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Home
Stocks
American Homes 4 Rent
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall63
Balanced — near the middle of the marketMomentum TrapF 6/8DistressBetter than 63% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
37
25.0x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
45
4.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
37
2.8%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
52
4.0x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
84
4.00%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
58
-2.6%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
88
6▲3Top tier
AMH

AMH American Homes 4 Rent

American Homes 4 Rent · NYSE
Market Closed
31.48
▼ ⁦-0.24%⁩ (-0.07)
Market Cap$11.3B
Beta0.80
52w Low52w High
27.2235.85
Last Week
⁦-4.58%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.76%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.48%⁩
Last Year
⁦-11.07%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$31
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$37
⁦+16%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$32–$39⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$24
⁦-24%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$24–$37⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$36.35
⁦+15.5%⁩
Current Price $31.48·Median $36.50
Low
$32.00
High
$39.00
Current price
$31.48
Average target
$36.35
Street summary

AMH Stock Price Target Analysis: Cautious Optimism Amid Divergent Estimates

The price target for American Homes 4 Rent stock has stabilized at $36.35, a slight increase of 0.41% over the past thirty days, indicating upside potential compared to the current price of $33.54. However, a contraction in the number of analysts contributing to the consensus from 5 to 4 was observed over the past 24 hours, reflecting a state of re-evaluation or short-term uncertainty, despite the highest price target remaining at $39.

As of 2026-08-28
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.83
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦24 (-1)⁩
Buy conviction
58%
Mixed
Target dispersion
22%
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
6
8
10
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.76 → 3.83
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    24.98x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    41.36x
    5.89x47.13x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.53x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    7.1%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.5%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    13.5%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    -8.7%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    2.8%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.00x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.0%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    85.3%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.43
    -0.883.10
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

American Homes 4 Rent, listed under the ticker AMH, operates as an integrated operator and developer of single-family rental homes in the United States. Its model relies on rental revenue from the existing portfolio, growing net operating income through occupancy, rent increases, and expense control, and adding newly built homes through the internal AMH Development program. The company also recycles capital by selling selected homes; it sold more than 1,300 homes during the first half of fiscal year 2026 and directed the disposition proceeds toward funding on-balance-sheet development, while retaining portfolio acquisitions and third-party property management as growth options when the economics are attractive.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue according to EDGAR data was approximately $470.1 million, compared with $457.5 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2025, representing growth of approximately 2.8%. Net income was $132.9 million and earnings per share were $0.31, compared with net income of $123.6 million and earnings per share of $0.28 a year earlier; this equates to a calculated net income margin of approximately 28.3% versus 27.0%. The earnings call reported more specifically that net income attributable to common shareholders was $113.6 million, while Core FFO was approximately $0.49 per unit, up 5.2%, and Adjusted FFO was approximately $0.45, up 8.3%.

