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Home
Stocks
Autoliv, Inc.
ALV

ALV Autoliv, Inc.

Autoliv, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
121.13
▼ ⁦-0.03%⁩ (-0.04)
Market Cap$8.9B
Beta1.38
52w Low52w High
99.16132.17
Last Week
⁦+1.61%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.46%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-6.06%⁩
Last Year
⁦-3.37%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall84
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Grey zoneBetter than 84% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
14.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
42
5.9%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
72
16.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
70
1.3x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
64
2.15%2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
59
-0.9%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
42
11▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$121
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$122
⁦+1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$116–$147⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$93
⁦-23%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.5⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$93–$122⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$127.00
⁦+4.8%⁩
Current Price $121.13·Median $122.00
Low
$116.00
High
$147.00
Current price
$121.13
Average target
$127.00
Street summary

Stable Targets with a Recent Rating Downgrade

Price target expectations have not changed over the last 30 days; consensus remained at 127 with seven analysts, while the range is between 116 and 147 and the median is 122. At a current price of 120.25, consensus reflects limited upside of approximately 5.6%, with a clear divergence between the highest and lowest estimates.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.94
Buy
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
67%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
26%
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
5
7
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.94 → 3.94
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-08
    TD Cowen
    BuyHold
  • = Reiterate2026-07-20
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-13
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    14.23x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.39x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.38x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.5%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.9%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -6.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    19.2%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    16.4%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.25x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.2%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    30.2%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.97
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-17 data

Company Overview

Autoliv manufactures automotive safety systems, including airbags, seatbelts, and steering wheels, and sells them to vehicle manufacturers. Revenue growth is linked to light vehicle production volumes, Autoliv's share of manufacturers' programs, and safety content per vehicle; the adoption of front-center airbags and increased safety content in India helped lift sales during Q2 FY2026.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue reached $2.8 billion, up approximately 3% year over year, gross profit was $509 million, net income was $100 million, and reported earnings per share were $1.35. Gross margin declined from 18.5% to 18.2%, while adjusted operating margin increased from 9.3% to 9.6%, and adjusted operating income reached $270 million; adjusted diluted earnings per share were $2.43.

The growth mix was driven by Asia, particularly Chinese vehicle manufacturers and India. Chinese manufacturers represented 55% of Autoliv's sales in China in Q2 FY2026, compared with 40% in the corresponding period, and organic sales in India grew 36%, outperforming light vehicle production by approximately 20 percentage points; Chery, Suzuki, and NIO were the largest drivers of customer-level sales growth during the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 17, 2026, Autoliv reaffirmed its FY2026 outlook: approximately flat organic sales, an adjusted operating margin between 10.5% and 11%, and operating cash flow of approximately $1.2 billion, assuming global light vehicle production declines by approximately 2.5%.
  • Organic sales outperformed global light vehicle production by more than one percentage point in Q2 FY2026, with outperformance exceeding seven percentage points in China and approximately six points in Asia excluding China, supporting the full-year outperformance target of approximately 2.5 percentage points.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Autoliv signed two strategic cooperation agreements with Great Wall Motor and XPENG, alongside a high number of product launches in China; NIO ES9 was the most important launch in Q2 FY2026 in terms of Autoliv sales potential, with front-center airbags adopted in several new vehicles.
  • Operating cash flow reached $434 million in Q2 FY2026, an increase of $157 million, and free operating cash flow rose to $340 million. The leverage ratio improved to 1.2 times despite $200 million in share repurchases and $64 million in dividend payments.
  • The restructuring of manufacturing operations in Turkey targets annual pre-tax savings of approximately $40 million, beginning in 2027 and reaching the full run rate in 2028. The company intends to transfer steering wheel, airbag, and seatbelt production to existing facilities in the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region, with the closure expected to be completed in the first half of 2028.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The overall buying case is based on Autoliv's ability to increase safety content and market share even in a declining automotive market; its organic sales in India grew 36% in Q2 FY2026, and vehicle content in India increased by approximately 20% annually in each of the previous two years, according to management.
    • +Autoliv's exposure to faster-growing Chinese manufacturers increased, as their share of the company's sales in China rose from 22% in 2022 to 55% in Q2 FY2026, alongside the Great Wall Motor and XPENG agreements and product launches led by front-center airbags.
    • +Adjusted operating margin improved to 9.6%, and adjusted operating income increased to $270 million in Q2 FY2026, supported by higher sales, cost reductions, and improved stability in customer call-offs, despite raw material pressures.
    • +Liquidity provides capacity for shareholder returns and investment; the company recorded operating cash flow of $434 million, free operating cash flow of $340 million, and last-12-month cash conversion of 119%, compared with a target of at least 80%.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The FY2026 guidance assumes a 2.5% decline in global light vehicle production, while S&P Global data forecasts production declines of 5% in China and approximately 1% in Europe. Management linked weakness in China to reduced government incentives, economic pressures, and consumer caution, and also cited competition from Chinese imports and affordability challenges in Europe.
    • −Achieving the targeted adjusted operating margin of between 10.5% and 11% has become heavily dependent on Q4 FY2026 because customer compensations, engineering income, and sales improvement are concentrated in that quarter, while the Q3 margin is expected to be close to the first-half level. This timing increases the sensitivity of results to any delay in compensation negotiations or implementation of efficiency measures.
    • −The FY2026 outlook includes total raw material pressure of approximately $110 million, and management does not expect to recover the entire amount directly from customers, instead relying on a combination of supplier negotiations, internal cost reductions, and price adjustments. Recovery of U.S. tariff costs, excluding IEEPA recoveries, was also approximately 83% in the quarter and 78% year to date in FY2026, leaving a portion unrecovered and pressuring margins.
    • −Tensions in the Arabian Gulf could affect energy prices, raw material availability, supply chain stability, and consumer demand for vehicles. The guidance assumes no material changes in tariffs or trade restrictions and no major supply chain disruptions, so a breach of these assumptions could result in performance below the targeted range.
    • −The closure of operations in Turkey and transfer of production involve execution risks and material costs; Autoliv expects total restructuring charges of approximately $142 million and cash outflows of approximately $129 million, affecting approximately 2,200 employees, with the process to be completed in the first half of 2028. The company has already recognized $90 million in charges in Q2 FY2026.
    • −The analyst consensus reflects a Neutral rather than Buy rating, with a wide target price range between $116 and $147, indicating meaningful differences in valuation estimates. Insider activity recorded net selling of $2.5 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 12, 2026, with one sale and no purchases recorded; however, insider sales may be prearranged, so this remains a weak standalone signal.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $127, compared with a range between $116 and $147, while the average is below the 52-week range high of $132.17 and above its low of $99.16. The Neutral rating balances Autoliv's growth with Chinese manufacturers and improved cash flow on the one hand, against the dependence of the FY2026 margin on a strong improvement in Q4, raw material pressures, and restructuring on the other. No valid P/E ratio was provided in the data, so it cannot be used to value the stock.

