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Home
Stocks
The Allstate Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall96
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/8Better than 96% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
92
5.0x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
67
5.9%▼7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
99
——Top tier
▸
Safety
33
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
64
1.64%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
88
31.0%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
38
15▲3Bottom tier
ALL

ALL The Allstate Corporation

The Allstate Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
253.71
▲ ⁦+0.76%⁩ (+1.92)
Market Cap$64.8B
Beta0.15
52w Low52w High
188.08277.22
Last Week
⁦-3.57%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.83%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+15.55%⁩
Last Year
⁦+26.84%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$254
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$267
⁦+5%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$226–$319⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$756
⁦+198%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$267–$756⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$268.14
⁦+5.7%⁩
Current Price $253.71·Median $266.50
Low
$226.00
High
$319.00
Current price
$253.71
Average target
$268.14
Street summary

Slight Increase in the Target with Clear Divergence Among Analysts

The average price target over the last 30 days rose from 266.31 to 268.14, an increase of 0.69%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days. The current average is about 3.3% above the price of 259.57, but the target range is wide, between 226 and 319, reflecting notable divergence in estimates. The number of analysts counted also fell from 7 to 5, with no change in the average.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.20
Hold
Analyst coverage
25
Buy conviction
40%
Mixed
Target dispersion
37%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time25 analysts rating
2
8
10
3
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.75 → 3.20
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Raymond James
    Strong Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-11
    Citigroup
    NeutralSell
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    5.05x
    3.16x25.26x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.79x
    2.76x22.06x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.9%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    135.3%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.6%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    8.0%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

The Allstate Corporation provides insurance protection through its Property-Liability business and specialized protection services. Its core business consists of auto and homeowners insurance distributed through Allstate agents, independent agents, and direct channels, while Protection Services includes protection plans for appliances and furniture, vehicle warranties, roadside assistance, identity protection, and mobility data; these services had 177 million policies in force and contributed $3.4 billion in revenue and more than $200 million in adjusted net income during the twelve months ended in fiscal Q2 2026.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached $18.6 billion, up 11.8% from fiscal Q2 2025, compared with $16.9 billion in fiscal Q1 2026. EDGAR data showed net income of $3.3 billion and earnings per share of $12.51, while management reported adjusted net income of $2.3 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $8.99. For the twelve months ended in fiscal Q2 2026, revenue totaled $68.2 billion and net income totaled $12.1 billion.

Property-Liability remained the largest operating driver, with net premiums earned of $14.9 billion, up 4% in fiscal Q2 2026. The segment’s combined ratio improved by 4.5 points to 86.6%, with auto insurance at 83.3% and homeowners insurance at 94.6%, while the underlying combined ratio remained stable at 79.4%. This resulted in underwriting income of $2 billion, an increase of approximately 57% from the comparable quarter, alongside a 33.8% increase in net investment income to $1 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Total policies in force increased 3.8% to 215.9 million in fiscal Q2 2026, supported by growth of 2.6% in Property-Liability and 4.1% in Protection Services, while issued applications increased 9.9%.
  • New auto insurance business reached 2.3 million units in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with 1.5 million three years earlier, while new homeowners insurance business increased 46.8% to 411 thousand policies. This translated into growth of 2.8% in auto policies and 2.9% in homeowners policies.
  • Property-Liability underwriting income improved by approximately 57% to $2 billion, benefiting from an improvement in the combined ratio to 86.6%, lower catastrophe losses, and reserve reestimation. Auto claim reserve releases totaled $1.5 billion during the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • Investment income has increased by more than 57% since 2022, from $2.4 billion to approximately $3.8 billion for the twelve months ended in fiscal Q2 2026. Management attributed this improvement to extending the duration of the bond portfolio and increasing public equity investments by $7.1 billion during fiscal 2025.
  • The Ally platform under development is based on eight integrated components and reusable artificial intelligence agents, supported by more than 250 analytical models and 40 petabytes of data. Management expects the platform to support pricing and claims accuracy, reduce expenses, and improve lead routing, but it did not provide quantitative financial targets or a specific timeline for completing its rollout.
  • Allstate returned $1.3 billion to shareholders in fiscal Q2 2026, including $1 billion in share repurchases, with $2.6 billion remaining under the $4 billion repurchase authorization. Deployable capital at the holding company also increased to $9.5 billion.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Allstate combines policy growth with improved underwriting profitability; Property-Liability policies in force increased 2.6%, while the segment’s combined ratio improved to 86.6% and underwriting income reached $2 billion in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • +The company’s multichannel distribution network provides more than one avenue for growth, as the increase in new auto business was distributed among Allstate agents, independent agents, and direct sales, while new auto sales reached 2.3 million units during the quarter.
  • +Protection Services provides diversification beyond traditional insurance through 177 million policies and relationships with more than 30 major retailers and more than 1,100 auto dealerships, in addition to 3.4 million Allstate Identity Protection customers and 1.75 million roadside assistance events annually.
  • +Capital generation supports flexibility in allocating capital among organic growth, investments, and share repurchases, with $9.5 billion in deployable capital and a return on equity based on adjusted net income of 44.2% during the twelve months ended in fiscal Q2 2026.

