| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 65 | 93.4x | 17.8x | Around median | |
Growth | 73 | 14.5% | 7.1% | Top tier | |
Quality | 61 | 8.6% | 4.5% | Around median | |
Safety | 26 | 5.6x | 2.6x | Bottom tier | |
Capital Return | 61 | 9.06% | 2.12% | Around median | |
Momentum | 75 | 38.7% | 2.9% | Top tier | |
Sentiment | 72 | 5 | 3 | Top tier |
Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. produces metal beverage containers and serves a diverse mix of global and regional customers across Europe and the Americas. Over ten years, it increased its production capacity by more than 30% after investing over $2 billion in growth, and specialty cans now represent more than 50% of its volumes, increasing its exposure to categories such as energy drinks and carbonated soft drinks instead of relying heavily on traditional beer.
In fiscal Q2 2026, global sales volumes declined 1%, but adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 14% to $240 million, exceeding the company’s guidance range of $210–220 million. Europe generated revenue of $698 million, up 13%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $105 million, up 36%, with shipments growing 5%. In the Americas, revenue exceeded $1 billion, up 21%, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $135 million, up 2%, despite shipments declining 5% in North America and 15% in Brazil.
EDGAR filings show year-over-year improvement in scale and profitability: fiscal 2025 revenue increased to $5.5 billion from $4.9 billion in fiscal 2024, and gross profit rose to $681 million from $630 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 12.4% versus 12.9%. Net income also turned to a profit of $11 million in fiscal 2025 after a loss of $3 million in fiscal 2024 and a loss of $50 million in fiscal 2023, despite reported fiscal 2025 earnings per share remaining negative at $0.02.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
The average analyst price target is $5.10, within a narrow range of $5.00 to $5.20, and the average is close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $5.47, while the lower end of that range is $3.29. The analyst consensus is “Neutral,” and no meaningful price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, consistent with the limited fiscal 2025 net income of $11 million and negative earnings per share of $0.02; a potential sale of the parent company’s stake could also support a revaluation, but as of August 13, 2026, it remained a preparatory process subject to approval.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
In fiscal Q2 2026, global volumes declined 1%, but adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 14% to $240 million. The outperformance came primarily from Europe, where shipments increased 5% and adjusted earnings rose 36% to $105 million due to volume growth and improved input cost recovery. An improved specialty can mix in North America also contributed, but management explained that part of the European outperformance resulted from favorable metal-price timing and would not fully recur in the second half.
On July 23, 2026, management raised fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to $775–790 million. It expects global volumes to return to modest growth in the second half, with European volumes growing approximately 3% during fiscal 2026. For fiscal Q3 2026, it expects adjusted earnings of $200–210 million versus $240 million in the previous quarter because of seasonality, inflationary pressures, and the reversal of some metal-price timing benefits.
In fiscal Q2 2026, Europe achieved 13% revenue growth to $698 million and 5% shipment growth, supported by carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, and smaller growing categories. In North America, shipments declined 5% because of expected contract resets, metal supply constraints at the beginning of the quarter, and a demanding comparison with prior growth of 8%. In Brazil, shipments declined 15% because of customer mix, market weakness, a maintenance shutdown at one customer, and increased competition related to World Cup activity.
The company decided to increase the scale of its projects in the United Kingdom and Spain after commercial discussions with customers and amid strong European demand. The step raised fiscal 2026 capital expenditure guidance by $40 million to $240 million, allowing the company to add capacity in a market that management said had limited available capacity. The projects represent an opportunity to support growth, but they increase cash spending alongside expected cash interest of $220 million and lease principal payments of approximately $215 million.
The lawsuit filed in 2022 relates to an alleged breach of minimum volume purchase requirements. On May 26, 2026, the final judgment was amended to add $15.5 million of prejudgment interest, increasing the expected value to approximately $190 million before tax. Boston Beer posted a bond with the court covering the value of the judgment, but it also filed a notice of appeal, so the amount should not be treated as a final cash collection or one with a defined timing.
No. Information published on August 13, 2026, referred to Ardagh Holdings preparing for a potential sale of its stake in Ardagh Metal Packaging. The process was at a preparatory stage and required approval from the parent company’s board of directors, and no potential buyer was identified. AMBP management also said on its July 23, 2026 call that it had no update regarding the corporate structure or a potential separation of the glass and metal businesses, so any transaction premium remains uncertain.
