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Home
Stocks
Alcon Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall49
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 6/9Better than 49% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
36
50.8x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
52
7.8%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
67
3.5%▼4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
71
2.5x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
50
0.52%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
27
-7.9%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
67
17▲3Top tier
ALC

ALC Alcon Inc.

Alcon Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
66.03
▼ ⁦-0.78%⁩ (-0.52)
Market Cap$32.5B
Beta0.70
52w Low52w High
61.8487.64
Last Week
⁦-8.60%⁩
Last Month
⁦-12.37%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.12%⁩
Last Year
⁦-16.30%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$66
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$79
⁦+20%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$35–$85⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$49
⁦-26%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$49–$79⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$73.43
⁦+11.2%⁩
Current Price $66.03·Median $79.00
Low
$35.00
High
$85.00
Current price
$66.03
Average target
$73.43
Street summary

Alcon (ALC) Price Target Review

Bearish tilt

Alcon stock has seen a notable 10.45% decline in its average price target over the past 30 days, with the consensus falling from $82 to $73.43, including a sharp drop in the last 24 hours. This downward adjustment reflects a decline in analyst optimism, especially as the price target nears the current price ($72.67), narrowing expected profit margins. There is also significant dispersion in estimates, ranging between $35 and $85, indicating uncertainty among the seven analysts covering the stock.

As of 2026-08-26
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.81
Buy
Analyst coverage
26
Buy conviction
77%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
76%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time26 analysts rating
3
17
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.86 → 3.81
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-17
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-13
    BNP Paribas
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    BTIG
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    50.79x
    3.94x44.30x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    17.66x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    20.39x
    3.77x30.13x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.2%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.8%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -39.8%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    56.5%
    12.8%90.7%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    3.5%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.47x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.5%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    26.5%
    7.4%76.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-11 data

Company Overview

Alcon Inc. operates in the eye care markets through two main franchises: Surgical and Vision Care. The Surgical franchise includes implantables, consumables, and equipment platforms such as UNITY, while Vision Care includes contact lenses and ocular health products such as TRYPTYR and Systane; accordingly, revenue depends on sales of devices, procedural materials, lenses, prescription treatments, and consumer products.

In Q2 FY2026, sales reached $2.8 billion, growing 7% year over year in constant currency. The Surgical franchise generated $1.6 billion, or about 57% of sales, with growth of 7%, divided among $825 million from consumables, $466 million from implantables, and $279 million from equipment; Vision Care recorded $1.2 billion, or about 43%, with growth of 7%, including $726 million from contact lenses and $486 million from ocular health.

The core gross profit margin reached 64.7% in Q2 FY2026, up 250 basis points, while core operating income reached $574 million and its margin reached 20.6%, improving by 160 basis points in constant currency. Core diluted earnings per share were $0.84, up 9%, and the company generated $693 million in free cash flow during the first half of FY2026, of which it returned $538 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Equipment was the fastest-growing component in Q2 FY2026, with sales rising 25% to $279 million, supported by UNITY; management confirmed that UNITY average selling prices exceeded its expectations and that it had clear visibility into installations in the second half of FY2026.
  • Ocular health sales grew 12% to $486 million, driven by TRYPTYR and Systane. TRYPTYR reached about 5% of the market less than a year after its launch, with coverage of approximately two-thirds of commercially insured patients and more than 20% of Medicare patients, while the Systane multidose and preservative-free portfolio achieved growth exceeding 40%.
  • Contact lens sales grew 5% to $726 million, with Alcon's global share reaching a record level, according to management. PRECISION7 sales more than doubled year over year, while TOTAL1, PRECISION1, and TOTAL30 supported the company's expansion in daily and reusable lenses.
  • PanOptix sales rose by double digits, and PanOptix Pro accounted for about 90% of PanOptix family implants after most U.S. accounts converted to it. Advanced technology lens penetration also increased by about 180 basis points in the United States and 110 basis points globally, and Alcon estimates that each point of penetration adds approximately $15 million in quarterly revenue.
  • Alcon raised its FY2026 outlook for core diluted earnings per share growth to between 12% and 15% and widened its forecast for core operating margin improvement to 90–190 basis points in constant currency, while maintaining its sales growth forecast at 5%–7%. This includes an expected tariff refund of about $60 million in Q3 FY2026, of which the company intends to reinvest about two-thirds to support new products.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Alcon's growth rate exceeds management's estimate of 3%–4% growth for the combined eye care markets, as sales grew 7% in Q2 FY2026 across both the Surgical and Vision Care franchises.
  • +The diversity of growth drivers provides relative protection from dependence on a single product; equipment rose 25%, ocular health 12%, contact lenses 5%, and surgical consumables 5% in Q2 FY2026.
  • +The product cycle combines established growth platforms, such as UNITY, PanOptix Pro, TRYPTYR, and Valeda, with expanding products such as TruPlus, Vivity Pro, and UNITY M. Management estimates Valeda's sales opportunity at between $100 million and $150 million over a three- to five-year timeframe.
  • +Improving profitability and cash flow support the company's ability to invest and return capital; the core operating margin rose to 20.6%, and free cash flow reached $693 million in the first half of FY2026, compared with $538 million returned to shareholders.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The analyst consensus on ALC stock is Buy, with an average price target of $73.43, a high of $85, and a low of $35. The average target lies in the upper half of the 52-week range of $61.835–$87.64, but is about 16% below the top of that range, while the wide spread between the $35 and $85 targets reflects fundamental disagreement over the sustainability of new product growth and pressures from implantables and tariffs.