▼ Selling Case7 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $270.46, close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $277.22, while price targets range from $226 to $319 versus an annual trading range of $188.08 to $277.22. The Neutral rating and wide range of targets balance the strength of fiscal 2026 earnings against the risks of normalizing underwriting margins and nonrecurring reserve releases; the provided data do not include a valid price-to-earnings ratio that would allow an earnings-based valuation comparison.

HoldAnalyst target: $270.46(+6.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove ALL stock earnings in fiscal Q2 2026?

Allstate’s revenue reached approximately $18.6 billion, up 11.8% from fiscal Q2 2025. EDGAR data showed net income of $3.3 billion and earnings per share of $12.51, while reported adjusted net income totaled $2.3 billion. The primary support came from Property-Liability underwriting income of $2 billion and a 33.8% increase in net investment income to $1 billion.

Are Allstate’s auto and homeowners insurance businesses growing?

Auto insurance policies in force grew 2.8%, and homeowners policies grew 2.9% in fiscal Q2 2026. New auto business reached 2.3 million units, compared with 1.5 million three years earlier, while new homeowners business increased 46.8% to 411 thousand policies. Companywide issued applications also increased 9.9%, and management said growth was distributed among exclusive agents, independent agents, and the direct channel.

Why is the combined ratio important to Allstate’s profitability?

The combined ratio measures insurance losses and expenses relative to premiums, so a reading below 100% indicates an underwriting profit. Property-Liability recorded a combined ratio of 86.6% in fiscal Q2 2026, an improvement of 4.5 points, while the ratio was 83.3% in auto and 94.6% in homeowners. However, the underlying measure remained stable at 79.4%, and lower catastrophe losses and reserve reestimation contributed to part of the reported improvement.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The homeowners business remains exposed to catastrophe losses, and management explained that lower catastrophe losses contributed 2.4 points to the improvement in the Property-Liability combined ratio during fiscal Q2 2026; therefore, a reversal of this factor could place material pressure on underwriting results despite the reinsurance program.
  • −Bodily injury claim severity remains relatively elevated, while inflation in parts and repair labor could increase the cost of auto claims. Management declined to provide an outlook for claim severity in the second half of fiscal 2026, leaving the cost trajectory and auto margins subject to change.
  • −Competition is intense, particularly in high-risk monoline auto insurance, and management acknowledged that the efficiency and effectiveness of the direct channel have not yet reached an industry-leading level. Intensifying competition could require pricing concessions or greater marketing spending to sustain new business growth.
  • −Growth in new auto insurance applications slowed from approximately 25% in the prior year to the high-single-digit range during the first half of fiscal 2026, according to the analyst’s question, despite a 9.9% increase in total issued applications in Q2. This indicates that new business growth remains positive but is slower than the previous pace.
  • −Earnings quality depends partly on factors that may not recur to the same extent; auto reserve releases totaled $1.5 billion during the first half of fiscal 2026, and management confirmed that it does not assume additional releases in the future. The underlying combined ratio also remained stable at 79.4%, while the expense ratio increased by one point due to advertising and a nonrecurring legal expense.
  • −The analyst consensus reflects a Neutral rating despite strong fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, indicating that the research community does not see a broadly agreed-upon bullish case. Price targets range from $226 to $319, revealing substantial differences in estimates of sustainable earnings and risks.
  • −Net insider selling totaled $23.8 million during the three months ended August 11, 2026, through five sales and no purchases. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may have been prearranged, and the context provides no evidence to the contrary.
How could the Ally platform affect Allstate’s results?

Allstate intends to use Ally to connect pricing, claims, customer service, and lead-routing operations through eight integrated components. The platform is based on an analytical architecture that uses more than 250 models, 40 petabytes of data, and 1.5 billion processor compute hours. Management expects a positive impact on expenses, pricing accuracy, and growth, but confirmed during the August 5, 2026 call that the platform had not been completed or fully deployed and did not specify quantitative savings or growth.

How large is Allstate’s Protection Services business?

Protection Services had 177 million policies in force and contributed approximately $3.4 billion in revenue and more than $200 million in adjusted net income during the twelve months ended in fiscal Q2 2026. Allstate Protection Plans distributes its products through more than 30 major retailers, including Walmart, Costco, and Home Depot, while Dealer Services has relationships with more than 1,100 auto dealerships. The platform also includes 3.4 million identity protection customers and 1.75 million roadside assistance events annually.

What are the main risks to monitor for ALL stock?

The main risks include catastrophe losses, parts and labor inflation, and elevated bodily injury claim severity, in addition to intense competition in auto insurance. The $1.5 billion in auto reserve releases during the first half of fiscal 2026 may also not recur, while the expense ratio increased by one point in Q2. The Neutral analyst rating and the wide range of targets from $226 to $319 provide further evidence of differing estimates regarding the sustainability of margins and growth.