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Stocks
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall84
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Better than 84% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
82
12.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
56
12.5%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
93
——Top tier
▸
Safety
58
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
16
0.01%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
88
59.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
39
6▲3Bottom tier
AMG

AMG Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
355.61
▲ ⁦+0.30%⁩ (+1.08)
Market Cap$9.4B
Beta1.11
52w Low52w High
223.44392.92
Last Week
⁦-0.24%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.96%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+17.58%⁩
Last Year
⁦+56.37%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$356
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$405
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$400–$425⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$493
⁦+39%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.3⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$405–$493⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$410.00
⁦+15.3%⁩
Current Price $355.61·Median $405.00
Low
$400.00
High
$425.00
Current price
$355.61
Average target
$410.00
Street summary

AMG Stock Target Analysis: Price Stability with Limited Coverage

The price target analysis for Affiliated Managers Group (AMG) shows a state of complete stability over recent periods (1, 7, and 30 days), with the average price target holding steady at 402.5. We observe a total absence of price revisions or valuation changes recently, with a significant positive price gap between the current price (301.96) and the average target, indicating theoretical optimism from the following analysts.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
86%
High
Target dispersion
7%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
1
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-04
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy· $400.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-04
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy· $405.00
  • = Reiterate2026-04-09
    TD Cowen
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.42x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.59x
    2.76x22.06x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.97x
    3.07x24.55x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    11.3%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    12.5%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    108.5%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    8.7%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.55x
    0.25x7.31x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    0.1%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. operates through a partnership model with 40 independent Affiliates that manage strategies across private markets, liquid alternatives, and long-term specialized equities. AMG generates earnings from its economic interests in these firms while preserving their operational independence, and redeploys cash flows into new or additional Affiliate investments and share repurchases. In fiscal Q2 2026, alternatives accounted for more than 60% of the company's earnings, compared with only 35% for long-term strategies, while tax-aware strategies accounted for more than 10% of earnings.

In fiscal Q2 2026, AMG reported record second-quarter earnings; adjusted EBITDA was approximately $316 million, up 44% year over year, and economic earnings per share were $8.29, up 54%. Fee-related earnings, excluding performance fees and catch-up fees, grew 39%, and the company recorded $10 million in net performance fee earnings and approximately $7 million in additional fees primarily related to catch-up fees at private markets Affiliates. The call did not include a revenue figure for the quarter itself, while EDGAR data for fiscal Q1 2026 showed revenue of $544.9 million, net income of $110.4 million, and earnings per share of $3.84, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 20.3%.

The company ended fiscal Q2 2026 with record assets under management of $942 billion, up 7% from the previous quarter and 22% over the twelve months ended that quarter. Investment performance contributed six percentage points to quarterly AUM growth, while net flows added the equivalent of 1.5% of beginning-of-period assets. Total net flows were $13 billion, but their composition was clearly uneven: $29 billion of inflows into alternatives, versus $14 billion of outflows from long-term equities and $2 billion from multi-asset and fixed income.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Alternative strategies attracted record net flows of $29 billion in fiscal Q2 2026 and approximately $100 billion over the twelve months ended that quarter, driven by secondary markets, infrastructure, absolute return, and tax-aware investment strategies.
  • Private markets Affiliates raised $8 billion during fiscal Q2 2026, while liquid alternatives attracted $21 billion; the latter consisted of $16 billion from wealth clients into tax-aware strategies and $5 billion from institutional and retail clients into absolute return and market-sensitive strategies.
  • Assets under management rose to $942 billion, including an increase of approximately $171 billion over the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026, of which $69 billion was related to investments in new Affiliates; AMG also completed investments in BBH Credit Partners and HighBrook Investors and an additional minority investment in Garda Capital Partners during the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • AMG allocated approximately $189 million to share repurchases in fiscal Q2 2026 and approximately $375 million in the first half, helping reduce the average economic share count by more than 10% year over year. Management expects to repurchase approximately $600 million of shares in fiscal 2026, subject to market conditions and capital allocation activity.
  • For fiscal Q3 2026, management expects adjusted EBITDA of between $315 million and $325 million and economic earnings per share of between $8.43 and $8.71; the midpoint of the EPS range represents growth of approximately 40% compared with fiscal Q3 2025. It also expects recurring fee-related earnings to reach $315 million, up from $299 million in fiscal Q2 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The shift in the earnings mix toward higher-fee, higher-margin alternatives increased alternatives' contribution from 35% five years ago to more than 60% in fiscal Q2 2026, and management expects it to reach 70% over a relatively short period.
  • +The quality of growth is supported by five consecutive quarters of alternatives-led flows, with $56 billion of total net flows and approximately $100 billion into alternatives over the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026.
  • +Approximately $1 billion of recurring and growing annual after-tax cash flow, together with a $1.25 billion credit facility extending through June 2031, provides flexibility to invest in Affiliates and repurchase shares.
  • +AMG targets long-term compound growth of between 15% and 20% in economic earnings per share, following growth of more than 20% in fiscal 2025, and management expects growth of approximately 40% in fiscal 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $410, within a narrow range of $400 to $425, alongside a consensus “Buy” rating. The average is above the 52-week range high of $392.92, while the annual range extends from $224.59 to $392.92; the data do not provide a valid price-to-earnings ratio, so analysts' valuation is based primarily on accelerating economic earnings and the mix shift toward alternatives, while risks from long-term equity outflows and market volatility remain.