The operating mix was supported by both the same-home portfolio and newer homes outside it: the same-home portfolio achieved core revenue growth of 2.3%, average days occupied of 96%, and new lease, renewal, and blended rent spreads of 1.4%, 3.2%, and 2.7%, respectively. In development, AMH delivered a total of 651 homes during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, including 542 homes for the wholly owned portfolio at an investment cost of approximately $220 million. The data did not disclose the revenue split by value between the same-home portfolio and newer homes, but indicated that accelerated pre-leasing added growth to net operating income outside the same-home portfolio.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 30, 2026, AMH raised the midpoint of its annual Core FFO guidance by $0.03 to $1.95 per share, within a range of $1.93–$1.97, representing expected annual growth of 4.3%. It also lowered the midpoint of its same-home core expense growth guidance by 75 basis points to 2% and raised the midpoint of its Core NOI growth guidance by 40 basis points to 2.4%.
  • Core FFO in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 exceeded expectations, reaching $0.49 per share versus an estimate of $0.48. This coincided with year-over-year growth of 5.2% in Core FFO and 8.3% in Adjusted FFO, along with limiting controllable expense growth in the same-home portfolio to less than 1%.
  • Leasing indicators reflect stable demand for AMH homes; occupancy was 96% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 and then reached 96.1% in July 2026. New lease, renewal, and blended rent spreads increased in July to 1.6%, 3.3%, and 2.8%, compared with 1.4%, 3.2%, and 2.7% during the quarter.
  • Pre-leasing supports the contribution of the AMH Development program, as by July 31, 2026, the company had leased approximately 40% of the nearly 700 homes scheduled for delivery during the second half of fiscal year 2026. During the first half, it also signed more initial leases than the number of homes delivered, while some new land transactions target yields in the 6% range.
  • Net proceeds from home sales totaled approximately $380 million during the first half of fiscal year 2026, and the company is trending toward the upper half of its annual range of $400–$600 million, reducing some of its planned debt needs. In addition, it repurchased 4.1 million shares during the quarter for $123 million at an average of $29.88 per share, with approximately $377 million remaining under the existing authorization.
  • Insider activity showed a buying signal through August 24, 2026, with 11 purchases and no sales recorded during the three months, and net activity of 291,001.5 according to the provided data. This signal provides additional support, but it does not replace an assessment of operating performance, the balance sheet, and the outlook.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Performance combines high occupancy of 96% with expected same-home Core NOI growth of 2.4%, alongside a forecast for slight expansion in the Core NOI margin during fiscal year 2026 compared with fiscal year 2025. Lowering the expense growth forecast to 2% indicates that the increase in Core FFO guidance was not based on rents alone, but also included effective cost control.
  • +The AMH Development program represents an internal source of growth that is difficult to separate from the operating platform; it delivered 651 homes during the quarter, and 40% of planned second-half deliveries were pre-leased by July 31, 2026. The company also maintained stable vertical construction costs and saw modest improvement in initial yields, while new transactions targeted yields in the 6% range.
  • +Capital recycling enhances financial flexibility; the sale of more than 1,300 homes generated approximately $380 million in net proceeds during the first half of fiscal year 2026, and the company uses these funds to match on-balance-sheet development funding. Net debt including preferred shares was 5.2 times Adjusted EBITDA, with $84 million in cash and only $390 million drawn from a $1.25 billion revolving credit facility.
  • +The Road to Housing Act protects existing single-family rental homes and preserves AMH's ability to consolidate existing portfolios and the role of new construction within its model. According to management on July 31, 2026, the law preserved the company's two primary growth channels, AMH Development and portfolio consolidation, while potentially making home purchases through MLS more difficult for some smaller operators.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $36.35, with a “Buy” consensus and a target range of $32 to $39. The average is slightly above the top of the 52-week range of $35.61, while the wide gap between the lowest and highest targets reflects meaningful disagreement over the impact of the raised Core FFO guidance versus the expected slowdown in revenue growth during the second half of fiscal year 2026. No earnings multiple is available in the data, so the stock's valuation here is based on the target range, the 52-week range of $27.22–$35.61, and the company's ability to achieve Core FFO of $1.93–$1.97 per share.

BuyAnalyst target: $36.35(+15.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were AMH's key results in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

According to EDGAR, revenue was approximately $470.1 million, net income was $132.9 million, and earnings per share were $0.31. This compares with revenue of $457.5 million, net income of $123.6 million, and earnings per share of $0.28 in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2025. On the July 31, 2026 call, the company reported Core FFO of $0.49 per unit, up 5.2%, and Adjusted FFO of $0.45, up 8.3%. Net income attributable to common shareholders was also $113.6 million.

Why did AMH raise its fiscal year 2026 guidance?

The company raised the midpoint of its Core FFO guidance by $0.03 to $1.95 per share, within a range of $1.93–$1.97. The revision was based on expense control, modestly favorable property tax developments in some smaller states, accelerated leasing of AMH Development homes, better-than-expected dispositions, and share repurchases. The company lowered the midpoint of its same-home core expense growth guidance to 2% and raised the midpoint of Core NOI growth to 2.4%. The midpoint of the new guidance equates to annual growth of 4.3%.