BuyAnalyst target: $73.43(+11.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Alcon's growth in Q2 FY2026?

Sales rose 7% to $2.8 billion, with matching growth of 7% in both Surgical and Vision Care. Equipment was the fastest growth driver, increasing 25% to $279 million thanks to UNITY, while ocular health rose 12% to $486 million, supported by TRYPTYR and Systane. Surgical consumables and contact lenses also grew 5% each, making growth broad-based across the portfolio.

Why is the UNITY platform important for ALC stock?

UNITY drove equipment sales to $279 million in Q2 FY2026, up 25% year over year. Management said selling prices exceeded its expectations and that the platform could save between 20% and 30% of the time required for some retinal procedures, potentially allowing approximately one additional procedure when performing four or five vitrectomies per day. However, the company will face tougher equipment comparisons in the second half of FY2026 after the rollout of UNITY VCS began in the corresponding period of the prior year.

What is the status of PanOptix Pro and Alcon's implantables portfolio?

The PanOptix family achieved double-digit growth in Q2 FY2026, and PanOptix Pro accounted for about 90% of PanOptix implants in the United States. The product began expanding in Europe during June 2026, while TruPlus received the CE mark and began a limited launch with key opinion leaders in the United States. Nevertheless, the implantables business grew only 1% to $466 million, reflecting continued competition and weakness in surgical glaucoma sales.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The implantables business continues to face strong competition; its sales grew only 1% to $466 million in Q2 FY2026, and lenses within the business grew 2% despite the success of PanOptix Pro, while management said that long-term market share stabilization has not yet been achieved.
  • −U.S. cataract procedure volumes remained flat in Q2 FY2026, and management expects the U.S. market to remain flat to slightly higher during the remainder of FY2026 because of the retirement of highly productive surgeons and the time younger replacements need to increase their procedural capacity.
  • −Alcon discontinued the PowerVision lens program after the latest clinical study data showed persistent and unexpected postoperative shifts in distance vision among a group of patients, highlighting clinical development risks even within a broad innovation portfolio.
  • −A significant portion of contact lens growth depends on pricing; of the 5% growth in Q2 FY2026, about four percentage points came from price, alongside the continued decline of older products and greater difficulty passing through price increases outside the United States.
  • −Tariffs remain an operational burden, as the FY2026 outlook assumes U.S. import tariffs of about 10%–12.5% will remain in place through year-end. Even after an expected $60 million refund, the estimated net impact remains between $40 million and $90 million, while the refund benefit is nonrecurring and will temporarily increase the Q3 FY2026 margin before its expected decline in Q4.
  • −The range of analyst targets from $35 to $85 reveals substantial divergence in valuation estimates, although the overall consensus is Buy and the average target is $73.43. The highest target of $85 also remains below the 52-week range peak of $87.64, limiting the strength of an argument based solely on a return to that peak.
  • What is Alcon's outlook for FY2026?

    The company expects constant-currency sales growth of between 5% and 7%, assuming growth of between 3% and 4% in the combined eye care markets. It raised its forecast for core diluted earnings per share growth to 12%–15% and also raised the range for core operating margin improvement to 90–190 basis points. The assumptions include a tariff refund of about $60 million in Q3 FY2026, with about $40 million of it being reinvested in the business.

    What are the main operational risks facing Alcon?

    Implantables grew only 1% in Q2 FY2026 amid competitive launches, and U.S. cataract procedure volumes remained flat. The company also discontinued the PowerVision program after unexpected and persistent shifts in distance vision emerged among some patients in the clinical study. In addition, Alcon expects a net tariff impact of between $40 million and $90 million during FY2026, while about four points of the 5% contact lens growth came from pricing.

    How strong is the quality of Alcon's earnings and cash flows?

    The core gross profit margin reached 64.7% in Q2 FY2026, up 250 basis points, and the core operating margin reached 20.6%. The results benefited from manufacturing efficiency, price increases, and $15 million in licensing revenue, so not all margin gains represent fully recurring improvement. In the first half of FY2026, the company generated $693 million in free cash flow and returned $538 million through dividends and share repurchases.