    HoldAnalyst target: $127(+4.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Autoliv's results in Q2 FY2026?

    Revenue reached $2.8 billion, up approximately 3%, with currency translation contributing approximately $62 million to the year-over-year increase. Organic sales grew by approximately $27 million, or 1%, with strong outperformance in China and India and Chery, Suzuki, and NIO leading customer growth. Adjusted operating income increased to $270 million and its margin to 9.6%, despite the reversal of supplier compensation and impairment costs related to restructuring in Turkey.

    How important is China to ALV stock's growth?

    Chinese manufacturers accounted for 55% of Autoliv's sales in China in Q2 FY2026, compared with 40% in the corresponding period and 22% in 2022. The company's sales in China outperformed light vehicle production by more than seven percentage points, while its sales growth with Chinese manufacturers exceeded market growth by more than 40 percentage points. The Great Wall Motor and XPENG agreements and the NIO ES9 launch support expansion opportunities, particularly in front-center airbag solutions and zero-gravity seating.

    What is Autoliv's outlook for FY2026?

    Management expects approximately flat organic sales, with outperformance of approximately 2.5 percentage points versus light vehicle production, which it assumes will decline by 2.5%. The expected adjusted operating margin range is between 10.5% and 11%, with operating cash flow of approximately $1.2 billion and capital expenditures below 5% of sales. Assumptions include an approximately 2.5% positive currency translation effect, total raw material pressure of approximately $110 million, and a tax rate of approximately 30%.

    Why do Autoliv's FY2026 earnings depend on Q4?

    Management said on July 17, 2026, that the Q3 FY2026 margin is expected to be close to the first-half level, while the majority of mitigation actions are concentrated in Q4. These actions include customer compensation for inflation, engineering income, efficiency improvements, and stronger sales growth at the end of the fiscal year. This makes achieving the annual margin range of between 10.5% and 11% sensitive to the timing of customer negotiations and the implementation of cost-reduction measures.

    How will the Turkey restructuring affect Autoliv?

    Autoliv plans to gradually discontinue the manufacture of steering wheels, airbags, and seatbelts in Turkey and transfer production to existing facilities in Tunisia, Romania, and other European locations. The company expects approximately 2,200 employees to be affected and the closure to be completed during the first half of 2028, with total charges of approximately $142 million and cash outflows of approximately $129 million. In return, the initiative targets annual pre-tax savings of approximately $40 million, beginning in 2027 and reaching the full run rate in 2028.