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Stocks
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall71
Strong — clearly above market medianFalling StarF 6/9SafeBetter than 71% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
20
39.4x▼17.6xBottom tier
▸
Growth
98
95.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
92
46.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
66
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
69
—2.15%Top tier
▸
Momentum
9
-50.4%▼2.3%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
74
16▲3Top tier
ALNY

ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
239.56
▼ ⁦-2.42%⁩ (-5.95)
Market Cap$32.1B
Beta0.30
52w Low52w High
197.81495.55
Last Week
⁦-3.67%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.79%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-15.27%⁩
Last Year
⁦-48.06%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$240
Analyst target · 10 analysts
$334
⁦+39%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$256–$455⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$145
⁦-40%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦11⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$145–$334⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 10 analysts setting price target
$347.33
⁦+45.0%⁩
Current Price $239.56·Median $334.00
Low
$256.00
High
$455.00
Current price
$239.56
Average target
$347.33
Street summary

Consensus Declines While Ratings Remain Stable

The average price target over the last 30 days fell from 371.82 to 347.33, a decline of 24.49 points or 6.59%, while the number of analysts remained at 10; meanwhile, the consensus did not change over the last 7 days or 1 day. The current price is 238.27, placing it below the minimum target of 256 and below the median of 334 and the consensus of 347.33, but the gap between the highest target of 455 and the lowest of 256 reflects clear dispersion in estimates.

As of 2026-09-15
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-4.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.04
Buy
Analyst coverage
28
Buy conviction
79%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
83%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time28 analysts rating
7
15
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.87 → 4.04
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Jefferies
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    H.C. Wainwright
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    Bernstein
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    39.40x
    3.85x44.95x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    26.48x
    4.71x37.71x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    29.99x
    3.78x30.25x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    1.9%
    -139.6%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    95.1%
    -57.4%93.8%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    342.2%
    -159.3%129.8%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    79.7%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    46.5%
    -154.2%16.1%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    5.11
    -36.5017.81
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals is a fully integrated global biopharmaceutical company developing therapies based on RNA interference RNAi technology, with a primary commercial focus on transthyretin amyloidosis ATTR diseases. Most product revenue comes from the TTR franchise, particularly AMVUTTRA, which is approved in the United States for the treatment of ATTR cardiomyopathy ATTR-CM and hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy ATTR-PN, while the company also generates collaboration and royalty revenue from partnerships including Regeneron and Roche, and from LEQVIO sales generated by Novartis.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue according to EDGAR filings was approximately $1.3 billion, gross profit was $992.7 million, net income was $164.5 million, and earnings per share were $1.21. According to the earnings call, global net product revenue was approximately $1.2 billion, up 74% year over year, including $1.03 billion from the TTR franchise and $142 million from the rare disease portfolio, while collaboration revenue was $47 million and royalty revenue was $72 million.

The product gross margin was 75% in Q2 FY2026, down four percentage points year over year due to higher average royalties owed to Sanofi as AMVUTTRA revenue grew. In contrast, the company generated non-GAAP operating income of $318 million, more than triple its level a year earlier, and ended the period with $3.3 billion in cash and marketable investments, compared with $2.9 billion at the end of FY2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • AMVUTTRA revenue exceeded $1 billion in a single quarter for the first time in Q2 FY2026, just 15 months after its ATTR-CM launch, while global TTR revenue reached $1.03 billion, up 89% year over year and 13% sequentially.
  • Continued momentum depends on the shift toward first-line treatment; first-line starts represented approximately 80% of new treatment starts, the company added more than 1,700 new AMVUTTRA prescribers from the ATTR-CM launch through the end of Q2 FY2026, and the drug now accounts for more than 50% of new patient starts among physicians who prescribe it.
  • Management estimated the United States ATTR-CM market at approximately 200 thousand patients, with approximately 80% remaining untreated, and said category growth was approximately 40% year over year. The company is increasing investments in patient identification and expanding the prescriber base, including collaborations with Viz AI, Komodo Health, and a large healthcare system in California.
  • The company revised its FY2026 net product revenue guidance to a range of $4.7–$5.1 billion and set TTR revenue guidance at $4.2–$4.5 billion, which still reflects expected year-over-year growth of 75% despite lowering the midpoint by $200 million.
  • Alnylam raised the midpoint of its FY2026 collaboration and royalty revenue guidance by $150 million to a range of $575–$625 million, driven by higher LEQVIO royalties from Novartis and increased Roche reimbursements related to the enrollment pace of the Phase 3 ZENITH study.
  • The company continues to expand its clinical pipeline; it increased enrollment in the TRITON-CM study to approximately 1,750 patients and expects data from ALN-6400, ALN-HTT02, and ALN-2232 during the second half of FY2026, while preliminary nucresiran results showed TTR reduction exceeding 95% with twice-yearly dosing.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The bullish case is based on strong and profitable commercial expansion: product revenue grew 74% year over year in Q2 FY2026, and non-GAAP operating income more than tripled from a year earlier to $318 million.
  • +AMVUTTRA has characteristics that support its establishment as a first-line therapy, including once-quarterly dosing and treatment adherence exceeding 90%, while the HELIOS-B study met all ten of its endpoints and showed reductions of approximately 40% in all-cause mortality and recurrent cardiovascular events over 48 months.
  • +The penetration opportunity remains substantial because approximately 80% of the estimated 200 thousand ATTR-CM patients in the United States are untreated, while through Q2 FY2026 only approximately one-third of the growing TTR prescriber base had tried AMVUTTRA.
  • +The $3.3 billion liquidity position supports funding for three ongoing Phase 3 studies and more than 25 clinical programs, with the company targeting three to four new IND submissions annually under its Alnylam 2030 vision.