How strong are demand and rents at AMH?

Average days occupied were 96% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, with new lease, renewal, and blended rent spreads of 1.4%, 3.2%, and 2.7%. In July 2026, occupancy reached 96.1%, and the spreads improved to 1.6%, 3.3%, and 2.8%, respectively. For fiscal year 2026, management expects nearly flat growth in new lease rents, renewals near 3.5%, and blended spreads in the low 2% range. The Seattle, Boise, and Salt Lake City markets were operating at approximately 96%–97% occupancy, while Atlanta and Tampa remained relatively weaker.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Management expects revenue growth to slow in the second half of fiscal year 2026 compared with the first half because the effect of higher blended rent spreads from fiscal year 2025 is more concentrated in the first six months. This means that improvements in operations and occupancy may not prevent reported growth from slowing as the effect of revenue carried over from the previous year diminishes.
  • −Pricing power remains limited despite improved occupancy; fiscal year 2026 guidance assumes nearly flat growth in new lease rents, renewals near 3.5%, and blended spreads in the low 2% range. Atlanta also remains below management's desired occupancy level, with rates described as stagnant, while Tampa needs further improvement in occupancy and rates.
  • −Part of AMH's growth depends on development and the rapid leasing of new homes, exposing returns to rent levels, delivery timing, and the cost of capital. Despite improved initial yields, management said projects underway were in the mid-to-low 5% range, while new transactions target the 6% range, and development is less flexible in the short term than purchasing completed homes.
  • −Financing and leverage remain risk factors as development and share repurchases continue; net debt including preferred shares was 5.2 times Adjusted EBITDA, and $390 million was drawn from the revolving facility at the end of quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026. Estimated disposition proceeds of approximately $380 million ease this pressure, but asset sales and matched development funding remain necessary within the year's plan.
  • −The Road to Housing Act protects the current portfolio, but management explained on July 31, 2026, that detailed rules were still being written and that new restrictions could make some MLS-based growth methods more difficult. Portfolio consolidation activity had also been largely paused during the period of legislative uncertainty, and there were not enough recent transactions to determine seller expectations or portfolio pricing accurately.
  • −Valuation presents a risk if expected Core FFO growth of 4.3% is not achieved or if the revenue slowdown persists; the average analyst target of $36.35 exceeds the upper end of the 52-week range of $35.61, while the broad target range extends from $32 to $39. The data do not provide an earnings multiple that can be used to validate this optimism through a traditional earnings comparison.
How important is the AMH Development program to the company's earnings?

The program delivered 651 homes in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, including 542 homes for the wholly owned portfolio at a cost of approximately $220 million. By July 31, 2026, approximately 40% of the nearly 700 homes planned for delivery in the second half were pre-leased. During the first half, the company also signed more initial leases than the number of homes it delivered, accelerating the contribution of net operating income outside the same-home portfolio. New transactions target yields in the 6% range, compared with yields in the mid-to-low 5% range for projects the company was working on at the time.

How does the Road to Housing Act affect AMH?

The law took effect before the July 31, 2026 call and exempted existing single-family rental homes from the restrictions. It also preserved the role of new construction and AMH's ability to consolidate existing portfolios, the two growth channels highlighted by management. Conversely, the new regulations may make home purchases through MLS more difficult for some smaller companies, while detailed rules were still being written as of that date. AMH did not announce a new portfolio consolidation transaction, but said activity had begun to improve after the period of legislative uncertainty ended.

What is the state of AMH's balance sheet and capital allocation?

Net debt including preferred shares was 5.2 times Adjusted EBITDA at the end of quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026. The company held approximately $84 million in cash, with $390 million drawn from a $1.25 billion revolving facility. Home sales generated approximately $380 million in net proceeds during the first half, with the full-year result trending toward the upper half of the $400–$600 million range. The company also repurchased 4.1 million shares for $123 million at an average of $29.88 per share, with approximately $377 million remaining under the repurchase authorization.