BuyAnalyst target: $410(+15.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove AMG's record earnings in fiscal Q2 2026?

Adjusted EBITDA was $316 million, up 44% year over year, and economic earnings per share were $8.29, up 54%. Fee-related earnings grew 39%, driven by organic flows, investment performance, and margin expansion at some of the largest Affiliates. Performance fees contributed a net $10 million, in addition to approximately $7 million in additional fees primarily related to catch-up fees in private markets.

Why are alternative assets important to AMG stock?

Alternatives represented more than 60% of AMG's earnings in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with approximately 50% 18 months ago and 35% five years ago. These strategies attracted $29 billion of net flows during the quarter and approximately $100 billion over the twelve months ended that quarter. Management says higher fees and margin expansion mean that flows' contribution to EBITDA growth is approximately twice what asset-based organic growth rates would imply.

What were the sources of AMG's inflows in fiscal Q2 2026?

Liquid alternatives generated $21 billion of inflows, including $16 billion from wealth clients into tax-aware strategies. Institutional and retail clients added $5 billion through absolute return and market-sensitive strategies. Private markets Affiliates also raised $8 billion, concentrated primarily in infrastructure, secondary markets, and other specialized areas.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Long-term specialized equity strategies recorded $14 billion of outflows in fiscal Q2 2026 due to industry and performance pressures, and still account for 35% of AMG's earnings; therefore, weakness in this category remains consequential despite the shift toward alternatives.
  • −A meaningful portion of AUM growth depends on markets; investment performance contributed six percentage points of the 7% quarterly increase in fiscal Q2 2026, while the market mix used in fiscal Q3 2026 guidance was down 2% through July 29, 2026.
  • −Multi-asset and fixed income experienced $2 billion of outflows in fiscal Q2 2026, which management attributed primarily to seasonality in money market and short-term fixed income funds, and it warned that second-quarter seasonality could recur following the addition of BBH Credit Partners.
  • −Fiscal Q3 2026 guidance calls for adjusted EBITDA of between $315 million and $325 million, compared with $316 million in the previous quarter, with no material private markets catch-up fees and net performance fees of no more than $10 million; this makes the period's growth more dependent on recurring fee-related earnings.
  • −Management noted that a large number of asset managers have launched or are preparing to launch tax-aware strategies, while these strategies account for slightly more than 10% of AMG's earnings; therefore, increasing competition could affect the sustainability of flows into this specific driver.
  • −Net insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 8, 2026, was a sale of $5.7 million, with one purchase and one sale recorded. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data did not specify the nature of the transaction.
  • What is AMG's guidance for fiscal Q3 2026?

    Management expects adjusted EBITDA of between $315 million and $325 million, based on AUM levels and a market mix that was down 2% through July 29, 2026. It expects economic earnings per share of between $8.43 and $8.71, with growth of approximately 40% at the midpoint compared with fiscal Q3 2025. The guidance includes $315 million of recurring fee-related earnings, no material private markets catch-up fees, and net performance fees of up to $10 million.

    How is AMG allocating capital in fiscal 2026?

    The company spent approximately $189 million on share repurchases in fiscal Q2 2026, bringing the first-half total to $375 million. Management expects to repurchase approximately $600 million of shares throughout fiscal 2026, subject to market conditions and capital allocation opportunities. During the first half, it also completed investments in BBH Credit Partners and HighBrook Investors and an additional minority investment in Garda Capital Partners, while total capital allocated to growth investments and capital returns was approximately $800 million.

    What are AMG's key flow risks?

    Long-term specialized equity strategies experienced $14 billion of outflows in fiscal Q2 2026 due to industry and performance pressures, although they still account for 35% of earnings. Multi-asset and fixed income recorded $2 billion of outflows, which management linked to seasonality in money market and short-term fixed income funds. By contrast, alternatives offset this weakness with $29 billion of inflows, so the sustainability of the improvement depends on continued strength in alternatives in the face of capital flight from traditional categories.