuation is closely tied to a recovery in metallurgical coal prices and the company’s ability to restore volumes and control costs.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported revenue of $492.9 million and a net loss of $12.3 million, or $0.96 per diluted share, in Q2 fiscal year 2026. Shipments declined to 3.5 million tons, and the weighted average realized metallurgical coal price fell to $124.30 per ton from $128.40 in the previous quarter. The company attributed the pressure to weak global steel demand, lower metallurgical coal prices, higher diesel and materials costs, and reduced efficiency at the DTA terminal.
One of DTA’s stacker-reclaimers sustained significant damage during a storm with wind speeds exceeding 80 miles per hour on June 14, 2026. The damage reduced handling efficiency, and as of August 7, 2026 there was no specific timeline for restoring the terminal to full operating capacity. Shipment guidance of 14.2–15.4 million tons assumes reduced capacity will continue through the end of fiscal year 2026, with available capacity at other East Coast terminals being used to mitigate delays.
The Wildcat mine entered production and is scheduled to ramp up during Q3 and Q4 fiscal year 2026. The mine produces low-volatility coal, so the company expects the mix to shift toward this category instead of relying relatively more heavily on high-volatility coal. This shift has become important because some new high-volatility volumes were finding buyers in the Asian spot market at low prices, while the company sees better demand for low-volatility coal among coke producers in North America.
At the midpoint of fiscal year 2026 guidance, 70% of metallurgical coal tonnage was committed and priced at an average of $128.17 per ton. The remaining 30% was contractually committed but unpriced, so its final value remains exposed to pricing mechanisms and market indices. Secondary thermal volumes were fully committed and priced at an average of $75.94 per ton, providing clearer visibility for that portion of sales.
Total liquidity was $447.8 million as of June 30, 2026, down from $476.2 million as of March 31, 2026. Liquidity included $307.6 million of unrestricted cash and $30.9 million in short-term investments, plus $184.3 million of unused capacity under the credit facility after accounting for a required minimum liquidity threshold of $75 million. There were no borrowings outstanding under the facility, while outstanding letters of credit totaled $40.7 million, and operations generated $39.9 million of cash flow during the quarter.
The average analyst price target is $173, with the lowest target at $160 and the highest at $194, while the consensus rating is Neutral. The average target is below the 52-week high of $253.82 and above the low of $133.64, reflecting a more conservative valuation than the upper end of the range. The price-to-earnings ratio also does not provide a useful anchor in the provided data because of the fiscal year 2025 loss of $61.7 million and continued losses in 2026 data.