▼ Selling Case7 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $355.27, with a consensus rating of “Buy,” and the wide target range of $256 to $455 reflects meaningful variation in estimates of AMVUTTRA’s trajectory and the execution risk associated with guidance and clinical studies. The average target is below the 52-week high of $495.55, while the high target of $455 is close to it; the absence of a displayed price-to-earnings ratio, despite net income of $164.5 million in Q2 FY2026, indicates that the stock’s valuation is strongly tied to future growth expectations and pipeline success rather than a stable earnings multiple.

BuyAnalyst target: $355.27(+48.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What was the main revenue driver for Alnylam in Q2 FY2026?

The TTR franchise was the largest driver, generating global net revenue of $1.03 billion, up 89% year over year and 13% sequentially. Total product revenue was $1.17 billion, including $142 million from the rare disease portfolio. AMVUTTRA revenue alone exceeded $1 billion in a single quarter for the first time, 15 months after its ATTR-CM launch.

Why did Alnylam lower its FY2026 TTR revenue guidance?

The company lowered the guidance midpoint by $200 million, bringing the range to $4.2–$4.5 billion. Management explained on July 30, 2026, that early second-line demand during FY2025 included patients who had been waiting for a new treatment option, after which this pent-up demand began returning to a normalized level in early FY2026. Nevertheless, the revised range still reflects expected year-over-year growth of 75%, and management says reaching the midpoint requires growth in Q3 and Q4 FY2026 similar to that achieved in Q2.

What supports the use of AMVUTTRA as a first-line treatment for ATTR-CM patients?

First-line starts represented approximately 80% of new treatment starts in Q2 FY2026, and AMVUTTRA now accounts for more than 50% of new patient starts among physicians who use it. In the HELIOS-B study, the drug met ten out of ten endpoints, with reductions of approximately 40% in all-cause mortality and recurrent cardiovascular events over 48 months. It is also administered once every three months, and the real-world use data presented by the company indicate treatment adherence exceeding 90%.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The heavy reliance on the TTR franchise represents a material concentration risk; the franchise generated $1.03 billion of the $1.17 billion in product revenue in Q2 FY2026, and revenue growth was driven primarily by AMVUTTRA adoption in ATTR-CM.
  • −Management lowered the midpoint of FY2026 TTR revenue guidance by $200 million to a range of $4.2–$4.5 billion after it became clear that second-line demand in FY2025 benefited from pent-up demand that did not continue at the same rate during FY2026.
  • −Second-line volume growth began slowing to a normalized level in early FY2026, making achievement of the targeted growth more dependent on continued acceleration in new patient diagnoses, first-line adoption of AMVUTTRA, and expansion of the prescriber base beyond early centers.
  • −Profitability faces pressure from product economics and commercial expansion; the product gross margin declined four percentage points to 75% due to higher royalties paid to Sanofi, non-GAAP research and development expenses rose 38% to $377 million, and selling, general, and administrative expenses increased 14% to $297 million.
  • −The clinical success of nucresiran remains uncertain; the TRITON-CM study is still ongoing, and the company expanded enrollment by approximately 500 patients to 1,750 to mitigate the risk of lower event rates, while it may also revise enrollment cohorts or the statistical analysis plan after reviewing the full data from the failed CARDIO-TTRansform study of eplontersen.
  • −Pricing and commercial pressures persist despite strong demand; management expects the United States net price to continue declining at a mid-single-digit percentage year over year during FY2026, while pricing adjustments associated with ATTR-CM launches in several countries limited TTR revenue growth outside the United States.
  • −Insiders recorded five sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 1, 2026, with net sales totaling $1.1 million. This remains a secondary trading signal because insider sales may have been prearranged, and the available data contain no evidence to the contrary.
  • How important is the TRITON-CM study to Alnylam’s future?

    TRITON-CM is testing nucresiran against placebo in ATTR-CM patients, and Alnylam expanded enrollment by approximately 500 patients to a total of 1,750 patients. Preliminary Phase 1 data showed TTR reduction exceeding 95% with twice-yearly dosing, and the company’s models estimate that more than 99% of patients may exceed an 80% reduction threshold. However, the study remains ongoing, and the company said on July 30, 2026, that it would review the full CARDIO-TTRansform data before deciding whether changes to enrollment or the statistical analysis plan are necessary.

    How large is the remaining commercial opportunity for AMVUTTRA in the United States?

    Alnylam estimates that there are approximately 200 thousand ATTR-CM patients in the United States and says that approximately 80% remain untreated. The company added more than 1,700 new AMVUTTRA prescribers from the ATTR-CM launch through the end of Q2 FY2026, but estimates that only approximately one-third of the TTR prescriber base has tried the drug. Commercial investments therefore focus on expanding reach among community physicians and improving early patient identification through collaborations including Viz AI and Komodo Health.

    Did Alnylam’s profitability and liquidity improve in Q2 FY2026?

    According to EDGAR, the company recorded net income of $164.5 million and earnings per share of $1.21, on total revenue of approximately $1.3 billion. Non-GAAP operating income reached $318 million, more than triple its level a year earlier. Cash and marketable investments increased to $3.3 billion at the end of the quarter from $2.9 billion at the end of FY2025, despite a 38% increase in research and development expenses to $377 million.